| Literature DB >> 34966600 |
Jiaojiao Zhong1,2, Yunan He3, Jianchi Ma1, Siyao Lu1, Yushi Wu1, Junmin Zhang1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Dermatomyositis accompanied with malignancy is a common poor prognostic factor of dermatomyositis. Thus, the early prediction of the risk of malignancy in patients with dermatomyositis can significantly improve the prognosis of patients. However, the identification of antibodies related to malignancy in dermatomyositis patients has not been widely implemented in clinical practice. Herein, we established a predictive nomogram model for the diagnosis of dermatomyositis associated with malignancy.Entities:
Keywords: Dermatomyositis; Malignancy; Nomogram; Predictor; Risk prediction model
Year: 2021 PMID: 34966600 PMCID: PMC8667746 DOI: 10.7717/peerj.12626
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PeerJ ISSN: 2167-8359 Impact factor: 2.984
Figure 1Flow chart for cases selection.
Characteristics of patients with dermatomyositis.
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| Age (years), mean ± SD | 48.09 ± 18.69 | 44.43 ± 16.73 | 0.153 | |||
| Sex | 0.977 | |||||
| Male | 65 | 38.7 | 28 | 38.9 | ||
| Female | 103 | 61.3 | 44 | 61.1 | ||
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| Gottron’s sign | 0.167 | |||||
| yes | 84 | 50.0 | 43 | 59.7 | ||
| no | 84 | 50.0 | 29 | 40.3 | ||
| Periungual erythema | 0.792 | |||||
| yes | 19 | 11.3 | 9 | 12.5 | ||
| no | 149 | 88.7 | 63 | 87.5 | ||
| Poikiloderma | 0.019 | |||||
| yes | 47 | 28.0 | 10 | 13.9 | ||
| no | 121 | 72.0 | 62 | 86.1 | ||
| Refractory itching | 0.562 | |||||
| yes | 21 | 12.5 | 11 | 15.3 | ||
| no | 147 | 87.5 | 61 | 84.7 | ||
| V-neck sign | 0.842 | |||||
| yes | 70 | 41.7 | 31 | 43.1 | ||
| no | 98 | 58.3 | 41 | 56.9 | ||
| Periorbital erythema | 0.185 | |||||
| yes | 113 | 67.3 | 42 | 58.3 | ||
| no | 55 | 32.7 | 30 | 41.7 | ||
| Raynaud’s phenomenon | 0.778 | |||||
| yes | 8 | 4.8 | 4 | 5.6 | ||
| no | 160 | 95.2 | 67 | 94.4 | ||
| Joint pain | 0.258 | |||||
| yes | 23 | 13.7 | 14 | 19.4 | ||
| no | 145 | 86.3 | 58 | 80.6 | ||
| Proximal muscle weakness | 0.829 | |||||
| yes | 119 | 70.8 | 50 | 69.4 | ||
| no | 49 | 29.2 | 22 | 30.6 | ||
| Dysphagia | 0.837 | |||||
| yes | 37 | 22.0 | 15 | 20.8 | ||
| no | 131 | 78.0 | 57 | 79.2 | ||
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| Malignant tumor | 0.157 | |||||
| yes | 42 | 25.0 | 12 | 16.7 | ||
| no | 126 | 75.5 | 60 | 83.3 | ||
| Interstitial pneumonia | 0.411 | |||||
| yes | 72 | 42.9 | 35 | 48.6 | ||
| no | 96 | 57.1 | 37 | 51.4 | ||
| Respiration failure | 0.205 | |||||
| yes | 30 | 17.9 | 18 | 25.0 | ||
| no | 138 | 82.1 | 54 | 75.0 | ||
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| CK (U/L) | 0.058 | |||||
| ≥198 | 69 | 41.1 | 20 | 27.8 | ||
| <198 | 99 | 58.9 | 52 | 72.2 | ||
| LDH (U/L) | 0.104 | |||||
| ≥300 | 103 | 61.3 | 36 | 50.0 | ||
| <300 | 65 | 38.7 | 36 | 50.0 | ||
| ANA | 0.862 | |||||
| Positive | 103 | 61.3 | 45 | 62.5 | ||
| Negative | 65 | 38.7 | 27 | 37.5 | ||
| Anti-Jo-1 | 0.004 | |||||
| Positive | 4 | 2.4 | 8 | 11.1 | ||
| Negative | 164 | 97.6 | 64 | 88.9 | ||
| CA125 (U/ml) | 0.375 | |||||
| ≥35 | 15 | 8.9 | 4 | 5.6 | ||
| <35 | 153 | 91.1 | 68 | 94.4 | ||
| CA19-9(U/ml) | 0.200 | |||||
| ≥37 | 21 | 12.6 | 5 | 6.9 | ||
| <37 | 146 | 87.4 | 67 | 93.1 | ||
Notes.
creatine kinase
lactate dehydrogenase
antinuclear antibody
carbohydrate antigen 125
carbohydrate antigen 19-9
Univariate and multivariate analysis of risk factors in training cohort.
| Factors | Univariate | Multivariate | |||
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| OR (95% CI) |
| OR (95% CI) | ||
| Age ≥50y | 0.034 | 2.200 (1.060, 4.568) | 0.007 | 3.534 (1.414, 8.831) | |
| Sex | 0.084 | 1.864 (0.909, 3.780) | 0.180 | 1.804 (0.761, 4.276) | |
| Gottron’s sign | 0.286 | 0.682 (0.337, 1.379) | |||
| Periochia erythema | 0.888 | 1.081 (0.365, 3.205) | |||
| Poikiloderma | 0.077 | 2.241 (0.916, 5.486) | 0.051 | 2.890 (0.994, 8.407) | |
| Refractory itching | 0.014 | 3.267 (1.274, 8.378) | 0.013 | 4.642 (1.375, 15.671) | |
| V-neck sign | 0.857 | 1.067 (0.527, 2.163) | |||
| Periorbital erythema | 0.507 | 1.295 (0.603, 2.781) | |||
| Raynaud’s phenomenon | >0.999 | <0.001 | |||
| Joint pain | 0.165 | 0.408 (0.115, 1.449) | |||
| Proximal muscle weakness | 0.769 | 0.892 (0.417, 1.908) | |||
| Dysphagia | <0.001 | 4.224 (1.932, 9.233) | 0.003 | 4.223 (1.617, 11.023) | |
| Interstitial pneumonia | 0.033 | 0.440 (0.207, 0.936) | 0.031 | 0.367 (0.147, 0.913) | |
| Respiration failure | 0.250 | 0.546 (0.195, 1.531) | |||
| CK ≥198U/L | 0.002 | 3.137 (1.521, 6.467) | 0.049 | 2.306 (1.003, 5.304) | |
| LDH ≥300U/L | 0.784 | 0.905 (0.443, 1.847) | |||
| ANA (+) | 0.316 | 0.696 (0.343, 1.412) | |||
| Anti-Jo-1(+) | >0.999 | <0.001 | |||
| CA125 ≥35 U/ml | 0.876 | 1.100 (0.331, 3.660) | |||
| CA19-9 ≥37 U/ml | 0.042 | 2.672 (1.034, 6.902) | 0.319 | 1.811 (0.563, 5.824) | |
Notes.
odds ratio
confidence interval
P < 0.1.
P < 0.05, statistically significant difference.
Figure 2Nomogram for individualized prediction of malignancy in patients with dermatomyositis.
Figure 3Calibration curve comparing predicted and actual probabilities of dermatomyositis with malignancy in the training cohort (A) and in the validation cohort (B).
Figure 4Receiver under the operator characteristic (ROC) curve for the test accuracy in the validation cohort.