Romain G Billy1, Louis Monnier1,2, Even Nybakke3, Morten Isaksen3, Daniel B Müller1. 1. Industrial Ecology Programme, Department of Energy and Process Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Høgskoleringen 5, 7034 Trondheim, Norway. 2. Utopies, 25 Rue Titon, 75011 Paris, France. 3. Hydro Aluminium, Drammensveien 264, 0283 Oslo, Norway.
Abstract
Greenhouse gas (GHG) accounting in industrial plants usually has multiple purposes, including mandatory reporting, shareholder and stakeholder communication, developing key performance indicators (KPIs), or informing cost-effective mitigation options. Current carbon accounting systems, such as the one required by the European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS), ignore the system context in which emissions occur. This hampers the identification and evaluation of comprehensive mitigation strategies considering linkages between materials, energy, and emissions. Here, we propose a carbon accounting method based on multilevel material flow analysis (MFA), which aims at addressing this gap. Using a Norwegian primary aluminum production plant as an example, we analyzed the material stocks and flows within this plant for total mass flows of goods as well as substances such as aluminum and carbon. The results show that the MFA-based accounting (i) is more robust than conventional tools due to mass balance consistency and higher granularity, (ii) allows monitoring the performance of the company and defines meaningful KPIs, (iii) can be used as a basis for the EU ETS reporting and linked to internal reporting, (iv) enables the identification and evaluation of systemic solutions and resource efficiency strategies for reducing emissions, and (v) has the potential to save costs.
Greenhouse gas (GHG) accounting in industrial plants usually has multiple purposes, including mandatory reporting, shareholder and stakeholder communication, developing key performance indicators (KPIs), or informing cost-effective mitigation options. Current carbon accounting systems, such as the one required by the European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS), ignore the system context in which emissions occur. This hampers the identification and evaluation of comprehensive mitigation strategies considering linkages between materials, energy, and emissions. Here, we propose a carbon accounting method based on multilevel material flow analysis (MFA), which aims at addressing this gap. Using a Norwegian primary aluminum production plant as an example, we analyzed the material stocks and flows within this plant for total mass flows of goods as well as substances such as aluminum and carbon. The results show that the MFA-based accounting (i) is more robust than conventional tools due to mass balance consistency and higher granularity, (ii) allows monitoring the performance of the company and defines meaningful KPIs, (iii) can be used as a basis for the EU ETS reporting and linked to internal reporting, (iv) enables the identification and evaluation of systemic solutions and resource efficiency strategies for reducing emissions, and (v) has the potential to save costs.
Entities:
Keywords:
aluminum smelting; carbon accounting; material accounting; material and energy efficiency; material flow analysis; systems analysis
The industry sector
contributed just over 30% of the global greenhouse
gas (GHG) emissions in 2010,[1] and the aluminum
value chain alone embodied in 2009 approximately 1.1% of the global
GHG emissions, whereof 90% was associated with primary production,[2] which is expected to keep soaring for decades.[3] If global warming were to be stabilized at 2
°C above pre-industrial levels, the carbon intensity in the industrial
sector would decrease by 60% in 2050 compared to 2010 levels.[4] Emission trading systems (ETS), such as the European
Union ETS (EU ETS), are established to help fulfill this goal.[5] The EU ETS currently requires industrial installations
from 28 sectors (including primary aluminum production) to account
for their direct (scope 1) CO2, N2O, and perfluorinated
compound (PFC) emissions, covering 45% of EUʼs total territorial
carbon dioxide emissions.[6] A cap on these
emissions was established at the EU level in 2013 (phase 3) and set
to decrease by 1.74% each year and by 2.2% from 2021 onward (phase
4).[7]Emission accounting is a prerequisite
to any ETS to spot the biggest
contributors, assign responsibility, and track performance evolution
over time. Under the EU ETS, this is carried out following guidelines
and methodologies issued by the EU,[8] which
aim to standardize the accounting process but not to identify and
evaluate emission reduction strategies. Industrial installations are
only required to report their total direct GHG emissions, even though
they can comprise several technical units with different inputs and
outputs. These highly aggregated results have little operational meaning
and are unsuitable for comparison, especially since the interpretation
of the accounting rules may differ from one site to another.[9] Moreover, the data can have large uncertainties
and may not be mass balance consistent, which is not addressed by
the current accounting methodology. This reduces the robustness of
the accounting and increases the risk of not detecting errors coming
from uncertainties or a poorly defined system (missing flows or stocks).
