| Literature DB >> 35116506 |
Yang Wang1, Jia Song1, Shupeng Wen2, Xiaolan Zhang1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Treatment modalities for primary diffuse large B-cell lymphoma of Small intestine and colon (PIC-DLBCL) have changed significantly during the past decades. However, limited information on the trends of clinical outcome of PIC-DLBCL patients has been reported, and the influence of marital status and medical insurance on prognosis is ignored.Entities:
Keywords: Primary diffuse large B-cell lymphoma; SEER; marriage; prognosis; small intestine and colon
Year: 2021 PMID: 35116506 PMCID: PMC8798054 DOI: 10.21037/tcr-20-3086
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Transl Cancer Res ISSN: 2218-676X Impact factor: 1.241
Clinical features of 1,613 cases with PIC-DLBCL and Log-rank test of the covariates
| Factor | Value | Group | Frequency | Proportion | Chisq | P valuef |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 1 | 0–20 | 38 | 2.4% | 349.835 | <0.001 |
| 2 | 21–40 | 108 | 6.7% | |||
| 3 | 41–60 | 437 | 27.1% | |||
| 4 | 61–80 | 738 | 45.8% | |||
| 5 | ≥81 | 292 | 18.1% | |||
| Sex | 1 | Male | 1,031 | 63.9% | 0.811 | 0.368 |
| 2 | Female | 582 | 36.1% | |||
| Maritala | 1 | Married (including common law) | 966 | 59.9% | 3.977 | 0.137 |
| 2 | Others | 513 | 31.8% | |||
| 3 | Divorced or Separated | 134 | 8.3% | |||
| Insuranceb | 1 | Insured | 891 | 55.2% | 25.608 | <0.001 |
| 2 | Basic Medicaid | 321 | 19.9% | |||
| 3 | Others | 401 | 24.9% | |||
| Race | 1 | Hispanic | 210 | 13.0% | 3.794 | 0.435 |
| 2 | Non-His Indian | 8 | 0.5% | |||
| 3 | Non-His Asian | 159 | 9.9% | |||
| 4 | Non-His Black | 85 | 5.3% | |||
| 5 | Non-His White | 1,151 | 71.4% | |||
| Site | 1 | Cecum and Appendix | 340 | 21.1% | 14.88 | 0.001 |
| 2 | Small Intestinal | 923 | 57.2% | |||
| 3 | Colon | 350 | 21.7% | |||
| Histologic | 1 | Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma | 1,592 | 98.7% | 2.822 | 0.420 |
| 2 | Large B-cell, diffuse, immunoblastic | 9 | 0.6% | |||
| 3 | T cell/histiocyte rich large B-cell | 1 | 0.1% | |||
| 4 | Plasmablastic | 11 | 0.7% | |||
| Ann Arbor | 1 | Stage I | 590 | 36.6% | 76.418 | <0.001 |
| 2 | Stage II | 553 | 34.3% | |||
| 3 | Stage III | 111 | 6.9% | |||
| 4 | Stage IV | 359 | 22.3% | |||
| First malignantc | 1 | No | 309 | 19.2% | 27.352 | <0.001 |
| 2 | Yes | 1,304 | 80.8% | |||
| Body symptomd | 1 | No | 1,167 | 72.3% | 4.871 | 0.027 |
| 2 | Yes | 446 | 27.7% | |||
| Surgerye | 1 | No | 458 | 28.4% | 5.075 | 0.024 |
| 2 | Yes | 1,155 | 71.6% |
aMarital was categorized as (1) Married, presenting as having a legal spouse in law; (2) Other, presenting as single (never married), unmarried, domestic partner and widowed; (3) Divorced and separated, presenting as living apart from your spouse no matter whether getting the judgment of divorce in law. bInsurance was categorized as (1) Insured, presenting as private insurance, Medicare-administered through a Managed Care plan, Medicare with private supplement, Medicare with the supplement; (2) Basic Medicaid, presenting as Indian/Public Health Service, Medicaid-administered through a Managed Care plan, Medicare with Medicaid eligibility, and no specific insured; (3) Blank, presenting as uninsured, Insurance status unknown and blank. cFirst Malignant was categorized as (1) Yes, presenting as that PIC-DLBCL was the first malignant tumor; (2) No, presenting as that PIC-DLBCL was not the first malignant tumor. dBody symptom was categorized as (1) Yes, presenting as any B symptom, such as night sweats, unexplained fever (above 38 °C), unexplained weight loss (generally greater than 10% of body weight in the six months before admission), and pruritus (recurrent and unexplained); (2) No, presenting as no B symptoms (asymptomatic). eSurgery was categorized as (1) Yes, presenting as having surgical treatment during the PIC-DLBCL; (2) No, presenting as not having surgical treatment during the PIC-DLBCL. fP value was the result of Log-rank test between different subgroups.
