| Literature DB >> 34797315 |
Nicolás Merchante1, Álvaro Mena2, Juan-Manuel Pascasio3, Andrés Marco4, Manuel Rodriguez5, Manuel Hernandez-Guerra6, Miguel-Angel Simón7.
Abstract
ABSTRACT: Identification of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis in hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients should be a mainstay before starting treatment; however, the limited access of many centres to transient elastography (TE) is often a barrier for early assessments. We aimed to investigate the diagnostic accuracy of serum indexes for predicting liver stiffness.Retrospective analysis of HCV patients (with or without HIV coinfection) routinely assessed in 7 centres in Spain. The diagnostic accuracy of aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and their combinations was evaluated using a recent TE examination as a reference test (liver stiffness ≥ 9.5 kPa and ≥12.5 kPa for advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, respectively). In addition to area under the receiving operating characteristic curves, sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive value (NPV) and positive predictive value were estimated.The analysis included 1391 patients: 346 (25%) HIV-positive, 732 (53%) people who inject drugs, and 178 (13%) incarcerated. Advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis were found in 557 (40%) and 351 (25%) patients, respectively. APRI < 0.5 (n = 595; 43%) had an NPV of 95% for excluding cirrhosis. Combined FIB-4 < 1.45 with APRI < 0.5 (n = 467; 34%) had an NPV of 87% for excluding advanced fibrosis. Combined APRI > 2 and FIB-4 > 3.25 (n = 134; 10%) had a positive predictive value of 89% for advanced fibrosis. Globally, this approach would avoid the need for TE in 53% of patients. HIV coinfection did not influence diagnostic accuracy.Inexpensive and simple serum indexes confidently allowed identifying the absence of cirrhosis and the presence of advanced fibrosis in 53% of a heterogeneous series of real-world HCV patients with or without HIV infection.Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34797315 PMCID: PMC8601296 DOI: 10.1097/MD.0000000000027838
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Medicine (Baltimore) ISSN: 0025-7974 Impact factor: 1.889
Demographic and clinical characteristics of study participants, grouped according to coinfection with HIV.
| Overall (n = 1391) | HCV infection (n = 1045) | HIV coinfection (n = 346) |
| |
| Age (yr), | 51 (45–57) | 52 (45–60) | 49 (45–53) | <.0001 |
| Sex (male), | 1019 (73) | 724 (69) | 295 (85) | <.0001 |
| Alcohol intake (>50 g/d), | 199 (17) | 148 (16) | 51 (18) | .30 |
| Body mass index (kg/m2), | 25 (22–28) | 26 (23–28) | 24 (22–27) | <.0001 |
| PWID, | 732 (53) | 443 (42) | 289 (84) | <.0001 |
| Incarcerated, | 178 (13) | 110 (10) | 68 (19) | .008 |
| HCV genotype, | ||||
| 1a | 448 (32.1) | 309 (29.6) | 138 (39.9) | <.0001 |
| 1b | 420 (30.2) | 360 (34.4) | 60 (17.3) | |
| 1-other | 44 (3.2) | 41 (3.9) | 3 (0.9) | |
| 2 | 48 (3.5) | 39 (3.7) | 9 (2.6) | |
| 3 | 221 (15.9) | 167 (16) | 54 (15.6) | |
| 4 | 208 (15) | 127 (12.2) | 81 (23.4) | |
| Mixed | 3 (0.2) | 2 (0.2) | 1 (0.3) | |
| HBsAg, | 29 (2.1) | 17 (1.6) | 12 (3.5) | .030 |
| HCV RNA (logIU/mL), | 6.20 (5.70–6.60) | 6.27 (5.74–6.66) | 6.15 (5.68–6.64) | .39 |
| Previous HCV therapy, | 355 (25) | 247 (23) | 108 (31.2) | .005 |
HBsAg = hepatitis B antigen, HCV = hepatitis C virus, HIV = human immunodeficiency virus, IQR = interquartile range, PWID = people who inject drugs.
