| Literature DB >> 34887846 |
Mohammed Safi1, Mahmoud Al-Azab2, Chenxing Jin1, Dario Trapani3, Salem Baldi4, Salah Adlat5, Aman Wang1, Bashir Ahmad6, Hamza Al-Madani7, Xiu Shan1, Jiwei Liu1.
Abstract
Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have revolutionized metastatic melanoma treatment, but our knowledge of ICI activity across age groups is insufficient. Patients in different age groups with advanced melanoma were selected based on the ICI approval time in this study. Patients with melanoma were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result (SEER) database program 2004-2016. The results showed that 4,040 patients had advanced melanoma before the advent of ICI (referred to as the "non-ICI era"), whereas there were 6,188 cases after ICI approval (referred to as the "ICI era"). In all age groups, the cases were dominated by men. The differences between the first (20-59 years) and second (60-74 years) age groups in both eras were significant in terms of surgery performance and holding of insurance policies (p = 0.05). The first and second groups (20-59 and 60-70 years old, respectively) showed no difference in survival (median = 8 months) during the non-ICI era, but the difference was evident in the first, second, and third age groups in the ICI era, with the younger group (20-59 years) having significantly better survival (median = 18, 14, and 10 months, respectively, p = 0.0001). Multivariate analysis of the first group (the youngest) in the ICI era revealed that surgery was significantly associated with an increase in survival among patients compared with those who did not undergo surgery (p < 0.0001). Furthermore, having an insurance policy among all age groups in the ICI era was associated with favorable survival in the first (20-59 years) and second (60-74 years) age groups (p = 0.0001), while there were no survival differences in the older ICI group (>74 years). Although there were differences in survival between the ICI era and the non-ICI era, these results demonstrate that ICI positively affected the survival of younger patients with advanced melanoma (first age group) than it had beneficial effects on older patients. Moreover, having had cancer surgery and holding an insurance policy were positive predictors for patient survival. This study emphasizes that adequate clinical and preclinical studies are important to enhance ICI outcomes across age groups.Entities:
Keywords: SEER database; age distribution; epidemiology; immune-checkpoint inhibitor (ICI); melanoma
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34887846 PMCID: PMC8650702 DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2021.609728
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Immunol ISSN: 1664-3224 Impact factor: 7.561
Figure 1Detailed description of the inclusion criteria.
Characteristics of advanced melanoma patients.
| Parameters | 20–59 years |
| 60–74 years |
| >74 years |
| |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Non-ICI era: | ICI era: | Non-ICI era: | ICI era: | Non-ICI era: | ICI era: | ||||
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| |||||||||
|
| 1,193 (69.6) | 1,621 (62.9) | 0.0001 | 899 (71.0) | 1,621 (70.9) | 0.0001 | 662 (62.5) | 837 (63.2) | 0.733 |
|
| 521 (30.4) | 955 (37.1) | 367 (29.0) | 666 (29.1) | 398 (37.5) | 488 (36.8) | |||
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| 1,649 (96.5) | 2,468 (96.2) | 0.689 | 1,207 (95.3) | 2,191 (96.4) | 0.219 | 1,014 (95.8) | 1,269 (96.5) | 0.609 |
|
| 27 (1.6) | 40 (1.6) | 28 (2.2) | 33 (1.5) | 21 (2.0) | 20 (1.5) | |||
|
