| Literature DB >> 34975188 |
Ioannis Tampakoudis1, Athanasios Noulas2, Nikolaos Kiosses2.
Abstract
This study examines the wealth effects of syndicated loan announcements before and after the onset of the COVID-19 outbreak. Using a sample of 637 loan announcements by European borrowers, we find significantly higher wealth gains during the pandemic compared to the pre-pandemic period. The results suggest that the certification of multiple lenders loans conveys a positive signal for the borrowers' creditworthiness during the pandemic-driven economic meltdown. We further show that certain corporate governance mechanisms, such as board size, gender diversity, and CEO duality and compensation, are related differently to borrowers' excess returns before and after the COVID-19 pandemic. The results are robust to alternative model specifications that control for different estimation models and event windows. They also hold after addressing self-selection bias.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Corporate governance; Europe; Event study; Shareholder wealth; Syndicated loans
Year: 2021 PMID: 34975188 PMCID: PMC8704733 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2021.101602
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Res Int Bus Finance ISSN: 0275-5319
Cross-country statistics.
| Borrower Nation | N | High | Loan | Market | Total | Price/ | Total debt/ | Fixed assets/ | Total debt/ | Long term debt/ | Return on | Tobin's Q | Price | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria | 12 | 4 | 1,359 | 3,753 | 7,634 | 1.66 | 30.92 | 113.55 | 104.79 | 84.61 | 3.83 | 0.84 | 0.31 | 31.75 |
| Belgium | 10 | 3 | 823 | 5,436 | 6,056 | 2.00 | 33.31 | 77.46 | 87.38 | 73.35 | 4.51 | 1.24 | 0.27 | 29.70 |
| Denmark | 12 | 0 | 1,096 | 46,729 | 82,692 | 3.03 | 22.33 | 62.64 | 66.78 | 57.67 | 8.86 | 1.64 | 0.33 | 27.58 |
| Finland | 25 | 4 | 526 | 5,319 | 5,679 | 2.20 | 24.64 | 67.28 | 68.74 | 40.47 | 4.95 | 1.21 | 0.33 | 23.88 |
| France | 87 | 19 | 2,207 | 20,951 | 26,098 | 2.25 | 27.11 | 55.84 | 76.63 | 76.19 | 4.54 | 1.14 | 0.27 | 27.98 |
| Germany | 79 | 17 | 2,389 | 20,120 | 39,189 | 2.40 | 22.63 | 75.43 | 80.05 | 64.11 | 5.66 | 1.20 | 0.28 | 27.03 |
| Hungary | 3 | 0 | 667 | 231,337 | 367,600 | 0.93 | 15.81 | 119.31 | 36.11 | 21.27 | 7.69 | 0.73 | 0.24 | 23.67 |
| Italy | 32 | 12 | 1,032 | 5,781 | 15,127 | 2.54 | 32.06 | 47.32 | 120.33 | 93.08 | 4.02 | 1.25 | 0.29 | 22.03 |
| Luxembourg | 11 | 4 | 3,077 | 13,022 | 62,906 | 0.58 | 19.55 | 93.43 | 42.57 | 34.83 | 5.55 | 0.53 | 0.34 | 22.82 |
| Netherlands | 29 | 7 | 1,498 | 13,053 | 31,034 | 2.72 | 27.41 | 77.27 | 94.02 | 77.22 | 5.13 | 1.37 | 0.30 | 29.07 |
| Norway | 25 | 8 | 827 | 35,966 | 40,074 | 2.75 | 34.36 | 163.36 | 126.95 | 99.77 | 3.13 | 1.41 | 0.40 | 12.88 |
| Poland | 7 | 2 | 1,248 | 19,329 | 33,232 | 1.13 | 26.55 | 68.41 | 59.61 | 48.34 | 6.32 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 13.57 |
| Republic of Ireland | 14 | 4 | 1,048 | 8,724 | 8,876 | 2.98 | 21.73 | 48.28 | 50.76 | 45.18 | 5.08 | 1.56 | 0.30 | 20.00 |
| Spain | 33 | 18 | 1,246 | 7,700 | 10,577 | 2.56 | 36.46 | 66.49 | 87.58 | 139.13 | 1.01 | 1.17 | 0.34 | 13.70 |
| Sweden | 40 | 6 | 713 | 52,083 | 50,458 | 2.34 | 26.54 | 9.19 | 7.05 | 51.33 | 8.91 | 1.61 | 0.27 | 21.03 |
| Switzerland | 23 | 3 | 2,648 | 45,292 | 34,517 | 3.99 | 30.95 | 80.06 | 103.93 | 87.64 | 7.00 | 1.83 | 0.24 | 27.87 |
| Ukraine | 5 | 5 | 237 | 4,012 | 55,437 | 0.82 | 32.92 | 50.56 | 59.85 | 43.32 | 8.63 | 0.81 | 0.26 | 11.60 |
| United Kingdom | 190 | 35 | 958 | 5,971 | 10,047 | 2.96 | 24.01 | 68.91 | 56.69 | 68.31 | 6.40 | 1.40 | 0.31 | 33.26 |
| Total | 637 | 151 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Average | – | – | 1,416 | 17,734 | 25,779 | 2.57 | 26.51 | 68.18 | 71.89 | 72.51 | 5.54 | 1.31 | 0.30 | 26.77 |
The table presents the cross-country descriptive statistics for the loan-specific and the borrower-specific characteristics. The sample of loans is distributed according to the number (N) of the total loan announcements included in the sample, the number of loans that considered as leveraged/high yield in DealScan database, the average deal loan amount in million $, the average market value in million $, the average total assets in million $, the average ratio of price to book value of equity, the average ratio of total debt to total assets (%), the average ratio of common equity to total assets (%), the average ratio of fixed assets to common equity (%), the average ratio of long-term debt to common equity (%), the average ratio of return on assets (%), the average Tobin’s Q ratio, the average price volatility, and the average borrower’s age in years. All continuous variables are winsorized at the 1% and 99% levels.
