Tengfei Yang1, Bo Zhao2, Dongmei Pei3. 1. Department of Health Management, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, China. 2. Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, China. 3. Department of Health Management, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, China. peidm1111@hotmail.com.
Abstract
PURPOSE: Little research has investigated the correlation of changes in long-term apolipoprotein B/apolipoprotein A-I (ApoB/ApoA-I) ratio with risk of new-onset type 2 diabetes (T2D) among ordinary people. Therefore, the research took long-term ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectories as independent variables for exploring their association with the risk of newly diagnosed T2D. METHODS: Altogether 5362 non-diabetic participants with a median age of 49 were enrolled in the cohort study. Their ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectories from 2016 to 2019 were analyzed and grouped using group-based trajectory modeling. The Kaplan-Meier approach was employed for calculating the newly diagnosed T2D-related incidence with different ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectories. A log-rank test was conducted for testing the presence of statistical difference in new-onset T2D incidence among the different ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectory groups. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was adopted for analyzing how ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectory changes affected new-onset T2D. RESULTS: From 2016 to 2019, 199 patients developed T2D (3% in 3 years). The incidence of T2D was 2.0%, 3.28%, 5.86%, and 6.92% for low, middle, upper, and high ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectories, respectively. Following adjustment of underlying confounding factors, in contrast to low ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectory, new-onset T2D risk ratios and hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence intervals [CI]) for the middle lower ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectory, and upper middle and high ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectories were [HR (95% CI)] 1.35(0.88-2.08), 1.98(1.27-3.09) and 2.42(1.35-4.34), respectively, indicating high and statistically significant risks of T2D. CONCLUSION: Variations of the ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectory exerted independent effects on the 3-year incidence of T2D. Long-term monitoring on the ApoB/ApoA-I ratio locus may help improve the identification on patients with T2D.
PURPOSE: Little research has investigated the correlation of changes in long-term apolipoprotein B/apolipoprotein A-I (ApoB/ApoA-I) ratio with risk of new-onset type 2 diabetes (T2D) among ordinary people. Therefore, the research took long-term ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectories as independent variables for exploring their association with the risk of newly diagnosed T2D. METHODS: Altogether 5362 non-diabetic participants with a median age of 49 were enrolled in the cohort study. Their ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectories from 2016 to 2019 were analyzed and grouped using group-based trajectory modeling. The Kaplan-Meier approach was employed for calculating the newly diagnosed T2D-related incidence with different ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectories. A log-rank test was conducted for testing the presence of statistical difference in new-onset T2D incidence among the different ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectory groups. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was adopted for analyzing how ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectory changes affected new-onset T2D. RESULTS: From 2016 to 2019, 199 patients developed T2D (3% in 3 years). The incidence of T2D was 2.0%, 3.28%, 5.86%, and 6.92% for low, middle, upper, and high ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectories, respectively. Following adjustment of underlying confounding factors, in contrast to low ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectory, new-onset T2D risk ratios and hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence intervals [CI]) for the middle lower ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectory, and upper middle and high ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectories were [HR (95% CI)] 1.35(0.88-2.08), 1.98(1.27-3.09) and 2.42(1.35-4.34), respectively, indicating high and statistically significant risks of T2D. CONCLUSION: Variations of the ApoB/ApoA-I ratio trajectory exerted independent effects on the 3-year incidence of T2D. Long-term monitoring on the ApoB/ApoA-I ratio locus may help improve the identification on patients with T2D.