| 32 (1.9) | 58 (2.3) | 31 (2.4) | 50 (2.2) | 24 (2.3) | 26 (2.0) | |||
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|
| 906 (52.9) | 1,343 (52.1) | 0.662 | 779 (61.5) | 1,342 (58.7) | 0.101 | 531 (50.1) | 688 (51.9) | 0.387 |
|
| 808 (47.1) | 1,233 (47.9) | 487 (38.5) | 945 (41.3) | 529 (49.9) | 637 (48.1) | |||
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|
| 395 (23.0) | 823 (31.9) | 0.0001 | 264 (20.9) | 636 (27.8 | 0.0001 | 264 (24.9) | 343 (25.9) | 0.030 |
|
| 443 (25.8) | 786 (30.5) | 269 (21.2) | 650 (28.4) | 236 (22.3) | 348 (26.3) | |||
|
| 876 (51.1) | 967 (37.5) | 733 (57.9) | 1,001 (43.8) | 560 (52.8) | 634 (47.8) | |||
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| 446 (26) | 695 (27) | 0.0001 | 236 (18.6) | 566 (24.7) | 0.0001 | 204 (15.4) | 168 (15.8) | 0.948 |
|
| 175 (10.2) | 316 (12.3) | 123 (9.7) | 299 (13.1) | 183 (13.8) | 138 (13) | |||
|
| 217 (12.7) | 494 (19.2) | 150 (11.8) | 321 (14) | 204 (15.4) | 164 (15.5) | |||
|
| 876 (51.1) | 1,071 (41.6) | 757 (59.8) | 1,101 (48.1) | 734 (55.4) | 590 (55.7) | |||
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| |||||||||
|
| 913 (53.6) | 1,683 (65.4) | 0.0001 | 621 (49.2) | 1,374 (60.3) | 0.0001 | 549 (52.3) | 726 (54.9) | 0.214 |
|
| 791 (46.4) | 891 (34.6) | 641 (50.8) | 906 (39.7) | 501 (47.7) | 597 (45.1) | |||
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| 598 (35.3) | 609 (23.8) | 0.0001 | 407 (32.4) | 551 (24.3) | 0.0001 | 231 (21.9) | 252 (19.2) | 0.112 |
|
| 1,098 (64.7) | 1,946 (76.2) | 851 (67.6) | 1,721 (75.7) | 824 (78.1) | 1,063 (80.8) | |||
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| |||||||||
|
| 596 (34.8) | 513 (19.9) | 0.0001 | 382 (30.2) | 363 (15.9) | 0.0001 | 141 (13.3) | 135 (10.2) | 0.020 |
|
| 1,118 (65.2) | 2,063 (80.1) | 884 (69.8) | 1,924 (84.1) | 919 (86.7) | 1,190 (89.8) | |||
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| 265 (10.5) | 273 (12.3) | 134 (10.5) | ||||||
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| 2,251 (89.5) | 1,943 (87.7) | 1,147 (89.5) | ||||||
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|
| 444 (17.6) | 434 (19.4) | 210 (16.4) | ||||||
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| 2,077 (82.4) | 1,804 (80.6) | 1,070 (83.6) | ||||||
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| 292 (11.6) | 314 (14.1) | 175 (13.6) | ||||||
|
| 2225 (88.4) | 1,905 (85.9) | 1,109 (86.4) | ||||||
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| 477 (19) | 541 (24.3) | 360 (28.0) | ||||||
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| 2,035 (81) | 1,684 (75.7) | 928 (72) | ||||||
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| 845 (49.30) | 2,347 (91.1) | 0.0001 | 725 (57.27) | 2,164 (94.6) | 0.0001 | 596 (56.23) | 1,266 (95.5) | 0.0001 |
|
| 154 (8.98) | 229 (8.9) | 46 (3.63) | 123 (5.4) | 31 (2.92) | 59 (4.5) | |||
|
| 715 (41.72) | 0 (0) | 495 (39.1) | 0 (0) | 433 (40.85) | 0 (0) | |||
ICI, immune checkpoint inhibitor.
Figure 2Survival differences in the age groups within each era (non-ICI and ICI). (A, B) Kaplan–Meier (KM) survival difference in the non-ICI and the ICI era (p = 0.0004 and p < 0.0001, respectively). (C, D) Multivariate Cox models for the age groups in the non-ICI era (20–59 years: p = 0.0001; 60–74 years: HR = 1.01, CI = 0.94–1.09, p = 0.614; >74 years : HR = 1.16, CI = 1.07–1.26, p = 0.0001) (C) and the ICI era (20–59 years: p < 0.0001; 60–74 years: HR = 1.37, CI = 1.261.50, p < 0.0001; >74 years: HR = 2.04, CI = 1.85–2.24, p < 0.0001) (D). ICI, immune checkpoint inhibitor.
Survival patterns of the age groups in the non-immunotherapy and the immunotherapy era.