Summary statistics.
| Unit | Definition | N | Mean | Q1 | Median | Q3 | Std. Dev. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGE | Natural Logarithm | Natural logarithm of the days between the loan announcement date and the first date of the company’s first record in Datastream | 637 | 8.92 | 8.55 | 9.07 | 9.67 | 0.82 |
| SIZE: Total Assets | Natural Logarithm | Natural logarithm of Borrowers total assets at year-end preceding the loan announcement. | 633 | 15.73 | 14.51 | 15.65 | 16.87 | 1.70 |
| Total Debt to Common Equity | % | Borrowers Total Debt as a percentage of Common Equity at year-end preceding the loan announcement. | 633 | 71.89 | 32.62 | 62.23 | 111.22 | 157.02 |
| Return on Assets | % | Borrowers’ return on assets ratio at year-end preceding the loan announcement | 628 | 5.54 | 2.92 | 5.02 | 7.90 | 5.65 |
| Fixed Asset to Common Equity | % | Borrowers Fixed Assets as a percentage of Common Equity at year-end preceding the loan announcement. | 633 | 68.18 | 20.14 | 50.41 | 100.83 | 106.66 |
| GROWTH: Tobin’s Q Ratio | % | Borrowers Tobin’s Q ratio at year-end preceding the loan announcement. | 632 | 1.31 | 0.76 | 1.03 | 1.64 | 0.85 |
| RISK: Price Volatility | % | Stock average annual price movement to a high and low from a mean price at year-end preceding the loan announcement | 637 | 0.30 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.34 | 0.12 |
| Loan Amount | Natural Logarithm | Natural logarithm of the loan amount ($) | 637 | 6.44 | 5.54 | 6.45 | 7.32 | 1.29 |
| High Yield/ | 1/0 | Dummy variable that is assigned a value of 1 for a loan considered Leveraged/High Yield in DealScan database and 0 otherwise | 637 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 |
| Board Size | Natural logarithm | Natural logarithm of board size at year-end preceding the loan announcement | 637 | 2.27 | 2.08 | 2.30 | 2.48 | 0.34 |
| Non-Executive Board Members | % | Percentage of non-executive board members to board members at year-end preceding the loan announcement | 637 | 80.99 | 71.43 | 81.82 | 91.67 | 13.95 |
| Blau Index for Gender Diversity | Ratio | Index of Gender Diversity calculated as shown in Eq. | 637 | 0.39 | 0.34 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 0.12 |
| CEO Board Member | 1/0 | Dummy variable that is assigned a value of 1 for CEOs who are board members and 0 otherwise at year-end preceding the loan announcement | 599 | 0.65 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.48 |
| CEO Compensation Link to Total Shareholder Return (TSR) | 1/0 | Dummy variable that is assigned a value of 1 if the CEO's compensation is linked to total shareholder return (TSR) and 0 otherwise at year-end preceding the loan announcement | 637 | 0.55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.50 |
| CEO duality | 1/0 | Dummy variable that is assigned a value of 1 if the CEO simultaneously chairs the board and 0 otherwise at year-end preceding the loan announcement | 637 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.40 |
The table defines the variables used in the empirical analysis. All continuous variables are winsorized at the 1% and 99% levels.
Cumulative Abnormal Returns upon syndicated loan announcements (entire period).
