Literature DB >> 34764163

Predictive value of heart rate in patients with acute type A aortic dissection: a retrospective cohort study.

Yong Zhou1, Qipeng Luo2, Xiaoxiao Guo3, Hongbai Wang1, Yuan Jia1, Liang Cao1, Yang Wang4, Fuxia Yan1, Cuntao Yu5, Su Yuan6.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: Heart rate (HR) is a risk factor of mortality in many cardiovascular diseases but no clinical studies have focused on the association between HR and prognosis in patients with acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD). This study aimed to evaluate the association between HR and long-term mortality and establish the criteria of HR in patients with ATAAD who underwent total aortic arch replacement combined with the frozen elephant trunk (TAR+FET). DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Retrospective cohort study that studied all consecutive patients with ATAAD who underwent TAR+FET in the Fuwai Hospital between 2009 and 2015. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: 30-day postoperative, and estimated long-term mortality.
RESULTS: Overall, 707 patients with ATAAD who underwent TAR+FET were followed up for a median duration of 29 months (range, 5-77 months). In multivariate logistic analysis, HR (p<0.001), age (p<0.001), renal insufficiency (p=0.033), ejection fraction (p=0.005), cardiopulmonary bypass time (p<0.001) and intraoperative blood loss (p=0.002) were significantly associated with 30-day postoperative and estimated long-term mortalities. A hinge point with a sharp increase in estimated long-term mortality was identified at 80 beats/min (bpm), and compared with HR ≤80 bpm, HR >80 bpm was associated with an almost threefold higher long-term mortality. HRs ≤60, 60-70, 70-80, 80-90, 90-100, 100-110 and >110 bpm were associated with 3.9%, 4.0%, 3.8%, 7.2%, 9.5%, 10.1% and 14.4% yearly risks of death, respectively.
CONCLUSIONS: HR is a powerful predictor of long-term mortality in patients with ATAAD undergoing TAR+FET. HR >80 bpm is independently associated with elevated long-term mortality for patients with ATAAD. © Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.

Entities:  

Keywords:  anaesthesia in cardiology; valvular heart disease; vascular medicine

Mesh:

Year:  2021        PMID: 34764163      PMCID: PMC8587588          DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-047221

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  BMJ Open        ISSN: 2044-6055            Impact factor:   2.692


First study to systematically evaluate the association between heart rate (HR) and long-term mortality in patient with acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD). The importance of HR in short-term and long-term mortality was evaluated and a hinge point HR in patients with ATAAD was recommended. Convenient prediction tool based on preoperative risk factors was created to calculate the probability of long-term mortality. Did not include patients who did not undergo surgery or died before arriving in the operating room and the retrospective and observational nature of the study might bring confounding and bias. Did not consider preoperative treatment and therefore unable to decide whether preoperative HR control would improve long-term mortality.

Introduction

Many studies have demonstrated that heart rate (HR) is a risk factor of mortality in many cardiovascular diseases,1–5 including type B aortic dissection.6–8 However, to the best of our knowledge, no clinical studies have focused on the association between HR and long-term prognosis in patients with acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) who underwent total aortic arch replacement combined with the frozen elephant trunk (TAR+FET). Because of the urgency and fatalness of ATAAD, all of the current guidelines9–12 highlight the importance of emergency surgery and blood pressure control. Most guidelines do not recommend a target HR in patients with ATAAD. Although the use of beta-blockers is suggested in all these guidelines, beta-blockers were mainly used for blood pressure control and reduction in dP/dt and not for HR reduction. In the 2011 Japanese Circulation Society guidelines,10 pulse rate control is recommended as one of the most important aspects of treatment in acute aortic dissection, whereas no specific target of HR is suggested. Only the 2010 American College of Cardiology Foundation/American Heart Association guidelines9 recommend titrating to a target HR of 60 bpm or less (class I, level of evidence: C). However, this was referenced only in a review published in 2005,13 and the review did not provide any relevant clinical trials. Similarly, Nienaber and Powell14 suggested a target HR of 60–80 bpm as the initial medical therapy for acute aortic syndromes in a review published in 2011, and they did not provide any relevant clinical trials as well. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the association between HR and long-term all-cause mortality and explore the hinge point of HR among patients with ATAAD who underwent TAR+FET.

