| Literature DB >> 34971555 |
Min Ah Yuh1, Kisung Kim2, Seon Hee Woo3, Sikyoung Jeong1, Juseok Oh4, Jinwoo Kim5, Sungyoup Hong1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Previous studies reported that changes in weather and phases of moon are associated with medical emergencies and injuries. However, such studies were limited to hospital or community level without explaining the combined effects of weather and moon phases. We investigated whether changes in weather and moon phases affected emergency department (ED) visits due to fall injuries (FIs) based on nationwide emergency patient registry data.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34971555 PMCID: PMC8719656 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0261071
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Schematic diagram showing the selection of study population for this study.
Demographic features of subjects who visited ED after a fall injury.
| Variable | Metropolitan | Rural | Cramer’s V or | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (n = 418,135) | (n = 248,777) | |||
| N (%) | N (%) | |||
| Age | 15–19 | 25,423 (5.0) | 7,299 (5.7) | V = 0.001 |
| 20–24 | 28,389 (5.6) | 7,864 (5.5) | ||
| 25–29 | 29,192 (5.6) | 7,795 (4.7) | ||
| 30–34 | 29,566 (5.8) | 7,988 (5.0) | ||
| 35–39 | 27,869 (5.5) | 7,780 (5.6) | ||
| 40–44 | 30,840 (6.1) | 8,706 (6.5) | ||
| 45–49 | 36,172 (7.1) | 10,245 (7.7) | ||
| 50–54 | 43,583 (8.6) | 12,272 (9.1) | ||
| 55–59 | 48,404 (9.5) | 13,521 (9.1) | ||
| 60–64 | 38,986 (7.7) | 10,742 (7.3) | ||
| 65–69 | 35,154 (6.9) | 9,593 (6.3) | ||
| 70–74 | 37,268 (7.3) | 10,214 (6.8) | ||
| 75–79 | 39,169 (7.7) | 10,960 (7.9) | ||
| 80–84 | 31,347 (6.2) | 8,844 (6.6) | ||
| 85–89 | 17,844 (3.5) | 5,034 (3.7) | ||
| 90–94 | 6,660 (1.3) | 1,893 (1.4) | ||
| 95–99 | 1,393 (0.3) | 409 (0.3) | ||
| 100–104 | 183 (0.0) | 59 (0.1) | ||
| 105–109 | 24 (0.0) | 13 (0.0) | ||
| 110–120 | 8 (0.0) | 3 (0.0) | ||
| Sex | Male | 258,579 (51.0) | 132,101(53.1) | P< 0.010 |
| Month | Jan | 44,515(8.8) | 12,288 (8.7) | V = 0.020 |
| Feb | 38,357 (7.7) | 10,381 (7.4) | ||
| Mar | 39,581 (7.8) | 10,448 (7.4) | ||
| Apr | 40,136 (7.9) | 10,939 (7.8) | ||
| May | 44,224 (8.7) | 12,420 (8.8) | ||
| Jun | 38,029 (7.5) | 10,928 (7.7) | ||
| Jul | 39,968 (7.9) | 11,315 (8.0) | ||
| Aug | 41,564 (8.2) | 12,131(8.6) | ||
| Sep | 43,425 (8.6) | 12,371 (8.8) | ||
| Oct | 46,051 (9.1) | 13,404 (9.5) | ||
| Nov | 42,183 (8.3) | 11,675 (8.3) | ||
| Dec | 49,410 (9.7) | 12,931 (9.2) | ||
| Moon phase | New moon | 44,461 (10.6) | 25,102 (10.1) | |
| 1st quarter | 41,531 (9.9) | 25,224 (10.1) | ||
| Full moon | 43,107 (10.3) | 26,466 (10.6) | ||
| Last quarter | 44,059 (10.5) | 25,679 (10.3) | ||
| other | 244,713 (58.6) | 146,306 (58.8) | ||
| Route | Ambulance | 439,439 (86.6) | 124,180 (87.9) | |
| Private car | 65,574 (12.9) | 16,504 (11.7) | ||
| Ambulation | 2,227 (0.4) | 520 (0.3) | ||
| KTAS | 1 | 920 (0.80) | 223 (0.67) | V = 0.076 |
| 2 | 5334 (4.61) | 1195 (3.59) | ||
| 3 | 34519 (29.83) | 12620 (37.95) | ||
| 4 | 63769 (55.11) | 15897(47.81) | ||
| 5 | 11155 (9.64) | 3317(9.97) | ||
| Mental | Alert | 487775 (96.1) | 137035 (97.0) | V = 0.022 |
| Verbal response | 11928 (2.4) | 2358 (1.7) | ||
| Pain response | 5038 (1.0) | 1089 (0.8) | ||
| Unresponsive | 2544 (0.5) | 738 (0.5) | ||
| SBP | 134.0 ± 26.6 | 135.7 ± 27.1 | ||
| DBP | 79.8 ± 19.3 | 80.7 ± 19.5 | ||
| PR | 88.8 ± 40.4 | 89.5 ± 19.5 | ||
KTAS, Korean triage and acuity scale; SBP, systolic blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; PR, pulse rate.
