| Literature DB >> 34934052 |
Sun-Ho Lee1, Hyoung-Yeon Seo1, Hae-Rim Kim2, Eun-Kyoo Song1, Jong-Keun Seon3.
Abstract
Among various patient risk factors affecting survival after high tibial osteotomy (HTO), the ideal age limit for HTO is unclear. This study was performed to evaluate the effect of age on survival rate and complications after HTO for medial unicompartmental osteoarthritis. Among of 61,145 HTO patients from Korean National Health Insurance database, 41,112 patients underwent the procedure before the age of 60 years (Group A), 13,895 patients between the age of 60 and 65 years (Group B), and 6138 patients after the age of 65 years (Group C). We compared the survival rate in person-years among the three groups from the date of primary surgery until subsequent total knee arthroplasty. Perioperative complications were also recorded. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) were calculated using the multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model, adjusting for the potential confounders: age, sex, type of medical insurance, region of residence, hospital type, comorbidities, and Charlson comorbidity index score. The total number of HTO increased 6.5-fold, especially in patients aged > 65 years (by 8.2-fold) from 2008 to 2018. The overall revision rate was 4.2% in Group A, 6.4% in Group B, and 7.3% in Group C. The 5- and 10-year revision rate was significantly lower in Group A (p < 0.001), but no difference between Groups B and C. After adjusting for potential confounders, multivariable regression analysis revealed that revision rate was significantly lower in Group A than Group B (HR: 0.57; p < 0.0001), but no difference between Groups B and C. The incidence of complications was also significantly lower in Group A than in other groups. The inferior survival rate and more perioperative complications after HTO was found in old patients (aged ≥ 60 years) than in young patients. Therefore, the patient age is one of the predicting factors for a high risk of failure after HTO.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34934052 PMCID: PMC8692610 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-03259-y
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1Flowsheet for Eligibility.
Patient baseline characteristics of high tibial osteotomy by age.
| HTO | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| < 60 | 60–65 | > 65 | P-value | SMD | |
| (N = 41,112) | (N = 13,895) | (N = 6138) | |||
| Age (mean (sd)) | 52.62 (5.38) | 62.10 (1.66) | 70.13 (4.24) | < 0.001 | 2.829 |
| < 0.001 | 0.052 | ||||
| Female | 10,948 (26.6) | 3230 (23.2) | 1431 (23.3) | ||
| Male | 30,164 (73.4) | 10,665 (76.8) | 4707 (76.7) | ||
| Hypertension (%) | 15,858 (38.6) | 7465 (53.7) | 3981 (64.9) | < 0.001 | 0.360 |
| Hyperlipidemia (%) | 18,933 (46.1) | 8518 (61.3) | 3677 (59.9) | < 0.001 | 0.206 |
| Peripheral vascular disease (%) | 7898 (19.2) | 3915 (28.2) | 2010 (32.7) | < 0.001 | 0.208 |
| Diabetes_without complication (%) | 8120 (19.8) | 4096 (29.5) | 2230 (36.3) | < 0.001 | 0.250 |
| Diabetes_with complication (%) | 2898 (7.0) | 1579 (11.4) | 930 (15.2) | < 0.001 | 0.174 |
| Depression (%) | 6063 (14.7) | 2631 (18.9) | 1277 (20.8) | < 0.001 | 0.106 |
| Dementia (%) | 252 (0.6) | 248 (1.8) | 373 (6.1) | < 0.001 | 0.213 |
| 0.68 | 0.083 | ||||
| Health insurance | 39,522 (96.1) | 13,563 (97.6) | 5852 (95.3) | ||
| Medical benefits | 1590 (3.9) | 332 (2.4) | 286 (4.7) | ||
| < 0.001 | 0.085 | ||||
| Over 10milion | 11,345 (27.6) | 4099 (29.5) | 1581 (25.8) | ||
