| Literature DB >> 34750426 |
Ofran Almossawi1,2, Scott O'Brien3, Roger Parslow4, Simon Nadel3, Luigi Palla5,6,7.
Abstract
Within the UK, child mortality from all causes has declined for all ages over the last three decades. However, distinct inequality remains, as child mortality rates are generally found to be higher in males. A significant proportion of childhood deaths in the UK occur in Paediatric Intensive Care Units (PICU). We studied the association of sex with infant mortality in PICUs. We included all infants (0 to 12 months old) admitted to UK PICUs from 01/01/2005 to 31/12/2015 using the Paediatric Intensive Care Audit Network (PICANet) dataset. We considered first admissions to PICU and fitted a cause-specific-hazard-ratio (CSHR) model, and a logistic model to estimate the adjusted association between sex and mortality in PICU. Pre-defined subgroups were children less than 56-days old, and those with a primary diagnosis of infection. Of 71,243 cases, 1,411/29,520 (4.8%) of females, and 1,809/41,723 (4.3%) of males died. The adjusted male/female CSHR was 0.87 (95%-CI 0.81 to 0.92) representing a 13% higher risk of death for females. The adjusted OR for male to female mortality is 0.86 (95%-CI 0.80 to 0.93). Analyses in subgroups yielded similar findings. In our analysis, female infants have a higher rate of PICU mortality compared to male infants.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34750426 PMCID: PMC8575897 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-01173-x
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1Relationship between variables after the additional adjustment for PIM2R. This figure shows that adjusting for PIM and not adjusting for age, ethnicity, SES, and gestation would not bias the relationship between sex and mortality in PICU, given the stated assumptions. Please refer to the Supplementary Digital Content for an expanded study of the relationships between variables.
Figure 2Data preparation.
Baseline demographics by sex.
| Female (n = 29,520) (41·4%) | Male (n = 41,723) (58·6%) | Total (N = 71,243) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n* | Mean or % | Median | IQR | n* | Mean or % | Median | IQR | n* | Mean or % | Median | IQR | |
| Age /days | 29,520 | 102.51 | 67.00 | 14–169 | 41,723 | 98.84 | 60.00 | 13–161 | 71,243 | 100.36 | 63.00 | 14–164 |
| Length of stay /days | 29,514 | 5.66 | 2.98 | 1.21–5.96 | 41,720 | 5.71 | 2.96 | 1.18–5.95 | 71,234 | 5.69 | 2.97 | 1.19–5.96 |
| Deprivation score | 25,105 | 27.83 | 24.54 | 13.20–40.10 | 35,622 | 27.45 | 24.24 | 12.86–39.52 | 60,727 | 27.61 | 24.37 | 13.02–39.75 |
| PIM2R (2016) | 29,520 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.01–0.05 | 41,723 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.01–0.05 | 71,243 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.01–0.05 |
| Duration of ventilation /days | 18,641 | 4.95 | 3.00 | 26,552 | 5.01 | 3.00 | 45,193 | 4.98 | 3.00 | |||
| Ventilated during admission (%) | 18,641 | 79.28% | 26,552 | 77.70% | 45,193 | 78.35% | ||||||
| Planned admission (%) | 29,485 | 40.22% | 41,662 | 38.01% | 71,147 | 38.92% | ||||||
| Primary diagnosis bronchiolitis (%) | 29,432 | 12.44% | 41,625 | 12.53% | 71,057 | 12.49% | ||||||
| Primary diagnosis other infection (%) | 29,432 | 11.37% | 41,625 | 11.73% | 71,057 | 11.58% | ||||||
| Inotropic support during admission (%) | 29,519 | 24.20% | 41,723 | 23.53% | 71,242 | 23.81% | ||||||
| Renal support during admission (%) | 28,577 | 3.53% | 40,254 | 3.76% | 68,831 | 3.67% | ||||||
| 23–27 weeks | 1,782 | 7.88% | 2,447 | 7.59% | 4,229 | 7.71% | ||||||
| 28–35 weeks | 4,297 | 19.01% | 6,438 | 19.96% | 10,735 | 19.57% | ||||||
| 36–44 | 16,522 | 73.10% | 23,367 | 72.45% | 39,889 | 72.72% | ||||||
| Total | 22,601 | 32,252 | 54,853 | |||||||||
| White | 17,741 | 76.35% | 25,143 | 77.10% | 42,884 | 76.79% | ||||||
| Black | 1,297 | 5.58% | 1,514 | 4.64% | 2,811 | 5.03% | ||||||
| Asian | 2,654 | 11.42% | 3,796 | 11.64% | 6,450 | 11.55% | ||||||
| Mixed/Other | 1,543 | 6.64% | 2,158 | 6.62% | 3,701 | 6.63% | ||||||
| Total | 23,235 | 32,611 | 55,846 | |||||||||
*n is the number of cases with non-missing data. Where n is different to that in the main header, it indicates missing data; PIM2R (2016): Paediatric Index of Mortality version 2 revised and recalibrated in 2016; Ventilated: refers to invasive ventilation.
