| Literature DB >> 35018384 |
Lindsey Wang, Nathan A Berger, David C Kaelber, Pamela B Davis, Nora D Volkow, Rong Xu.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant is rapidly spreading in the US since December 2021 and is more contagious than earlier variants. Currently, data on the severity of the disease caused by the Omicron variant compared with the Delta variant is limited. Here we compared 3-day risks of emergency department (ED) visit, hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and mechanical ventilation in patients who were first infected during a time period when the Omicron variant was emerging to those in patients who were first infected when the Delta variant was predominant.Entities:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35018384 PMCID: PMC8750707 DOI: 10.1101/2021.12.30.21268495
Source DB: PubMed Journal: medRxiv
Characteristics of the Emergent Omicron cohort and the Delta cohort before and after propensity matching. Emergent Omicron cohort – Patients who contracted SARS-CoV-2 infection between 12/15/2021–12/24/2021 and had no prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. Delta cohort – Patients who contracted SARS-CoV-2 infection between 9/1/2021–11/15/2021 and had no prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. Race and ethnicity as recorded in the TriNetX EHR database and were included in the study because they have been associated with both infection risk and severe outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infections. P-value – significance between the two cohorts based on two-tailed two-proportion z-test conducted within the TriNetX Network.
| Before Matching | After Matching | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emergent Omicron cohort (12/15/2021–12/24/2021) | Delta Cohort (9/1/2021–11/15/2021) | P-value | Emergent Omicron cohort (12/15/2021–12/22/2021) | Delta cohort (9/1/2021–11/15/2021) | P-value | |
|
| 14,054 | 563,884 | 14,040 | 14,040 | ||
|
| 36.4 ± 24.3 | 36.1 ± 25.3 | 0.17 | 36.4 ± 24.3 | 36.1 ± 24.4 | 0.45 |
|
| ||||||
| Female | 55.4 | 53.9 | < .001 | 55.4 | 55.2 | 0.83 |
| Male | 44.6 | 46.0 | < .001 | 44.5 | 44.7 | 0.83 |
|
| ||||||
| Hispanic/Latinx | 4.8 | 8.8 | < .001 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 0.32 |
| Not Hispanic/Latinx | 45.4 | 62.0 | < .001 | 45.4 | 44.8 | 0.30 |
| Unknown | 48.8 | 28.2 | < .001 | 48.8 | 49.6 | 0.19 |
|
| ||||||
| African American/Black | 17.1 | 15.0 | < .001 | 17.1 | 16.7 | 0.37 |
| Asian | 1.8 | 2.5 | < .001 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.00 |
| White | 57.3 | 61.8 | < .001 | 57.3 | 56.3 | 0.08 |
| Unknown | 22.6 | 19.8 | 0.05 | 22.6 | 23.9 | 0.01 |
|
| 2.3 | 3.2 | < .001 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.19 |
|
| ||||||
| Hypertension | 14.6 | 17.8 | < .001 | 14.6 | 13.7 | 0.02 |
| Heart diseases | 3.7 | 4.7 | < .001 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 0.06 |
| Cerebrovascular diseases | 2.2 | 3.4 | < .001 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.59 |
| Obesity | 10.6 | 11.3 | 0.01 | 10.6 | 9.8 | 0.02 |
| Type 2 diabetes | 5.6 | 7.3 | < .001 | 5.6 | 5.3 | 0.29 |
| Cancers | 11.4 | 13.6 | < .001 | 11.4 | 10.3 | 0.002 |
| Chronic respiratory diseases | 10.7 | 13.1 | < .001 | 10.7 | 10.2 | 0.18 |
| Liver diseases | 2.1 | 3.5 | < .001 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.67 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 2.2 | 3.2 | < .001 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.30 |
| Blood disorders involving immune mechanisms | 10.3 | 12.7 | < .001 | 10.2 | 9.5 | 0.03 |
| HIV infection | 0.16 | 0.23 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.88 |
| Dementia | 0.3 | 0.5 | < .001 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.91 |
| Substance use disorders | 7.7 | 9.3 | < .001 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 0.54 |
| Depression | 6.6 | 8.6 | < .001 | 6.7 | 6.0 | 0.02 |
| Anxiety | 12.1 | 13.9 | < .001 | 12.1 | 11.5 | 0.13 |
| Smoking | 1.9 | 2.4 | < .001 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.004 |
| Alcohol abuse | 0.9 | 1.4 | < .001 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.61 |
|
| 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.02 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.47 |
|
| ||||||
| Dexamethasone | 14.7 | 16.8 | < .001 | 14.7 | 13.8 | 0.03 |
| Remdesivir | 0.43 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 0.40 | 0.64 |
| Hydrocortisone | 8.3 | 8.2 | 0.61 | 8.3 | 7.7 | 0.06 |
| Ibuprofen | 27.8 | 24.8 | < .001 | 27.9 | 26.7 | 0.03 |
| Prednisone | 11.7 | 11.1 | 0.02 | 11.7 | 10.8 | 0.02 |
| Methylprednisolone | 12.4 | 12.2 | 0.40 | 12.4 | 10.9 | < .001 |
| Prednisolone | 4.2 | 5.1 | < .001 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 0.51 |
| Naproxen | 6.9 | 6.1 | < .001 | 6.9 | 6.7 | 0.42 |
| Fluoxetine | 2.7 | 2.6 | 0.18 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.71 |
| Fluvoxamine | 0.17 | 0.10 | 0.008 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 0.55 |
| Tocilizumab | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.63 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.53 |
| Casirivimab/ Imdevimab | 0.1 | 0.6 | < .001 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.25 |
| Ritonavir/ Lopinavir | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.63 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1.00 |
|
| ||||||
| Pfizer | 2.4 | 3.1 | < .001 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 0.29 |
| Moderna | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.02 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.36 |
| J& J | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.22 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1.00 |
| Booster | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.89 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.07 |
Figure 1.Comparison of 3-day acute outcomes (ED visit, hospitalization, ICU admission, mechanical ventilation) between the matched Emergent Omicron and Delta cohorts (Top panel) and between the two matched Delta cohorts (Bottom panel). Emergent Omicron cohort – Patients who contracted SARS-CoV-2 infection between 12/15/2021–12/24/2021 and had no prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. Delta cohort – Patients who contracted SARS-CoV-2 infection between 9/1/2021–11/15/2021 and had no prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. Delta-2 cohort – Patients who contracted SARS-CoV-2 infection between 11/16/2021–11/30/2021, right before the emergence of the Omicron variant, and had no prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. Cohorts were propensity-score matched for demographics (age, gender, race/ethnicity), socioeconomic factors, transplant procedures, COVID-19 related comorbidities, COVID-19 related medications, and EHR-documented vaccination status.
Figure 2.Comparison of 3-day ED visit and hospitalization in children, adults, and older adults between propensity-score matched Emergent Omicron and Delta cohorts (Top panel) and between two matched Delta cohorts (Bottom panel). Emergent Omicron cohort - Patients who contracted SARS-CoV-2 infection between 12/15/2021–12/24/2021 and had no prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. Delta cohort–Patients who contracted SARS-CoV-2 infection between 9/1/2021–11/15/2021 and had no prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. Delta-2 cohort–Patients who contracted SARS-CoV-2 infection between 11/16/2021–11/30/2021, immediately prior to the emergence of the Omicron variant, and had no prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. Cohorts were propensity-score matched for demographics (age, gender, race/ethnicity), socioeconomic factors, transplant procedures, COVID-19 relevant comorbidities and medications, and EHR-documented vaccination status.