Finally, the EU ETS only covers a limited number of GHGs and does
not give credit for improving the end-of-life (EoL) management of
waste flows (through better separation, reuse, or recycling).Tang and Luo[10] showed that companies
with higher quality carbon management systems tend to achieve higher
emission reductions but observed that carbon accounting and auditing
alone had a limited effect,
which they attributed among others to the lack of international standards.
Indeed, because of the above-mentioned limitations, the EU ETS accounting
is not the best tool to inform decision makers and plant managers
about the performance of the sites. As a result, companies often develop
and maintain separate accounting frameworks with an aim to inform
mitigation strategies. However, these internal corporate accounting
frameworks, although more refined, tend to neglect the systemic linkages
between carbon emissions, materials, and energy. To understand causalities
of emissions not only at the points where emissions occur but also
emission changes caused throughout the system due to changes in material
flows, carbon should be tracked (i) not only as emissions but throughout
the system, in raw material inflows, intermediates, and byproducts,
and (ii) not in isolation but understood as part of a complex system
with feedbacks and delays. Climate change mitigation decisions based
on attributional life cycle assessment frameworks and inventories
might then lead to unintended systemic consequences.[11] In addition, these frameworks often list incomplete information[12] and are unsuitable for comparison between sites;
hence, they are not suited to inform investors,[13] internal decision makers, and other stakeholders. Meanwhile,
monitoring, reporting, and verifying emissions in the EU ETS represent
an average yearly cost of 22 000 Euros per installation included.
In relation to total emissions, these operational costs alone amount
to 0.07 Euros per ton of carbon dioxide emitted[14] and stand for the greater part of the overall transaction
costs associated with participating in the EU ETS.[14−16] However, despite
such costs, there is still a lack of accounting tools that enable
companies to identify and evaluate alternative strategies for saving
resources and emissions.Historically, material and energy balances
at plant level have
been used in steel production systems as part of the flowsheeting
approach, originally developed for process optimization.[17−19] Porzio et al.[19] developed a decision
support system for the steel industry based on flowsheeting, in which
they modeled the main flows of products and materials within a plant
and linked those flows with carbon dioxide emissions, enabling us
to conduct forecasts and scenario analyses. While some early material
flow analysis (MFA) studies had a plant-level focus,[20] this method has been mostly used as a tool to study global,
national, or regional material cycles,[21] and very few plant-level MFAs have been performed so far. This is
particularly the case for multilayer MFAs, which trace multiple individual
chemical elements. The tracing of individual chemical elements is
relevant for controlling the qualities of the main products, byproducts,
and wastes or emissions. The optimization of the qualities of the
different outputs, in turn, can have significant implications on the
energy use and emissions. Plant-level MFA has recently regained attention,
specifically to account for GHG emissions of steel production systems,[22,23] but those studies usually differentiate only one layer (total mass)
and do not trace individual chemical elements/substances in designated
layers. Some studies extended the spatial boundaries of the analysis
beyond a single plant, such as Wu et al.[24] who analyzed the yearly exergy and energy flows as well as the carbon
dioxide emissions of an iron and steel industrial network. Likewise,
the scope has been extended to factory buildings, including, for instance,
air conditioning and heating.[25,26] These approaches unveil
greater potentials to reduce emissions, yet they differ with the perimeter
commonly used to account for GHG emissions in the industry such as
in the EU ETS guidelines. Gonzalez Hernandez et al.[27] used control data (i.e., with a very high temporal resolution)
to quantify exergy flows and study resource efficiency in a steel
plant. Their results gave operational details regarding the improvement
measures that need to be implemented but are not linked with the yearly
GHG emissions of the complete plant.When it comes to aluminum,
despite being one of the most studied
metal cycles[28] at the global,[2,29,30] regional,[31] and country[32−37] levels, plant-level applications have been scarce. Hannula et al.[38] developed a simulation-based flowsheet for aluminum
recycling and studied its resource efficiency through exergy analysis
and life cycle assessment, but their system definition did not include
a real-scale plant. While smelting is the most important process for
both direct and indirect emissions in the aluminum cycle,[2] we could not find previous studies quantifying
the entire metabolism of a primary aluminum plant nor did we find
applications of MFA-based physical accounting for improving GHG emissions
accounting, reporting, and mitigation.Here, we perform a multilayer
MFA to describe in a system context
the metabolism of Norsk Hydroʼs primary aluminum smelter in
Sunndal, Norway (the largest European smelter excl. Russia, with a
design capacity of 300 + 100 kt Al/year in two smelting lines). We
use this example to show how accounting tools that regard emissions
as part of a larger production system can help toquantify GHG emissions of industrial
facilities based on mass balance consistent physical accounting;facilitate the identification
of
emission mitigation strategies to reach the EU ETS emission reduction
targets—such as enhancing resource efficiency, substituting
energy carriers, and improving specific processes; andidentify new levers to improve the
sustainability performance of an industrial site by addressing systemic
effects beyond the EU ETS scope.
