| Literature DB >> 34935408 |
Nicholas Y Tan1, Veronique L Roger1,2, Jill M Killian3, Yong-Mei Cha1, Peter A Noseworthy1, Shannon M Dunlay1,2.
Abstract
Background The epidemiology of ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) in patients with advanced heart failure (HF) is not well defined. Methods and Results Residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota, with advanced HF from 2007 to 2017 were identified using the 2018 European Society of Cardiology criteria. Billing codes were used to capture VAs; severe VAs requiring emergency care were defined as events associated with emergency department visits or hospitalizations. The cumulative incidence of VAs postadvanced HF was estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariable Cox analyses were used to determine the following: (1) Predictors of severe VAs postadvanced HF; and (2) Impact of severe VAs on mortality. Of 936 patients with advanced HF, 261 (27.9%) had a history of VA. The 1-year cumulative incidence of severe VAs postadvanced HF was 5.4%. Prior VAs (hazard ratio [HR] 2.22 [95% CI, 1.26-3.89], P=0.006) and left ventricular ejection fraction <40% (HR, 3.79 [95% CI, 1.72-8.39], P<0.001) were independently associated with increased severe VA risk postadvanced HF. New-onset severe VAs were associated with increased mortality (HR, 4.41 [95% CI, 2.80-6.94]; P<0.001), whereas severe VAs in patients with prior VAs had no significant association with mortality risk (HR, 1.08 [95% CI, 0.65-1.78]; P=0.77). Severe VAs were associated with increased mortality in patients without implantable cardioverter defibrillators (HR, 4.89 [95% CI, 2.89-8.26]; P<0.001), but not in patients with implantable cardioverter defibrillators (HR, 1.42 [95% CI, 0.92-2.19]; P=0.11). Conclusions Patients with left ventricular ejection fraction <40% and prior VAs have increased risk of severe VA postadvanced HF. New-onset severe VAs or severe VAs without implantable cardioverter defibrillators postadvanced HF are associated with increased mortality.Entities:
Keywords: advanced heart failure; epidemiology; ventricular arrhythmias
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34935408 PMCID: PMC9075190 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.121.023377
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Am Heart Assoc ISSN: 2047-9980 Impact factor: 6.106
Figure 1Study flow diagram highlighting the sequential application of the 2018 European Society of Cardiology criteria for identifying patients with advanced HF.
Echo indicates echocardiogram; ED, emergency department; HF, heart failure; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; NYHA, New York Heart Association; RV, right ventricular; and VA, ventricular arrhythmia.
Baseline Characteristics of Patients With Advanced HF (n=936), Stratified by Prior VA Status
| Characteristic |
No prior VA (N=675) |
Prior VA (N=261) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | |||
| Male, n (%) | 322 (47.7) | 197 (75.5) | <0.001 |
| Female, n (%) | 353 (52.3) | 64 (24.5) | |
| Race, n (%) | |||
| Missing, n | 1 | 0 | 0.135 |
| Black | 21 (3.1) | 5 (1.9) | |
| Asian | 12 (1.8) | 2 (0.8) | |
| Hawaiian/Pacific Islander | 1 (0.2) | 0 | |
| American Indian/Alaska Native | 0 | 1 (0.4) | |
| White | 631 (93.6) | 245 (93.9) | |
| Other/multiracial | 9 (1.3) | 8 (3.1) | |
| Age, y, mean (SD) | 78.1 (14.3) | 73.6 (14.8) | <0.001 |
| Peripheral vascular disease, n (%) | 348 (51.6) | 139 (53.3) | 0.640 |
| Cerebrovascular disease, n (%) | 150 (22.2) | 67 (25.7) | 0.262 |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, n (%) | 379 (56.2) | 158 (60.5) | 0.224 |
| Diabetes, n (%) | 302 (44.7) | 113 (43.3) | 0.690 |
| Charlson comorbidity score | |||
| Mean (SD) | 4.9 (2.5) | 5.3 (2.5) | 0.035 |
| Median (25th, 75th) | 5 (3, 7) | 5 (3, 7) | 0.033 |
| Hypertension, n (%) | 606 (89.8) | 223 (85.4) | 0.062 |
| Hyperlipidemia, n (%) | 487 (72.2) | 197 (75.5) | 0.303 |
