| Literature DB >> 35082756 |
Yu Meng1, Jing Lin1, Jianxia Fan1.
Abstract
Background: Maternal thyroid dysfunction and autoantibodies were associated with preterm delivery. However, recommendations for cutoff values of thyroperoxidase antibody (TPOAb) positivity and thyroid-stimulating homone (TSH) associated with premature delivery are lacking. Objective: To identify the pregnancy-specific cutoff values for TPOAb positivity and TSH associated with preterm delivery. To develop a nomogram for the risk prediction of premature delivery based on maternal thyroid function in singleton pregnant women without pre-pregnancy complications.Entities:
Keywords: first; nomogram; pregnancy trimester; premature delivery; thyroid-stimulating hormone; thyroperoxidase antibody
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35082756 PMCID: PMC8784419 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2021.793650
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) ISSN: 1664-2392 Impact factor: 5.555
Figure 1Flowcharts illustrating study population selection and data availability.
Patient baseline characteristics.
| Characteristics | Full-term delivery | Premature delivery |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Number (%) | 43,333 (95.3) | 2,134 (4.7) | |
| Age | 30.01 ± 3.56 | 30.68 ± 3.82 | < 0.001 |
| Pre-pregnancy BMI | 20.99 ± 2.72 | 21.18 ± 2.98 | 0.023 |
| Parity | 0.001 | ||
| Primiparous | 35,406 (81.7) | 1,685 (79.0) | |
| Multiparous | 7,927 (18.3) | 449 (21.0) | |
| Smoking | 0.651 | ||
| No | 43,301 (99.9) | 2,133 (100.0) | |
| Yes | 32 (0.1) | 1 (0.0) | |
| Education level | 0.063 | ||
| Bachelor degree and below | 35,331 (81.5) | 1,774 (83.1) | |
| Master degree and above | 8,002 (18.5) | 360 (16.9) | |
| History of premature delivery | < 0.001 | ||
| No | 43,212 (99.7) | 2,097 (98.3) | |
| Yes | 121 (0.3) | 37 (1.7) |
Mean ± SD, compared by independent-samples t-test.
Compared by the chi-squared test.
BMI, body mass index.
Figure 2Univariate analysis of risk factors for premature delivery.
Multivariable analysis of risk factors for premature delivery in the training group.
| Characteristic | B | SE | Wald | P | OR | 95%CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maternal age, year | 0.022 | 0.006 | 13.447 | < 0.001* | 1.022 | 1.010 − 1.034 |
| Pre-pregnancy BMI, kg/m2 | 0.017 | 0.012 | 2.129 | 0.145 | 1.017 | 0.994 − 1.040 |
| Preeclampisa | 1.176 | 0.088 | 179.190 | < 0.001* | 3.241 | 2.728 − 3.850 |
| GDM | 0.279 | 0.093 | 8.971 | 0.003* | 1.321 | 1.101 − 1.585 |
| FT4 | −0.001 | 0.017 | 0.002 | 0.996 | 0.999 | 0.966 − 1.034 |
| TSH | 0.127 | 0.046 | 7.707 | 0.006* | 1.135 | 1.038 − 1.242 |
| TPOAb | 0.576 | 0.055 | 15.900 | < 0.001* | 1.001 | 1.001 − 1.002 |
| History of premature delivery | 1.425 | 0.192 | 54.924 | < 0.001* | 4.157 | 2.852 − 6.060 |
*Significant variables.
the value was measured in the first trimester.
BMI, body mass index; GDM, gestational diabetes mellitus; FT4, free thyroxine; TSH, thyroid-stimulating hormone; TPOAb, thyroid peroxidase antibody; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence Interval; SE, standard error.
Figure 3A profile of a nomogram to estimate the risk of premature delivery in the training cohort. To calculate the probability of preterm delivery, draw a line perpendicular to the corresponding axis of each risk factor until it reaches the top line labeled “Points.” Sum up the number of points for all risk factors, and then draw a line descending from the axis labeled “Total Points” until it intercepts with the lower line where the preterm birth probability is indicated. GDM, gestational diabetes mellitus; TSH, thyroid-stimulating hormone; TPOAb,thyroid peroxidase antibody; History, history of premature delivery. For Age, number=years. For binary variables, 0 = no and 1 = yes. For TPOAb positivity, 0= when TPOAb concentration less than 5.14 IU/mL and 1=when TPOAb concentration more than 5.14 IU/mL. For TSH concentration, 0= when TSH concentration less than 1.33 mU/L and 1= when TSH concentration more than 1.33 mU/L.
Figure 4Decision curve analysis for premature delivery. Dotted green line = net benefit when no one is at risk for premature delivery; Dotted orange line = net benefit when all are at risk for premature delivery. The y-axis measures the net benefit. The red line represents the nomogram. The decision curve showed that if the threshold probability is between 0.05–0.40, using the nomogram in the current study to predict premature delivery adds more benefit than the intervention-all-patients scheme or the intervention-none scheme.
Figure 5Calibration results. Nomogram-predicted probability of premature delivery is plotted on the x-axis; actual probability of premature delivery is plotted on the y-axis. The diagonal dotted line represents a perfect prediction by an ideal model. The solid line represents the performance of the nomogram. The closer this line is to the diagonal dotted line, the better the prediction. Training cohort (A); Validation cohort (B) and Test cohort (C).