Literature DB >> 34986797

Correction to: The effectiveness of syndromic surveillance for the early detection of waterborne outbreaks: a systematic review.

Susanne Hyllestad1,2, Ettore Amato3, Karin Nygård3, Line Vold3, Preben Aavitsland3.   

Abstract

Entities:  

Year:  2022        PMID: 34986797      PMCID: PMC8734064          DOI: 10.1186/s12879-021-06843-9

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  BMC Infect Dis        ISSN: 1471-2334            Impact factor:   3.090


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Correction to: BMC Infect Dis (2021) 21:696 https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-021-06387-y

Following the publication of the original article [1], some errors were identified in the text and in Table 1: The sentences currently read: the systematic monitoring of phone calls made to health services could have limited the outbreak from 18,500 cases to approximately 2300 cases by detecting the outbreak approximately six days earlier than actually detected The sentence should read: the systematic monitoring of phone calls made to health services could have limited the outbreak from 18,500 cases to approximately 2300 cases by detecting the outbreak approximately 2.5 months earlier than actually detected. Furthermore, the correct Table 1 is given in this Correction article.
Table 1

Synthesis of data from the included articles (n = 18)

Data signalReferenceTimelinessSensitivity/SpecificityProsCons
Single data signal SyS system
Over-the-counter (OTC) sales of pharmacy salesEdge et al., 2004 [30]*NINIIn situations where infected individuals have symptoms prompting self-medication, OTC sales trend would provide a more sensitive, timely and geographically specific detection tool than monitoring emergency room visits and laboratory-based surveillanceAdaptations to the algorithm will have to be developed to adjust for a number of factors contributing to the general noisiness of these data such as seasonal effects, promotional sales and type of population served. The success of such system will rely on automatic collection, analysis and dissemination of results
Kirian et al., 2011 [25]*NISensitivity: 4–14%, specificity: 97–100%It may capture symptoms in the population before a person with gastrointestinal illness seeks health careIt does not necessarily indicate the buyer’s location, their demographic status, or the reason for the purchase. Those who purchase OTC medications for their illness may not be representative of the sick population as a whole. Hoarding behaviour will also affect the outcome
Reimbursement of prescription drugsMouly et al., 2016 [20]*NISensitivity: 6% and 21% for two examined outbreaksPrescription drug data can be considered for the development of a detection system of waterborne outbreaks given its ability to describe an epidemic signal. It could support authorities in slow developing outbreaksThe algorithm cannot be used directly in other countries because of their different health systems, types and sources of data, and medical practices. The accuracy depends on the medical consultation rate in the impacted population. The accuracy of using health insurance data to describe waterborne outbreaks depends on the medical consultation rate in the impacted population, however, as this is never the case, data analysis underestimates the total number of acute gastrointestinal cases
Calls to health advice line (‘telehealth’)Bjelkmar et al., 2017 [21]* ~ 2.5 monthsNIComparing call patterns between water distribution areas that were based on groups of postal codes gives timely indication of the underlying cause and therefore substantially increases the chances of effective countermeasuresTradeoff between sensitivity and specificity in signal detection. Need for a protocol for signal evaluation and validation, especially for regions where the population size is small
Multiple data signal SyS systems
Emergency care data; medical dispatch, ambulance medical service, emergency department chief complaintsBalter et al., 2005 [27]*NINIEmergency department syndromic surveillance might prove useful for detecting a problem and quantifying its magnitudeThis system cannot determine the true etiology. If insufficient information exists to initiate an investigation, the decision is often made to observe whether the signal continues the next day, thereby losing syndromic surveillance's theoretical advantage of timeliness
Ziemann et al., 2014 [24]*NINIThis system could detect changes in local trends and clusters of statistical alarmsIt is not likely to detect local gastrointestinal outbreaks with few, mild, or dispersed cases. The probability of detecting an outbreak increases with the outbreak size. The results cannot be generalized to region-level data or very sparse time series
