| Literature DB >> 35155610 |
Dashuai Wang1, Su Wang2, Yifan Du1, Yu Song1, Sheng Le1, Hongfei Wang1, Anchen Zhang3, Xiaofan Huang1, Long Wu1, Xinling Du1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: A subset of patients require a tracheostomy as respiratory support in a severe state after cardiac surgery. There are limited data to assess the predictors for requiring postoperative tracheostomy (POT) in cardiac surgical patients.Entities:
Keywords: cardiac surgery; prediction model; risk factors; risk score; tracheostomy
Year: 2022 PMID: 35155610 PMCID: PMC8831542 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2021.799605
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Cardiovasc Med ISSN: 2297-055X
Figure 1Flow chart of the study.
Univariable analysis of possible risk factors for POT after cardiac surgery.
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| Demographics | |||
| Male | 2,907 (56.0) | 94 (73.4) | <0.001 |
| Age (years) | 51.03 ± 12.90 | 56.95 ± 12.04 | <0.001 |
| Height (cm) | 164.95 ± 8.03 | 165.97 ± 8.51 | 0.084 |
| Weight (kg) | 63.76 ± 11.97 | 67.65 ± 14.64 | 0.006 |
| Body mass index (kg/m2) | 23.32 ± 3.37 | 24.42 ± 4.20 | 0.008 |
| Smoking history | 1,489 (28.7) | 59 (46.1) | <0.001 |
| Drinking history | 1,117 (21.5) | 37 (28.9) | 0.045 |
| Underlying conditions | |||
| Hypertension | 1,529 (29.4) | 75 (58.6) | <0.001 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 417 (8.0) | 21 (16.4) | 0.001 |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 536 (10.3) | 21 (16.4) | 0.026 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 1,750 (33.7) | 62 (48.4) | 0.001 |
| Peripheral vascular disease | 2,208 (42.5) | 50 (39.1) | 0.437 |
| Atrial fibrillation | 896 (17.2) | 16 (12.5) | 0.159 |
| Renal insufficiency | 471 (9.1) | 53 (41.4) | <0.001 |
| Gastrointestinal tract disease | 434 (8.4) | 13 (10.2) | 0.468 |
| Pulmonary edema | 242 (4.7) | 11 (8.6) | 0.039 |
| Past history of cardiac surgery | 363 (7.0) | 13 (10.2) | 0.167 |
| Past history of general history | 1,464 (28.2) | 33 (25.8) | 0.551 |
| NYHA class III–IV | 852 (16.4) | 24 (18.8) | 0.479 |
| Pulmonary artery hypertension | 1,370 (26.4) | 20 (15.6) | 0.006 |
| Pericardial effusion | 732 (14.1) | 24 (18.8) | 0.136 |
| Diameter of the left atrium (cm) | 4.2 (3.6, 5.0) | 4.0 (3.6, 4.8) | 0.222 |
| Diameter of the left ventricle (cm) | 5.0 (4.5, 5.7) | 4.9 (4.5, 5.6) | 0.359 |
| Diameter of the right atrium (cm) | 3.8 (3.5, 4.4) | 3.8 (3.5, 4.4) | 0.940 |
| Diameter of the right ventricle (cm) | 3.6 (3.3, 4.0) | 3.6 (3.4, 4.1) | 0.316 |
| Left ventricular ejection fraction (%) | 62 (58, 66) | 62 (59, 65) | 0.236 |
| Laboratory values | |||
| White blood cell count (×109/L) | 5.78 (4.78, 7.10) | 7.48 (5.47, 11.11) | <0.001 |
| Red blood cell count (×1012/L) | 4.28 (3.92, 4.64) | 4.18 (3.74, 4.65) | 0.076 |
| Hemoglobin (g/l) | 129 (118, 140) | 127 (114, 141) | 0.340 |
| Platelet count (×109/L) | 180 (145, 221) | 156 (120, 197) | <0.001 |
| Serum albumin (g/L) | 40.5 (38.0, 42.7) | 39.0 (36.2, 41.4) | <0.001 |
| Serum globulin (g/L) | 24.4 (21.7, 27.2) | 25.3 (21.9, 28.5) | 0.081 |
| Serum creatinine (μmol/L) | 71.7 (60.8, 85.0) | 82.3 (69.4, 114.0) | <0.001 |
| Surgical types | <0.001 | ||
| Isolated valve surgery | 2,871 (55.3) | 26 (20.3) | |
| Isolated coronary artery bypass grafting | 576 (11.1) | 15 (11.7) | |
| Mixed valve surgery and coronary artery bypass grafting | 463 (8.9) | 18 (14.1) | |
| Aortic surgery | 840 (16.2) | 64 (50.0) | |
| Other types | 445 (8.5) | 5 (3.9) | |
| Emergent surgery | 437 (8.4) | 55 (43.0) | <0.001 |
POT, postoperative tracheostomy.