Methods

Patients and data collection

After receiving approval from the Ethics Committees of Fuwai Hospital in Beijing, China, and under a waiver of informed consent, the authors conducted this retrospective observational study of all consecutive patients with ATAAD who underwent TAR+FET between December 2009 and December 2015. ATAAD was defined by observing an intimal flap separating two lumina in the ascending aorta that occurred within 14 days of symptom onset.15 The TAR+FET surgical technique has been described previously in detail and is viewed as a standard therapy for ATAAD requiring repair of the aortic arch.16 Patients were monitored using electrocardiography, pulse oximetry and the Intellivue MX700 monitor (Philips, Amsterdam, the Netherlands) (left radial and dorsalis pedis arterial pressures) in the operating room. Data related to demographic and in-hospital clinical variables were retrospectively collected from medical charts and electronic medical records, and patients were followed up by telephone and outpatient review. HR was recorded every 5 min when a patient arrived in the operating room and the average of the first three values of HRs before anaesthesia induction was used in our study from electronic medical records. Long-term mortality was defined as 5-year postoperative mortality. Blood pressure was defined as the higher values between radial and dorsalis pedis pressure before anaesthesia induction (according to systolic blood pressure (SBP)). The four-variable Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equation was used to calculate the estimated glomerular filtration rate.17 Renal insufficiency (RI) was defined as the preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate <90 mL/min or dialysis.

Statistical analysis

Values are expressed as mean±SD or number of patients (%), as appropriate. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to identify independent predictors of long-term mortality. To minimise selection bias and obtain comparable groups, propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was used to confirm the association between HR and long-term mortality. PSM of 1:1 ratio and 0.20 calliper by the ‘nearest neighbour’ method was performed with the ‘Matching’ package. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to assess the discriminative performance of the logistic regression model. The long-term survival rate was analysed using the Kaplan-Meier analytical method and Cox regression analysis. The predictive models were built using the average of the predicted 5-year risk from the Cox proportional hazard model via the ‘coxph’ function of the ‘survival’ package in the R software package (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria). The Kaplan-Meir survival analyses were visualised using ‘survminer’ and ‘ggplot2’ packages in the R software package. The R software package, V.3.5.1 was used to analyse the data, and GraphPad Prism V.7.00 for Windows (GraphPad Software, San Diego, California, USA) was used for data analysis and visualisation. A two-tailed p value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Patient and public involvement

Patients or the public were not involved in the design, or conduct, or reporting, or dissemination plans of our research.

Results

Clinical features and surgical data

From December 2009 to December 2015, 960 patients with ATAAD had surgeries in the Fuwai Hospital (online supplemental table 1). Of which, 746 patients underwent TAR+FET. After excluding, 39 of them for failure of follow-up, 707 patients were enrolled in this study. The clinical characteristics of the 707 patients are shown in table 1. Concomitant procedures included aortic valve repair in 22 patients, aortic root replacement in 227 patients, mitral valve operations in 9 patients, and coronary artery bypass grafting in 76 patients. Patients’ mean age was 46.6±10.4 years, and male sex was predominant (78%). During a median follow-up of 29 months (range, 5–77 months) 95 patients died.
Table 1