| Panel A: Market model (each country’s index) | Panel B: Market model (STOXX Europe 600) | Panel C: Market model (EURO STOXX 50) | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event | Mean | Median | SD | % Pos | Patell-Z | Corrado | Mean | Median | SD | % Pos | Patell-Z | Corrado | Mean | Median | SD | % Pos | Patell-Z | Corrado |
| [-10,10] | 0.15 | 0.45 | 13.80 | 52 | −2.648a | −0.946 | −0.06 | 0.17 | 13.54 | 51 | −4.096a | −1.639 | −0.15 | 0.33 | 13.75 | 52 | −4.439a | −1.793c |
| [-3,3] | 0.30 | 0.36 | 9.45 | 53 | 1.621 | 0.473 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 9.32 | 53 | 0.676 | −0.029 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 9.43 | 51 | 0.595 | −0.199 |
| [-2,2] | 0.28 | 0.23 | 8.92 | 54 | 4.248a | 0.800 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 8.83 | 52 | 3.436a | 0.250 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 8.92 | 53 | 3.226a | 0.079 |
| [-1,0] | 0.24 | 0.25 | 6.94 | 53 | 2.568b | 1.357 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 6.88 | 53 | 2.591a | 1.319 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 6.94 | 54 | 2.232b | 1.143 |
| [-1,1] | 0.20 | 0.23 | 7.91 | 53 | 2.514b | 1.140 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 7.86 | 54 | 2.554b | 1.108 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 7.91 | 53 | 1.925c | 0.751 |
| [-1,10] | 0.23 | 0.31 | 11.25 | 53 | 1.253 | −0.703 | 0.12 | 0.24 | 11.16 | 52 | 0.100 | −1.204 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 11.24 | 52 | −0.108 | −1.315 |
| [0,0] | 0.00 | 0.08 | 5.88 | 52 | −0.659 | 1.407 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 5.82 | 52 | −0.245 | 1.529 | −0.01 | 0.08 | 5.87 | 53 | −0.803 | 1.355 |
| [0,1] | −0.03 | 0.09 | 7.12 | 52 | −0.725 | 1.039 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 7.08 | 52 | −0.291 | 1.125 | −0.07 | 0.10 | 7.14 | 53 | −1.179 | 0.732 |
This table reports the cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) surrounding syndicated loan announcements. The sample comprises 637 loan agreements from 434 European borrowers between 01/01/2018 and 31/07/2020. Panel A, B and C present the mean, median, standard deviation and the positive percentage of CARs derived from the market model and estimated using: (a) each country’s benchmark index; (b) STOXX Europe 600 index; and (c) EURO STOXX 50 index, respectively. The statistical significance of CARs is accessed using the Patell−Z test and the Corrado test. The superscripts a, b and c denote significance at 1%, 5% and 10 % levels, respectively.
Cumulative Abnormal Returns upon syndicated loan announcements (before and during-the pandemic).
| Panel A: Prior-pandemic | Panel B: During-pandemic | Panel C: Test for differences | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event | Mean | Median | SD | % Pos. | Patell-Z | Corrado | Mean | Median | SD | % Pos. | Patell-Z | Corrado | Mean | Median | MWU | |
| [-20,20] | −1.04 | −0.16 | 19.06 | 49 | −3.566a | −1.219 | 5.58 | 4.28 | 24.17 | 62 | 4.822a | 1.296 | 6.61a | 4.44a | 3.125 | −3.846 |
| [-10,10] | −0.52 | 0.01 | 12.25 | 50 | −3.589a | −1.281 | 2.22 | 2.34 | 17.61 | 60 | 0.942 | 0.333 | 2.74c | 2.33a | 1.812 | −2.801 |
| [-3,3] | −0.19 | 0.08 | 8.55 | 51 | −0.575 | −0.321 | 1.81 | 1.26 | 11.68 | 61 | 4.272a | 1.431 | 1.99b | 1.18b | 1.972 | −2.170 |
| [-2,2] | −0.18 | 0.18 | 8.38 | 53 | 0.879 | 0.203 | 1.66 | 0.74 | 10.31 | 58 | 7.019a | 1.192 | 1.83b | 0.56 | 2.018 | −1.516 |
| [-1,0] | −0.24 | 0.07 | 5.75 | 51 | −1.193 | −0.133 | 1.71 | 0.78 | 9.60 | 59 | 7.258a | 2.811a | 1.95b | 0.70b | 2.409 | −2.411 |
| [-1,1] | −0.24 | 0.13 | 7.27 | 51 | −0.889 | 0.188 | 1.56 | 0.73 | 9.53 | 57 | 6.618a | 1.871c | 1.80b | 0.60c | 2.167 | −1.742 |
| [-1,10] | −0.55 | 0.02 | 10.29 | 50 | −2.433b | −1.138 | 2.62 | 2.03 | 13.56 | 60 | 6.778a | 0.558 | 3.17a | 2.01c | 2.689 | −2.460 |
| [0,0] | −0.35 | 0.04 | 4.89 | 51 | −3.168a | 0.083 | 1.08 | 0.47 | 8.11 | 55 | 4.213a | 2.559a | 1.43b | 0.43c | 2.090 | −2.246 |
| [0,1] | −0.35 | 0.05 | 6.47 | 51 | −2.796a | 0.420 | 0.93 | 0.71 | 8.75 | 55 | 3.429a | 1.290 | 1.28c | 0.65 | 1.685 | −1.208 |
This table reports the cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) upon syndicated loan announcements between 01/01/2018 and 31/07/2020. CARs that derived from a multi-country market model were estimated using each country’s benchmark index. Panels A and B present the mean and median CARs, standard deviation, percentage of borrowers with positive CARs for loan announcement prior to the pandemic (N = 480) and for loan announcements during the pandemic (N = 157), respectively. The statistical significance of CARs is accessed using the Patell-Z test and the Corrado test. Panel C reports the mean and median differences of CARs between announcements before and during the pandemic. The statistical significance of the differences between the means and the medians of the two subgroups are tested using the t−test of equality of means and the Mann−Whitney U test, respectively. The superscripts a, b and c denote significance at 1%, 5% and 10 % levels, respectively.
Determinants of value creation upon syndicated loan announcements (entire period).