Multivariable analysis of independent risk factors for POT after cardiac surgery, without dichotomy of the continuous variables.
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| Surgical types | 0.022 | ||
| Isolated valve surgery | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| Isolated coronary artery bypass grafting | 1.857 (0.922–3.743) | 0.083 | 0.619 |
| Mixed valve surgery and coronary artery bypass grafting | 2.446 (1.302–4.597) | 0.005 | 0.895 |
| Aortic surgery | 2.685 (1.254–5.749) | 0.011 | 0.988 |
| Other types | 2.240 (0.839–5.983) | 0.108 | 0.807 |
| Renal insufficiency | 3.386 (2.277–5.034) | <0.001 | 1.220 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 2.089 (1.222–3.571) | 0.007 | 0.737 |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 2.644 (1.554–4.499) | <0.001 | 0.972 |
| Pulmonary edema | 2.853 (1.438–5.660) | 0.003 | 1.048 |
| Age (years) | 1.043 (1.024–1.062) | <0.001 | 0.042 |
| Emergent surgery | 5.244 (2.503–10.987) | <0.001 | 1.657 |
| Constant | 0.001 | <0.001 | −7.483 |
CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; POT, postoperative tracheostomy.
Multivariable analysis of independent risk factors for POT after cardiac surgery, with dichotomy of the continuous variables.
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| Surgical types | 0.019 | |||
| Isolated valve surgery | Reference | Reference | Reference | 0 |
| Isolated coronary artery bypass grafting | 1.978 (0.976–4.010) | 0.058 | 0.682 | 0 |
| Mixed valve surgery and coronary artery bypass grafting | 2.673 (1.421–5.026) | 0.002 | 0.983 | 1 |
| Aortic surgery | 2.523 (1.176–5.416) | 0.018 | 0.926 | 1 |
| Other types | 1.859 (0.700–4.936) | 0.213 | 0.620 | 0 |
| Renal insufficiency | 3.352 (2.247–5.000) | <0.001 | 1.210 | 2 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 2.210 (1.286–3.799) | 0.004 | 0.793 | 1 |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 2.740 (1.608–4.669) | <0.001 | 1.008 | 1 |
| Pulmonary edema | 2.864 (1.443–5.686) | 0.003 | 1.052 | 1 |
| Emergent surgery | 5.315 (2.525–11.186) | <0.001 | 1.671 | 2 |
| Age >60 years | 2.136 (1.441–3.167) | <0.001 | 0.759 | 1 |
| Constant | 0.004 | <0.001 | −5.481 |
CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; POT, postoperative tracheostomy.
Figure 2Predicted rates of the need for postoperative tracheostomy based on the risk score model.
Figure 3Validation of the risk score model. (A) ROC curves drawn using the risk score model, Model 1, and Model 2 in the derivation set. Model 1 is the first model with continuous variables and Model 2 is the second model with a dichotomy of the continuous variables. (B) Observed vs. expected events by predicted risk category. The correlation between observed and predicted events is 0.99. CI, confidence interval; ROC curve, receiver operating characteristic curve.
Postoperative variables in patients with and without POT after cardiac surgery.
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| Readmission to ICU | 207 (3.9) | 163 (3.1) | 44 (34.4) | <0.001 |
| ICU stay (days) | 3 (2, 5) | 3 (2, 5) | 22 (18, 31) | <0.001 |
| Hospital stay (days) | 15 (11, 19) | 14 (11, 19) | 34 (24, 47) | <0.001 |
| Mortality | 167 (3.1) | 107 (2.1) | 60 (46.9) | <0.001 |
ICU, intensive care unit; POT, postoperative tracheostomy.