Methods
Plant-Level
Multilayer Material Flow Analysis
We quantified
the metabolism of the plant using the MFA methodology as described
by Baccini and Brunner,[39] which tracks
not only goods but also individual substances (a multilayer approach).
Our system is quantified for three layers: goods, aluminum, and carbon. Figure summarizes the general
principle used in this study to perform the multilayer MFA. Stocks
and flows of materials within the plant were quantified first for
the goods layer. The aluminum and carbon layers were derived from
the goods layer using concentrations of those two elements in the
different goods. One of the basic principles of MFA is the conservation
of mass, which holds for the three layers. This multilayer physical
accounting allows us to better track the fate of individual chemical
elements and improve the accuracy of the results by applying element-wise
mass balance (Figure ).
Figure 1
General principle for multilayer MFA model development. I = inputs; ΔS = stock change; Em
= emissions; Fp = final products; WBp = waste and byproducts.
Figure 2
Simplified system definition of the plant. Aluminum-rich
flows
are shown in blue, carbon-rich flows in gray, fluorine-rich flows
in green, and GHG emissions in red. Waste flows are shown in a lighter
shade. SPL = spent potlining.
General principle for multilayer MFA model development. I = inputs; ΔS = stock change; Em
= emissions; Fp = final products; WBp = waste and byproducts.Simplified system definition of the plant. Aluminum-rich
flows
are shown in blue, carbon-rich flows in gray, fluorine-rich flows
in green, and GHG emissions in red. Waste flows are shown in a lighter
shade. SPL = spent potlining.
System Definition
The primary aluminum plant includes
two smelting lines, a cast house, and three units dedicated to carbon
anodes: one producing them, one rodding them to prepare them for smelting,
and one cleaning the used anodes. The system was quantified for the
three layers: goods, aluminum, and carbon. To be consistent with the
EU ETS scope, the carbon layer covers the whole plant. The goods and
the elemental aluminum layers are quantified for the whole plant with
the exception of the cast house due to the complexity and limited
data availability for the numerous flows of alloying elements.The plant produces carbon anodes by mixing imported carbon-rich primary
materials (tar pitch, petroleum coke) and recycled used anodes (so-called
anode butts (AB)) into a paste. The anodes are subsequently shaped,
baked, and then attached to a steel rod to be used in the smelting
lines, where aluminum oxide is melted in a molten electrolytic bath.
Aluminum fluoride and sodium carbonate are added for process control.
Rodded carbon anodes are placed on top of the cells, and a carbon
cathode is located at the bottom of the cell. While electric current
goes from the anodes to the cathode through the molten bath, the carbon
contained in the anodes binds with oxygen atoms in aluminum oxide
and is emitted to the atmosphere (the Hall–Héroult process).
The ideal theoretical reaction emits only CO2, yet when
the alumina concentration in the electrolytic bath is too low, a phenomenon
called the anode effect (AE) occurs during which PFCs are emitted.