Figure 3Time series plots of death for males and females. The jagged lines are the variations in total deaths for males and females by month. The lowess smooth lines are the overall totals for average deaths per month for males and females over the 11-year study period, showing overall decline (smooth curves) in mortality.
Figure 4Crude and PIM2R adjusted mortality of males versus females for each critical care unit. The red vertical line is the overall PIM2R adjusted odds ratio from a cluster-robust model and the black vertical line is the null odds ratio value of one. The overall OR for male relative to female mortality is 0·87 (95% CI, 0·81 to 0·94, P = 0·001). Each dot represents an individual unit. OR < 1 represents higher female mortality in that PICU, OR > 1 represents higher male mortality. The PIM2R adjusted OR ensures that mortality comparison between the two sexes takes into account that the probability to be admitted in PICU depends on the severity of disease on admission. This plot can be viewed in conjunction with Table 4.
Parameters from the logistic regression model.
| OR | SE | P | 95% CI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sex (male/female) | 0.860 | 0.033 | < 0.001 | 0.797 | 0.927 |
| PIM2R | 1.084 | 0.004 | < 0.001 | 1.077 | 1.092 |
| Constant | 0.039 | 0.003 | < 0.001 | 0.033 | 0.046 |
Parameters from the Cause-Specific Hazard Ratio model.
| CSHR | SE | P | 95% CI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sex (male/female) | 0·865 | 0·028 | < 0·001 | 0·812 | 0·922 |
| PIM2R | 1·044 | 0·001 | < 0·001 | 1·042 | 1·047 |
| Baseline 1 | − 0·082 | 0·022 | < 0·001 | − 0·124 | − 0·039 |
| Baseline 2 | − 0·135 | 0·020 | < 0·001 | − 0·175 | − 0·095 |
| Baseline 3 | − 0·049 | 0·012 | < 0·001 | − 0·073 | − 0·026 |
| Baseline 4 | 0·132 | 0·016 | < 0·001 | 0·100 | 0·165 |
| PIM2R 1 | − 0·008 | 0·001 | < 0·001 | − 0·010 | − 0·007 |
| PIM2R 2 | 0·003 | 0·001 | < 0·001 | 0·002 | 0·004 |
| PIM2R 3 | − 0·001 | 0·000 | 0·034 | − 0·002 | 0·000 |
| PIM2R 4 | − 0·002 | 0·001 | < 0·001 | − 0·003 | − 0·001 |
| Constant | − 5·038 | 0·076 | < 0·001 | − 5·187 | − 4·888 |
CSHR Cause specific hazard ratio, CI Confidence interval, P p value, SE Standard error.
Marginal probabilities of death within PICU and discharge from PICU for males and females at different time points.
| Time in days | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 40 | ||
| Female | Dead | 0.018 | 0.028 | 0.034 | 0.040 | 0.045 |
| Male | Dead | 0.016 | 0.025 | 0.031 | 0.037 | 0.041 |
| Female | Discharged | 0.356 | 0.663 | 0.844 | 0.918 | 0.943 |
| Male | Discharged | 0.362 | 0.668 | 0.851 | 0.922 | 0.946 |