| Literature DB >> 34764163 |
Yong Zhou1, Qipeng Luo2, Xiaoxiao Guo3, Hongbai Wang1, Yuan Jia1, Liang Cao1, Yang Wang4, Fuxia Yan1, Cuntao Yu5, Su Yuan6.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Heart rate (HR) is a risk factor of mortality in many cardiovascular diseases but no clinical studies have focused on the association between HR and prognosis in patients with acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD). This study aimed to evaluate the association between HR and long-term mortality and establish the criteria of HR in patients with ATAAD who underwent total aortic arch replacement combined with the frozen elephant trunk (TAR+FET). DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Retrospective cohort study that studied all consecutive patients with ATAAD who underwent TAR+FET in the Fuwai Hospital between 2009 and 2015. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: 30-day postoperative, and estimated long-term mortality.Entities:
Keywords: anaesthesia in cardiology; valvular heart disease; vascular medicine
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34764163 PMCID: PMC8587588 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-047221
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMJ Open ISSN: 2044-6055 Impact factor: 2.692
Patient characteristics
| Total (N=707) | Survivors (n=612) | Non-Survivors (n=95) | P value | |
| Age, years | 46.6±10.4 | 46.0±10.1 | 50.2±11.0 | <0.001 |
| Male sex, % | 552 (78.1) | 486 (79.4) | 66 (69.5) | 0.041 |
| BMI (kg/m2) | 25.6±4.00 | 25.6±4.07 | 25.5±3.50 | 0.704 |
| Hypertension | 512 (72.4) | 441 (72.1) | 71 (74.7) | 0.674 |
| Current/past smoker | 296 (41.9) | 257 (42.0) | 39 (41.1) | 0.951 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 15 (2.1) | 13 (2.1) | 2 (2.1) | 1.000 |
| Coronary artery disease | 48 (6.8) | 41 (6.7) | 7 (7.4) | 0.811 |
| Aortic regurgitation | 260 (36.8) | 216 (35.3) | 44 (46.3) | 0.050 |
| Renal insufficiency | 35 (5.0) | 24 (3.9) | 11 (11.6) | 0.003 |
| Stroke | 34 (4.8) | 29 (4.7) | 5 (5.3) | 0.788 |
| Pericardial effusion | 99 (14.0) | 85 (13.9) | 14 (14.7) | 0.744 |
| Chest pain | 623 (88.1) | 540 (88.2) | 83 (87.4) | 0.997 |
| Back pain | 223 (31.5) | 196 (32.0) | 27 (28.4) | 0.757 |
| Abdominal pain | 255 (36.1) | 215 (35.1) | 40 (42.1) | 0.113 |
| Time form onset of symptom to surgery (days) | 7.1 | 7.0 | 7.4 | 0.755 |
| Haemoglobin level, g/L | 131.7±19.3 | 132±19.3 | 129±19.1 | 0.197 |
| White cell count, ×109/L | 11.1±4.13 | 11.1±4.06 | 11.3±4.60 | 0.692 |
| EF <50%, % | 32 (4.5) | 20 (3.3) | 12 (12.6) | <0.001 |
| HR in ED, bpm | 87.8±15.6 | 87.7±15.5 | 88.3±16.8 | 0.564 |
| Preoperative HR, bpm | 83.4±15.2 | 82.6±14.9 | 88.2±16.2 | 0.002 |
| Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg | 136±25.7 | 136±25.5 | 135.5±27.3 | 0.997 |
| Diastolic blood pressure, mm Hg | 61.2±15.8 | 61.2±15.4 | 61.2±18.0 | 0.803 |
| Mean blood pressure, mm Hg | 85.7±17.3 | 85.7±17.0 | 85.2±19.2 | 0.548 |
| History of cardiac surgery | 17 (2.4) | 13 (2.1) | 3 (3.2) | 0.466 |
| Concomitant procedures | 301 (42.6) | 252 (41.2) | 49 (51.6) | 0.072 |
| CPB time, min | 199.8±66.2 | 193±51.3 | 241±118 | <0.001 |
| Intraoperative blood loss, mL | 959.0±766.1 | 959.0±766.1 | 959.0±766.1 | 0.019 |
Values are expressed as mean±SD or n (%), as appropriate.