Patient characteristics

Total (N=707)Survivors (n=612)Non-Survivors (n=95)P value
Age, years46.6±10.446.0±10.150.2±11.0<0.001
Male sex, %552 (78.1)486 (79.4)66 (69.5)0.041
BMI (kg/m2)25.6±4.0025.6±4.0725.5±3.500.704
Hypertension512 (72.4)441 (72.1)71 (74.7)0.674
Current/past smoker296 (41.9)257 (42.0)39 (41.1)0.951
Diabetes mellitus15 (2.1)13 (2.1)2 (2.1)1.000
Coronary artery disease48 (6.8)41 (6.7)7 (7.4)0.811
Aortic regurgitation260 (36.8)216 (35.3)44 (46.3)0.050
Renal insufficiency35 (5.0)24 (3.9)11 (11.6)0.003
Stroke34 (4.8)29 (4.7)5 (5.3)0.788
Pericardial effusion99 (14.0)85 (13.9)14 (14.7)0.744
Chest pain623 (88.1)540 (88.2)83 (87.4)0.997
Back pain223 (31.5)196 (32.0)27 (28.4)0.757
Abdominal pain255 (36.1)215 (35.1)40 (42.1)0.113
Time form onset of symptom to surgery (days)7.17.07.40.755
Haemoglobin level, g/L131.7±19.3132±19.3129±19.10.197
White cell count, ×109/L11.1±4.1311.1±4.0611.3±4.600.692
EF <50%, %32 (4.5)20 (3.3)12 (12.6)<0.001
HR in ED, bpm87.8±15.687.7±15.588.3±16.80.564
Preoperative HR, bpm83.4±15.282.6±14.988.2±16.20.002
Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg136±25.7136±25.5135.5±27.30.997
Diastolic blood pressure, mm Hg61.2±15.861.2±15.461.2±18.00.803
Mean blood pressure, mm Hg85.7±17.385.7±17.085.2±19.20.548
History of cardiac surgery17 (2.4)13 (2.1)3 (3.2)0.466
Concomitant procedures301 (42.6)252 (41.2)49 (51.6)0.072
CPB time, min199.8±66.2193±51.3241±118<0.001
Intraoperative blood loss, mL959.0±766.1959.0±766.1959.0±766.10.019

Values are expressed as mean±SD or n (%), as appropriate.

BMI, body mass index; bpm, beats/min; CPB, cardiopulmonary by pass; ED, emergency department; EF, ejection fraction; HR, heart rate.

Patient characteristics Values are expressed as mean±SD or n (%), as appropriate. BMI, body mass index; bpm, beats/min; CPB, cardiopulmonary by pass; ED, emergency department; EF, ejection fraction; HR, heart rate.

Association between HR and estimated long-term mortality

In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, HR (p<0.001), age (p<0.001), RI (p=0.033), ejection fraction (EF) (p=0.005), cardiopulmonary bypass time (p<0.001) and intraoperative blood loss (p=0.002) were identified as independent predictors of estimated long-term all-cause mortality. After adjusting for the demographic data, history of cardiac surgery and preoperative tests results, the above-mentioned six variables remained independently associated with long-term all-cause mortality (table 2). When we replaced SBP with diastolic blood pressure or mean blood pressure, the results were similar. There was a significant improvement in the discrimination of the logistic regression model by introducing HR (an increase in AUC of 0.04, p=0.024; figure 1). According to the Kaplan-Mieier curves, increased HR was significantly associated with lower cumulative survival rate than lower HR (figure 2). In addition, a 5-bpm increment of HR was associated with an 11.8% increased risk of all-cause mortality in the univariate Cox regression analysis, and additional adjustment for other variables did not change the significance of the association. However, we failed to find a significant relationship between heart rate in emergency department (defined as the heart rate from the first electrocardiograph when a patient arrived in emergency department) and long-term mortality.
Table 2

