| Literature DB >> 34847174 |
Emma Zang1, Jessica West2, Nathan Kim1, Christina Pao3.
Abstract
Health varies by U.S. region of residence. Despite regional heterogeneity in the outbreak of COVID-19, regional differences in physical distancing behaviors over time are relatively unknown. This study examines regional variation in physical distancing trends during the COVID-19 pandemic and investigates variation by race and socioeconomic status (SES) within regions. Data from the 2015-2019 five-year American Community Survey were matched with anonymized location pings data from over 20 million mobile devices (SafeGraph, Inc.) at the Census block group level. We visually present trends in the stay-at-home proportion by Census region, race, and SES throughout 2020 and conduct regression analyses to examine these patterns. From March to December, the stay-at-home proportion was highest in the Northeast (0.25 in March to 0.35 in December) and lowest in the South (0.24 to 0.30). Across all regions, the stay-at-home proportion was higher in block groups with a higher percentage of Blacks, as Blacks disproportionately live in urban areas where stay-at-home rates were higher (0.009 [CI: 0.008, 0.009]). In the South, West, and Midwest, higher-SES block groups stayed home at the lowest rates pre-pandemic; however, this trend reversed throughout March before converging in the months following. In the Northeast, lower-SES block groups stayed home at comparable rates to higher-SES block groups during the height of the pandemic but diverged in the months following. Differences in physical distancing behaviors exist across U.S. regions, with a pronounced Southern and rural disadvantage. Results can be used to guide reopening and COVID-19 mitigation plans.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34847174 PMCID: PMC8631641 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0259665
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Stay-at-home patterns by Census region.
Regional disparities in physical distancing.
| Without Control Variables | With Control Variables | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Coefficient | SE | 95% CI | Coefficient | SE | 95% CI |
| Days from January 7th | ||||||
| Linear term | -9.22E-06 | 7.31E-07 | (-1.07E-05, -7.79E-06) | -4.74E-06 | 7.10E-07 | (-6.14E-06, -3.35E-06) |
| Quadratic term | -3.67E-07 | 1.56E-09 | (-3.70E-07, -3.64E-07) | -3.75E-07 | 1.51E-09 | (-3.78E-07–3.72E-07) |
| Median household income (dollars) | -2.16E-07 | 3.81E-10 | (-2.16E-07, -2.15E-07) | |||
| Proportion Black | 0.049 | 4.57E-05 | (0.049,0.049) | |||
| Proportion frontline workers | 0.033 | 8.61E-05 | (3.27E-02, 3.31E-02) | |||
| Proportion with a Bachelor’s degree | 0.053 | 7.20E-05 | (0.053, 0.053) | |||
| Proportion of residents over 65 | 0.013 | 9.12E-05 | (0.013, 0.013) | |||
| Urbanicity (1 = Urban, 0 = rural) | 0.036 | 2.64E-05 | (0.008,0.009) | |||
| Average commute time | 0.002 | 1.27E-06 | (0.002, 0.002) | |||
| Population density (people/km^2) | -1.19E-13 | 1.92E-12 | (-3.389E-12, 3.65E-12) | |||
| Period (Reference = Before April 1st) | ||||||
| April 1st-30th | 0.144 | 8.09E-05 | (0.143,0.144) | 0.145 | 7.85E-05 | (0.144,0.145) |
| After May 1st | 0.049 | 7.19E-05 | (0.049,0.049) | 0.049 | 6.99E-05 | (0.049,0.049) |
| Region (baseline = Midwest) | ||||||
| Northeast | 0.012 | 5.74E-05 | (0.012,0.012) | 3.29E-04 | 5.61E-05 | (2.19E-04, 4.40E-04) |
| South | -0.016 | 4.99E-05 | (-0.016, -0.016) | -0.022 | 4.87E-05 | (-0.022, -0.022) |
| West | 0.009 | 5.58E-05 | (0.009,0.009) | 0.005 | 5.45E-05 | (0.005, 0.005) |
| Period and region interaction | ||||||
| April 1st-30th * Northeast | 0.054 | 1.12E-04 | (0.054,0.055) | 0.055 | 1.10E-04 | (0.055,0.055) |
| After May 1st * Northeast | 0.032 | 6.67E-05 | (0.031,0.032) | 0.031 | 6.50E-05 | (0.031,0.032) |
| April 1st-30th * South | -0.012 | 9.77E-05 | (-0.012, -0.012) | -0.012 | 9.50E-05 | (-0.012, -0.011) |
| After May 1st * South | 0.007 | 5.79E-05 | (0.007,0.007) | 0.007 | 5.64E-05 | (0.007,0.008) |
| April 1st-30th * Midwest | 0.016 | 1.09E-04 | (0.016,0.016) | 0.016 | 1.06E-04 | (0.016,0.016) |
| After May 1st * Midwest | 0.035 | 6.48E-05 | (0.035,0.036) | 0.036 | 6.29E-05 | (0.035,0.036) |
| Intercept | 0.313 | 8.82E-05 | (0.313, 0.313) | 0.212 | 7.09E-05 | (0.212,0.212) |
| Sample size | 75,417,491 | 74,186,932 | ||||
| Adjusted r-squared | 0.238 | 0.306 | ||||
Note: All p-values are smaller than 0.001.
Fig 2Stay-at-home patterns by Census region and proportion Black.
Fig 3Stay-at-home patterns by race across urban-rural status.
Fig 4Stay-at-home patterns by Census region and proportion frontline workers.
Fig 5Stay-at-home patterns by Census region and proportion Bachelor’s degree holders.
Fig 6Stay-at-home patterns by income across region.