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constant | −0.062 | −0.072c | −0.097b | 0.005 | −0.056 |
| Age | 0.010b | 0.009b | 0.009b | 0.009b | |
| Total Assets (Ln) | 0.002 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Total Debt % Common Equity | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Return on Assets | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | |
| Fixed Assets % Common Equity | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| Tobin’s Q | −0.003 | −0.003 | |||
| Price Volatility | 0.015 | −0.014 | 0.002 | ||
| Loan Amount (Ln) | −0.002 | −0.003 | −0.003 | −0.003 | −0.002 |
| High Yield/Leveraged Loan | 0.009 | 0.008 | 0.010 | 0.006 | 0.008 |
| Board Size (Ln) | −0.023c | −0.016 | −0.010 | −0.014 | |
| Non-Executive Board Members (%) | 0.000 | 0.000 | |||
| Blau Index | −0.041 | 0.000 | −0.002 | ||
| CEO Board Member | −0.030a | ||||
| CEO Compensation Link to Shareholder Return | 0.009 | ||||
| CEO duality | 0.022a | 0.011 | 0.009 | ||
| COVID-19 CRISIS | 0.019a | 0.013c | 0.014c | 0.013c | 0.014c |
| Industry Dummies | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Country Dummies | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| N | 586 | 625 | 625 | 630 | 624 |
| R2 | 0.1613 | 0.1205 | 0.1283 | 0.1067 | 0.1258 |
| VIF | 5.00 | 5.18 | 5.19 | 5.27 | 5.14 |
This table reports the results of the cross-sectional OLS regression analysis with robust standard errors for announcement period (3-days) excess returns of borrowers estimated using the market model. Coefficients are reported and t-statistics are presented in parentheses. The Huber-White robust standard errors are used to calculate t-statistics in all models. All variables are winsorized at the 1% and 99% levels. For more details about the definition of each variable see Table 2. The subscripts a, b and c denote significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.
Determinants of value creation upon syndicated loan announcements (before and during the pandemic).
| Panel A | Panel B | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | |
| Constant | −0.030 | −0.044 | −0.041 | 0.167 | 0.197 | −0.242 | −0.329 | −0.204 | −0.732c | −1.091b |
| Age | 0.007 | 0.007 | 0.008 | 0.007 | 0.007 | 0.023c | 0.022c | 0.022c | 0.024c | 0.026c |
| Total Assets (Ln) | 0.004 | 0.004 | 0.004 | 0.004 | 0.004 | −0.005 | −0.006 | −0.007 | −0.011 | −0.012 |
| Total Debt % Common Equity | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Return on Assets | 0.002b | 0.001c | 0.002b | 0.001c | 0.002a | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Fixed Assets % Common Equity | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Tobin’s Q | −0.002 | −0.002 | −0.002 | −0.002 | −0.002 | 0.000 | −0.006 | −0.007 | −0.006 | 0.002 |
| Price Volatility | −0.020 | −0.023 | −0.019 | −0.023 | −0.019 | 0.101 | 0.058 | 0.064 | 0.081 | 0.127 |
| Loan Amount (Ln) | 0.000 | −0.002 | 0.000 | −0.002 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.002 | 0.007 | 0.007 |
| High Yield/Leveraged Loan Dummy | 0.018a | 0.019a | 0.019a | 0.018a | 0.019a | −0.009 | −0.021 | −0.026 | −0.022 | 0.000 |
| Board Size (Ln) | −0.025c | −0.022c | −0.023c | −0.225b | −0.236b | −0.019 | −0.014 | −0.004 | 0.481 | 0.748b |
| Board Size (Ln) × Board Size (Ln) | 0.044b | 0.046b | −0.105c | −0.163b | ||||||
| Non-Executive Board Members (%) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.000 | ||||
| Blau Index | −0.101a | −0.071b | −0.100a | −0.064b | −0.096a | 0.160 | 0.233c | 0.229b | 0.193 | 0.143 |
| CEO Board Member | −0.034a | −0.020c | −0.034a | −0.068a | −0.076a | |||||
| CEO Compensation Link to Shareholder Return | 0.018b | 0.020a | 0.018b | −0.005 | −0.003 | |||||
| CEO duality | 0.027a | 0.022a | 0.027a | 0.002 | −0.040 | −0.043c | 0.001 | |||
| Industry Dummies | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Country Dummies | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| N | 439 | 467 | 439 | 467 | 439 | 147 | 157 | 157 | 157 | 147 |
| R2 | 0.1998 | 0.1489 | 0.1780 | 0.1757 | 0.2101 | 0.4975 | 0.4541 | 0.4609 | 0.4784 | 0.5369 |
| Mean-VIF | 4.33 | 4.42 | 4.29 | 8.31 | 8.41 | 3.84 | 2.95 | 2.87 | 10.26 | 12.15 |
This table reports the results of the cross-sectional OLS regression analysis with robust standard errors for announcement period (3-days) excess returns of borrowers estimated using the market model before (Panel A) and after the COVID-19 pandemic (Panel B). Coefficients are reported and t-statistics are presented in parentheses. The Huber-White robust standard errors are used to calculate t-statistics in all models. All variables are winsorized at the 1% and 99% levels. For more details about the definition of each variable see Table 2. The subscripts a, b and c denote significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.