Models for estimated long-term mortality

Unadjusted OR (95% CI)Adjusted OR (95% CI)P value
Model 1: preoperative HR, age, sex, BMI
 Preoperative HR1.02 (1.01 to 1.04)1.03 (1.01 to 1.04)<0.001
 Age1.04 (1.02 to 1.06)1.05 (1.02 to 1.07)<0.001
Model 2: model 2+HTN+DM+smoke+ST+CHD+RI+PE
 Preoperative HR1.02 (1.01 to 1.04)1.03 (1.01 to 1.04)<0.001
 Age1.04 (1.02 to 1.06)1.05 (1.02 to 1.07)<0.001
 RI3.21 (1.52 to 6.79)3.13 (1.41 to 6.94)0.005
Model 3: model 3+AR+EF+HB+WBC count
 Preoperative HR1.02 (1.01 to 1.04)1.03 (1.02 to 1.05)<0.001
 Age1.04 (1.02 to 1.06)1.06 (1.03 to 1.09)<0.001
 RI3.21 (1.52 to 6.79)2.50 (1.08 to 5.80)0.025
 EF0.23 (0.11 to 0.50)0.20 (0.08 to 0.51)0.001
Model 4: model 4+SBP+CPB+intraoperative BL+HR in ED+CS+PCS+T
 Preoperative HR1.02 (1.01 to 1.04)1.03 (1.01 to 1.05)<0.001
 Age1.04 (1.02 to 1.06)1.06 (1.03 to 1.09)<0.001
 RI3.21 (1.52 to 6.79)3.85 (1.58 to 9.35)0.033
 EF0.23 (0.11 to 0.50)0.25 (0.10 to 0.65)0.005
 CPB time1.01 (1.00 to 1.01)1.01 (1.00 to 1.01)<0.001
 Intraoperative BL1.03 (1.01 to 1.05)1.03 (1.00 to 1.05)0.002

AR, moderate to severe aortic regurgitation; BL, blood loss; BMI, body mass index; CHD, coronary heart disease; CPB, cardiopulmonary bypass; CS, concomitant surgery; DM, diabetes mellitus; ED, emergency department; EF, ejection fraction; HB, haemoglobin; HR, heart rate; HTN, hypertension; PCS, prior cardiac surgery; PE, pericardial effusion; RI, renal insufficiency; SBP, systolic blood pressure; ST, stroke; T, time from onset of symptom to surgery; WBC, white blood cell.

Figure 1

Receiver operating characteristic curve for multivariate logistic regression analysis. There is a significant improvement in the discrimination of the logistic regression model by introducing preoperative HR (an increase in AUC of 0.04, p=0.024). AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; EF, ejection fraction; HR, heart rate.

Figure 2

Kaplan-Meier analysis according to different HRs. Increased HR is significantly associated with a lower cumulative survival rate than decreased HR. A 5 beats/min increment of HR is associated with an 11.8% increased risk of all-cause mortality in the univariate Cox regression analysis. Additional adjustment for other variables did not change the significance of the association. HR, heart rate.

Models for estimated long-term mortality AR, moderate to severe aortic regurgitation; BL, blood loss; BMI, body mass index; CHD, coronary heart disease; CPB, cardiopulmonary bypass; CS, concomitant surgery; DM, diabetes mellitus; ED, emergency department; EF, ejection fraction; HB, haemoglobin; HR, heart rate; HTN, hypertension; PCS, prior cardiac surgery; PE, pericardial effusion; RI, renal insufficiency; SBP, systolic blood pressure; ST, stroke; T, time from onset of symptom to surgery; WBC, white blood cell. Receiver operating characteristic curve for multivariate logistic regression analysis. There is a significant improvement in the discrimination of the logistic regression model by introducing preoperative HR (an increase in AUC of 0.04, p=0.024). AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; EF, ejection fraction; HR, heart rate. Kaplan-Meier analysis according to different HRs. Increased HR is significantly associated with a lower cumulative survival rate than decreased HR. A 5 beats/min increment of HR is associated with an 11.8% increased risk of all-cause mortality in the univariate Cox regression analysis. Additional adjustment for other variables did not change the significance of the association. HR, heart rate.