| Parameters | Median (months) | Log rank | Median (months) | Log rank | Median (months) | Log rank | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Non-ICI era: 20–59 years | ICI era: 20–59 years | Non-ICI era: 60–74 years | ICI era: 60–74 years | Non-ICI era: >74 years | ICI era: >74 years | ||||||||||||
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| 8.00 | 16.00 | 0.000 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 0.000 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 0.000 | ||||||||
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| 9.00 | 21.00 | 0.000 | 8.00 | 16.00 | 0.000 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 0.000 | ||||||||
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| 8.00 | 18.00 | 0.000 | 7.00 | 14.00 | 0.000 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 0.000 | ||||||||
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| 12.00 | 14.00 | 0.059 | 12.00 | 13.00 | 0.177 | 10.00 | 11.00 | 0.429 | ||||||||
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| 11.00 | 20.00 | 0.000 | 12.00 | 15.00 | 0.042 | 12.00 | 11.00 | 0.991 | ||||||||
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| 9.00 | 20.00 | 0.000 | 8.00 | 15.00 | 0.000 | 8.00 | 10.00 | 0.000 | ||||||||
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| 7.00 | 15.00 | 0.000 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 0.000 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 0.000 | ||||||||
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| 12.00 | 21.00 | 0.000 | 12.00 | 18.00 | 0.000 | 11.00 | 13.00 | 0.000 | ||||||||
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| 12.00 | 21.00 | 0.000 | 11.00 | 18.00 | 0.000 | 12.00 | 13.00 | 0.000 | ||||||||
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| 6.00 | 10.00 | 0.000 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 0.000 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 0.000 | ||||||||
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| 10.00 | 21.00 | 0.000 | 10.00 | 16.00 | 0.000 | 9.00 | 11.00 | 0.001 | ||||||||
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| 13.00 | 21.00 | 0.000 | 11.00 | 18.00 | 0.000 | 12.00 | 14.00 | 0.001 | ||||||||
|
| 12.00 | 22.00 | 0.000 | 12.00 | 19.00 | 0.000 | 12.00 | 16.00 | 0.001 | ||||||||
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| 6.00 | 11.00 | 0.000 | 5.00 | 10.00 | 0.000 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 0.000 | ||||||||
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| 13.00 | 21.00 | 0.000 | 12.00 | 19.00 | 0.000 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 0.000 | ||||||||
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| 5.00 | 8.00 | 0.000 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 0.000 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 0.000 | ||||||||
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| 6.00 | 10.00 | 0.000 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 0.000 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 0.015 | ||||||||
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| 10.00 | 21.00 | 0.000 | 9.00 | 17.00 | 0.000 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 0.000 | ||||||||
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| 8.00 | 11.00 | 0.000 | 8.00 | 9.00 | 0.000 | 7.00 | 8.00 | 0.486 | ||||||||
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| 9.00 | 20.00 | 0.000 | 7.00 | 16.00 | 0.000 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 0.000 | ||||||||
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| 9.00 | 18.00 | 0.000 | 8.00 | 14.00 | 0.000 | 8.00 | 10.00 | 0.000 | ||||||||
|
| 7.00 | 14.00 | 0.000 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 0.025 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 0.052 | ||||||||
ICI, immune checkpoint inhibitor.
Figure 3Kaplan–Meier (KM) results of the age groups in the ICI era for the selected variables: sex, marital status, surgery status, and insurance status.
Figure 4Survival pattern of the presence of metastatic sites in each age group of the ICI era. (A) First age group, 20–59 years. (B) Second age group, 60–74 years. (C) Third age group, >74 years.
Figure 5Comparative sites of metastasis among the age groups. (A) Bone. (B) Brain. (C) Liver. (D) Lung.
| Parameters | ( 20-59 years) Non-ICI era | ( 20-59 years) ICI era | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Univariate HR (CI) | P value | Multivariate HR (CI) | P value | Univariate HR (CI) | P value | Multivariate HR (CI) | P-value | |
