| Literature DB >> 34926805 |
Ying Jessica Cao1, Dandi Chen1, Yao Liu2, Maureen Smith1,3,4.
Abstract
We conducted a retrospective cohort study using a difference-in-differences design to estimate differences in primary care outpatient clinic visit utilization among high- and low-risk Medicare aging beneficiaries from an Accountable Care Organization during the COVID-19 pandemic compared to a control cohort from the previous year. High-risk was defined as having a Hierarchical Condition Category score of 2 or higher. A total of 582 101 patient-month records were analyzed. After adjusting for patient characteristics, those in the high-risk group had 339 (95% CI [333, 345]) monthly outpatient encounters (in-person and telehealth) per 1000 patients compared to 186 (95% CI [182, 190]) in the low-risk group. This represented a 22.8% and 26.5% decline from the previous year in each group, respectively. Within each group, there was lower utilization among those who were older, male, or dually eligible for Medicaid in the high-risk group and among those who were younger, male, or non-white in the low-risk group. Telehealth use was less common among patients who were older, dually eligible for Medicaid or living in rural/suburban areas compared to urban areas. All results were significant at the 95% level. We found significant disparities based on age, gender, insurance status, and non-white race in primary care utilization during the pandemic among Medicare beneficiaries. With the exception of gender, these disparities differed between high- and low-risk groups. Interventions targeting these vulnerable groups may improve health equity in the setting of public health emergencies.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Telehealth; aging; medicare; outpatient
Year: 2021 PMID: 34926805 PMCID: PMC8679021 DOI: 10.1177/23743735211065274
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Patient Exp ISSN: 2374-3735
Baseline Characteristics of Pandemic and Control Cohorts by Risk Group.
| Low risk | High risk | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline characteristics | Pandemic cohort (N = 9554) | Control cohort (N = 8758) | Pandemic cohort (N = 7202) | Control cohort (N = 6903) |
| Sociodemographic factors | ||||
| Mean Age (years, SD) | 73.98 (5.86) | 73.94 (5.94) | 76.76 (7.03) | 76.83 (7.14) |
| Age (years, %) | ||||
| 65-74 | 62.73 | 62.27 | 44.78 | 44 |
| 75-85 | 31.04 | 31.07 | 38.86 | 38.9 |
| 86+ | 6.23 | 6.66 | 16.36 | 17.11 |
| Female (%) | 63.35 | 64.09 | 56.64 | 56.45 |
| Race (%) | ||||
| Non-Hispanic White | 96.37 | 96.55 | 95.99 | 95.94 |
| Other race/ethnicity | 3.63 | 3.45 | 4.01 | 4.06 |
| Medicaid Insurance Ever (%) | 3.30 | 3.85 | 9.07 | 9.65 |
| Disability entitlement (%) | 2.37 | 2.42 | 6.90 | 6.58 |
| Rural/Urban (%) | ||||
| Urban | 70.39 | 71.39 | 67.63 | 69.04 |
| Suburban | 19.54 | 18.76 | 18.94 | 18.21 |
| Large town/rural | 8.77 | 8.77 | 12.00 | 11.50 |
| Small town/isolated rural | 1.30 | 1.07 | 1.42 | 1.23 |
| Mean HCC Score (SD) | 0.44 (0.50) | 0.46 (0.50) | 3.78 (2.26) | 3.71 (2.19) |
| Chronic conditions | ||||
| 3 or more chronic conditions (%) | 24.32 | 23.40 | 81.52 | 79.76 |
| Subsample indicators | ||||
| Case management (%) | 3.22 | 4.8 | 17.81 | 17.6 |
| Integrated care (%) | 3.6 | 5.57 | 21.99 | 21.79 |
Abbreviations: HCC, Hierarchical Condition Category; SD, standard deviation.
Figure 1.Number of primary care outpatient clinic visits and percentages of telehealth visits.
Number of Primary Care Outpatient Clinic Visits (in-Person & Telehealth) per 1000 Patients per Month.