Risk stratification based on HR

As illustrated in figure 3A, a significant ‘rightward shift’ of HR was observed in the long-term non-survivor group compared with that in the long-term survivor group (p<0.001). The long-term survival, estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis as a function of preoperative HR, is shown in figure 2. HRs ≤60, 60–70, 70–80, 80–90, 90–100, 100–110 and >110 bpm were associated with a 3.9%, 4.0%, 3.8%, 7.2%, 9.5%, 10.1% and 14.4% yearly risk of death, respectively, which suggest that the risk of death sharply increased when HR >80 bpm.
Figure 3

(A) Kernel density plots showing the distribution of HR. (B) Long-term mortality rates increase with increased HR. (C) Hinge plot. A cut-off HR of 80 bpm is observed and a sharp increase of estimated probability of long-term death occurs when HR >80 bpm. (D) Love plot showing absolute standardised differences before (red) and after (green) PSM comparing covariate values. BMI, body mass index; bpm, beats/min; HR, heart rate; PSM, propensity score matching.

(A) Kernel density plots showing the distribution of HR. (B) Long-term mortality rates increase with increased HR. (C) Hinge plot. A cut-off HR of 80 bpm is observed and a sharp increase of estimated probability of long-term death occurs when HR >80 bpm. (D) Love plot showing absolute standardised differences before (red) and after (green) PSM comparing covariate values. BMI, body mass index; bpm, beats/min; HR, heart rate; PSM, propensity score matching. To confirm an appropriate cut-off value of HR for risk prediction, a hinge point (HR of 80 bpm) was observed, that is, a sharp increase in the estimated probability of long-term death occurred when HR >80 bpm (figure 3B, C). Two hundred and sixty-six pairs of patients were matched, and all covariates were well balanced (figure 3D). In the matched cohorts, the 30-day postoperative and long-term mortality were significantly higher among patients with preoperative HR >80 bpm than among those with HR ≤80 bpm (all, p<0.01). Results of the PSM analysis are displayed in table 3. Remarkably, preoperative HR >80 bpm was associated with an almost threefold long-term mortality compared with HR ≤80 bpm.
Table 3

Outcomes of propensity score matching

Before matchedAfter matched
HR ≤80 (n=304)HR >80(n=403)P valueHR ≤80(n=266)HR >80(n=266)P value
WBC, ×10910.2±3.7411.8±4.28<0.00110.6±3.7611.1±4.150.238
Heart rate in ED84.5±14.690.1±16.0<0.00185.8±14.586.7±14.50.281
Age48.3±10.645.3±9.98<0.00147.1±10.446.7±9.970.699
BMI, kg/m225.0±3.8526.1±4.05<0.00125.2±3.9225.4±3.610.510
Chest pain257 (84.5)366 (90.8)0.0175233 (87.6)240 (90.2)0.392
Haemoglobin, g/L130±18.9133±19.60.0522131±19.2131±19.70.674
Renal insufficiency11 (3.6)24 (6.0)0.16910 (3.8)11 (4.1)0.990
CPB time196±57.2203±72.10.369197±58.8199±66.30.981
Preoperative SBP138±26.3137±27.30.941138±26.9135±26.80.385
EF <50%16 (5.3)16 (4.0)0.48814 (5.3)12 (4.5)0.850
Back pain91 (29.9)132 (32.8)0.46682 (30.8)87 (32.7)0.693
Time from onset of symptom to surgery, days7.76±8.637.28±9.110.1887.65±8.737.65±9.860.434
Concomitant surgery125 (41.1)176 (43.7)0.538108 (40.6)118 (44.4)0.417
Smoker131 (43.1)165 (40.9)0.606108 (40.6)115 (43.2)0.595
Abdominal pain106 (34.9)149 (37.0)0.56896 (36.1)101 (38.0)0.704
Stroke16 (5.3)18 (4.5)0.71511 (4.1)11 (4.1)1.000
Sex, male235 (77.3)317 (78.7)0.713207 (77.8)212 (79.7)0.680
Coronary heart disease22 (7.2)26 (6.5)0.76220 (7.5)19 (7.1)0.990
Diabetes mellitus7 (2.3)8 (2.0)0.7797 (2.6)5 (1.9)0.764
Hypertension219 (72.0)293 (72.7)0.860192 (72.2)189 (71.1)0.852
LVEDD, mm51.7±7.4451.6±7.320.94751.4±7.3651.7±7.620.903
Intraoperative blood loss (mL/kg)13.0±9.4212.8±9.670.36912.9±9.7313.6±10.90.787
Moderate or more PE42 (13.8)57 (14.1)0.90734 (12.8)37 (13.9)0.799
Moderate or more AI112 (36.8)148 (36.7)0.99994 (35.3)96 (36.1)0.925
30-day postoperative mortality15 (4.9)47 (11.7)<0.00113 (4.9)32 (12.0)0.0025
Estimated long-term mortality11.1%19.7%<0.0017.70%21.1%<0.001

