| Literature DB >> 35057387 |
Md Obaidullah Ansari1, Somnath Chattopadhyaya1, Joyjeet Ghose2, Shubham Sharma3,4, Drazan Kozak5, Changhe Li6, Szymon Wojciechowski7, Shashi Prakash Dwivedi8, Huseyin Cagan Kilinc9, Jolanta B Królczyk10, Dominik Walczak10.
Abstract
Breakout is one of the major accidents that often arise in the continuous casting shops of steel slabs in Bokaro Steel Plant, Jharkhand, India. Breakouts cause huge capital loss, reduced productivity, and create safety hazards. The existing system is not capable of predicting breakout accurately, as it considers only one process parameter, i.e., thermocouple temperature. The system also generates false alarms. Several other process parameters must also be considered to predict breakout accurately. This work has considered multiple process parameters (casting speed, mold level, thermocouple temperature, and taper/mold) and developed a breakout prediction system (BOPS) for continuous casting of steel slabs. The BOPS is modeled using an artificial neural network with a backpropagation algorithm, which further has been validated by using the Keras format and TensorFlow-based machine learning platforms. This work used the Adam optimizer and binary cross-entropy loss function to predict the liquid breakout in the caster and avoid operator intervention. The experimental results show that the developed model has 100% accuracy for generating an alarm during the actual breakout and thus, completely reduces the false alarm. Apart from the simulation-based validation findings, the investigators have also carried out the field application-based validation test results. This validation further unveiled that this breakout prediction method has a detection ratio of 100%, the frequency of false alarms is 0.113%, and a prediction accuracy ratio of 100%, which was found to be more effective than the existing system used in continuous casting of steel slab. Hence, this methodology enhanced the productivity and quality of the steel slabs and reduced substantial capital loss during the continuous casting of steel slabs. As a result, the presented hybrid algorithm of artificial neural network with backpropagation in breakout prediction does seem to be a more viable, efficient, and cost-effective method, which could also be utilized in the more advanced automated steel-manufacturing plants.Entities:
Keywords: artificial neural network; breakout prediction system; continuous casting; mold breakout; steel slab
Year: 2022 PMID: 35057387 PMCID: PMC8778296 DOI: 10.3390/ma15020670
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Materials (Basel) ISSN: 1996-1944 Impact factor: 3.623
Figure 1Copper mold for continuous casting at Bokaro Steel Plant.
Figure 2A schematic diagram of breakout.
Figure 3Pareto chart of causes of breakout.
Loss due to breakout.
| Particular | Value |
|---|---|
| Number of breakouts | 23.6 per year |
| After the breakout, an average of 3 to 4 h is required to restart the Caster. Average delay due to breakout = (4 × 23.6) = 94.4 h/year | |
| The average weight of liquid steel loss | 3 ton per breakout |
| Total liquid steel loss | 3 × 23.6 = 70.80 tons per year |
| Cost of one ton of liquid steel | 44,000 INR |
| Loss of liquid steel per year | 31.15 million INR/year |
Basic parameters of the model.
| Input Parameters | Maximum Value | Minimum Value |
|---|---|---|
| Thermocouple’s temperature (T1, T2 … T8) | 250 °C | 50 °C |
| Casting speed | 0.70 m/min | 0.50 m/min |
| Speed setpoint | 00 m/min | 00 m/min |
| Mold level | Always greater than or equal to 20% | |
| Default upper thermocouple’s temperature always shows = 300 °C | ||
| Default lower thermocouple’s temperature always shows = 0 °C | ||
| Output parameter: | Output of this model is either ‘1’ for breakout and generate alarm or ‘0’ for no breakout and not generate any alarm | |
Figure 4Process flow of continuous casting shop.
Figure 5Schematic diagram continuous casting process.
Figure 6Desired product steel slab material.
Figure 7Flowchart diagram of the breakout prediction system.
Figure 8Correlation matrix.
Figure 9Histogram plots of the frequency distribution of all the variables (thermocouple temperatures (T1, T2 … T8), casting speed (CS), and mold level (ML).
Figure 10Accuracy curve without and with standardization.
Figure 11The architecture of the backpropagation neural network.
Figure 12Accuracy curve of the model without and with dropout and batch normalization.
Figure 13Accuracy curve of the model.
Figure 14Loss curve of the model.