| Low risk | High risk | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unadjusted Means—Average (SD) | ||||
| Baseline | Study period | Baseline | Study period | |
| Pandemic cohort | 231 (495) | 188 (463) | 446 (706) | 340 (630) |
| Control cohort | 223 (485) | 257 (533) | 432 (695) | 439 (703) |
| Adjusted Means in study period—Average (95% CI) | ||||
| Pandemic cohort | 186 (182, 190) | 339 (333, 345) | ||
| Control cohort | 253 (249, 258) | 439 (432, 446) | ||
| Adjusted means for pandemic cohort in study period—Avg. (95% CI) | ||||
|
|
| |||
| 65-74 years old | 173 (168, 177) | 332 (323, 342) | ||
| 75-85 years old | 207 (199, 214) | 359 (349, 370) | ||
| 86+ years old | 76.53 (.00) | 210 (194, 225) | 43.61 (.00) | 305 (290, 318) |
| Female | 194 (189, 199) | 348 (340, 356) | ||
| Male | 30.47 (.00) | 173 (167, 179) | 11.36 (.00) | 326 (317, 335) |
| Non-white race | 161 (142, 179) | 323 (293, 353) | ||
| White race | 6.2 (.01) | 187 (183, 191) | 1.06 (.30) | 339 (333, 345) |
| Medicaid dual | 198 (175, 220) | 284 (266, 302) | ||
| Non-Medicaid | 0.61 (.44) | 186 (182, 190) | 32.51 (.00) | 349 (338, 351) |
| Disabled | 189 (164, 214) | 369 (344, 395) | ||
| Nondisabled | 0.01 (.92) | 186 (182, 190) | 10.13(.00) | 336 (330, 342) |
| Rural | 187 (175, 198) | 325 (310, 341) | ||
| Suburban | 180 (172, 188) | 330 (317, 344) | ||
| Urban | 2.52 (.28) | 188 (183, 192) | 4.88 (.09) | 343 (335, 350) |
| N. of obs. - patient-month | 329 429 | 252 581 | ||
Adjusted models were estimated using negative binomial regressions. Dependent variable was the number of clinics visits (both in-person and telehealth) per 1000 beneficiaries per month. Reference groups are control cohort residents in the baseline period who are aged 65 to 74 years or female or white or non-Medicaid or nondisabled or urban. Standard deviations (SD) or robust 95% confidence interval (CI) in parentheses.
Predictors of Telehealth Use in the Pandemic Cohort by Risk Group.
| Variables | Low risk | High risk |
|---|---|---|
| Age 75-85 years (ref. 65-74 years) | 0.98 (0.88, 1.08) | 0.97 (0.87, 1.09) |
| Age 86+ years (ref. 65-74 years) | ||
| Female (ref. Male) | 1.08* (0.99, 1.18) | 1.05 (0.95, 1.16) |
| Non-White Race (ref. White) | 0.83 (0.66, 1.04) | 1.03 (0.80, 1.32) |
| HCC Score | ||
| Dual Medicaid Coverage (ref. non-Medicaid) | 0.88 (0.68, 1.13) | |
| Disability (ref. non-Disabled) | 1.13 (0.85, 1.51) | 1.08 (0.87, 1.33) |
| Rural (ref. Urban) | ||
| Suburban (ref. Urban) | ||
| Predicted likelihood of telehealth adoption | 38.37% | 64.55% |
| Predicted # of telehealth visits per 1000 people over the study period (SE) out of all sample | 574 (319) | 1340 (515) |
| Predicted # of telehealth visits per 1000 people over the study period out of telehealth adopters (SE) | 1478 (182) | 2069 (433) |
| Robust confidence interval in parentheses |
Abbreviation: HCC, Hierarchical Condition Category.
*** P < .01, ** P < .05, * P < .1.
Models were estimated using logistic regressions. Dependent variable was a binary indicator of telehealth adopter (=1) or non-adopter (=0) among the pandemic cohort during the study period. Reference groups are control cohort residents in the baseline period who are aged 65 to 74 years or female or white or non-Medicaid or nondisabled or urban. Entries are odds ratios (OR). Robust 95% confidence interval (CI) or standard error (SE) in parentheses.
Baseline Characteristics of Telehealth Users and Non-Telehealth Users.
| Low risk | High risk | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline characteristic | Telehealth users (N = 3666) | Non-Telehealth users (N = 5888) | Telehealth users (N = 4649) | Non-Telehealth users (N = 2553) |
| Sociodemographic Factors | ||||
| Mean Age (years, SD) | 74.35 (5.97) | 73.75 (5.77) | 76.57 (6.91) | 77.10 (7.23) |
| Age (years, %) | ||||
| 65-74 | 60.23 | 64.28 | 45.24 | 43.95 |
| 75-85 | 33.06 | 29.79 | 39.79 | 37.17 |
| 86+ | 6.71 | 5.93 | 14.97 | 18.88 |
| Female (%) | 64.21 | 62.81 | 56.59 | 56.72 |
| Race (%) | ||||
| Non-Hispanic White | 96.56 | 96.25 | 95.93 | 96.08 |
| Other | 3.44 | 3.75 | 4.07 | 3.92 |
| Medicaid Insurance Ever (%) | 3.71 | 3.04 | 8.32 | 10.42 |
| Disability Entitlement (%) | 2.92 | 2.02 | 7.08 | 6.58 |
| Rural/Urban (%) | ||||
| Urban | 73.35 | 68.55 | 70.34 | 62.71 |
| Suburban | 17.40 | 20.87 | 17.83 | 20.96 |
| Large town | 8.16 | 9.15 | 10.39 | 14.92 |
| Small town/isolated rural | 1.09 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.41 |
| Mean HCC score (SD) | 0.54 (0.50) | 0.38 (0.49) | 3.98 (2.35) | 3.41 (2.01) |
| Chronic Conditions | ||||
| 3 or more chronic conditions (%) | 33.06 | 18.89 | 84.86 | 75.44 |
| Subsample indicators | ||||
| Case management (%) | 3.98 | 2.75 | 19.01 | 15.63 |
| Integrated care (%) | 4.61 | 2.97 | 23.66 | 18.96 |
Abbreviations: HCC, Hierarchical Condition Category; SD, standard deviation.