Additionally, CO can be formed in the pots in a non-neglectable fraction
due to the Boudouard reaction[40,41] and the back reaction.[42] Although the carbon anodes are covered with
anode cover material (ACM), a mixture of bath material (mostly composed
of cryolite and chiolite) and alumina, part of it oxidizes with the
ambient air.[40] The liquid aluminum resulting
from this process sinks to the bottom of the cells, where it is tapped
out daily. The molten aluminum is mixed with alloying elements and
solid aluminum metal in the cast house to produce primary foundry
alloys or extrusion billets.The anodes have an average lifetime
of 4 weeks, after which the
remaining butts are removed from the pots and cleaned in several steps.
This generates different waste flows that leave the plant for energy
recovery or landfilling. The remaining clean carbon-rich fraction
is recycled to make new anodes, either internally or externally. The
average lifetime of a pot that contains the cathode is 4–6
years, after which pots are delined and relined with new refractory
materials and a cathode. The waste from this process, called spent
pot lining (SPL), is sorted into a contaminated carbon-rich fraction
(first cut) and a contaminated, used refractory material fraction
(second cut).
Quantification and Data Sources
All three layers were
quantified for the year 2017. Inventories were introduced whenever
necessary to capture relevant stock changes that might have occurred
in the plant during the study year. Moreover, it was assumed that
there was no stock change in the smelting lines (i.e., no stock change
in the pots used to reduce alumina). The system was quantified using
mostly internal reporting data. In cases of lacking or poor data,
assumptions and estimates were made based on scientific literature,
interviews with plant personnel, and corporate documents, or with
the use of the mass balance principle. The carbon-containing exhaust
gas from electrolysis was assumed to consist of CO2, CO,
and PFCs (Section S1). This assumption
is consistent with the measured values in similar smelting lines[41] where other gases have proven to be present
in negligible fractions. The ratio of CO2 to CO emitted
is assumed to be the same as the one measured by Kimmerle et al.[41] in a similar pot design, although CO emissions
are neglected by the EU ETS methodology (Section S2.2). PFC emissions are calculated according to the slope
methodology (Section S2.3) also used by
the EU ETS[8] [Annex IV Section 8].
Potential
for Emission Reduction
To illustrate the
capabilities of the MFA approach, we used the system definition to
identify the most promising technological measures to limit the overall
plant-level emissions, making sure that the reduction in one process
also minimizes the undesired impacts over the whole system. Table lists those measures
and shows how the potential emission reductions were calculated for
the different intervention options. Detailed calculations are available
in Section S3. All of these measures have
been or are currently being considered by the aluminum industry, even
if their implementation remains limited by uncertainties regarding
economic profitability. The feasibility is not described further both
for confidentiality reasons and because the main objective of this
study is to demonstrate the potential of MFA for physical accounting,
practical implementation of the reduction measures being out of the
scope. The replacement of carbon anodes with inert anodes was not
considered due to a lack of information about the implementation of
this technology, including the feasibility of retrofitting of current
smelting plants and potential trade-offs in energy use.[43] Besides, our current system definition would
not be appropriate for a plant using inert anodes: entire subsystems
like anode production and anode replacement would become obsolete,
while new processes might need to be added, making a direct comparison
difficult.