| Coronary artery disease, n (%) | 447 (66.2) | 214 (82.0) | <0.001 |
| Albumin, mean (SD) | 3.54 (0.53) | 3.62 (0.49) | 0.035 |
| Bilirubin, mean (SD) | 0.81 (0.68) | 0.94 (0.71) | 0.016 |
| Creatinine, mean (SD) | 1.57 (0.94) | 1.64 (1.05) | 0.299 |
| Hemoglobin, mean (SD) | 11.22 (1.98) | 11.74 (2.10) | <0.001 |
| Sodium, mean (SD) | 137.7 (5.1) | 137.6 (5.1) | 0.700 |
| eGFR, mean (SD) | 49.0 (24.6) | 50.4 (23.5) | 0.426 |
| LVEF, mean (SD) | 46.5 (17.3) | 35.8 (16.1) | <0.001 |
| LVEF (categorical), n (%) | |||
| <40% | 236 (35.0) | 160 (61.3) | <0.001 |
| 40%–49% | 94 (13.9) | 40 (15.3) | |
| ≥50% | 345 (51.1) | 61 (23.4) | |
| LVEF≤35% | 203 (30.0%) | 140 (53.6%) | <0.001 |
| RV dysfunction, n (%) | |||
| Missing, n | 7 | 1 | 0.231 |
| Less than moderate decrease | 464 (69.5) | 170 (65.4) | |
| Moderate or worse decrease | 204 (30.5) | 90 (34.6) | |
| Diastolic dysfunction, n (%) | |||
| Missing, n | 449 | 169 | 0.671 |
| Grade 1 | 58 (25.7) | 27 (29.4) | |
| Grade 2 | 90 (39.8) | 32 (34.8) | |
| Grade 3/4 | 78 (34.5) | 33 (35.9) | |
| Increased LV filling pressure, n (%) | 344 (95.6) | 150 (96.8) | 0.632 |
| E/e', mean (SD) | 22.7 (11.4) | 23.6 (16.1) | 0.368 |
| Moderate or greater regurgitation/stenosis, mean (SD) | 386 (57.2) | 146 (55.9) | 0.730 |
| Antiarrhythmic drug at time of advanced HF, n (%) | 52 (7.7) | 63 (24.1) | <0.001 |
| CIED placed, n (%) | |||
| None | 475 (70.4) | 92 (32.3) | <0.001 |
| ICD before advanced HF | 44 (6.5) | 115 (44.1) | |
| New ICD postadvanced HF | 21 (3.1) | 7 (2.7) | |
| Pacemaker prior → ICD postadvanced HF | 3 (0.4) | 1 (0.4) | |
| Pacemaker only | 132 (19.6) | 46 (17.6) | |
CIED indicates cardiac implantable electronic device; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; HF, heart failure; ICD, implantable cardioverter defibrillator; LV, left ventricular; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; RV, right ventricular; and VA, ventricular arrhythmia.
χ2 test.
Fisher exact test.
Student t test.
Wilcoxon 2‐sample test.
Race is self‐reported. Other is an option for those who feel their race is not reflected in the response options.
Figure 2Kaplan–Meier curve of severe VA following advanced HF diagnosis.
HF indicates heart failure; and VA, ventricular arrhythmia.
Figure 3Kaplan–Meier curves of severe VAs postadvanced HF stratified by prior VA status (A) and LVEF category (B).
EF indicates ejection fraction; HF, heart failure; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; and VA, ventricular arrhythmia.
Multivariable Cox Proportional Hazards Model Predicting Mortality Following Advanced HF, stratified by prior VA status
| Covariate | No prior VA | Prior VA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) |
| HR (95% CI) |
| |
| Severe VA postadvanced HF (time‐dependent) | 4.41 (2.80–6.94) | <0.001 | 1.08 (0.65–1.78) | 0.77 |
| Age | 1.04 (1.03–1.04) | <0.001 | 1.04 (1.03–1.05) | <0.001 |
| Sex | ||||
| Male | 1.15 (0.97–1.37) | 0.11 | 1.10 (0.79–1.54) | 0.58 |
| Female | 1.00 (Ref) | 1.00 (Ref) | ||
| LVEF | ||||
| <40% | 1.02 (0.84–1.23) | 0.36 | 0.84 (0.59–1.19) | 0.61 |
| 40%–49% | 1.19 (0.93–1.52) | 0.88 (0.55–1.39) | ||
| ≥50% | 1.00 (Ref) | 1.00 (Ref) | ||
| Antiarrhythmic drug | 0.86 (0.63–1.19) | 0.36 | 1.02 (0.72–1.44) | 0.90 |
HF indicates heart failure; HR, hazard ratio; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; and VA, ventricular arrhythmia.
VAs and Tachycardia Therapies Among Patients With ICDs (n=191)
| Characteristic | Value |
|---|---|
| VA requiring tachycardia therapies (%) | 48 (25.1%) |
| VA requiring ED visit or hospitalization (%) | 35 (18.3%) |
| Median VA episodes (25th–75th percentile) | 2 (1‐5) |
| Number of patients receiving appropriate ATP (%) | 40 (20.9%) |
| Number of patients receiving appropriate ICD shocks (%) | 40 (20.9%) |
| Number of patients receiving inappropriate shocks (%) | 5 (2.6%) |
ATP indicates antitachycardia pacing; ED, emergency department; ICD, implantable cardioverter defibrillator; and VA, ventricular arrhythmia.