| Literature DB >> 35096617 |
Jolene Si Min Wong1,2,3,4, Sze Min Lek5, Daniel Yan Zheng Lim6, Claramae Shulyn Chia1,2,3,4, Grace Hwei Ching Tan1,2, Chin-Ann Johnny Ong1,2,3,4,7,8, Melissa Ching Ching Teo1,2,3,4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Palliative gastrointestinal (GI) surgery potentially relieves distressing symptoms arising from intestinal obstruction (IO) in patients with advanced peritoneal carcinomatosis (PC). As surgery is associated with significant morbidity risks in advanced cancer patients, it is important for surgeons to select patients who can benefit the most from this approach. Hence, we aim to determine predictors of morbidity and mortality after palliative surgery in patients with PC. In addition, we evaluate the utility of the UC Davis Cancer Care nomogram (UCDCCn) and develop a simplified model to predict short-term surgical mortality in these patients.Entities:
Keywords: advanced cancer; intestinal obstruction; palliation; palliative surgery; peritoneal carcinomatosis
Year: 2022 PMID: 35096617 PMCID: PMC8793807 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.811743
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Demographics and clinical characteristics of palliative GI surgery patients.
| Variable | Mean or N (%) |
|---|---|
| Age | 61.5 (52.3–71) |
| Male | 101 (40%) |
| Smoker | 10 (4%) |
|
| |
| Lung | 7 (3%) |
| Stomach | 32 (13%) |
| Pancreas | 14 (6%) |
| Colon | 108 (43%) |
| Ovary | 33 (13%) |
| Endometrial | 6 (2%) |
| Cervix | 5 (2%) |
| Others | 49 (19%) |
| Presence of lung metastases | 62 (24%) |
| Presence of liver metastases | 81 (32%) |
|
| |
| Hypertension (requiring medication) | 89 (35%) |
| Diabetes (requiring medication) | 49 (19%) |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 3 (1%) |
| Myocardial infarction | 5 (2%) |
| Congestive heart failure | 4 (2%) |
| Peripheral vascular disease | 1 (0%) |
| Renal failure | 7 (3%) |
| Dialysis | 4 (2%) |
|
| |
| Emergency surgery | 172 (68%) |
| Prehospital location (home) | 249 (98%) |
| Independent functional status | 246 (97%) |
| DNR status | 5 (2%) |
| Chemotherapy use (within 30 days) | 51 (20%) |
| Radiotherapy use (within 90 days) | 4 (2%) |
| Weight loss > 10% within 6 months | 79 (31%) |
| Steroid use | 17 (7%) |
| Ascites | 161 (63%) |
| Bleeding disorder | 4 (2%) |
| Dyspnea at rest | 8 (3%) |
| Impaired sensorium | 5 (2%) |
| Pneumonia | 5 (2%) |
| Sepsis | 30 (12%) |
| ECOG status | |
| 0 | 2 (1%) |
| 1 | 141 (56%) |
| 2 | 100 (39%) |
| 3 | 11 (4%) |
| Hematocrit (%) (median, IQR) | 33.9 (30.9–37.5) |
| WBC (×109/L) (median, IQR) | 8.3 (6.2–11.4) |
| Albumin (g/L) (median, IQR) | 31 (27–35) |
| Creatinine (μmol/L) (median, IQR) | 58 (47–81) |
|
| |
| Gastrointestinal resection | 219 (86%) |
| Multi-visceral resection | 22 (9%) |
| Lysis of adhesions | 7 (3%) |
|
| |
| Any anastomosis | 164 (65%) |
| Gastro-jejunal | 17 (7%) |
| Small bowel–small bowel | 63 (24%) |
| Small bowel–large bowel | 86 (34%) |
| Large bowel–large bowel | 13 (5%) |
|
| |
| Any stoma | 91 (35%) |
| Gastrostomy | 4 (2%) |
| Jejunostomy | 4 (2%) |
| Ileostomy | 35 (14%) |
| Colostomy | 46 (18%) |
GI, gastrointestinal; DNR, do not resuscitate; ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; IQR, interquartile range; WBC, white blood cell.
Predictors of 30-day morbidity and mortality after palliative GI surgery.
