| Literature DB >> 35058521 |
Moon Seong Baek1, Jong Ho Kim2,3, Young Suk Kwon4,5.
Abstract
It is not clear whether mortality is associated with body temperature (BT) in older sepsis patients. This study aimed to evaluate the mortality rates in sepsis patients according to age and BT and identify the risk factors for mortality. We investigated the clusters using a machine learning method based on a combination of age and BT, and identified the mortality rates according to these clusters. This retrospective multicenter study was conducted at five hospitals in Korea. Data of sepsis patients aged ≥ 18 years who were admitted to the intensive care unit between January 1, 2011 and April 30, 2021 were collected. BT was divided into three groups (hypothermia < 36 °C, normothermia 36‒38 °C, and hyperthermia > 38 °C), and age groups were divided using a 75-year age threshold. Kaplan‒Meier analysis was performed to assess the cumulative mortality over 90 days. A K-means clustering algorithm using age and BT was used to characterize phenotypes. During the study period, 15,574 sepsis patients were enrolled. Overall, 90-day mortality was 20.5%. Kaplan‒Meier survival analyses demonstrated that 90-day mortality rates were 27.4%, 19.6%, and 11.9% in the hypothermia, normothermia, and hyperthermia groups, respectively, in those ≥ 75 years old (Log-rank p < 0.001). Cluster analysis demonstrated three groups: Cluster A (relatively older age and lower BT), Cluster B (relatively younger age and wide range of BT), and Cluster C (relatively higher BT than Cluster A). Kaplan‒Meier curve analysis showed that the 90-day mortality rates of Cluster A was significantly higher than those of Clusters B and C (24.2%, 17.1%, and 17.0%, respectively; Log-rank p < 0.001). The 90-day mortality rate correlated inversely with BT groups among sepsis patients in either age group (< 75 and ≥ 75 years). Clustering analysis revealed that the mortality rate was higher in the cluster of patients with relatively older age and lower BT.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35058521 PMCID: PMC8776751 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-05088-z
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1Flow chart of the patients. ICU = intensive care unit; ER = emergency room; SOFA = Sequential Organ Failure assessment; and WBC = white blood cell.
Baseline characteristics of sepsis patients according to mortality.
| Variables | Total | 90-day survivor (n = 12,384) | 90-day non-survivor (n = 3190) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 70.3 ± 14.9 | 69.8 ± 15.1 | 72.4 ± 13.9 | < 0.001 |
| Male sex (%) | 8976 (57.6) | 7040 (56.8) | 1936 (60.7) | < 0.001 |
| Body mass index (kg/m2) | 22.0 ± 4.2 | 22.2 ± 4.2 | 21.2 ± 4.1 | < 0.001 |
| SIRS | 1.9 ± 1.0 | 1.8 ± 1.0 | 2.0 ± 1.0 | < 0.001 |
| qSOFA | 1.5 ± 0.8 | 1.4 ± 0.8 | 1.7 ± 0.8 | < 0.001 |
| SOFA score | 6.5 ± 3.3 | 6.1 ± 3.1 | 8.1 ± 3.6 | < 0.001 |
| APACHE II score | 19.8 ± 7.0 | 18.9 ± 6.6 | 23.1 ± 7.4 | < 0.001 |
| Charlson comorbidity index | 5.3 ± 2.7 | 5.3 ± 2.7 | 5.5 ± 2.6 | < 0.001 |
| Hypertension | 9100 (58.4) | 7319 (59.1) | 1781 (55.8) | 0.001 |
| Diabetes | 6123 (39.3) | 4958 (40.0) | 1165 (36.5) | < 0.001 |
| Cardiac disease | 4842 (31.1) | 3899 (31.5) | 943 (29.6) | 0.036 |
| Chronic lung disease | 3062 (19.7) | 2503 (20.2) | 559 (17.5) | 0.001 |
| Chronic renal disease | 2452 (15.7) | 1959 (15.8) | 493 (15.5) | 0.614 |
| Chronic liver disease | 2106 (13.5) | 1702 (13.7) | 404 (12.7) | 0.112 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 4664 (29.9) | 3802 (30.7) | 862 (27.0) | < 0.001 |
| Solid tumor | 3289 (21.1) | 2407 (19.4) | 882 (27.6) | < 0.001 |
| Hematologic malignancy | 252 (1.6) | 173 (1.4) | 79 (2.5) | < 0.001 |
| Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) | 120 ± 34 | 122 ± 34 | 115 ± 34 | < 0.001 |
| Diastolic blood pressure (mmHg) | 72 ± 21 | 72 ± 21 | 69 ± 21 | < 0.001 |
| Respiratory rate (per minute) | 23 ± 6 | 23 ± 6 | 24 ± 6 | 0.001 |