Data are means±SD or number (%).

AI, aortic regurgitation; BMI, body mass index; CPB, cardiopulmonary bypass; ED, emergency department; EF, ejection fraction; HR, heart rate; LVEDD, left ventricle end-diastolic dimension; PE, pericardial effusion; SBP, systolic blood pressure; WBC, white blood cell.

Outcomes of propensity score matching Data are means±SD or number (%). AI, aortic regurgitation; BMI, body mass index; CPB, cardiopulmonary bypass; ED, emergency department; EF, ejection fraction; HR, heart rate; LVEDD, left ventricle end-diastolic dimension; PE, pericardial effusion; SBP, systolic blood pressure; WBC, white blood cell.

Convenient prediction tool for estimated long-term mortality

To categorise patients undergoing TAR+FET into different risk zones, we created a risk stratification nomogram (figure 4) based on all the preoperative independent risk factors (HR, age, RI and EF). We were able to calculate the probability of long-term mortality in patients undergoing TAR+FET with given values of HR, age, RI and EF. The AUC of the nomogram was 0.72 (95% CI 0.67 to 0.77).
Figure 4

Nomogram for long-term mortality. We can calculate the probability of long-term mortality in patients undergoing TAR+FET with given values of HR, age, RI and EF. bpm, beats/min; EF, left ventricular ejection fraction; HR, heart rate; RI, renal insufficiency; TAR+FET, total arch replacement combined with the frozen elephant trunk.

Nomogram for long-term mortality. We can calculate the probability of long-term mortality in patients undergoing TAR+FET with given values of HR, age, RI and EF. bpm, beats/min; EF, left ventricular ejection fraction; HR, heart rate; RI, renal insufficiency; TAR+FET, total arch replacement combined with the frozen elephant trunk.

Recalculation of 30-day postoperative mortality

To further consolidate our findings, we recalculated the results above with 30-day postoperative mortality, and found that our results remained stable (online supplemental table 2). In addition, to minimise the bias caused by the 39 patients who failed to undergo follow-up, we inputted their data as either long-term mortality or long-term survival, and the results were similar. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses of long-term mortality showed similar results.