Differences in Differences analysis: The effect of corporate governance on borrower excess returns with respect to the COVID-19 pandemic.
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constant | −0.076 | −0.069 | −0.076 | −0.075 | −0.080 | −0.075 | −0.078 | −0.070 |
| Age | 0.010b | 0.010b | 0.010b | 0.010b | 0.010b | 0.010b | 0.010b | 0.009b |
| Total Assets (Ln) | −0.001 | −0.002 | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.002 | −0.002 |
| Total Debt % Common Equity | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Return on Assets | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Fixed Assets % Common Equity | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Tobin’s Q | −0.004 | −0.004 | −0.004 | −0.004 | −0.004 | −0.004 | −0.004 | −0.004 |
| Price Volatility | 0.021 | 0.022 | 0.019 | 0.022 | 0.022 | 0.021 | 0.020 | 0.017 |
| Loan Amount (Ln) | −0.001 | 0.000 | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.001 | 0.000 |
| High Yield/Leveraged Loan | 0.011c | 0.012c | 0.012c | 0.011c | 0.012c | 0.011c | 0.011 | 0.012c |
| Large Board Size | −0.006 | 0.006 | −0.006 | −0.006 | −0.006 | −0.006 | −0.007 | 0.003 |
| COVID-19 CRISIS * Large Board Size | −0.042a | −0.035a | ||||||
| High ratio of Non-Executive Board Members | −0.008 | −0.009 | −0.003 | −0.008 | −0.007 | −0.008 | −0.005 | −0.003 |
| COVID-19 CRISIS * High ratio of Non-Executive Board Members | −0.019 | −0.014 | ||||||
| High Blau Index | 0.002 | 0.000 | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.003 | 0.002 | 0.002 | −0.006 |
| COVID-19 CRISIS * High Blau Index | 0.048 | 0.018 | ||||||
| CEO Board Member | −0.032a | −0.035a | −0.032a | −0.032a | −0.029a | −0.032a | −0.029a | −0.031a |
| COVID-19 CRISIS * CEO Board Member | −0.009 | −0.009 | ||||||
| CEO Compensation Link to Shareholder Return | 0.010c | 0.011c | 0.011c | 0.010 | 0.010c | 0.010 | 0.011c | 0.012c |
| COVID-19 CRISIS * CEO Compensation Link to Shareholder Return | 0.003 | 0.001 | ||||||
| CEO duality | 0.022a | 0.021a | 0.022a | 0.022a | 0.022a | 0.022a | 0.030a | 0.027a |
| COVID-19 CRISIS * CEO duality | −0.041a | −0.035b | ||||||
| COVID-19 CRISIS | 0.017b | 0.027a | 0.021b | −0.003 | 0.023b | 0.015 | 0.024a | 0.034b |
| Industry Dummies | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Country Dummies | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| N | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 |
| R2 | 0.1618 | 0.1757 | 0.1645 | 0.1626 | 0.1626 | 0.1618 | 0.1725 | 0.1871 |
| VIF | 4.99 | 4.97 | 4.97 | 5.53 | 5.01 | 5.01 | 4.96 | 5.02 |
This table reports the results of the Differences-in-Differences regression analysis with robust standard errors for announcement period (3-days) excess returns of borrowers estimated using the market model. Coefficients are reported and t-statistics are presented in parentheses. The Huber-White robust standard errors are used to calculate t-statistics in all models. All variables are winsorized at the 1% and 99% levels. For more details about the definition of each variable see Table 1. The subscripts a, b and c denote significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.
Cumulative abnormal returns upon syndicated loan announcements estimated with the four-factor and the five-factor models.
| Panel A: Prior-pandemic announcements | Panel B: During-pandemic announcements | Panel C: Test for differences | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event | Mean | Median | Std. Dev | %Pos | Patell-Z | Corrado | Mean | Median | Std. Dev | %Pos | Patell-Z | Corrado | Mean | Median | MWU | |
| I. Four-factor model | ||||||||||||||||
| [-10,10] | −0.87 | −0.15 | 12.13 | 49 | −5.374a | −2.214b | −1.26 | −1.24 | 16.53 | 43 | −5.976a | −1.557 | −0.39 | −1.10 | −0.269 | −0.620 |
| [-3,3] | −0.24 | 0.12 | 8.49 | 51 | −1.251 | −0.836 | 0.92 | 0.20 | 10.70 | 52 | 2.057b | 0.136 | 1.16 | 0.09 | 1.242 | −0.470 |
| [-2,2] | −0.21 | 0.21 | 8.30 | 53 | 0.333 | −0.166 | 1.10 | 0.09 | 10.20 | 50 | 4.736a | −0.078 | 1.30 | −0.12 | 1.452 | −0.008 |
| [-1,0] | −0.17 | 0.14 | 5.72 | 52 | −0.642 | 0.368 | 1.59 | 0.26 | 9.28 | 54 | 6.710a | 1.732c | 1.76b | 0.12 | 2.242 | −1.089 |
