| Literature DB >> 34904189 |
Dina Ali Hamad1, Mai Mostafa Aly2, Marwa Ahmed Abdelhameid3, Shimaa Abdalla Ahmed4, Asmaa Salah Shaltout5, Alaa Eldin Abdel-Moniem6, Ahmed Mohamed Reda Ragheb7, Mohammed Nahed Attia8, Taghreed Sayed Meshref6.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The Coronavirus 2019 is a pandemic that has spread worldwide, threatening human health. The main cause of death in patients with COVID-19 is a systemic pro-inflammatory mechanism that quickly progresses to acute respiratory distress syndrome. Hematological ratios as affordable indicators of inflammatory response were studied in COVID-19 patients. The study aimed to study the importance of the blood cell indexes of the systemic inflammatory response, as the Aggregate Index of Systemic Inflammation (AISI), neutrophils lymphocyte to platelet ratio (NLPR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and, systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) in predicting intensive care unit (ICU) admission of COVID-19 patients.Entities:
Keywords: AISI; COVID-19; Egypt; Intensive care unit; SII
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34904189 PMCID: PMC8668150 DOI: 10.1007/s44197-021-00021-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Epidemiol Glob Health ISSN: 2210-6006
Demographic data of the studied population
| Group | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-ICU | CCU | ||
| Age/years(median) | 33 | 58 | |
| Sex /males | 91(49.2%) | 181(58.4%) | 0.013** |
| Smoking | 37(20.0%) | 65(21.0%) | 0.754** |
| Comorbidities | |||
| DM | 11(6.0%) | 81(26.1%) | |
| HTN | 14(7.6%) | 113(36.5%) | |
| CVD | 9(4.9%) | 85(27.4%) | |
| COPD | 5(2.7%) | 35(11.3%) | |
| Laboratory data (mean ± SD) | |||
| HB (g/dL) | 12.14 ± 2.54 | 11.67 ± 2.55 | |
| Platelets (× 109/L) | 208.03 ± 103.65 | 256.55 ± 130.87 | |
| TLC (× 109/L) | 5.31 ± 3.57 | 10.79 ± 7.06 | |
| ANC (× 109/L) | 2.96 ± 2.55 | 8.40 ± 5.88 | |
| ALC (× 109/L) | 1.72 ± 1.22 | 1.56 ± 1.06 | |
| AMC (× 109/L) | 0.41 ± 0.44 | 0.69 ± 0.91 | |
| NLR | 2.04 ± 1.68 | 7.40 ± 6.61 | |
| AISI | 256.38 ± 505.47 | 1318.81 ± 1948.85 | |
| NLPR | 0.01 ± 0.02 | 0.04 ± 0.05 | |
| SII | 492.29 ± 804.49 | 2016.29 ± 2162.88 | |
| SIRI | 1.05 ± 1.60 | 4.91 ± 7.60 | |
| CRP (mg/l) | 33.30 ± 44.74 | 96.82 ± 120.29 | |
| Ferritin (mcg/ml) | 241.74 ± 221.54 | 235.55 ± 237.43 | |
| D-dimer (mcg/ml) | 0.63 ± 0.46 | 4.57 ± 2.92 | |
| MSCT | |||
| Bilateral affection or multiple unilateral affection | 168 (90.8%) | 310 (100.0%) | |
| Oxygen support | |||
| Any oxygen aids other than mechanical ventilation | 27 (14.6%) | 112 (36.1%) | |
| Mechanical ventilation | 0 (0.0%) | 99 (67.8) | |
| Outcome | |||
| Death | 13 (7%) | 120 (38.7%) | |
Bold indicates P value < 0.05 are statistically significant
AISI Aggregate Index of Systemic Inflammation, ALC absolute lymphocytic count, ANC absolute monocyte count, ANC absolute neutrophil count, COPD chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, CRP C-reactive protein, CVD Cardio Vascular Disease, DM diabetes mellitus, HB hemoglobin, HTN hypertension, LMR lymphocyte to monocyte ratio, MSCT multi-slice computed tomography, NLPR neutrophils lymphocyte to platelet ratio, NLR neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, SII systemic immune-inflammation index, SIRI systemic inflammation response index, WBCs white blood cells
*Mann–Whitney test
*Chi-square test
***Fisher`s Exact test
Fig. 1ROC curves to detect the optimum cut-off values of hematological ratios, AISI; Aggregate Index of Systemic Inflammation (> 729); NLPR; neutrophils lymphocyte to platelet ratio (> 0.0195); SII; systemic immune-inflammation index (> 1346) and SIRI; systemic inflammation response index (> 2.5)
Area under curve (AUC) of AISI, NLPR, SII and SIRI
| AUC | 95% CI | Cut off point | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | ||||||
| AISI | 0.807 | 0.767 | 0.846 | > 729 | 51.7 | 91.9 | |
| NLPR | 0.768 | 0.725 | 0.810 | > 0.0195 | 61.3 | 80.9 | |
| SII | 0.819 | 0.782 | 0.856 | > 1346 | 50.9 | 95.6 | |
| SIRI | 0.815 | 0.777 | 0.854 | > 2.5 | 59.4 | 92.8 | |
The test variable(s): AISI, NLPR, SII and SIRI had at least one tie between the positive actual state group and the negative actual state group.