Table 1
Emission Reduction Estimation Method
for Different Measures
measure
calculation
for theoretical direct GHG emission
reduction
improving alumina
reduction (i.e., reaction occurring inside
the pots during smelting)
difference between the calculated
GHG produced in the anode
gas and the theoretical GHG emissions from alumina reduction following
the ideal reaction
reducing air burn
difference between the calculated GHG emissions in the exhaust
gas from smelting and the calculated GHG emissions in the anode gas
diminishing AE
calculated PFCs emissions
using the EU ETS slope methodology
limiting
the amount of excess carbon (nonoxidized anodes) supplied
to smelting
calculated assuming that all anodes were
produced with the
same carbon intensity as the one produced in the studied plant
reducing waste generation during anode production
assuming that the production of useful outputs of each process
remains constant, that reducing waste generation allows us to decrease
inputs and that the amount of fuel supplied is proportional to the
total input of the process, we estimated GHG emission reduction potential
for the anode paste plant, the anode baking furnace, and the anode
rodding process
replacing liquid natural
gas (LNG) in the anode plant and cast
house with GHG-free energy carriers (hydrogen or electricity)
GHG emissions from LNG
Uncertainties and Limitations
Norsk Hydroʼs internal
reporting system provided reliable data to quantify most material
flows. Nevertheless, some parts of the system were quantified using
assumptions with a relatively high uncertainty, such as for the flows
related to SPL production or the ratio of CO2 to CO emitted
to the atmosphere. A qualitative analysis of the level of uncertainty
of the main parameters and assumptions as well as quantification methods
for the different flows is presented in Sections S4 and S5, Supporting Information.To understand the
potential influence on the results of the most uncertain parameters,
a one-factor-at-a-time sensitivity analysis was conducted on the main
GHG emission flows (emissions from the smelting lines and the anode
baking furnace). A description of the methodology and detailed results
are presented in Sections S6 and S7.
Results
Carbon Layer and GHG Emissions
Figure presents simplified results of the carbon
layer MFA and detailed GHG emissions accounting for the year 2017,
obtained by systematically tracking carbon flows within the plant.
Results are consistent with the existing literature and previous measurements,
such as the emission intensity of the smelting process[44] and its excess carbon consumption,[42] CO2 to CO ratio in the anode gas
from smelting,[45] and weight loss of the
anodes during the baking process.[44] Detailed
Sankey diagrams of the anode plant and anode cleaning subsystems are
available in Sections S8 and S9.
Figure 3
Simplified
carbon flows (in kt of carbon) and associated GHG emissions
(in kt CO2-equiv) in 2017. Fuel flows are shown in light
gray, mass balance inconsistency (MBI) in darker gray, GHG emissions
flows in red, and other materials in yellow. MBI = mass balance inconsistency;
AB = anode butts; PFCs = perfluorinated compounds; LNG = liquid natural
gas; ref mat. = refractory materials; SPL = spent pot lining.
Simplified
carbon flows (in kt of carbon) and associated GHG emissions
(in kt CO2-equiv) in 2017. Fuel flows are shown in light
gray, mass balance inconsistency (MBI) in darker gray, GHG emissions
flows in red, and other materials in yellow. MBI = mass balance inconsistency;
AB = anode butts; PFCs = perfluorinated compounds; LNG = liquid natural
gas; ref mat. = refractory materials; SPL = spent pot lining.
System-Based Indicators
As illustrated
here for the
two smelting lines of the plant, our approach enables the design of
a set of system-based indicators that integrates both resource efficiency
and GHG emission levels. Figure shows that the second smelting line operates closer
to the theoretical optimum (see Section S10) when it comes to GHG emissions and carbon consumption. Looking
at aluminum extraction from alumina, the first smelting line performs
slightly better than the second one. This is due to spillage in the
second smelting line, as shown in the Sankey diagram of Figure . The real efficiency of the
reduction process occurring inside the pots of the second smelting
line is hidden by the spill: if it were plugged, all things being
equal, it would perform better than the first line.
Figure 4
Example of detailed material
flow analysis for the smelting processes
and the related set of indicators. Upper part: aluminum flows are
shown in blue, carbon flows in yellow, fluoride flows in purple, and
other materials (mainly oxygen) in light gray. Internal recycling
of Al2O3, AlF3, and ACM within the
smelting lines is not shown for reasons of simplicity; this choice
of resolution does not affect the overall mass balance. A higher resolution
might be useful for certain applications, including the development
of additional indicators. MBI = mass balance inconsistency.
Example of detailed material
flow analysis for the smelting processes
and the related set of indicators. Upper part: aluminum flows are
shown in blue, carbon flows in yellow, fluoride flows in purple, and
other materials (mainly oxygen) in light gray. Internal recycling
of Al2O3, AlF3, and ACM within the
smelting lines is not shown for reasons of simplicity; this choice
of resolution does not affect the overall mass balance. A higher resolution
might be useful for certain applications, including the development
of additional indicators. MBI = mass balance inconsistency.