| [-1,1] | −0.16 | 0.05 | 7.19 | 51 | −0.325 | 0.502 | 1.34 | 0.55 | 9.18 | 55 | 5.417a | 0.783 | 1.50c | 0.50 | 1.867 | −0.925 |
| [-1,10] | −0.69 | 0.04 | 10.21 | 50 | −3.311a | −1.718c | 0.41 | −0.11 | 12.74 | 50 | 2.466b | −1.141 | 1.10 | −0.15 | 0.979 | −0.014 |
| [0,0] | −0.32 | 0.02 | 4.87 | 51 | −3.084a | −0.007 | 1.04 | 0.36 | 8.06 | 56 | 4.157a | 1.769c | 1.36b | 0.34 | 1.997 | −1.555 |
| [0,1] | −0.31 | 0.02 | 6.43 | 51 | −2.696a | 0.244 | 0.78 | 0.16 | 8.72 | 52 | 2.574b | 0.479 | 1.10 | 0.14 | 1.452 | −0.438 |
| II. Five-factor model | ||||||||||||||||
| [-10,10] | −0.87 | −0.11 | 11.94 | 50 | −4.863a | −1.930c | −0.48 | 0.16 | 16.76 | 52 | −3.761a | −1.020 | 0.38 | 0.28 | 0.266 | −0.178 |
| [-3,3] | −0.24 | 0.06 | 8.61 | 51 | −1.272 | −0.482 | 1.37 | 0.68 | 11.18 | 57 | 3.741a | 0.557 | 1.61c | 0.62 | 1.656 | −1.047 |
| [-2,2] | −0.22 | 0.05 | 8.40 | 51 | 0.497 | 0.142 | 1.44 | 0.46 | 10.16 | 52 | 6.275a | 0.149 | 1.66c | 0.41 | 1.848 | −0.640 |
| [-1,0] | −0.17 | 0.12 | 5.77 | 53 | −0.544 | 0.655 | 1.83 | 0.47 | 9.26 | 57 | 8.159a | 2.104 | 2.00b | 0.35c | 2.551 | −1.782 |
| [-1,1] | −0.16 | 0.18 | 7.25 | 52 | −0.214 | 0.829 | 1.59 | 0.56 | 9.23 | 55 | 6.978a | 0.860 | 1.74b | 0.38 | 2.160 | −1.212 |
| [-1,10] | −0.67 | −0.01 | 9.93 | 50 | −3.042a | −1.644 | 0.83 | −0.11 | 12.91 | 50 | 3.666a | −1.028 | 1.50 | −0.10 | 1.329 | −0.547 |
| [0,0] | −0.31 | 0.05 | 4.88 | 51 | −2.784a | 0.296 | 1.06 | 0.19 | 8.02 | 54 | 4.294a | 1.596 | 1.37b | 0.14 | 2.020 | −1.210 |
| [0,1] | −0.29 | 0.03 | 6.45 | 51 | −2.379b | 0.571 | 0.82 | 0.09 | 8.72 | 51 | 2.847a | 0.078 | 1.11 | 0.06 | 1.470 | −0.342 |
| III. CAPM | ||||||||||||||||
| [-10,10] | −0.51 | 0.20 | 12.27 | 51 | −4.179a | −1.250 | 1.13 | 1.05 | 17.22 | 53 | −2.981a | −0.757 | 1.64 | 0.85 | 1.104 | −1.444 |
| [-3,3] | −0.19 | 0.08 | 8.67 | 50 | −0.876 | −0.256 | 1.43 | 0.31 | 11.29 | 51 | 3.605a | 0.868 | 1.62 | 0.23 | 1.650 | −1.113 |
| [-2,2] | −0.14 | 0.23 | 8.42 | 53 | 0.892 | 0.551 | 1.34 | 0.71 | 9.74 | 54 | 5.622a | 0.542 | 1.48c | 0.48 | 1.709 | −0.940 |
| [-1,0] | −0.20 | 0.14 | 5.71 | 52 | −1.210 | 0.217 | 1.69 | 0.62 | 9.08 | 59 | 7.068a | 2.643 | 1.89b | 0.49b | 2.453 | −1.995 |
| [-1,1] | −0.21 | 0.13 | 7.28 | 52 | −1.084 | 0.119 | 1.48 | 0.78 | 9.04 | 59 | 6.183a | 1.724 | 1.69b | 0.65 | 2.133 | −1.573 |
| [-1,10] | −0.48 | 0.06 | 10.22 | 51 | −2.703a | −1.065 | 2.04 | 0.52 | 13.40 | 52 | 4.361a | −0.080 | 2.52b | 0.47 | 2.159 | −1.215 |
| [0,0] | −0.31 | 0.06 | 4.86 | 52 | −2.927a | 0.669 | 1.10 | 0.76 | 7.73 | 59 | 4.570a | 2.703 | 1.41b | 0.70b | 2.156 | −2.290 |
| [0,1] | −0.32 | 0.11 | 6.49 | 53 | −2.772a | 0.401 | 0.90 | 0.42 | 8.54 | 54 | 3.486a | 1.380 | 1.22 | 0.31 | 1.639 | −0.992 |
| IV. Two-factor CAPM | ||||||||||||||||
| [-10,10] | −0.48 | −0.05 | 12.00 | 50 | −4.062a | −1.133 | 0.80 | 0.65 | 17.17 | 54 | −2.407b | −0.888 | 1.28 | 0.70 | 0.865 | −1.201 |
| [-3,3] | −0.19 | −0.08 | 8.65 | 50 | −1.012 | −0.277 | 1.27 | 0.31 | 11.21 | 52 | 3.517a | 0.704 | 1.46 | 0.39 | 1.493 | −0.685 |
| [-2,2] | −0.12 | 0.16 | 8.32 | 53 | 0.884 | 0.584 | 1.26 | 0.67 | 9.75 | 53 | 5.245a | 0.443 | 1.38 | 0.51 | 1.596 | −0.598 |
| [-1,0] | −0.20 | 0.13 | 5.72 | 53 | −1.185 | 0.205 | 1.66 | 0.84 | 9.12 | 59 | 6.853a | 2.749a | 1.86b | 0.70b | 2.412 | −2.166 |
| [-1,1] | −0.20 | 0.19 | 7.28 | 53 | −1.008 | 0.213 | 1.45 | 0.80 | 9.18 | 57 | 5.879a | 1.670c | 1.65b | 0.62 | 2.052 | −1.406 |
| [-1,10] | −0.45 | 0.07 | 10.07 | 51 | −2.562b | −0.970 | 1.72 | 0.45 | 13.44 | 53 | 3.313a | −0.598 | 2.17c | 0.39 | 1.860 | −0.926 |
| [0,0] | −0.32 | 0.05 | 4.85 | 52 | −3.047a | 0.558 | 1.08 | 0.53 | 7.80 | 59 | 4.175a | 2.599a | 1.39b | 0.47b | 2.109 | −2.187 |
| [0,1] | −0.32 | 0.14 | 6.47 | 53 | −2.831a | 0.450 | 0.86 | 0.38 | 8.59 | 52 | 2.982a | 1.133 | 1.18 | 0.24 | 1.581 | −0.626 |