| Variable | 30-day morbidity (n = 110) | p-Value | 30-day mortality (n = 53) | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 64 (56–71) | 0.09 | 63 (57–69) | 0.27 |
| Male | 42 | 0.70 | 16 | 0.11 |
| Smoker | 6 | 0.34 | 1 | 0.69 |
|
| ||||
| Lung | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Stomach | 15 | 0.70 | 7 | 0.81 |
| Pancreas | 8 | 0.41 | 5 | 0.17 |
| Colon | 45 | 0.70 | 24 | 0.64 |
| Ovary | 16 | 0.57 | 1 |
|
| Endometrial | 4 | 0.41 | 3 | 0.1 |
| Cervix | 1 | 0.39 | 0 | 0.58 |
| Others | 1 | 0.43 | 12 | NA |
| Presence of lung metastases | 29 | 0.56 | 14 | 0.72 |
| Presence of liver metastases | 35 | 1 | 20 | 0.32 |
|
| ||||
| Hypertension | 40 | 0.79 | 53 | 0.12 |
| 22 | 0.74 | 18 | 1 | |
| Diabetes | 0 | 0.26 | 12 | 0.43 |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Myocardial infarction | 3 | 0.32 | 1 | 1 |
| Congestive heart failure | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.58 |
| Peripheral vascular disease | 5 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 |
| Renal failure | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Dialysis | 0 | 0.58 | ||
|
| ||||
| Emergency Surgery | 69 | 0.18 | 38 | 0.51 |
| Prehospital Location (home) | 109 | 0.39 | 51 | 0.27 |
| Independent functional status | 108 | 0.47 | 50 | 0.36 |
| DNR status | 1 | 0.39 | 1 | 1 |
| Chemotherapy use (within 30 days) | 24 | 0.64 | 9 | 0.69 |
| Radiotherapy use (within 90 days) | 1 | 0.64 | 1 | 1 |
| Weight loss > 10% within 6 months | 33 | 0.79 | 17 | 0.86 |
| Steroid use | 13 |
| 3 | 1 |
| Ascites | 74 | 0.29 | 40 |
|
| Bleeding disorder | 3 | 0.32 | 0 | 0.58 |
| Dyspnea at rest | 8 |
| 2 | 0.67 |
| Impaired sensorium | 3 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.58 |
| Pneumonia | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.27 |
| Sepsis | 23 |
| 4 | 0.34 |
| ECOG status | 0.13 |
| ||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | 54 | 22 | ||
| 2 | 51 | 26 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | ||
| Hematocrit (%) (median, IQR) | 32.7 (29.7–36.1) |
| 33.8 (30.0–37.1) | 0.23 |
| WBC (×109/L) (median, IQR) | 8.8 (6.5–12.1) | 0.14 | 8.8 (6.3–12.1) | 0.2 |
| Albumin (g/L) (median, IQR) | 29.5 (26–34) |
| 28 (24–32) |
|
| Creatinine (μmol/L) (median, IQR) | 56 (43–76) | 0.58 | 55 (45–73) | 0.94 |
|
| ||||
| Gastrointestinal resection | 96 | 0.85 | 49 |
|
| Multi-visceral resection | 10 | 0 | NA | |
| Lysis of adhesions | 2 | 2 | ||
|
| ||||
| Any anastomosis | 66 | 0.19 | 29 | 0.1 |
| Gastro-jejunal | 6 | 0.61 | 5 | 0.36 |
| Small bowel–small bowel | 30 | 0.46 | 10 | 0.28 |
| Small bowel–large bowel | 33 | 0.29 | 17 | 0.87 |
| Large bowel–large bowel | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
|
| ||||
| Any stoma | 44 | 0.24 | 23 | 0.2 |
| Gastrostomy | 3 | 0.32 | 2 | 0.19 |
| Jejunostomy | 4 | 0.03 | 2 | 0.19 |
| Ileostomy | 19 | 0.20 | 5 | 0.37 |
| Colostomy | 19 | 0.87 | 11 | 0.55 |
GI, gastrointestinal; DNR, do not resuscitate; ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; IQR, interquartile range; WBC, white blood cell; NA, Not applicable.
Values in bold indicate p < 0.05.
Figure 1Composite receiver operating characteristic (ROC) plots for 30-day (A) morbidity and (B) mortality models.
Model summary of multivariable model for 30-day mortality.
| Variable | Adjusted odds ratio (95% CI) | p-Value |
|---|---|---|
|
| ||
| Ovary | 0.20 (0.01–1.07) | 0.13 |
| Endometrial | 0 (0–999) | 0.99 |
|
| ||
| DNR status | 0 (0–999) | 0.99 |
| Impaired sensorium | 0 (0–999) | 0.99 |
| Sepsis | 0.20 (0.02–1.03) | 0.10 |
| ECOG status | 1.59 (1.07–2.38) |
|
| WBC | 1.50 (0.98–2.33) | 0.06 |
| Albumin | 0.60 (0.39–0.89) |
|
DNR, do not resuscitate; ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; WBC, white blood cell.
Values in bold indicate p < 0.05.
Figure 2Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) plots for UC Davis predictions of 30-day (A) morbidity and (B) mortality. Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) plots for UC Davis predictions of 30-day (C) morbidity and (D) mortality.
Model summary of simplified models.
| Variable | Adjusted odds ratio (95% CI) | p-Value |
|---|---|---|
|
| ||
| ECOG status | 1.26 (0.94–1.71) | 0.12 |
| Albumin | 0.71 (0.52–0.97) |
|
|
| ||
| ECOG status | 1.56 (1.08–2.26) |
|
| Albumin | 0.60 (0.40–0.89) |
|
ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group.
Values in bold indicate p < 0.05.
Figure 3(A) Empirically observed and (B) predicted risk heatmaps for 30-day mortality.