Theoretical Emission Reduction Potential
of Technological Mitigation
Options
Figure shows the theoretical potential of different options to reduce the
yearly GHG emissions of the studied plant. The greatest emission reduction
potential lies in improving the smelting process (−116 kt CO2-equiv, i.e., 18% decrease compared with 2017 levels).
Figure 5
Theoretical
yearly GHG emission reduction potential. (*) Alumina
reduction improvements refer to increasing the proportion of carbon
reacting ideally during smelting and limiting CO2 burn
and back reaction. (**) Decrease in the amount of carbon oxidized
via air burn during smelting and oxidation of carbon monoxide from
the exhaust gas with ambient air. LNG = liquid natural gas.
Theoretical
yearly GHG emission reduction potential. (*) Alumina
reduction improvements refer to increasing the proportion of carbon
reacting ideally during smelting and limiting CO2 burn
and back reaction. (**) Decrease in the amount of carbon oxidized
via air burn during smelting and oxidation of carbon monoxide from
the exhaust gas with ambient air. LNG = liquid natural gas.Improving alumina reduction so that the cells can
operate closer
to the theoretical reaction had the potential to reduce annual emissions
by 7.1% in 2017. Nevertheless, this will be challenging from a technical
point of view: the plant studied consumed less than 0.4 kg of carbon
per kg of aluminum produced, one of the lowest values reported in
the industry.[44,46] The net carbon consumption could
be reduced by increasing the pitch content of the anodes,[47] given that locally produced anodes contain 13.3%
of pitch, while this value ranges from 13 to 18% in the industry.[44] Additionally, net carbon consumption could be
reduced by decreasing the metallic impurity content in the anodes.[47] This would require improved waste sorting technologies,
as we estimated that carbon anode butts recycled in the plant in 2017
contained 1.18% of aluminum impurities after going through the cleaning
processes.Reducing air burn, for example, by covering the upper
part of the
anodes more carefully to limit contact with oxygen from the ambient
air,[40,48,49] has a great
potential to cut direct emissions (−5.5% in 2017). Since it
has little influence on the bath chemistry, it might prove easier
to implement than improving alumina reduction. Increasing the thickness
of the anode cover material (ACM), novel coating techniques, and other
technologies could further help to meet this ambition.[48−50]Industry has focused a lot on reducing AE in the past few
decades;[51] consequently, results showed
that reducing it
further would have a lower impact than the measures mentioned above
to reduce direct GHG emissions. Reducing AE can be achieved by improving
computer control of the operating procedures,[52] but it might be challenging with the current cell technology because
the performance of the plant is very close to the industryʼs
best practice reported by Cusano et al.[44] The reduction potential would however be much higher for older or
less performant plants.Waste reduction in the anode plant could
cut annual direct emissions
by 0.02% (155 kg CO2-equiv/year), while changing the energy
carrier from LNG to hydrogen or electricity would result in a reduction
of 4.18%/year. However, even if the hydrogen option is currently being
considered,[53] the technical feasibility
is still uncertain, and benefits would need to be evaluated in a broader
system considering electricity/hydrogen production and transport.
Streams of Waste and Byproducts
Figure shows an overview of the waste streams,
their composition (Al and C content), and EoL treatment. We identified
clusters of waste/byproducts depending on their composition, which
often determines their preferred EoL treatment: (i) the waste containing
almost pure carbon is internally recycled, (ii) the waste with a high
carbon content (60–70%) and a low aluminum content is used
for energy recovery, (iii) the waste containing significant fractions
of both carbon and aluminum is landfilled, and (iv) the waste with
a high aluminum content and a very low carbon content is externally
recycled. This synthesis enables a first crude evaluation of the EoL
treatment options for different waste streams. For instance, not all
waste flows from the cluster (i) are recycled: although they share
the same characteristics in terms of composition, some are used for
energy recovery or even landfilled. Similarly, one could investigate
to which extent the waste used for energy recovery outside the plant
could be used locally as a substitute for imported fuel, thereby decreasing
indirect GHG emissions and costs associated with transportation.