This table reports the cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) upon syndicated loan announcements between 01/01/2018 and 31/07/2020. CARs are derived from the four-factor model, the five-factor model, the CAPM and the two factor CAPM with country and global benchmark. Panels A and B present the mean and median CARs, standard deviation, percentage of borrowers with positive CARs for loan announcement prior to the pandemic (N = 480) and for loan announcements during the pandemic (N = 157), respectively. The statistical significance of CARs is accessed using the Patell-Z test and the Corrado test. Panel C reports the mean and median differences of CARs between announcements before and during the pandemic. The statistical significance of the differences between the means and the medians of the two subgroups are tested using the t-test of equality of means and the Mann-Whitney U test, respectively. The superscripts a, b and c denote significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.
Cross-sectional analysis with different estimation models and alternative event windows (entire period).
| Panel A: Market Model | Panel B: Four-factor Model | Panel C: Five-factor Model | Panel D: CAPM | Panel E: Two-factor CAPM | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constant | −0.007 | −0.036 | 0.009 | −0.020 | −0.062 | 0.017 | −0.010 | −0.047 | 0.010 | −0.007 | −0.037 | 0.009 | −0.001 | −0.032 | 0.015 |
| Age | 0.008c | 0.007b | 0.006c | 0.012b | 0.009c | 0.009c | 0.008 | 0.007b | 0.006c | 0.008c | 0.007b | 0.006c | 0.008 | 0.006c | 0.006c |
| Total Assets (Ln) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.002 | −0.002 | 0.001 | 0.001 | −0.001 | −0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.002 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Total Debt % Common Equity | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Return on Assets | 0.002c | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.002c | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.002c | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.002c | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Fixed Assets % Common Equity | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Tobin’s Q | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.003 | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.003 | −0.003 | −0.001 | −0.004 | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.003 | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.003 |
| Price Volatility | −0.001 | 0.028 | −0.011 | 0.022 | 0.048 | −0.026 | 0.016 | 0.028 | −0.008 | 0.000 | 0.028 | −0.011 | 0.003 | 0.030 | −0.010 |
| Loan Amount (Ln) | 0.001 | −0.001 | −0.002 | 0.005 | −0.001 | 0.000 | 0.003 | −0.001 | −0.002 | 0.001 | −0.001 | −0.002 | 0.002 | −0.001 | −0.002 |
| High Yield/Leveraged Loan | 0.014c | 0.008 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.004 | 0.004 | 0.009 | 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.014c | 0.008 | 0.008 | 0.014b | 0.007 | 0.008 |
| Board Size (Ln) | −0.027b | −0.016c | −0.020b | −0.034b | −0.021c | −0.024c | −0.026b | −0.015c | −0.018b | −0.027b | −0.016c | −0.020b | −0.030b | −0.016c | −0.021b |
| Non-Executive Board Members (%) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Blau Index | −0.035 | −0.002 | −0.028 | −0.042 | −0.002 | −0.037 | −0.022 | 0.008 | −0.023 | −0.035 | −0.002 | −0.028 | −0.032 | −0.001 | −0.027 |
| CEO Board Member | −0.014c | −0.008 | −0.014b | −0.020c | −0.007 | −0.025a | −0.011 | −0.002 | −0.014b | −0.014c | −0.008 | −0.014b | −0.015c | −0.008 | −0.014b |
| CEO Compensation Link to Shareholder Return | 0.006 | 0.008c | 0.010b | −0.002 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.004 | 0.006 | 0.008 | 0.006 | 0.008c | 0.010b | 0.007 | 0.008c | 0.010b |
| CEO duality | 0.024a | 0.020a | 0.017a | 0.023b | 0.021a | 0.019a | 0.021a | 0.019a | 0.016a | 0.024a | 0.020a | 0.017a | 0.023a | 0.020a | 0.017a |
| COVID-19 × CEO duality | −0.059a | −0.033b | −0.037a | −0.045b | −0.026 | −0.030b | −0.038c | −0.024 | −0.027c | −0.059a | −0.033b | −0.037a | −0.058a | −0.032b | −0.035a |
| COVID-19 CRISIS | 0.028a | 0.023a | 0.015b | 0.037a | 0.029a | 0.025b | 0.029a | 0.024a | 0.013c | 0.028a | 0.023a | 0.015b | 0.027a | 0.023a | 0.014b |
| GDP growth | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.004c | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.003 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| GDP per capita | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Current account balance | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Inflation | −0.001 | 0.000 | −0.001 | 0.003 | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | −0.001 | 0.000 | −0.001 | −0.002 | 0.001 | −0.001 |
