Joan S Tucker1, Jordan P Davis2, Lilian G Perez3, David J Klein3, Elizabeth J D'Amico3. 1. RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California. Electronic address: jtucker@rand.org. 2. Suzanne Dworak-Peck School of Social Work, USC Center for Artificial Intelligence in Society, USC Center for Mindfulness Science, USC Institute for Addiction Science, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California. 3. RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California.
Abstract
PURPOSE: Economic instability is a significant and growing problem among emerging adults in the U.S. This study identifies adolescent factors across multiple levels of influence that predict homelessness and food insecurity 5 years later. METHODS: The analytic sample (n = 2,110) completed a survey in 2015-2016 (mean age 17) that assessed a range of demographic, behavioral health, family, peer, academic, and neighborhood factors, and a follow-up survey in 2019-2020 (mean age 23) that assessed past-year homelessness and food insecurity. Logistic regression analyses were conducted for the full sample, and by race/ethnicity. RESULTS: At follow-up, 7.5% of participants reported homelessness, and 29.3% reported food insecurity. Multivariate analyses indicated that only adverse childhood experiences and weaker academic orientation predicted both outcomes. Future homelessness was additionally predicted by greater exposure to substance using peers during adolescence. Identifying as Hispanic, lower maternal education, and greater neighborhood disorganization were risk factors for future food insecurity, and living with both biological parents and better mental health were protective factors. Race/ethnicity stratified models showed variations in multilevel predictors of both outcomes, except for adverse childhood experiences, which were significant across all subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Adverse childhood experiences and weaker academic orientation emerged as the most robust predictors of economic instability in emerging adulthood. However, a range of other modifiable multilevel predictors in adolescence were identified that were unique to homelessness or food insecurity and that varied by race/ethnicity. Results suggest the need for multilevel approaches early in life to reduce risk of economic instability during emerging adulthood.
PURPOSE: Economic instability is a significant and growing problem among emerging adults in the U.S. This study identifies adolescent factors across multiple levels of influence that predict homelessness and food insecurity 5 years later. METHODS: The analytic sample (n = 2,110) completed a survey in 2015-2016 (mean age 17) that assessed a range of demographic, behavioral health, family, peer, academic, and neighborhood factors, and a follow-up survey in 2019-2020 (mean age 23) that assessed past-year homelessness and food insecurity. Logistic regression analyses were conducted for the full sample, and by race/ethnicity. RESULTS: At follow-up, 7.5% of participants reported homelessness, and 29.3% reported food insecurity. Multivariate analyses indicated that only adverse childhood experiences and weaker academic orientation predicted both outcomes. Future homelessness was additionally predicted by greater exposure to substance using peers during adolescence. Identifying as Hispanic, lower maternal education, and greater neighborhood disorganization were risk factors for future food insecurity, and living with both biological parents and better mental health were protective factors. Race/ethnicity stratified models showed variations in multilevel predictors of both outcomes, except for adverse childhood experiences, which were significant across all subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Adverse childhood experiences and weaker academic orientation emerged as the most robust predictors of economic instability in emerging adulthood. However, a range of other modifiable multilevel predictors in adolescence were identified that were unique to homelessness or food insecurity and that varied by race/ethnicity. Results suggest the need for multilevel approaches early in life to reduce risk of economic instability during emerging adulthood.
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