Literature DB >> 34795424

Prepare developed democracies for long-run economic slowdowns.

Matthew G Burgess1,2,3, Amanda R Carrico4, Steven D Gaines5, Alessandro Peri6, Steve Vanderheiden4,7.   

Abstract

Developed democracies proliferated over the past two centuries during an unprecedented era of economic growth, which may be ending. Macroeconomic forecasts predict slowing growth throughout the twenty-first century for structural reasons such as ageing populations, shifts from goods to services, slowing innovation, and debt. Long-run effects of COVID-19 and climate change could further slow growth. Some sustainability scientists assert that slower growth, stagnation or de-growth is an environmental imperative, especially in developed countries. Whether slow growth is inevitable or planned, we argue that developed democracies should prepare for additional fiscal and social stress, some of which is already apparent. We call for a 'guided civic revival', including government and civic efforts aimed at reducing inequality, socially integrating diverse populations and building shared identities, increasing economic opportunity for youth, improving return on investment in taxation and public spending, strengthening formal democratic institutions and investing to improve non-economic drivers of subjective well-being.
© 2021. Springer Nature Limited.

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Year:  2021        PMID: 34795424      PMCID: PMC9026903          DOI: 10.1038/s41562-021-01229-y

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Nat Hum Behav        ISSN: 2397-3374


  26 in total

1.  Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production.

Authors:  Marshall Burke; Solomon M Hsiang; Edward Miguel
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2015-10-21       Impact factor: 49.962

2.  Beyond the optimal contact strategy: a reality check for the contact hypothesis.

Authors:  John Dixon; Kevin Durrheim; Colin Tredoux
Journal:  Am Psychol       Date:  2005-10

3.  Happiness, income satiation and turning points around the world.

Authors:  Andrew T Jebb; Louis Tay; Ed Diener; Shigehiro Oishi
Journal:  Nat Hum Behav       Date:  2018-01-08

4.  Economic downturns and nurse attachment to federal employment.

Authors:  Danyao Li; Michael R Richards; Coady Wing
Journal:  Health Econ       Date:  2019-06       Impact factor: 3.046

5.  Linking job loss, inequality, mental health, and education.

Authors:  Elizabeth O Ananat; Anna Gassman-Pines; Dania V Francis; Christina M Gibson-Davis
Journal:  Science       Date:  2017-06-16       Impact factor: 47.728

Review 6.  Democracy's backsliding in the international environment.

Authors:  Susan D Hyde
Journal:  Science       Date:  2020-09-04       Impact factor: 47.728

7.  Uncertainty in forecasts of long-run economic growth.

Authors:  P Christensen; K Gillingham; W Nordhaus
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2018-05-14       Impact factor: 11.205

8.  Rising morbidity and mortality in midlife among white non-Hispanic Americans in the 21st century.

Authors:  Anne Case; Angus Deaton
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2015-11-02       Impact factor: 11.205

9.  The impact of economic recessions on depression and individual and social well-being: the case of Spain (2006-2013).

Authors:  C Chaves; T Castellanos; M Abrams; Carmelo Vazquez
Journal:  Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol       Date:  2018-07-10       Impact factor: 4.328

10.  Economic carbon cycle feedbacks may offset additional warming from natural feedbacks.

Authors:  Dawn L Woodard; Steven J Davis; James T Randerson
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2018-12-17       Impact factor: 11.205

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