Results of the liver stiffness, assessed by transient elastography, and the serum indexes in the study sample and each of the HIV subgroups.
| Overall (n = 1391) | HCV infection (n = 1045) | HIV coinfection (n = 346) |
| |
| Liver stiffness (kPa), | 7.9 (5.9–12.6) | 7.8 (5.7–11.9) | 8.8 (6.8–14.9) | <.0001 |
| Advanced fibrosis (≥9.5 kPa), | 557 (40) | 394 (38) | 163 (47) | .002 |
| Cirrhosis (≥12.5 kPa), | 351 (25) | 244 (23) | 107 (31) | .005 |
| APRI, | 0.5 (0.3–1.1) | 0.5 (0.3–0.9) | 0.7 (0.4–1.4) | <.0001 |
| FIB-4, | 1.6 (1.1–2.7) | 1.5 (1.04–2.5) | 1.9 (1.3–3.3) | <.0001 |
APRI = aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index, FIB-4 = fibrosis-4 index, HCV = hepatitis C virus, HIV = human immunodeficiency virus, IQR = interquartile range.
Figure 1Ability of APRI and FIB-4 to predict cirrhosis (A) and advanced fibrosis (B). The AUROC for each index is shown as median (95% confidence interval). APRI = aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ration index, AUROC = area under the receiving operating curve, FIB-4 = fibrosis-4 index.
Performance of APRI and FIB-4 indices in discriminating advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis at various cutoff points.
| Discriminating advanced fibrosis (F3–F4) | Discriminating cirrhosis (F4) | ||||||||
| Cases no. (%) | Se (%) | Sp (%) | NPV (%) | PPV (%) | Se (%) | Sp (%) | NPV (%) | PPV (%) | |
| APRI | |||||||||
| <0.5 | 595 (43) | 80 | 58 | 85 | 56 | 91 | 54 | 95 | 40 |
| <1 | 1015 (73) | 50 | 88 | 72 | 74 | 63 | 85 | 87 | 59 |
| >2 | 150 (11) | 23 | 97 | 65 | 87 | 31 | 96 | 80 | 73 |
| FIB-4 | |||||||||
| <1 | 292 (21) | – | – | – | – | 92 | 27 | 96 | 31 |
| <1.45 | 292 (21) | 81 | 57 | 82 | 56 | 90 | 53 | 94 | 39 |
| >3.25 | 263 (19) | 40 | 95 | 70 | 85 | 53 | 92 | 85 | 71 |
| APRI < 0.5 + FIB-4 < 1.45 | 467 (34) | 86 | 47 | 84 | 52 | 94 | 43 | 95 | 36 |
| APRI > 2 + FIB-4 > 3.25 | 134 (10) | 22 | 98 | 65 | 90 | 30 | 97 | 80 | 78 |
APRI = aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index, FIB-4 = fibrosis-4 index, NPV = negative predictive value, PPV = positive predictive value, Se = sensitivity, Sp = specificity.
Performance of APRI and FIB-4 indices in discriminating advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis according to the HIV infection status.
| Cases no. (%) | Se (%) | Sp (%) | NPV (%) | PPV (%) | |
| APRI < 0.5 for F4 | |||||
| HIV positive | 110 (32) | 93 | 43 | 94 | 42 |
| HIV negative | 485 (46) | 90 | 57 | 95 | 39 |
| FIB-4 < 1.45 for F3–F4 | |||||
| HIV positive | 106 (31) | 86 | 45 | 78 | 58 |
| HIV negative | 476 (46) | 79 | 60 | 83 | 55 |
| APRI > 2 + FIB-4 > for F3–F4 | |||||
| HIV positive | 48 (14) | 25 | 96 | 60 | 85 |
| HIV negative | 86 (8) | 20 | 99 | 67 | 93 |
APRI = aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index, FIB-4 = fibrosis-4 index, HIV = human immunodeficiency virus, NPV = negative predictive value, PPV = positive predictive value, Se = sensitivity, Sp = specificity.