Figure 6
Overview
of the different waste flows generated in 2017 according
to their Al and C content and their EoL management method. SPL1 =
spent potlining first cut, i.e., carbon fraction; SPL2 = spent potlining
second cut, i.e., refractory fraction. Color of the dots refers to
their EoL management method: green = recycled, blue = energy recovery,
red = landfilled. Size of the dots refers to the weight of the waste
stream (the bigger dot being 33.5 kt and the smaller 0.4 kt).
Overview
of the different waste flows generated in 2017 according
to their Al and C content and their EoL management method. SPL1 =
spent potlining first cut, i.e., carbon fraction; SPL2 = spent potlining
second cut, i.e., refractory fraction. Color of the dots refers to
their EoL management method: green = recycled, blue = energy recovery,
red = landfilled. Size of the dots refers to the weight of the waste
stream (the bigger dot being 33.5 kt and the smaller 0.4 kt).
Discussion
Increase the Robustness
and Relevance of GHG Reporting with
MFA-Based Accounting
Plant-level MFA enabled the quantification
of GHG emissions with a greater level of detail than the EU ETS accounting
methodology, shedding light on emissions from each process and breaking
down the emissions per source reaction. Compared with the MFA-based
GHG accounting, the EU ETS slightly overestimates the total GHG emissions
(+4.2%), yet it is difficult to allocate this difference to a specific
cause due to the low level of detail provided by the EU ETS accounting.
The sensitivity analysis suggests that results are robust for GHG
emissions as the most uncertain parameters, including the ratio of
CO2 to CO in the exhaust gas, have no or very little influence
on these flows (Section S7). Hence, neglecting
CO emissions from smelting—as done in the EU ETS accounting—seems
reasonable to evaluate the total bulk GHG emissions of the plant.
Nevertheless, taking CO emissions into account using an MFA-based
methodology provides further insights into the causes of the emissions,
such as distinguishing between alumina-based anode oxidation and air
burn.Like the EU ETS methodology, our physical accounting approach
only considers direct GHG emissions of industrial sites. However,
the better understanding of linkages between emissions and material
flows is a good starting point for the inclusion of scope 2 and 3
emission inventories, which is needed to avoid problem shifting and
design more ambitious strategies. Our study differentiates only two
elemental layers, carbon and aluminum, which is sufficient to illustrate
the main systemic effects between resource use and GHG emissions.
However, additional linkages could be uncovered by considering additional
chemical elements, such as fluorine and sodium. Similarly, adding
energy and/or exergy layers would allow potential trade-offs between
material and energy efficiency to be better quantified.While
the EU ETS methodology only considers aggregate stock changes
at the plant level and does not differentiate inventory changes in
different parts of the system, MFA-based accounting includes inventories
in a more detailed and consistent way. This allows us to explicitly
consider the time lag between emissions in different parts of the
system and the sales/production, which is better aligned with reality
and therefore better suited for tracking performance over time. An
illustration is that following the EU ETS methodology, traded quantities
of waste are used as a proxy to quantify produced quantities. For
instance, inventories of clean anode butts (Figure ) are often neglected; hence, emission calculation
differs from the actual production activity.MFA-based accounting
is also more robust because it enables mass
balance consistency checks and facilitates the identification of inconsistencies
in different parts of the system. Based on the data available to perform
the MFA, the anode rodding process of the plant held a mass balance
inconsistency of 8.6 kt of carbon in 2017 (i.e., 8.6 kt of carbon
were missing from the outflow of this process). The EU ETS methodology
would not enable us to spot this inconsistency and would account for
missing outflows from the carbon balance of the plant as emission
flows by default—standing for 31.5 kt CO2 in the
case of the inconsistency mentioned above. On the contrary, further
investigations showed that the inconsistency was due to data uncertainty
and/or unaccounted solid waste. Ensuring that the material balance
of the plant is respected through data reconciliation—made
especially possible here by performing a multilayer MFA—reduces
the uncertainty of the results. Some of the mass balance inconsistencies
may also be attributed to the time resolution chosen. The annual balance
applied here is usually sufficient to balance out short-time fluctuations,
although some inventories change over longer periods, requiring either
a longer balancing period or a higher time resolution for stock accumulation
and depletion.