| Over 1milion | 11,603 (28.2) | 3736 (26.9) | 1550 (25.3) | ||
| Others | 18,164 (44.2) | 6060 (43.6) | 3007 (49.0) | ||
| < 0.001 | 0.091 | ||||
| Teaching hospital | 4734 (11.5) | 1277 (9.2) | 645 (10.5) | ||
| General hospital | 7369 (17.9) | 2336 (16.8) | 1229 (20.0) | ||
| Independent hospital | 27,353 (66.5) | 9603 (69.1) | 3956 (64.5) | ||
| Private clinic | 1656 (4.0) | 679 (4.9) | 308 (5.0) | ||
| < 0.001 | 0.329 | ||||
| 0 | 4617 (11.2) | 733 (5.3) | 271 (4.4) | ||
| 1 | 8530 (20.7) | 1760 (12.7) | 663 (10.8) | ||
| 2 | 9465 (23.0) | 2835 (20.4) | 1069 (17.4) | ||
| ≥ 3 | 18,500 (45.0) | 8567 (61.7) | 4135 (67.4) | ||
| < 0.001 | 0.183 | ||||
| 2008 | 1143 (2.8) | 236 (1.7) | 128 (2.1) | ||
| 2009 | 1302 (3.2) | 236 (1.7) | 164 (2.7) | ||
| 2010 | 1591 (3.9) | 290 (2.1) | 172 (2.8) | ||
| 2011 | 2403 (5.8) | 577 (4.2) | 308 (5.0) | ||
| 2012 | 3192 (7.8) | 807 (5.8) | 396 (6.5) | ||
| 2013 | 4125 (10.0) | 1204 (8.7) | 579 (9.4) | ||
| 2014 | 4253 (10.3) | 1274 (9.2) | 575 (9.4) | ||
| 2015 | 5153 (12.5) | 1626 (11.7) | 750 (12.2) | ||
| 2016 | 6039 (14.7) | 2225 (16.0) | 1004 (16.4) | ||
| 2017 | 5952 (14.5) | 2580 (18.6) | 1008 (16.4) | ||
| 2018 | 5959 (14.5) | 2840 (20.4) | 1054 (17.2) | ||
HTO high tibial osteotomy, SMD standardised mean difference, CCI Charlson comorbidity index.
*CCI: Myocardial infarction, Congestive heart failure, Peripheral vascular disease, Cerebrovascular disease, Dementia, Chronic pulmonary disease, Connective tissue disease, Peptic ulcer disease, Mild liver disease, Moderate or severe liver disease (3), Diabetes without complications, Diabetes with complications (2), Paraplegia and hemiplegia (2), Renal disease (2), Cancer (2), Metastatic carcinoma (6), AIDS/HIV (6).
Cumulative revision incidence for stratified age subgroups.
| Under 60 (n = 41,112) | 60–65 (n = 13,895) | Over 65 (n = 6138) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | % | 1000 PY | N | % | 1000 PY | N | % | 1000 PY | ||
| Revision | event | 1707 | (4.15%) | 9.71 | 885 | (6.37%) | 18.01 | 449 | (7.32%) | 19.05 |
| days | 1573.39 | ± 991.74 | 1314.49 | ± 879.28 | 1114.07 | ± 827.48 | ||||
| Revision (5 year) | event | 1051 | (2.56%) | 7.40 | 663 | (4.77%) | 15.73 | 355 | (5.78%) | 18.10 |
| days | 905.41 | ± 486.38 | 906.19 | ± 516.35 | 763.86 | ± 481.74 | ||||
| Revision (10 year) | event | 1668 | (4.06%) | 9.54 | 875 | (6.30%) | 17.87 | 449 | (7.32%) | 19.13 |
| days | 1520.07 | ± 938.96 | 1285.83 | ± 841.96 | 1114.07 | ± 827.48 | ||||
*PY person year.
Figure 2Kaplan–Meier survivorship curve: 11.5-year survivorship among different age groups. (A) Total patients, (B) Gender survival curve under 60 years old, (C) Gender survival curve between 60 and 65, (D) Gender survival curve over 65.
COX proportional hazard survival analysis for risk of revision.
| 60–65 (n = 13,895) | Under 60 (n = 41,112) | Over 65 (n = 6138) | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude | Adjusted | Crude | Adjusted | |||||||||||
| HR | 95% CI | P-value | HR | 95% CI | P-value | HR | 95% CI | P-value | HR | 95% CI | P-value | |||
| Revision | Reference | 0.50 | (0.46,0.54) | < 0.0001 | 0.57 | (0.53,0.62) | < 0.0001 | 1.02 | (0.91,1.14) | 0.78 | 0.96 | (0.86,1.08) | 0.53 | |
| Revision(5 year) | Reference | 0.46 | (0.41,0.50) | < 0.0001 | 0.53 | (0.48,0.58) | < 0.0001 | 1.14 | (0.99,1.29) | 0.051 | 1.07 | (0.94,1.21) | 0.33 | |
| Revision(10 year) | Reference | 0.49 | (0.46,0.54) | < 0.0001 | 0.57 | (0.52,0.62) | < 0.0001 | 1.03 | (0.92,1.15) | 0.61 | 0.98 | (0.87,1.09) | 0.68 | |
HR hazard ratio, CI confidence interval, reference: age of 60–65.