AISI Aggregate Index of Systemic Inflammation, AUC area under curve, CI confidence interval, NLPR neutrophils lymphocyte to platelet ratio, SII systemic immune-inflammation index, SIRI systemic inflammation response index, PV predictive value
Fig. 2Survival rate using Kaplan–Meier in the studied groups; (non-ICU and ICU groups) showing mean survival 21.35 days in non-ICU vs. 17.75 days in ICU patients (P < 0.001)
Fig. 3Survival analysis using Kaplan–Meier curves according to the studied blood indexes of systemic inflammation: A AISI > 729 vs AISI < 729; P < 0.001, B NLRP > 0.0195 vs. NLRP < 0.0195; P = 0.007 C SIRI > 2,5 vs. SIRI < 2.5; P < 0.001 and (D)SII > 1346 vs. SII < 1346; P < 0.001. AISI, Aggregate Index of Systemic Inflammation; NLPR, neutrophils lymphocyte to platelet ratio; SII, systemic immune-inflammation index; SIRI, systemic inflammation response index
Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis of risk factors associated with ICU admission in COVID-1
| Univariable Odds ratio | 95% CI | Multivariable Odds ratio | 95% CI | P value | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | Lower | Upper | |||||
| Age | 1.072 | 1.057 | 1.087 | < 0.001 | 1.054 | 1.005 | 1.078 | 0.048 |
| Sex (male vs. female) | 1.601 | 1.104 | 2.321 | 0.013 | 1.752 | 0.790 | 3.338 | 0.196 |
| DM (yes vs. no) | 5.563 | 2.875 | 10.763 | < 0.001 | 1.023 | 0.345 | 1.893 | 0.461 |
| HTN (yes vs. no) | 6.965 | 3.853 | 12.590 | < 0.001 | 1.496 | 0.718 | 5.215 | 0.982 |
| Cardiovascular diseases (yes vs no) | 7.388 | 3.615 | 15.099 | < 0.001 | 3.058 | 0.921 | 8.878 | 0.544 |
| COPD (yes VS no) | 4.599 | 1.768 | 11.959 | 0.002 | 3.559 | 1.828 | 8.969 | 0.765 |
| AISI | 1.004 | 1.003 | 1.005 | < 0.001 | 1.003 | 1.001 | 1.005 | 0.003 |
| NLPR | 1.001 | 0.0076 | 1.001 | < 0.001 | 1.000 | 0.999 | 1.002 | 0.843 |
| SII | 1.002 | 1.001 | 1.002 | < 0.001 | 1.008 | 0.626 | 1.967 | 0.768 |
| SIRI | 1.959 | 1.668 | 2.301 | < 0.001 | 1.014 | 1.004 | 1.024 | 0.789 |
| CRP | 1.021 | 1.016 | 1.027 | < 0.001 | 1.010 | 1.002 | 1.018 | 0.012 |
| Ferritin | 1.000 | 0.999 | 1.001 | 0.773 | ||||
| D-dimer | 25.207 | 13.327 | 47.680 | < 0.001 | 20.101 | 8.005 | 50.478 | < 0.001 |
Fig. 4ROC curve to detect the predicted probability of the joint indicators (AISI, CRP and D-dimer) for ICU admission. The area under ROC curve of the combination of these three parameters was 0.98 (P < 0.001). AISI Aggregate Index of Systemic Inflammation, CRP C-reactive protein, ICU intensive care unit