| Sex Male vs. female | 0.937(0.844-1.041) | 0.228 | 0.656(0.575-0.748) | 0.000 | 0.736(0.640-0.846) | 0.000 | ||
| Race | ||||||||
| White | 0.996 | 0.523 | ||||||
| Black | 0.984(0.673-1.440) | 0.936 | 1.290(0.829-2.009) | 0.259 | ||||
| Others | 1.004(0.708-1.425) | 0.981 | 0.975(0.656-1.450) | 0.902 | ||||
| Marital | 1.144(1.039-1.260) | 0.006 | 1.209(1.095-1.334) | 0.000 | 1.501(1.332-1.692) | 0.000 | 1.464(1.290-1.661) | 0.000 |
| Primary site | ||||||||
| Trunk | 0.000 | 0.391 | 0.000 | 0.505 | ||||
| Upper site | 0.928(0.776-1.110) | 0.415 | 0.902(0.751-1.084) | 0.271 | 0.950(0.756-1.195) | 0.663 | 0.965(0.761-1.225) | 0.772 |
| Lower site | 0.870(0.737-1.028) | 0.102 | 0.868(0.732-1.030) | 0.106 | 0.810(0.654-1.003) | 0.053 | 0.847(0.675-1.062) | 0.150 |
| Others | 1.562(1.390-1.756) | 0.000 | 0.959(0.801-1.148) | 0.651 | 2.206(1.897-2.566) | 0.000 | 0.913(0.730-1.141) | 0.423 |
| Laterality | ||||||||
| Right | 0.000 | 0.815 | 0.000 | 0.123 | ||||
| Left | 1.015(0.884-1.167) | 0.830 | 1.046(0.909-1.205) | 0.529 | 0.939(0.790-1.117) | 0.480 | 1.002(0.836-1.199) | 0.987 |
| Others | 1.635(1.448-1.847) | 0.000 | 1.032(0.856-1.243) | 0.743 | 2.549(2.204-2.949) | 0.000 | 1.252(0.996-1.574) | 0.054 |
| Surgery Performed vs. others | 2.169(1.964-2.395) | 0.000 | 2.130(1.847-2.457) | 0.000 | 3.244(2.876-3.658) | 0.000 | 1.536(1.258-1.874) | 0.000 |
| Chemotherapy Yes vs. no | 0.806(0.728-0.892) | 0.000 | 1.042(0.934-1.163) | 0.462 | 0.528(0.464-0.600) | 0.000 | 1.032(0.891-1.194) | 0.676 |
| Radiotherapy Yes vs. no | 0.700(0.632-0.775) | 0.000 | 0.857(0.768-0.957) | 0.006 | 0.376(0.333-0.425) | 0.000 | 0.818(0.695-0.962) | 0.015 |
| Insurance Yes vs. no | 0.996(0.831-1.194) | 0.965 | 1.660(1.377-2.002) | 0.000 | 1.611(1.317-1.972) | 0.000 | ||
| Bone mets | 0.273(0.234-0.318) | 0.000 | 0.729(0.603-0.881) | 0.001 | ||||
| Brain mets | 0.226(0.198-0.257) | 0.000 | 0.524(0.437-0.628) | 0.000 | ||||
| Liver mets | 0.229(0.198-0.266) | 0.000 | 0.539(0.446-0.651) | 0.000 | ||||
| Lung mets | 0.256(0.225-0.291) | 0.000 | 0.667(0.562-0.792) | 0.000 | ||||
Univariate and multivariate analysis of factors affecting the survival in non-ICI era and ICI in second age group.
| Parameters | ( 60-74 years) Non-ICI era | ( 60-74 years) ICI era | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Univariate HR (CI) | P value | Multivariate HR (CI) | P value | Univariate HR (CI) | P value | Multivariate HR (CI) | P-value | |
| Sex Male vs. female | 1.001(0.886-1.131) | 0.988 | 0.791(0.694-0.901) | 0.000 | 0.795(0.691-0.915) | 0.001 | ||
| Race | ||||||||
| White | 0.217 | 0.948 | ||||||
| Black | 0.808(0.548-1.192) | 0.283 | 0.986(0.626-1.552) | 0.951 | ||||
| Others | 0.771(0.537-1.109) | 0.161 | 0.941(0.651-1.361) | 0.746 | ||||
| Marital | 1.086(0.969-1.217) | 0.155 | 1.265(1.128-1.418) | 0.000 | 1.357(1.201-1.534) | 0.000 | ||
| Primary site | ||||||||
| Trunk | 0.000 | 0.291 | 0.000 | 0.005 | ||||
| Upper site | 0.848(0.680-1.057) | 0.142 | 0.874(0.699-1.094) | 0.240 | 0.907(0.735-1.118) | 0.359 | 1.042(0.840-1.293) | 0.709 |
| Lower site | 0.803(0.652-0.989) | 0.039 | 0.828(0.669-1.024) | 0.082 | 0.720(0.581-0.893) | 0.003 | 0.825(0.657-1.036) | 0.098 |
| Others | 1.321(1.140-1.531) | 0.000 | 0.884(0.717-1.089) | 0.247 | 1.634(1.414-1.888) | 0.000 | 0.725(0.591-0.889) | 0.002 |
| Laterality | ||||||||
| Right | 0.000 | 0.571 | 0.000 | 0.398 | ||||
| Left | 1.092(0.920-1.297) | 0.314 | 1.097(0.922-1.305) | 0.296 | 0.919(0.778-1.085) | 0.317 | 0.891(0.750-1.057) | 0.185 |
| Others | 1.593(1.381-1.837) | 0.000 | 1.066(0.855-1.330) | 0.571 | 1.946(1.693-2.237) | 0.000 | 0.970(0.784-1.200) | 0.779 |
| Surgery Performed vs. others | 1.920(1.715-2.148) | 0.000 | 1.877(1.610-2.189) | 0.000 | 3.031(2.698-3.405) | 0.000 | 2.103(1.750-2.527) | 0.000 |
| Chemotherapy Yes vs. no | 0.960(0.850-1.083) | 0.505 | 0.631(0.549-0.725) | 0.000 | 1.062(0.909-1.240) | 0.451 | ||
| Radiotherapy Yes vs. no | 0.750(0.665-0.845) | 0.000 | 0.881(0.777-0.998) | 0.047 | 0.476(0.422-0.538) | 0.000 | 0.930(0.791-1.093) | 0.379 |
| Insurance Yes vs. no | 1.069(0.791-1.445) | 0.663 | 1.397(1.088-1.794) | 0.009 | 1.236(0.943-1.620) | 0.124 | ||
| Bone mets | 0.304(0.262-0.353) | 0.000 | 0.596(0.500-0.711) | 0.000 | ||||
| Brain mets | 0.290(0.255-0.330) | 0.000 | 0.524(0.439-0.625) | 0.000 | ||||
| Liver mets | 0.275(0.239-0.317) | 0.000 | 0.596(0.500-0.709) | 0.000 | ||||
| Lung mets | 0.316(0.279-0.357) | 0.000 | 0.645(0.550-0.756) | 0.000 | ||||
Univariate and multivariate analysis of factors affecting the survival in non-ICI era and ICI in third age group.