*Adjusted variable: age, sex, comorbidities, type of insurance, type of hospital, region of residence, CCI.
Cumulative incidence of adverse outcomes for stratified age subgroups.
| Under 60 (n = 41,112) | 60–65 (n = 13,895) | Over 65 (n = 6138) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | % | 1000 PY | N | % | 1000 PY | N | % | 1000 PY | |
| Event | 188 | (0.46%) | 1.07 | 73 | (0.53%) | 1.49 | 47 | (0.77%) | 1.99 |
| Days | 777.49 | ± 986.27 | 664.55 | ± 816.72 | 608.77 | ± 766.87 | |||
| Event | 78 | (0.19%) | 0.44 | 36 | (0.26%) | 0.73 | 35 | (0.57%) | 1.48 |
| Days | 621.59 | ± 857.94 | 499.31 | ± 664.61 | 837.69 | ± 870.90 | |||
| Event | 4247 | (10.33%) | 24.15 | 2079 | (14.96%) | 42.32 | 1520 | (24.76%) | 64.49 |
| Days | 908.56 | ± 877.75 | 714.58 | ± 780.58 | 702.81 | ± 774.83 | |||
| Event | 253 | (0.62%) | 1.44 | 133 | (0.96%) | 2.71 | 105 | (1.71%) | 4.45 |
| Days | 1039.91 | ± 971.16 | 741.02 | ± 855.08 | 702.65 | ± 871.45 | |||
| Event | 180 | (0.44%) | 1.02 | 64 | (0.46%) | 1.30 | 81 | (1.32%) | 3.44 |
| Days | 1177.04 | ± 1002.03 | 820.64 | ± 870.51 | 1220.04 | ± 914.74 | |||
| Event | 18 | (0.04%) | 0.10 | 19 | (0.14%) | 0.39 | 30 | (0.49%) | 1.27 |
| Days | 788.00 | ± 733.98 | 1524.16 | ± 940.90 | 752.73 | ± 821.77 | |||
| Event | 311 | (0.76%) | 1.77 | 107 | (0.77%) | 2.18 | 84 | (1.37%) | 3.56 |
| Days | 518.28 | ± 764.08 | 582.71 | ± 819.77 | 384.49 | ± 588.73 | |||
*PY person year.
COX proportional hazard analysis for risk of perioperative complications.
| 60–65 (n = 13,895) | Under 60 (n = 41,112) | Over 65 (n = 6138) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude | Adjusted | Crude | Adjusted | |||||||||
| HR | 95% CI | P-value | HR | 95% CI | P-value | HR | 95% CI | P-value | HR | 95% CI | P-value | |
| Reference | 0.78 | (0.59,1.02) | 0.07 | 0.87 | (0.66,1.15) | 0.32 | 1.38 | (0.96,1.99) | 0.08 | 1.30 | (0.90,1.88) | 0.16 |
| Reference | 0.66 | (0.45,0.99) | 0.04 | 0.75 | (0.50,1.12) | 0.16 | 2.10 | (1.32,3.34) | 0.002 | 1.97 | (1.23,3.14) | 0.005 |
| Reference | 0.58 | (0.55,0.61) | < 0.0001 | 0.68 | (0.65,0.72) | < 0.0001 | 1.66 | (1.56,1.78) | < 0.0001 | 1.55 | (1.45,1.65) | < 0.0001 |
| Reference | 0.56 | (0.45,0.69) | < 0.0001 | 0.65 | (0.53,0.81) | < 0.0001 | 1.67 | (1.30,2.16) | < 0.0001 | 1.52 | (1.18,1.97) | 0.001 |
| Reference | 0.80 | (0.60,1.06) | 0.12 | 0.94 | (0.70,1.25) | 0.65 | 2.63 | (1.90,3.65) | < 0.0001 | 2.24 | (1.61,3.11) | < 0.0001 |
| Reference | 0.27 | (0.14,0.52) | < 0.0001 | 0.31 | (0.16,0.59) | 0.0004 | 3.30 | (1.86,5.87) | < 0.0001 | 2.57 | (1.44,4.61) | 0.002 |
| Reference | 0.91 | (0.73,1.14) | 0.42 | 0.95 | (0.76,1.19) | 0.64 | 1.72 | (1.29,2.29) | 0.0002 | 1.61 | (1.21,2.15) | 0.001 |
HR hazard ratio, CI confidence interval, reference: age of 60–65.