| Literature DB >> 34735447 |
Michael J Evans1,2, Kathryn Kay1, Chelsea Proctor1, Christian J Thomas3, Jacob W Malcom1,2.
Abstract
Environmental laws need sound data to protect species and ecosystems. In 1996, a proliferation of mountaintop removal coal mines in a region home to over 50 federally protected species was approved under the Endangered Species Act. Although this type of mining can degrade terrestrial and aquatic habitats, the available data and tools limited the ability to analyze spatially extensive, aggregate effects of such a program. We used two large, public datasets to quantify the relationship between mountaintop removal coal mining and water quality measures important to the survival of imperiled species at a landscape scale across Kentucky, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia. We combined an annual map of the extent of surface mines in this region from 1985 to 2015 generated from Landsat satellite imagery with public water quality data collected over the same time period from 4,260 monitoring stations within the same area. The water quality data show that chronic and acute thresholds for levels of aluminum, arsenic, cadmium, conductivity, copper, lead, manganese, mercury, pH, selenium, and zinc safe for aquatic life were exceeded thousands of times between 1985 and 2015 in streams that are important to the survival and recovery of species on the Endangered Species List. Linear mixed models showed that levels of manganese, sulfate, sulfur, total dissolved solids, total suspended solids, and zinc increased by 6.73E+01 to 6.87E+05 μg/L and conductivity by 3.30E+06 μS /cm for one percent increase in the mined proportion of the area draining into a monitoring station. The proportion of a drainage area that was mined also increased the likelihood that chronic thresholds for copper, lead, and zinc required to sustain aquatic life were exceeded. Finally, the proportion of a watershed that was mined was positively related to the likelihood that a waterway would be designated as impaired under the Clean Water Act. Together these results demonstrate that the extent of mountaintop removal mining, which can be derived from public satellite data, is predictive of water quality measures important to imperiled species-effects that must be considered under environmental law. These findings and the public data used in our analyses are pertinent to ongoing re-evaluations of the effects of current mine permitting regulations to the recovery and survival of federally protected species.Entities:
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Year: 2021 PMID: 34735447 PMCID: PMC8568141 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0239691
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Chronic exposure thresholds for aquatic life were exceeded thousands of times in Central Appalachian waterways between 1985 and 2015.
Map shows the locations of water quality monitoring stations within the study area encompassing parts of Kentucky, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia shown on the inset map. Colors indicate the mean number of different water quality measures for which chronic exposure thresholds were exceeded each time a sample was taken at a given location. The basemap contains USGS/NASA Landsat data from 2020, accessed through Google Earth Engine.
Chronic and acute toxicity thresholds were exceeded many times in waterways important to listed aquatic species.
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| Aluminum | 3,853 | 871 | 973 (51.6) |
| Arsenic | 39 | 39 | 831 (44.0) |
| Cadmium | 659 | 629 | 853 (45.2) |
| Calcium | - | - | - |
| Conductivity | 2,246 | 2,244 | 226 (12.0) |
| Copper | 1,052 | 750 | 927 (49.1) |
| Iron | - | - | - |
| Lead | 795 | 271 | 878 (46.5) |
| Manganese | 3,651 | 2,276 | 1,073 (56.9) |
| Mercury | 72 | 62 | 722 (38.3) |
| pH | 15,419 | 15,419 | 1,187 (62.9) |
| Selenium | 113 | 79 | 793 (42.0) |
| Sulfate | - | - | - |
| Turbidity | - | - | - |
| Total dissolved solids | - | - | - |
| Total suspended solids | - | - | - |
| Zinc | 451 | 451 | 997 (52.8) |
aNo chronic or acute thresholds provided for measure.
Table shows the number of times that any recorded value (e.g. ‘Dissolved’, ‘Total’, etc.) of each water quality measure exceeded standard thresholds for aquatic life, and the number of different monitoring stations at which these events occurred. These data only consider measures taken from 1,887 monitoring stations whose drainage basin contained a stream that was designated as important to species survival and recovery.
Fig 2Increases in the proportion of drainage basins that were mined lead to increases in multiple measures of water quality that are detrimental to aquatic species.