| Governance (WGI) | −0.020 | −0.007 | −0.018c | −0.024 | −0.010 | −0.024c | −0.010 | 0.000 | −0.013 | −0.020 | −0.007 | −0.018c | −0.020 | −0.006 | −0.017c |
| Industry Dummies | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| N | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 | 586 |
| R2 | 0.1414 | 0.1747 | 0.1562 | 0.1130 | 0.1307 | 0.1214 | 0.1378 | 0.1764 | 0.1423 | 0.1418 | 0.1751 | 0.1510 | 0.1423 | 0.1739 | 0.1516 |
| VIF | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 |
This table reports the results of the cross sectional OLS regression analysis with robust standard errors for various announcement periods (5-days, 2-days and 2-days) excess returns of European borrowers estimated using the market model, the four-factor model, the five-factor model, the CAPM and the two-factor CAPM. Coefficients are reported and t-statistics are presented in parentheses. The Huber-White robust standard errors are used to calculate t-statistics in all models. All variables are winsorized at the 1% and 99% levels. The subscripts a, b and c denote significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.
Propensity score matching analysis.
| Panel A: Probit estimation results (Loan announcements during COVID-19 pandemic = 1) | |
| Constant | −5.117a |
| Age | −0.013 |
| Total Assets (Ln) | 0.246a |
| Total Debt % Common Equity | 0.000 |
| Return on Assets | −0.016 |
| Fixed Assets % Common Equity | 0.001 |
| Tobin’s Q | 0.146 |
| Price Volatility | 1.166b |
| Loan Amount (Ln) | −0.376a |
| High Yield/Leveraged Loan | −0.209 |
| Board Size (Ln) | 0.473b |
| Non-Executive Board Members (%) | 0.006 |
| Blau Index | 2.123a |
| CEO Board Member | 0.103 |
| CEO Compensation Link to Shareholder Return | 0.387a |
| CEO duality | −0.469a |
| N | 589 |
| LR Chi2 | 80.52a |
| Pseudo R2 | 0.1216 |
| Panel B: ATTs for three-day CARs calculated with market model (each country’s benchmark) | |
| Loan announcements during COVID-19 pandemic | 0.0143 |
| Loan announcements before COVID-19 pandemic | −0.0050 |
| Difference | 0.0193b |
| Panel C: ATTs for three-day CARs calculated with market model (STOXX Europe 600) | |
| Loan announcements during COVID-19 pandemic | 0.0147 |
| Loan announcements before COVID-19 pandemic | −0.0045 |
| Difference | 0.0192b |
| Panel D: ATTs for three-day CARs calculated with market model (EURO STOXX 50) | |
| Loan announcements during COVID-19 pandemic | 0.0132 |
| Loan announcements before COVID-19 pandemic | −0.0049 |
| Difference | 0.0181b |
| Panel E: ATTs for three-day CARs calculated with four-factor model | |
| Loan announcements during COVID-19 pandemic | 0.0114 |
| Loan announcements prior to COVID-19 pandemic | −0.0034 |
| Difference | 0.0147c |
| Panel F: ATTs for three-day CARs calculated with five-factor model | |
| Loan announcements during COVID-19 pandemic | 0.0153 |
| Loan announcements prior to COVID-19 pandemic | −0.0033 |
| Difference | 0.0186b |
This table reports the outcome of the propensity score matching (PSM) analysis for European borrowers’ syndicated loan announcements. Panel A presents the results of a probit model that is used to estimate the propensity scores. The dependent variable is a dummy variable that equals 1 if the loan is announced during the COVID-19 pandemic and 0 otherwise. Panels B, C and D present the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) using CARs estimated with the market model using each country’s benchmark index, STOXX Europe 600 index and EURO STOXX 50 index, respectively. Panels E and F present the ATT using CARs estimated with the four-factor model and the five-factor model, respectively. The PSM results are estimated using the one-to-one matching approach. Standard errors for the ATTs are the heteroskedasticity-consistent standard errors estimated using the method provided by Abadie and Imbens (2006). All variables are winsorized at the 1% and 99% levels. The subscripts a, b and c denote significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.