Over-the-counter (OTC), web queries, calls to health advice lineAndersson et al., 2014 [19]*NICalls to health advice line: sensitivity: 40–50%, specificity: 99%, web queries and OTC: no signalSyS can serve as an early warning for waterborne outbreaks, especially with telephone triage data with sufficient temporal and spatial resolution. It may be suited to detecting widespread rises in syndromes and, rarely, small-scale outbreaksThe alarm does not contain information on the cases’ medical status to validate the cause of the alarm. Moderate and low outbreaks (< 1000 cases) are unlikely to be detected. Limitations to the reported results are linked to one of the four outbreaks were not waterborne
Telehealth, in-hours and out-of-hours GP, ED visitsSmith et al., 2010 [22]*Peak of calls coincides with outbreak (95% CI) in one areaNIMultiple syndromic data streams are an advantageTelehealth may, in general, be driven by media bias
Chief complaints of patients reporting to emergency departments, over-the-counter and prescription pharmacy sales, and worker absenteeismHeffernan et al., 2004 [28]*NINISyndromic surveillance systems have proved useful for detecting substantial citywide increases in common viral illnesses (e.g. influenza, norovirus and rotavirus)The studied systems have not detected more contained outbreaks earlier than traditional surveillance
Combined health, spatial and environmental dataProctor et al., 1998 [29]*Timeliness of learning about the peak was 15 days earlier in in monitoring treatment plant effluent turbidity compared to ER’s visits and clinical laboratoryNIIt is noted the value of alternate data sources as early warning systems which can complement laboratory diagnosisThere are weaknesses for all proposed surrogate waterborne surveillance systems. For example, turbidity did not give information on disease causing-organisms; and treated water meeting quality standard could still contain sufficient level of pathogens
Rambaud et al., 2016 [26]*NINICombining two complementary methods protects against false positives, e.g. confusion of cases stemming from exposure from other types of food or swimming, for examplePilot-study and not tested on a larger scale
Coly et al., 2017 [23]*NIDetected outbreaks < 100 casesIncreases sensitivity and timely detection of waterborne outbreaksThese systems are expensive in terms of resources and shared expertise in incorporating local knowledge regarding both environmental and health data
Simulations
Method evaluations via simulations of multiple signal SyS systemsCooper et al., 2006 [36]**Unlikely to detect local outbreakNIIt may capture symptoms in the population before seeking health careThe alarm does not contain information regarding the cases’ medical status to validate the cause of the alarm. Moderate and low outbreaks (< 1000 cases) are unlikely to be detected. The detection ability varies seasonally. Telehealth may, in general, be driven by media bias
Burkom et al., 2011 [31]**NISensitivity: 80%, specificity: 99%Use of multiple syndromic data streams is an advantage. The number of false alarms is greatly reducedSimulation results must generally be improved with real epidemiological data
Xing et al., 2011 [35]**NIOf the simulated models, the regression method had higher sensitivity (range 6–14% improvement of sensitivity in the surveillance system)Demonstrates possible improvement in the surveillance system to increase sensitivitySimulations based on small number of data points
Zhou et al., 2015 [34]**3.3 to 6.1 daysWhen reported, the sensitivity ranged from 24 to 77%, and the PPV was 90.5%Sensitivity and timeliness increase with stratificationStudy population perhaps not representative
Colón-Gonzales et al., 2018 [33]**Unlikely to detect outbreaks < 1000 casesNIFramework applicable for other SyS systemsThe detection ability varies seasonally
Mouly et al., 2018 [32]**NISensitivity: 73%, PPV: 90.5%Space–time increases the likelihood of detecting outbreaksThe probability of detecting outbreaks increases with the outbreak size

*Descriptive and analytical study based on historical data, **simulation study using different aberration for system performance

Note: NI = not identified, PPV = positive predictive value

Synthesis of data from the included articles (n = 18) *Descriptive and analytical study based on historical data, **simulation study using different aberration for system performance Note: NI = not identified, PPV = positive predictive value The original article [1] has been corrected.
  1 in total

1.  The effectiveness of syndromic surveillance for the early detection of waterborne outbreaks: a systematic review.

Authors:  Susanne Hyllestad; Ettore Amato; Karin Nygård; Line Vold; Preben Aavitsland
Journal:  BMC Infect Dis       Date:  2021-07-20       Impact factor: 3.090

  1 in total

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