Reconcile EU ETS and Internal Reporting
The EU ETS
methodology is a robust framework to quantify bulk GHG emissions within
a reasonable margin of error, while physical accounting provides deeper
insights into sources and causes of emissions. The MFA-based tool
builds on existing plant-level data to link physical accounting and
carbon reporting. Increased granularity and consistency between materials
and emission inventories enable us to use the same data to produce
the EU ETS reporting and the set of system-based indicators that is
used internally to manage performance improvement.
Identify and
Assess Systemic Emission and Resource Efficiency
Strategies
Maps of a plantʼs material and energy stocks
and flows (metabolism), combined with scenario analysis tools, can
help plant managers to identify not only conventional options for
direct emissions saving in isolated processes but also systemic solutions
considering linkages between emissions, materials, and energy in different
processes and at the plant level. For instance, the aluminum industry
has historically focused on reducing AE due to direct productivity
and environmental benefits, but our results show that there might
be a greater potential in the future for reducing air burn and the
amount of nonoxidised carbon supplied to the smelters. Additional
emission reduction potentials could be identified with extended system
boundaries, for example with a better separation of the different
material layers in the cast house or by the inclusion of energy flows.
While traditional mitigation options have relied on conventional process-oriented
areas of research, which tend to focus on processes where emissions
and costs are the highest (e.g., electrolysis), the analysis of a
plantʼs metabolism can shed light on systemic strategies for
emission reduction, an area that is vastly underexplored.Applying
MFA at the plant level also enables the investigation of potentials
for improvements beyond the boundaries of the EU ETS GHG accounting,
such as reducing indirect GHG emissions and improving resource efficiency
via alternative waste and byproducts management (e.g., alumina losses
into the basement of the smelter as shown in Figure ). It highlights issues left out by the EU
ETS accounting, which considers all exported carbon-containing waste
as carbon stored without introducing any concept of responsibility
for the waste producers, making it easier to shift the waste-handling
burden downstream in the production line. One could argue that resource
efficiency and waste management are out of the scope of the EU ETS
accounting, yet research showed that these topics are intrinsically
connected with GHG emission mitigation.[54] For instance, Figure shows that reducing the amount of anode nonoxidized during smelting
has the potential to reduce annual emissions in the production phase
of the anodes by 16.5 kt CO2-equiv, which stands for 2.55%
of the direct emissions in 2017.Physical accounting at the
plant level not only unveils potentials
to reduce GHG emissions but regards emissions as part of a larger
production system. It enables us to investigate the resource efficiency
improvements, for instance, via alternative waste and byproducts management,
which are not captured by the EU ETS framework. Thereby, it informs
long-term strategies for industries to meet the EU ETS targets and
reduce yearly emissions.
Save Costs
GHG accounting is often
considered an important
cost factor for companies. However, if the accounting tool used has
multiple functions and can help identify the most effective options
for saving resources and emissions, the accounting tool may also result
in cost savings. Hence, the use of plant-level MFA by corporate decision
makers might increase the attention put into GHG emission accounting
and mitigation by unveiling synergies with resource efficiency improvements.
Above, we proposed four (out of six) theoretical emission reduction
measures that would also decrease raw material consumption. Our approach
also helps industries to meet the emission reduction targets and to
lower the costs of emission taxes.
Conclusion: Implications
of Using Physical Accounting in Industrial
Sites
While emission reporting and resource efficiency are
traditionally analyzed in different systems within a given industrial
site, we integrated them in a single framework by studying the plantʼs
metabolism and systematically tracking resource and emission flows.
We built a tool consistent with the internal reporting system of the
company so that once established it can easily be updated and adapted
to the needs of plant managers.Physical accounting based on
plant-level MFA has the potential to inform long-term investment strategies
for resource efficiency and GHG emission reduction targets to link
these strategies with operational management and accounting tools
and, in fine, to reach the emission reduction targets set by the EU
ETS. If applied widely in industry, this approach opens up the prospect
of faster, deeper, and cheaper improvements in resource efficiency
and climate change mitigation.