Multivariate regression analysis of relationships between weather factors and moon phase with fall injuries in metropolitan areas.
| Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRR | IRR | CI | |||
| Precipitation | 0.99 | 0.043 | 0.93 | 0.045 | 0.93–0.97 |
| Minimum temperature | 0.98 | <0.001 | 1.27 | 0.005 | 0.97–0.98 |
| Wind speed | 0.78 | 0.003 | 0.80 | <0.001 | 0.95–1.01 |
| Cloud cover | 1.07 | 0.269 | |||
| Sunshine duration | 1.03 | 0.020 | 1.01 | 0.516 | 1.01–1.02 |
| Fog duration | 1.00 | 0.677 | |||
| Moon phase (versus full moon) | |||||
| New moon | 1.10 | 0.567 | |||
| 1st quarter | 1.12 | 0.532 | |||
| 3rd quarter | 1.25 | 0.724 | |||
| Interaction effects | |||||
| precipitation:minimum | 1.00 | 0.001 | 1.00–1.01 | ||
| precipitation:wind | 1.01 | 0.755 | 1.01–1.01 | ||
| precipitation:sunshine | 1.01 | 0.414 | 1.01–1.01 | ||
| minimum:wind | 0.99 | 0.001 | 0.99–1.00 | ||
| minimum:sunshine | 1.02 | 0.023 | 1.01–1.03 | ||
| wind:sunshine | 0.99 | 0.131 | 0.99–0.99 | ||
IRR, incidence risk ratio; SE, standard error; CI, confidence interval.
Fig 2Scatter plots of the number of ED visits per million people after fall injuries versus weather components in metropolitan areas of Korea.
A theoretical Gaussian regression line estimated by nonlinear curve fitting with the Boltzmann sigmoidal function is shown in red.
Multivariate regression analysis of relationships between weather factors and moon phase with fall injuries in rural areas.
| Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRR | IRR | CI | |||
| Precipitation | 0.96 | <0.001 | 0.98 | <0.001 | 0.90–0.97 |
| Minimum temperature | 1.25 | <0.001 | 1.20 | <0.001 | 0.99–1.51 |
| Wind speed | 1.24 | <0.001 | 1.18 | <0.001 | 1.23–1.25 |
| Cloud cover | 2.01 | 0.383 | |||
| Sunshine duration | 1.19 | <0.001 | 1.20 | 0.040 | 0.67–2.20 |
| Fog duration | 0.03 | 0.817 | |||
| Moon phase (versus full moon) | |||||
| new moon | 0.75 | 0.002 | 0.78 | 0.043 | 0.61–0.85 |
| 1st quarter | 0.61 | 0.948 | 0.60 | 0.556 | 0.95–1.02 |
| 3rd quarter | 0.68 | 0.984 | 0.68 | 0.984 | 0.99–1.03 |
| Interaction effects | |||||
| precipitation:wind | 1.01 | <0.001 | 1.01–1.01 | ||
| precipitation:minimum | 1.00 | <0.001 | 1.00–1.00 | ||
| precipitation:sunshine | 0.98 | <0.001 | 0.96–0.99 | ||
| minimum:wind | 1.01 | <0.001 | 1.01–1.02 | ||
| minimum:sunshine | 1.00 | 0.590 | 1.00–1.00 | ||
| wind:sunshine | 1.08 | <0.001 | 1.06–1.11 | ||
| new moon:precipitation | 1.01 | 0.027 | 0.00–14.6 | ||
| new moon:wind | 1.02 | 0.028 | 0.79–1.16 | ||
| new moon:sunshine | 0.99 | 0.055 | 0.02–3.13 | ||
IRR, incidence risk ratio; SE, standard error; CI, confidence interval.
Fig 3Scatter plots of the number of ED visits per million people after fall injuries versus weather components in rural areas of Korea.
A theoretical Gaussian regression line estimated by nonlinear curve fitting with the Boltzmann sigmoidal function is shown in red.
Results of Pearson’s correlation analysis between injury severity (mean KTAS) with weather factors.
| Precipitation | Minimum temperature | Mean wind speed | Cloud cover | Sunshine duration | Fog duration | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metro | CC | 0.006 | 0.049 | 0.157 | -0.045 | -0.012 | <0.001 |
| 0.701 | 0.003 | <0.001 | 0.700 | 0.957 | 0.995 | ||
| Rural | CC | -0.008 | 0.065 | 0.108 | 0.298 | 0.005 | 0.030 |
| 0.718 | 0.004 | <0.001 | 0.007 | 0.809 | 0.175 |
CC, correlation coefficient.