BMI, body mass index; bpm, beats/min; CPB, cardiopulmonary by pass; ED, emergency department; EF, ejection fraction; HR, heart rate.
Models for estimated long-term mortality
| Unadjusted OR (95% CI) | Adjusted OR (95% CI) | P value | |
| Model 1: preoperative HR, age, sex, BMI | |||
| Preoperative HR | 1.02 (1.01 to 1.04) | 1.03 (1.01 to 1.04) | <0.001 |
| Age | 1.04 (1.02 to 1.06) | 1.05 (1.02 to 1.07) | <0.001 |
| Model 2: model 2+HTN+DM+smoke+ST+CHD+RI+PE | |||
| Preoperative HR | 1.02 (1.01 to 1.04) | 1.03 (1.01 to 1.04) | <0.001 |
| Age | 1.04 (1.02 to 1.06) | 1.05 (1.02 to 1.07) | <0.001 |
| RI | 3.21 (1.52 to 6.79) | 3.13 (1.41 to 6.94) | 0.005 |
| Model 3: model 3+AR+EF+HB+WBC count | |||
| Preoperative HR | 1.02 (1.01 to 1.04) | 1.03 (1.02 to 1.05) | <0.001 |
| Age | 1.04 (1.02 to 1.06) | 1.06 (1.03 to 1.09) | <0.001 |
| RI | 3.21 (1.52 to 6.79) | 2.50 (1.08 to 5.80) | 0.025 |
| EF | 0.23 (0.11 to 0.50) | 0.20 (0.08 to 0.51) | 0.001 |
| Model 4: model 4+SBP+CPB+intraoperative BL+HR in ED+CS+PCS+T | |||
| Preoperative HR | 1.02 (1.01 to 1.04) | 1.03 (1.01 to 1.05) | <0.001 |
| Age | 1.04 (1.02 to 1.06) | 1.06 (1.03 to 1.09) | <0.001 |
| RI | 3.21 (1.52 to 6.79) | 3.85 (1.58 to 9.35) | 0.033 |
| EF | 0.23 (0.11 to 0.50) | 0.25 (0.10 to 0.65) | 0.005 |
| CPB time | 1.01 (1.00 to 1.01) | 1.01 (1.00 to 1.01) | <0.001 |
| Intraoperative BL | 1.03 (1.01 to 1.05) | 1.03 (1.00 to 1.05) | 0.002 |
AR, moderate to severe aortic regurgitation; BL, blood loss; BMI, body mass index; CHD, coronary heart disease; CPB, cardiopulmonary bypass; CS, concomitant surgery; DM, diabetes mellitus; ED, emergency department; EF, ejection fraction; HB, haemoglobin; HR, heart rate; HTN, hypertension; PCS, prior cardiac surgery; PE, pericardial effusion; RI, renal insufficiency; SBP, systolic blood pressure; ST, stroke; T, time from onset of symptom to surgery; WBC, white blood cell.
Figure 1Receiver operating characteristic curve for multivariate logistic regression analysis. There is a significant improvement in the discrimination of the logistic regression model by introducing preoperative HR (an increase in AUC of 0.04, p=0.024). AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; EF, ejection fraction; HR, heart rate.
Figure 2Kaplan-Meier analysis according to different HRs. Increased HR is significantly associated with a lower cumulative survival rate than decreased HR. A 5 beats/min increment of HR is associated with an 11.8% increased risk of all-cause mortality in the univariate Cox regression analysis. Additional adjustment for other variables did not change the significance of the association. HR, heart rate.
Figure 3(A) Kernel density plots showing the distribution of HR. (B) Long-term mortality rates increase with increased HR. (C) Hinge plot. A cut-off HR of 80 bpm is observed and a sharp increase of estimated probability of long-term death occurs when HR >80 bpm. (D) Love plot showing absolute standardised differences before (red) and after (green) PSM comparing covariate values. BMI, body mass index; bpm, beats/min; HR, heart rate; PSM, propensity score matching.
