| Literature DB >> 34869030 |
Zhaotao Zhang1, Keng He1, Zhenhua Wang1, Youming Zhang2, Di Wu3, Lei Zeng4, Junjie Zeng5, Yinquan Ye1, Taifu Gu1, Xinlan Xiao1.
Abstract
PURPOSE: To evaluate whether multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based logistic regression models can facilitate the early prediction of chemoradiotherapy response in patients with residual brain gliomas after surgery. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 84 patients with residual gliomas after surgery from January 2015 to September 2020 who were treated with chemoradiotherapy were retrospectively enrolled and classified as treatment-sensitive or treatment-insensitive. These patients were divided into a training group (from institution 1, 57 patients) and a validation group (from institutions 2 and 3, 27 patients). All preoperative and postoperative MR images were obtained, including T1-weighted (T1-w), T2-weighted (T2-w), and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted (CET1-w) images. A total of 851 radiomics features were extracted from every imaging series. Feature selection was performed with univariate analysis or in combination with multivariate analysis. Then, four multivariable logistic regression models derived from T1-w, T2-w, CET1-w and Joint series (T1+T2+CET1-w) were constructed to predict the response of postoperative residual gliomas to chemoradiotherapy (sensitive or insensitive). These models were validated in the validation group. Calibration curves, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were applied to compare the predictive performances of these models.Entities:
Keywords: chemoradiotherapy; early prediction; magnetic resonance imaging; radiomics; residual gliomas
Year: 2021 PMID: 34869030 PMCID: PMC8636428 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.779202
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Clinical characteristics of the patients and semantic image features in the training and validation cohorts.
| Characteristic | All patients | Training cohort | Validation cohort | P-value | Training and Validation cohort | P-value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (n = 84) | (n = 57) | (n = 27) | Sensitive (n = 25) | Insensitive (n = 59) | |||
| Age (years) | 48.452 (12.619) | 49.491 (11.386) | 46.259 (14.891) | 0.276 | 47.360 (12.312) | 48.915 (12.823) | 0.609 |
| Gender: | 0.840 | 0.535 | |||||
| male | 48 (57.1%) | 33 (57.9%) | 15 (55.6%) | 13 (52.0%) | 35 (59.3%) | ||
| female | 36 (42.9%) | 24 (42.1%) | 12 (44.4%) | 12 (48.0%) | 24 (40.7%) | ||
| Pathological grade: | 0.262 | 0.330 | |||||
| grade 2 | 16 (19.0%) | 12 (21.1%) | 4 (14.8%) | 7 (28.0%) | 9 (15.3%) | ||
| grade 3 | 19 (22.6%) | 10 (17.5%) | 9 (33.3%) | 4 (16.0%) | 15 (25.4%) | ||
| grade 4 | 49 (58.3%) | 35 (61.4%) | 14 (51.9%) | 14 (56.0%) | 35 (59.3%) | ||
| Enhancement grade: | 0.605 | 0.474 | |||||
| grade 1 | 11 (13.1%) | 8 (14.0%) | 3 (11.1%) | 5 (20.0%) | 6 (10.2%) | ||
| grade 2 | 40 (47.6%) | 25 (43.9%) | 15 (55.6%) | 11 (44.0%) | 29 (49.2%) | ||
| grade 3 | 33 (39.3%) | 24 (42.1%) | 9 (33.3%) | 9 (36.0%) | 24 (40.7%) | ||
| Cystic grade: | 0.936 | 0.747 | |||||
| grade 1 | 20 (23.8%) | 14 (24.6%) | 6 (22.2%) | 6 (24.0%) | 14 (23.7%) | ||
| grade 2 | 29 (34.5%) | 20 (35.1%) | 9 (33.3%) | 10 (40.0%) | 19 (32.2%) | ||
| grade 3 | 35 (41.7%) | 23 (40.4%) | 12 (44.4%) | 9 (36.0%) | 26 (44.1%) | ||
| Edema grade: | 0.246 | 0.765 | |||||
| grade 1 | 10 (11.9%) | 8 (14.0%) | 2 (7.4%) | 2 (8.0%) | 8 (13.6%) | ||
| grade 2 | 33 (39.3%) | 19 (33.3%) | 14 (51.9%) | 10 (40.0%) | 23 (39.0%) | ||
| grade 3 | 41 (48.8%) | 30 (52.6%) | 11 (40.7%) | 13 (52.0%) | 28 (47.5%) | ||
| Sensitive: | 0.622 | ||||||
| yes | 25 (29.8%) | 16 (28.1%) | 9 (33.3%) | ||||
| no | 59 (70.2%) | 41 (71.9%) | 18 (66.7%) | ||||
Continuous variables were presented as the mean (SD). Categorical variables were presented as absolute numbers (n) and proportions (%). Student’s t-test, χ2 test and Fisher’s exact test were used for comparisons of continuous variables and categorical variables, respectively.