| Parameters | ( >74years) Non-ICI era | ( >74years) ICI era | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Univariate HR (CI) | P value | Multivariate HR (CI) | P value | Univariate HR (CI) | P value | Multivariate HR (CI) | P-value | |
| Sex Male vs. female | 1.029(0.908-1.166) | 0.651 | 0.830(0.722-0.955) | 0.009 | 0.942(0.811-1.093) | 0.482 | ||
| Race | ||||||||
| White | 0.209 | 0.616 | ||||||
| Black | 0.751(0.487-1.158) | 0.195 | 0.744(0.411-1.349) | 0.331 | ||||
| Others | 0.771(0.510-1.166) | 0.217 | 1.037(0.622-1.728) | 0.890 | ||||
| Marital | 1.173(1.039-1.324) | 0.010 | 1.140(1.007-1.291) | 0.039 | 1.140(0.998-1.303) | 0.054 | ||
| Primary site | ||||||||
| Trunk | 0.000 | 0.148 | 0.000 | 0.464 | ||||
| Upper site | 0.803(0.641-1.006) | 0.056 | 0.859(0.681-1.083) | 0.198 | 0.800(0.617-1.038) | 0.093 | 0.946(0.721-1.243) | 0.692 |
| Lower site | 0.780(0.628-0.968) | 0.024 | 0.767(0.613-0.961) | 0.021 | 0.744(0.574-0.964) | 0.025 | 0.831(0.630-1.095) | 0.188 |
| Others | 1.433(1.207-1.702) | 0.000 | 0.908(0.727-1.133) | 0.391 | 1.459(1.198-1.777) | 0.000 | 0.859(0.674-1.094) | 0.218 |
| Laterality | ||||||||
| Right | 0.000 | 0.749 | 0.000 | 0.734 | ||||
| Left | 0.941(0.789-1.122) | 0.496 | 0.960 (0.805-1.146) | 0.653 | 0.914(0.750-1.115) | 0.376 | 0.952(0.776-1.168) | 0.637 |
| Others | 1.690(1.458-1.959) | 0.000 | 1.050(0.837-1.316) | 0.673 | 1.788(1.513-2.114) | 0.000 | 0.905(0.704-1.164) | 0.437 |
| Surgery Performed vs. others | 2.285(2.018-2.589) | 0.000 | 2.089(1.774-2.459) | 0.000 | 2.486(2.171-2.847) | 0.000 | 1.642(1.335-2.019) | 0.000 |
| Radiation status Yes vs. no | 0.756(0.653-0.877) | 0.000 | 0.860(0.739-1.001) | 0.051 | 0.644(0.550-0.754) | 0.000 | 1.076(0.890-1.300) | 0.450 |
| Chemotherapy Yes vs. no | 0.968(0.810-1.156) | 0.718 | 0.727(0.595-0.890) | 0.002 | 1.178(0.948-1.464) | 0.140 | ||
| Insurance Yes vs. no | 1.185(0.821-1.710) | 0.366 | 1.061(0.767-1.469) | 0.719 | ||||
| Bone mets | 0.438(0.359-0.534) | 0.000 | 0.829(0.655-1.048) | 0.117 | ||||
| Brain mets | 0.294(0.249-0.347) | 0.000 | 0.412(0.334-0.509) | 0.000 | ||||
| Liver mets | 0.330(0.276-0.395) | 0.000 | 0.514(0.416-0.637) | 0.000 | ||||
| Lung mets | 0.378(0.327-0.436) | 0.000 | 0.633(0.529-0.759) | 0.000 | ||||