| Heart rate (per minute) | 83 ± 20 | 83 ± 19 | 84 ± 22 | < 0.001 |
| Body temperature (°C) | 37.0 ± 1.1 | 37.0 ± 1.1 | 36.8 ± 1.1 | < 0.001 |
| Glasgow coma scale | 11.1 ± 4.3 | 11.5 ± 4.1 | 9.3 ± 4.7 | < 0.001 |
| < 0.001 | ||||
| < 36 (°C) | 1504 (9.7) | 1082 (8.7) | 422 (13.2) | |
| 36–38 (°C) | 11,455 (73.6) | 9081 (73.3) | 2374 (74.4) | |
| > 38 (°C) | 2615 (16.8) | 2221 (17.9) | 394 (12.4) | |
| Septic shock (%) | 4545 (29.2) | 3103 (25.1) | 1442 (45.2) | < 0.001 |
| White blood cell count (109/L) | 13.1 ± 8.9 | 12.9 ± 7.5 | 13.7 ± 12.8 | 0.002 |
| Hemoglobin (g/dL) | 11.7 ± 2.7 | 11.8 ± 2.7 | 11.2 ± 2.8 | < 0.001 |
| Platelet (109/L) | 220 ± 122 | 223 ± 121 | 208 ± 126 | < 0.001 |
| Creatinine (mg/dL) | 1.9 ± 2.2 | 1.9 ± 2.2 | 2.1 ± 2.1 | < 0.001 |
| C-reactive protein (mg/L) | 99 ± 100 | 95 ± 99 | 112 ± 101 | < 0.001 |
| Lactic acid (mmol/L) | 3.9 ± 3.8 | 3.5 ± 3.5 | 5.2 ± 4.6 | < 0.001 |
| Mechanical ventilation (%) | 5235 (33.6) | 3547 (28.6) | 1688 (52.9) | < 0.001 |
| CRRT (%) | 2195 (14.1) | 1363 (11.0) | 832 (26.1) | < 0.001 |
| Vasopressor use (%) | 5702 (36.6) | 4097 (33.1) | 1605 (50.3) | < 0.001 |
| Corticosteroid use (%) | 2514 (16.1) | 1802 (14.6) | 712 (22.3) | < 0.001 |
| Transfusion (%) | 3129 (20.1) | 2250 (18.2) | 879 (27.6) | < 0.001 |
| Combination antibiotic therapy (%) | 9621 (61.8) | 7492 (60.5) | 2129 (66.7) | < 0.001 |
| Length of stay (days) | 18.5 ± 22.0 | 19.7 ± 23.4 | 13.7 ± 14.8 | < 0.001 |
| ICU stay (days) | 9.3 ± 14.1 | 9.1 ± 14.7 | 9.9 ± 11.5 | 0.001 |
| Duration of MV (days) | 4.1 ± 11.0 | 3.6 ± 11.0 | 6.2 ± 9.6 | < 0.001 |
Values are presented as mean ± SD, or n (%).
SIRS, systemic inflammatory response syndrome; SOFA, sequential organ failure assessment; APACHE, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation; CRRT, continuous renal replacement therapy; ICU, intensive care unit; and MV, mechanical ventilation.
Cox’s proportional analyses of variables associated with 90-day mortality.
| Variables | Univariate analysis | Multivariable analysis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | |||
| < 0.001 | < 0.001 | |||
| < 75 | Reference | Reference | ||
| ≥ 75 | 1.273 (1.187–1.365) | 1.428 (1.328–1.536) | ||
| < 0.001 | 0.023 | |||
| Female | Reference | Reference | ||
| Male | 1.146 (1.067–1.230) | 1.088 (1.012 1.171) | ||
| SOFA score | 1.170 (1.159–1.181) | < 0.001 | 1.074 (1.055–1.093) | < 0.001 |
| APACHE II score | 1.077 (1.072–1.081) | < 0.001 | 1.024 (1.017–1.031) | < 0.001 |
| Charlson comorbidity index | 1.020 (1.007–1.003) | 0.002 | ||
| < 0.001 | < 0.001 | |||
| > 38 °C | Reference | Reference | ||
| 36–38 °C | 1.402 (1.276–1.580) | < 0.001 | 1.353 (1.214–1.507) | < 0.001 |
| < 36 °C | 2.094 (1.825–2.402) | < 0.001 | 1.231 (1.067–1.421) | 0.004 |
| Septic shock | 2.288 (2.134–2.454) | < 0.001 | 1.613 (1.366 1.904) | < 0.001 |
| Mechanical ventilation | 2.564 (2.392–2.749) | < 0.001 | 1.464 (1.340–1.599) | < 0.001 |
| CRRT | 2.554 (2.360–2.764) | < 0.001 | 1.425 (1.302–1.560) | < 0.001 |
| Vasopressor use | 1.935 (1.805–2.074) | < 0.001 | 0.676 (0.570 0.802) | < 0.001 |
| Corticosteroid use | 1.584 (1.457–1.721) | < 0.001 | 1.215 (1.115–1.324) | < 0.001 |
| Transfusion | 1.621 (1.500–1.752) | < 0.001 | 1.251(1.153–1.358) | < 0.001 |
| Combination antibiotic therapy | 1.266 (1.176–1.362) | < 0.001 | 1.180 (1.095–1.272) | < 0.001 |
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; SOFA, sequential organ failure assessment; APACHE, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation; and CRRT, continuous renal replacement therapy.
Figure 2Probability of cumulative mortality according to the body temperature category in sepsis. (A) Overall patients (Log-rank p < 0.001). (B) Patients aged < 75 years (Log-rank p < 0.001). (C) Patients aged ≥ 75 years (Log-rank p < 0.001).
Figure 3Distribution of the three patient clusters defined by age and body temperature.
Figure 4Probability of cumulative mortality according to the three clusters in patients with sepsis (Log-rank p < 0.001).