Graphs show the change in water quality measures per change in mined area as estimated by linear mixed models. Dashed lines encompass a 95% credible interval around estimated relationships.
Significant positive relationships were estimated between mined area and nine measures of water quality.
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| Aluminum (μg/L) | Total | 3.57E+03 | -1.01E+03 | 8.17E+03 | 1.01 |
| Aluminum (μg/L) | Dissolved | 3.74E+03 | -9.82E+02 | 8.52E+03 | 1.01 |
| Arsenic (μg/L) | Total | -5.03E+01 | -1.38E+02 | 3.52E+01 | 1.00 |
| Arsenic (μg/L) | Dissolved | 3.39E-01 | -5.26E+00 | 5.70E+00 | 1.00 |
| Cadmium (μg/L) | Total | -8.21E+02 | -2.08E+03 | 4.52E+02 | 1.01 |
| Cadmium (μg/L) | Dissolved | -6.92E+00 | -4.39E+01 | 3.11E+01 | 1.00 |
| Calcium (μg/L) | Total | 6.34E+04 | -4.87E+02 | 1.25E+05 | 1.01 |
| Calcium (μg/L) | Dissolved | 8.04E+04 | -3.35E+04 | 1.92E+05 | 1.00 |
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| Copper (μg/L) | Total | -1.20E+02 | -4.52E+02 | 2.03E+02 | 1.00 |
| Copper (μg/L) | Dissolved | -1.26E+02 | -4.67E+02 | 2.04E+02 | 1.00 |
| Iron (μg/L) | Total | -2.04E+03 | -2.23E+04 | 1.87E+04 | 1.00 |
| Iron (μg/L) | Dissolved | -1.44E+04 | -3.48E+04 | 5.94E+03 | 1.00 |
| Lead (μg/L) | Total | -5.12E+01 | -2.32E+02 | 1.28E+02 | 1.00 |
| Lead (μg/L) | Dissolved | -5.32E+01 | -2.27E+02 | 1.16E+02 | 1.00 |
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| Mercury (μg/L) | Total | -5.52E+00 | -3.42E+01 | 2.33E+01 | 1.00 |
| Mercury (μg/L) | Dissolved | -5.77E-01 | -2.82E+00 | 1.76E+00 | 1.01 |
| pH | Dissolved | 2.68E-01 | -3.37E-01 | 9.02E-01 | 1.00 |
| Selenium (μg/L) | Total | -1.78E+02 | -4.01E+02 | 4.65E+01 | 1.00 |
| Selenium (μg/L) | Dissolved | -1.76E+02 | -4.10E+02 | 5.36E+01 | 1.00 |
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| Total dissolved solids (μg/L) | Dissolved | 7.74E+05 | -3.56E+04 | 1.55E+06 | 1.00 |
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| Turbidity (NTU) | Total | -7.06E+02 | -2.79E+03 | 1.33E+03 | 1.00 |
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Table shows the regression coefficients quantifying the relationship between adjusted mined area on measures, as estimated by linear mixed models. The 50th, 2.5th, and 97.5th percentile of the posterior distribution, as well as a measure of MCMC chain convergence (Rhat) are included. Bold text indicates estimates with 95% credible intervals that did not overlap zero.
Significant positive relationships were estimated between mined area in a watershed and the probability that streams therein were designated as impaired.
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| Mined | 23.04 | 20.34 | 25.88 | 1.00 |
| Impervious | 97,232.78 | 74,617.36 | 118,089.30 | 1.02 |
| Cultivated | -36,071.50 | -40,454.80 | -32,007.00 | 1.00 |
Table shows the 50th, 2.5th, and 97.5th percentiles of posterior distributions of regression coefficients quantifying the relationship between and probability of impairment, as estimated by logistic regression models with random effects. Measures of MCMC chain convergence (Rhat) are included.
Fig 3Increases in the proportion of drainage basins that were mined increased the probability that chronic exposure toxicity thresholds would be exceeded for three water quality measures.
Graphs show the change in probability of exceedance per change in mined area as estimated by linear mixed models. Dashed lines encompass the 95% credible interval around estimated relationships.