Figure 1K-M survival analysis and Log-rank test of different covariates in total 1,613 cases with PIC-DLBCL. (A) The plot was the overall survival, and the 5-year overall survival (OS) was 64.5%. (B,C,D,E,F,G,H,I) the plots were the survival analysis of the covariates, and the P value of Log-rank test had been shown. (If the survival probability of the subgroups was less than 50%, the auxiliary line would be marked).
Cox proportional-hazards univariate and multivariate analysis of PIC-DLBCL based on survival data in the training cohort
| Factor | Coef | Hazard Ratio | 95% CI: | P value | P value of PH-test | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Univariate analysis | Age | 0.924 | 2.52 | 2.23–2.84 | <0.001 | 0.915 | |
| Sex | 0.09 | 1.09 | 0.92–1.31 | 0.318 | 0.227 | ||
| Marital | 0.143 | 1.15 | 1.01–1.31 | 0.030 | 0.925 | ||
| Insurance | 0.220 | 1.25 | 1.13–1.38 | <0.001 | 0.361 | ||
| Race | 0.017 | 1.02 | 0.96–1.08 | 0.59 | 0.146 | ||
| Site | 0.219 | 1.24 | 1.09–1.42 | 0.001 | 0.856 | ||
| Histologic | 0.120 | 1.13 | 0.83–1.53 | 0.443 | 0.066 | ||
| Ann Arbor | 0.294 | 1.34 | 1.25–1.44 | <0.001 | 0.092 | ||
| First malignant | −0.494 | 0.61 | 0.50–0.74 | <0.001 | 0.002 | ||
| Body symptom | 0.155 | 1.17 | 0.97–1.41 | 0.106 | 0.165 | ||
| Surgery | −0.164 | 0.85 | 0.70–1.02 | 0.086 | 0.807 | ||
| Multivariable analysisa | Age | 0.948 | 2.58 | 2.29–2.91 | <0.001 | 0.850 | |
| Marital | 0.190 | 1.21 | 1.06–1.38 | 0.004 | 0.738 | ||
| Insurance | 0.275 | 1.32 | 1.19–1.45 | <0.001 | 0.528 | ||
| Site | 0.205 | 1.23 | 1.08–1.40 | 0.002 | 0.584 | ||
| Ann Arbor | 0.290 | 1.34 | 1.24–1.44 | <0.001 | 0.170 |
aGlobal P value of Schoenfeld residuals was 0.750, including the whole covariates of Cox proportional-hazards multivariate regression. It was showed that the covariates were met Proportional-Hazards (PH) assumption when combined. In forest plots, covariates were labeled as purple lozenges if they were statistically different in the analysis, and green squares if they were not.
Figure 2Nomogram for Prognosis estimation of PIC-DLBCL. Nomogram to estimate the probability of PIC-DLBCL in different years. To use it, find the position of each variable on the corresponding axis, draw a line to the points axis, find the number of points, add the points from all of the variables, and draw a line from the total points axis to determine the survival probabilities at the lower line of the nomogram. Red triangle-marked Cutoff values may assist in determining whether a patient is in the high-risk group.
Figure 3The predictive performance validity of the model in PIC-DLBCL prognostic estimation in the training cohort. The nomogram‐predicted probability of overall survival (OS) is plotted on the x‐axis; the actual OS is plotted on the y‐axis in the external validation. Perfect prediction would correspond to the 45° blue dashed line. The red solid line is bias corrected by bootstrapping (B =1,000 repetitions), indicating observed nomogram performance. The values in the lower right corner represent the prediction results of the calibration plot, where a smaller R2 (0-1) and a larger Slope (0-1) means that its prediction is more accurate.
Figure 4The cutoffs of the model predicted value and their differentiate validation in the training cohort. (A) By comparing the predicted probability with the actual survival, the Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve gave the cutoff and AUC values of the model for different years. (B,C,D,E) K-M survival analysis and Log-rank test between low and high-risk group divided by the cutoff, the p-value had been shown. (If the survival probability of the subgroups were less than 50%, the auxiliary line would be marked). (D) In the case of 5-year, the 5-year overall survival (OS) had been shown in the different groups.
Figure 5Prognostic accuracy verification of the model and IPI in the validation cohort by ROC and DCA. The Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve could show the difference in prediction accuracy between the model and the International Prognostic Index (IPI) scoring model in different years (The higher the curve, the higher the accuracy of its prediction), and the AUC of both was shown. The Decision curve analysis (DCA) curve means a higher net benefit of the model than IPI. And the upper line of model cutoff means that the predictive power of the model is higher than the IPI in clinical practice.