Breakout in continuous casting shop (CCS) from 1 April 2021 to 31 September 2021.
| Breakout S.No. | Date and Time | Heat Number | Strand Number | Slab Size (mm) | Heat of Sequence | Ladle Number | Steel Grade | Casting Speed (m/min) | Mold Level (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T1(°C) | T2(°C) | T3(°C) | T4(°C) | T5(°C) | T6(°C) | T7(°C) | T8(°C) | ||
| 01 | 11 May 2021 | 53,969 | 02 | 1045 | 1st | 14 | CR2B | 0.77 | 0 |
| 186 | 8 | 146 | 9 | 10 | 76 | −5 | 6 | ||
| 02 | 31 May 2021 | 54,335 | 02 | 1090 | 1st | 21 | GR-II | 0.90 | 0 |
| 188 | 12 | 132 | 3 | −2 | 95 | 2 | 2 | ||
| 03 | 09 September 2021 | 57,263 | 04 | 1045 | 5th | 13 | GR-II | 1.22 | 60 |
| 13 | 130 | 20 | 14 | −11 | 60 | 22 | 10 | ||
| 04 | 27 September 2021 | 57,803 | 4 | 1090 | 4th | 9 | CR | 1.01 | 62 |
| 15 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 4 | −11 | ||
| 05 | 07 October 2021 | 58,132 | 1 & 2 | 1470/1320 | 8th | 18 | GR-II Patton | 1.32 | 64 |
| 178 | 32 | 178 | 14 | −15 | 169 | 31 | 30 | ||
| 06 | 28 October 2021 | 58,898 | 2 | 1045 | 8th | 23 | CR2 | 1.09 | 54 |
| 194 | 0 | 125 | −12 | −8 | 125 | −3 | -3 | ||
| 07 | 31 October 2021 | 58,974 | 4 | 1320 | 6th | 17 | GR-I | 1.02 | 60 |
| 4 | 10 | −13 | 5 | 4 | 210 | −12 | 5 | ||
| 08 | 09 September 2021 | 57,263 | 4 | 1045 | 5th | 13 | GR-II | 0.78 | 0 |
| 2 | −1 | 1 | 0 | −6 | 1 | −13 | 7 | ||
| 09 | 27 September 2021 | 57,803 | 4 | 1090 | 4th | 9 | CR | 0.50 | 1 |
| 54 | −14 | 55 | −13 | −17 | 63 | −16 | −18 | ||
| 10 | 07 October 2021 | 58,132 | 1 & 2 | 1470/1320 | 8th | 18 | GR-II Patton | 0.38 | 0 |
| −38 | −6 | 93 | −5 | −9 | 49 | −4 | −5 | ||
| 11 | 28 October 2021 | 58,898 | 2 | 1045 | 8th | 23 | CR2 | 1.08 | 39 |
| −1 | −1 | −5 | −17 | −15 | 208 | −12 | 1 | ||
| 12 | 31 October 2021 | 58,974 | 4 | 1320 | 6th | 17 | GR-I | 1.22 | 60 |
| 19 | 133 | 21 | 10 | −11 | 51 | 18 | 14 | ||
| 13 | 03 November 2021 | 59,060 | 3 | 1320 | 5th | 25 | GR-II | 0.77 | 0 |
| 189 | 8 | 146 | 9 | 10 | 79 | −5 | 6 |
Prediction results new and actual breakout prediction system (BOPS).
| Parameters | New Model | Actual BOPS |
|---|---|---|
| Total number of heats | 5299 | 5299 |
| Total number of true breakout alarms | 13 | 13 |
| Total number of missed breakout alarms | 00 | 13 |
| Total numbers of false breakout alarms | 06 | 21 |
| Frequency of false alarms (%) | 0.113 | 0.396 |
| Breakout detection ratio (%) | 100 | 50 |
| Breakout prediction accuracy ratio (%) | 100 | 27 |
Compare the results obtained by the new model with the data of other researchers.
| Authors | Breakout Detection Ratio | Breakout Prediction Accuracy Ratio | Frequency of False Alarm |
|---|---|---|---|
| New model | 100% | 100% | 0.113 |
| Liu, Yu, et al. [ | 98.73% | 98.7% | 0.126 |
| He, Fei, et al. [ | 100% | 78.26% | 0.150 |
| He, Fei, et al. [ | 100% | 82.60% | 0.1365 |
Figure 15Representative breakout data of one field test (April 2021 to September 2021) depicting the recovery of a sticker-type breakout by reducing the casting speed.
Figure 16Proposed modem to reduce casting speed automatically.