Enhancement grade, according to visual enhancement:
grade 1 (mild enhancement); grade 2 (moderate enhancement); grade 3 (severe enhancement).
Cystic grade, according to the ratio of cystic volume to total lesion volume:
grade 1 (none); grade 2 (<50%); grade 3 (>50%).
Edema grade, according to the distance between the edge of the area of edema and lesion:
grade 1 (none); grade 2 (<2 cm); and grade 3 (>2 cm).
Figure 1Data acquisition and analysis workflow. All patients were divided into treatment-sensitive and treatment-insensitive groups. (A) Pictures a and d showed the original images before treatment, b and e showed the postoperative images acquired within 24–72 hours, and c and f showed the postoperative images acquired after approximately 3 months of follow-up. (B) ROIs were defined, and feature extraction, including for first-order, shape-, high-order texture-, and filter-based features, was performed. (C) Feature selection, model building and model evaluation were used to predict the response of glioma patients to chemoradiation by multiple logistic regression analysis.
Figure 2(A, B) showed the ROC curves of the four prediction models in the training and validation cohorts: the blue curve represented the Model(Joint series), the orange curve represented Model(T1-w), the purple curve represented Model(CET1-w), and the turquoise curve represented model(T2-w).
The performances of the four logistic regression models in predicting sensitivity to treatment in the training and validation cohorts.
| Modality | Features screening | Remainedfeatures | Cohorts | AUC (95%CI) | Sen | Spe | Acc |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model-Joint series | univariate analysis | 5 | training | 0.923 (0.866-0.979) | 0.829 | 0.829 | 0.829 |
| validation | 0.852 (0.644-1.000) | 0.778 | 0.722 | 0.741 | |||
| Model-T1 | univariate analysis | 6 | training | 0.835 (0.743-0.927) | 0.805 | 0.756 | 0.780 |
| validation | 0.809 (0.638-0.979) | 0.889 | 0.778 | 0.815 | |||
| Model-CET1 | univariate analysis | 6 | training | 0.805 (0.712-0.899) | 0.780 | 0.683 | 0.732 |
| validation | 0.537 (0.284-0.790) | 0.778 | 0.389 | 0.519 | |||
| Model-T2 | univariate analysis | 7 | training | 0.784 (0.685-0.883) | 0.732 | 0.707 | 0.720 |
| validation | 0.605 (0.381-0.829) | 0.444 | 0.556 | 0.519 |
AUC, area under the curve; Sen, sensitivity; Spe, specificity; Acc, accuracy.
Univariate analysis included ‘General_Univariate_analysis’ (Student’s t test or Rank sum test), ‘Variance’, ‘Correlation_xx’ and ‘Univariate _Logistic’analysis.
The multivariate analysis used in this study was ‘MultiVariate_Logistic’ analysis.
Figure 3(A, B) showed the calibration curves of the Model(Joint series) in the training cohort and validation cohort. The y-axis represented the actual probability of treatment-sensitive patients. The x-axis represented the predicted probability of treatment-insensitive patients. The diagonal gray line represented a perfect prediction by an ideal model. The black solid line represented the prediction performance of the Model(Joint series), and the closer the black line was to the gray line, the better the prediction performance of the model.
Figure 4(A, B) showed the DCA results for four models in the training cohort and validation cohort. The blue curve was for the Model(Joint series), the orange curve was for Model(T1-w), the purple curve was for Model(CET1-w), and the turquoise curve was for Model(T2-w). The x- and y-axes indicated the high-risk threshold and net benefit, respectively. The gray curve represented the assumption that all patients were sensitive to treatment; the black line represented the assumption that all patients were insensitive to treatment.
Four groups of radiomics features extracted from MR images were showed.
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Features of the same class appeared in the same color to distinguish them from other features.