Outcomes of propensity score matching
| Before matched | After matched | |||||
| HR ≤80 (n=304) | HR >80 | P value | HR ≤80 | HR >80 | P value | |
| WBC, ×109 | 10.2±3.74 | 11.8±4.28 | <0.001 | 10.6±3.76 | 11.1±4.15 | 0.238 |
| Heart rate in ED | 84.5±14.6 | 90.1±16.0 | <0.001 | 85.8±14.5 | 86.7±14.5 | 0.281 |
| Age | 48.3±10.6 | 45.3±9.98 | <0.001 | 47.1±10.4 | 46.7±9.97 | 0.699 |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 25.0±3.85 | 26.1±4.05 | <0.001 | 25.2±3.92 | 25.4±3.61 | 0.510 |
| Chest pain | 257 (84.5) | 366 (90.8) | 0.0175 | 233 (87.6) | 240 (90.2) | 0.392 |
| Haemoglobin, g/L | 130±18.9 | 133±19.6 | 0.0522 | 131±19.2 | 131±19.7 | 0.674 |
| Renal insufficiency | 11 (3.6) | 24 (6.0) | 0.169 | 10 (3.8) | 11 (4.1) | 0.990 |
| CPB time | 196±57.2 | 203±72.1 | 0.369 | 197±58.8 | 199±66.3 | 0.981 |
| Preoperative SBP | 138±26.3 | 137±27.3 | 0.941 | 138±26.9 | 135±26.8 | 0.385 |
| EF <50% | 16 (5.3) | 16 (4.0) | 0.488 | 14 (5.3) | 12 (4.5) | 0.850 |
| Back pain | 91 (29.9) | 132 (32.8) | 0.466 | 82 (30.8) | 87 (32.7) | 0.693 |
| Time from onset of symptom to surgery, days | 7.76±8.63 | 7.28±9.11 | 0.188 | 7.65±8.73 | 7.65±9.86 | 0.434 |
| Concomitant surgery | 125 (41.1) | 176 (43.7) | 0.538 | 108 (40.6) | 118 (44.4) | 0.417 |
| Smoker | 131 (43.1) | 165 (40.9) | 0.606 | 108 (40.6) | 115 (43.2) | 0.595 |
| Abdominal pain | 106 (34.9) | 149 (37.0) | 0.568 | 96 (36.1) | 101 (38.0) | 0.704 |
| Stroke | 16 (5.3) | 18 (4.5) | 0.715 | 11 (4.1) | 11 (4.1) | 1.000 |
| Sex, male | 235 (77.3) | 317 (78.7) | 0.713 | 207 (77.8) | 212 (79.7) | 0.680 |
| Coronary heart disease | 22 (7.2) | 26 (6.5) | 0.762 | 20 (7.5) | 19 (7.1) | 0.990 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 7 (2.3) | 8 (2.0) | 0.779 | 7 (2.6) | 5 (1.9) | 0.764 |
| Hypertension | 219 (72.0) | 293 (72.7) | 0.860 | 192 (72.2) | 189 (71.1) | 0.852 |
| LVEDD, mm | 51.7±7.44 | 51.6±7.32 | 0.947 | 51.4±7.36 | 51.7±7.62 | 0.903 |
| Intraoperative blood loss (mL/kg) | 13.0±9.42 | 12.8±9.67 | 0.369 | 12.9±9.73 | 13.6±10.9 | 0.787 |
| Moderate or more PE | 42 (13.8) | 57 (14.1) | 0.907 | 34 (12.8) | 37 (13.9) | 0.799 |
| Moderate or more AI | 112 (36.8) | 148 (36.7) | 0.999 | 94 (35.3) | 96 (36.1) | 0.925 |
| 30-day postoperative mortality | 15 (4.9) | 47 (11.7) | <0.001 | 13 (4.9) | 32 (12.0) | 0.0025 |
| Estimated long-term mortality | 11.1% | 19.7% | <0.001 | 7.70% | 21.1% | <0.001 |
Data are means±SD or number (%).
AI, aortic regurgitation; BMI, body mass index; CPB, cardiopulmonary bypass; ED, emergency department; EF, ejection fraction; HR, heart rate; LVEDD, left ventricle end-diastolic dimension; PE, pericardial effusion; SBP, systolic blood pressure; WBC, white blood cell.
Figure 4Nomogram for long-term mortality. We can calculate the probability of long-term mortality in patients undergoing TAR+FET with given values of HR, age, RI and EF. bpm, beats/min; EF, left ventricular ejection fraction; HR, heart rate; RI, renal insufficiency; TAR+FET, total arch replacement combined with the frozen elephant trunk.