Discussion

Our study is the first to systematically evaluate the association between HR and long-term mortality, and we found a cut-off HR and established a convenient predictive model of long-term mortality in patients with ATAAD who underwent TAR+FET. We also used comprehensive methods to further consolidate our findings. In this study, we demonstrated that HR is an influential independent risk factor for long-term mortality in patients who underwent TAR+FET, and higher HR is associated with significantly increased long-term mortality. These findings are in agreement with those of Zhang et al’s18 study that analysed 360 patients with acute aortic dissection and found that patients with slower HR had a higher in-hospital survival rate, although this was not statistically significant (p=0.064). Similarly, Suzuki et al19 analysed 1301 patients with acute aortic dissection by analysing the International Registry of Acute Aortic Dissection global registry database and showed that the use of beta-blockers was associated with improved outcomes in both type A and type B aortic dissection patients. This finding supports our results. Importantly, we detected that a cut-off HR of 80 bpm was associated with a sharp increase in long-term mortality. Long-term mortality was almost threefold greater in patients with HR >80 bpm than in those with HR ≤80 bpm. Therefore, HR >80 bpm may be considered as an independent risk factor in patients with ATAAD undergoing TAR+FET. Aggressive medical treatment of aortic dissection was first advocated in the 1960s.20 The authors established the reduction of SBP and diminution of the rate of left ventricular ejection (dP/dt) as the two primary goals of pharmacological therapy. According to previous studies,21 when HR decreases, both blood pressure and left ventricular dP/dt decrease. This may be the main reason that slower HR is associated with improved long-term mortality in patients with ATAAD. Besides, HR has been reported in association with the prognoses of various diseases.22 One study23 enrolled 112 680 subjects in 12 cohort studies and reported a continuous, increasing association between having a rest HR above approximately 65 bpm and the risk of both cardiovascular and all-cause mortalities. Similarly, Wang et al4 analysed 92 562 participants in the Kailuan Study and demonstrated that elevated HR was independently associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction and all-cause death. These large clinical investigations may help explain the benefit of a slower HR in our study from another viewpoint. It is generally believed that a faster HR is beneficial in severe aortic regurgitation (AR), as it potentially shortens the diastolic period during which AR occurs. In our study, 260 patients had moderate to severe AR but we did not find a significant association between preoperative HR and long-term mortality in patients with AR. This result was in line with that of Yang et al’s1 study that investigated 820 patients with moderate to severe AR; they demonstrated a robust association between increased HR and elevated all-cause death, which was independent of demographics, comorbidities, guideline-based surgical triggers, the presence of hypertension and use of medications. Similarly, Sampat et al24 conducted an observational study that included 756 consecutive patients with severe AR and found that beta-blocker therapy was an independent predictor of better survival for patients with higher HR. In previous studies and guidelines,9 12 25 blood pressure control was one of the main medical treatments in patients with aortic dissection. However, this study failed to demonstrate a significant relationship between blood pressure and long-term mortality. Because this study only included patients who underwent TAR+FET, we could not determine the effects of blood pressure on preoperative time. Indeed, many patients in our study received treatment for blood pressure control, and we defined blood pressure as the higher values between radial and dorsalis pedis pressures. In our study, patients had higher blood pressure than previous studies,25 and patients with an SBP ≤100 mm Hg only accounted for 8.77% (62 cases). These differences might have caused different outcomes. We did not include intraoperative risk factors in the development of predictive models because we wanted to determine the probability of long-term mortality in patients undergoing TAR+FET before the operation started. In this study, we failed to find a significant relationship between HR in emergency department and long-term mortality. Therefore, we suggest that a patient can benefit from HR reduction if HR could be controlled to lower than 80 bpm no matter how the HR was when a patient arrived in emergency department.

Limitations

This study has several limitations. First, the retrospective and observational nature of the study might have caused bias. To reduce selection bias, only one type of surgery (TAR+FET) was chosen in this study and a PSM approach was used. Second, by design, we could not include patients who did not undergo surgery or died before arriving in operating room. Finally, this was an observational study, patients did not receive the same preoperative treatment, thereby we did not take preoperative medication into consideration. Prospective randomised trials are needed to reveal the association between preoperative control of HR and patients’ outcomes to reduce long-term mortality in this population.

Conclusions

HR is a powerful predictor of long-term mortality and HR >80 bpm is associated with significantly increased long-term mortality for patients with ATAAD undergoing TAR+FET. We recommend combining HR, age, RI and EF to predict long-term mortality in patients undergoing TAR+FEF.
  25 in total

1.  2010 ACCF/AHA/AATS/ACR/ASA/SCA/SCAI/SIR/STS/SVM guidelines for the diagnosis and management of patients with Thoracic Aortic Disease: a report of the American College of Cardiology Foundation/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines, American Association for Thoracic Surgery, American College of Radiology, American Stroke Association, Society of Cardiovascular Anesthesiologists, Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions, Society of Interventional Radiology, Society of Thoracic Surgeons, and Society for Vascular Medicine.

