| Literature DB >> 34901774 |
Gregory LeClair1, Matthew W H Chatfield1, Zachary Wood1, Jeffrey Parmelee2, Cheryl A Frederick3.
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic and its related human activity shutdowns provide unique opportunities for biodiversity monitoring through what has been termed the "anthropause" or the "great human confinement experiment." The pandemic caused immense disruption to human activity in the northeastern United States in the spring of 2020, with notable reductions in traffic levels. These shutdowns coincided with the seasonal migration of adult amphibians, which are typically subject to intense vehicle-impact mortality. Using data collected as part of an annual community science monitoring program in Maine from 2018 to 2021, we examined how amphibian mortality probabilities responded to reductions in traffic during the pandemic. While we detected a 50% decline for all amphibians, this was driven entirely by reductions in frog mortality. Wildlife collision data from the Maine Department of Transportation on other wildlife species support our finding of drastic declines in wildlife road mortality in spring 2020 when compared with immediately previous and subsequent years. Additionally, we find that frogs suffer significantly higher road mortality than salamanders, particularly when conditions are warmer and wetter.Entities:
Keywords: COVID‐19; amphibians; community science; mortality; road; traffic; transportation
Year: 2021 PMID: 34901774 PMCID: PMC8646393 DOI: 10.1111/csp2.535
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Conserv Sci Pract ISSN: 2578-4854
Volunteer involvement and effort across years
| Year | Number | Number certified | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sites surveyed | Volunteers | Volunteer hours | |
| 2018 | 4 | NA | 17.5 |
| 2019 | 13 | 23 | 25.5 |
| 2020 | 62 | 87 | 87.5 |
| 2021 | 137 | 316 | 737.1 |
Not all certified volunteers participated or were officially recorded as a participant (i.e., participated with another volunteer who submitted data on behalf of both).
2018 total certification numbers were not documented.
FIGURE 1Amphibian individual mortality probability site‐specific averages across years separated by (a) frogs, (b) salamanders, and (c) frogs and salamanders combined. Each point represents the average individual mortality probability for a single site for a given year. Larger points indicate site + year combinations with a larger amphibian sample size. Dark points and bars show generalized linear mixed model predictions and SEs, respectively. Letters indicate classification of years based on Tukey post hoc tests. Mortality probabilities data also used in unpublished submitted manuscript Bates et al. “Global COVID‐19 lockdown highlights humans as threats and custodians of the environment”
Type II likelihood ratio tests for amphibian road crossing individual mortality probability model variables
| Model | Variable |
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | Year | 36.23 | 3 |
|
| Maximum temperature | 0.22 | 1 | .64 | |
| Daily precipitation | 4.83 | 1 |
| |
| Frogs | Year | 41.04 | 3 |
|
| Maximum temperature | 0.77 | 1 | .38 | |
| Daily precipitation | 7.47 | 1 |
| |
| Salamanders | Year | 4.89 | 3 | .18 |
| Maximum temperature | 2.12 | 1 | .15 | |
| Daily precipitation | 0.08 | 1 | .77 |
Note: All are considered significant as out chosen alpha level is 0.05.
Estimated mean amphibian road crossing individual mortality probabilities from generalized linear mixed models, with lower and upper SE bounds. Mortality probability data for years 2018–2020 also used in unpublished accepted manuscript Bates et al. “Global COVID‐19 lockdown highlights humans as threats and custodians of the environment”
| Taxa | Year | Estimate | Lower | Upper |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 2018 | 16.2 | 11.0 | 23.3 |
| 2019 | 20.8 | 16.7 | 25.6 | |
| 2020 | 7.9 | 6.7 | 9.4 | |
| 2021 | 15.4 | 13.7 | 17.4 | |
| Frogs | 2018 | 15.8 | 9.5 | 24.9 |
| 2019 | 28.3 | 22.7 | 34.7 | |
| 2020 | 8.8 | 7.4 | 10.5 | |
| 2021 | 19.4 | 17.3 | 21.7 | |
| Salamanders | 2018 | 18.8 | 8.6 | 36.3 |
| 2019 | 11.1 | 7.1 | 17.1 | |
| 2020 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 7.3 | |
| 2021 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 6.7 |
FIGURE 2Responses of amphibian individual mortality probabilities to weather variables. (a,b) Correspond to frog mortality probabilities compared with temperature and precipitation, respectively, and (c,d) correspond to salamander mortality probability responses to temperature and precipitation, respectively. Each point represents the average individual mortality probability for a single site on a single night. Larger points indicate site + night combinations with a larger amphibian sample size. Lines indicate generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) year‐specific predictions
FIGURE 3Statewide deer–vehicle collision reported by the Maine DOT in March and April for years 2018–2021
FIGURE 4Relative traffic volume for several rural roads in Maine for (a) March and (b) April from 2018 to 2021. Each line indicates a single road. Letters indicate classification of years based on Tukey post hoc tests. For list of roads, see supplemental materials
Correlations of yearly amphibian mortality probabilities, deer collision rates, and traffic volume
| Frog mortality probability | Salamander mortality probability | Deer collisions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salamander mortality rate | 0.33 | ||
| Deer collisions | 0.81 | 0.81 | |
| Traffic volume | 0.83 | 0.43 | 0.73 |
Abbreviation: GLMM, generalized linear mixed models.
GLMM model estimate, logit‐transformed.
ln‐transformed sum of March and April statewide collisions.
Average of ln‐transformed March and April volume/2018–2021 averages.