Authors:  Loren F Hiratzka; George L Bakris; Joshua A Beckman; Robert M Bersin; Vincent F Carr; Donald E Casey; Kim A Eagle; Luke K Hermann; Eric M Isselbacher; Ella A Kazerooni; Nicholas T Kouchoukos; Bruce W Lytle; Dianna M Milewicz; David L Reich; Souvik Sen; Julie A Shinn; Lars G Svensson; David M Williams
Journal:  Circulation       Date:  2010-03-16       Impact factor: 29.690

2.  Acute intramural hematoma of the aorta: a mystery in evolution.

Authors:  Arturo Evangelista; Debabrata Mukherjee; Rajendra H Mehta; Patrick T O'Gara; Rossella Fattori; Jeanna V Cooper; Dean E Smith; Jae K Oh; Stuart Hutchison; Udo Sechtem; Eric M Isselbacher; Christoph A Nienaber; Linda A Pape; Kim A Eagle
Journal:  Circulation       Date:  2005-02-14       Impact factor: 29.690

Review 3.  Management of acute aortic syndromes.

Authors:  Christoph A Nienaber; Janet T Powell
Journal:  Eur Heart J       Date:  2011-08-02       Impact factor: 29.983

4.  Effect of beta-blocker therapy on survival in patients with severe aortic regurgitation results from a cohort of 756 patients.

Authors:  Unnati Sampat; Padmini Varadarajan; Rami Turk; Ashvin Kamath; Sumit Khandhar; Ramdas G Pai
Journal:  J Am Coll Cardiol       Date:  2009-07-28       Impact factor: 24.094

5.  Resting heart rate as predictor for left ventricular dysfunction and heart failure: MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis).

Authors:  Anders Opdahl; Bharath Ambale Venkatesh; Veronica R S Fernandes; Colin O Wu; Khurram Nasir; Eui-Young Choi; Andre L C Almeida; Boaz Rosen; Benilton Carvalho; Thor Edvardsen; David A Bluemke; João A C Lima
Journal:  J Am Coll Cardiol       Date:  2014-01-08       Impact factor: 24.094

Review 6.  Heart rate as a predictor of cardiovascular risk.

Authors:  Marijana Tadic; Cesare Cuspidi; Guido Grassi
Journal:  Eur J Clin Invest       Date:  2018-02-05       Impact factor: 4.686

7.  Presenting Systolic Blood Pressure and Outcomes in Patients With Acute Aortic Dissection.

Authors:  Eduardo Bossone; Riccardo Gorla; Troy M LaBounty; Toru Suzuki; Dan Gilon; Craig Strauss; Andrea Ballotta; Himanshu J Patel; Arturo Evangelista; Marek P Ehrlich; Stuart Hutchison; Eva Kline-Rogers; Daniel G Montgomery; Christoph A Nienaber; Eric M Isselbacher; Kim A Eagle
Journal:  J Am Coll Cardiol       Date:  2018-04-03       Impact factor: 24.094

8.  Dissecting aneurysm.

Authors:  W G Austen; R W DeSanctis
Journal:  Surg Clin North Am       Date:  1966-06       Impact factor: 2.741

9.  Resting heart rate and risk of cardiovascular diseases and all-cause death: the Kailuan study.

Authors:  Anxin Wang; Shuohua Chen; Chunxue Wang; Yong Zhou; Yuntao Wu; Aijun Xing; Yanxia Luo; Zhe Huang; Xiaoxue Liu; Xiuhua Guo; Xingquan Zhao; Shouling Wu
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2014-10-24       Impact factor: 3.240

10.  Controlled heart rate and blood pressure reduce the life threatening aortic events and increase survival in patients with type B aortic dissection: A single center experience.

Authors:  Karmacharya Ujit Kumar; Qian Zhao; Xue Bai; Ang Li; Pandit Anjali; Haibin Yu; Wei Zhu; Ting Zou; Yingtong Ma; Xiang Ma
Journal:  Int J Cardiol Heart Vasc       Date:  2015-05-26
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