| Literature DB >> 34733917 |
Runqin Li1, Xiao Lin1, Jing-Yue Wang2, Xiaomo Wang3, Junfeng Lu1, Yali Liu4, Zhenhuan Cao1, Shan Ren1, Lina Ma1, Yi Jin1, Sujun Zheng1, Zhongjie Hu1, Li Wang3, Xinyue Chen1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Hepatitis B surface antigen clearance or seroconversion is rarely achieved for patients using nucleoside analogs or pegylated interferon alpha monotherapy approaches. Several recent studies have confirmed the benefit of a combination of these two approaches for selected chronic hepatitis B patients. However, few reports have investigated long-term outcomes or health economic evaluation for hepatitis B surface antigen clearance. The aim of this study was to perform a cost-effectiveness analysis of the long-term use of this combination strategy among selected hepatitis B e antigen-negative patients.Entities:
Keywords: Cost-effectiveness; chronic hepatitis B; functional cure; hepatitis B surface antigen loss (HBsAg loss); quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs)
Year: 2021 PMID: 34733917 PMCID: PMC8506536 DOI: 10.21037/atm-21-1666
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ann Transl Med ISSN: 2305-5839
Figure 1Diagram of the Markov model schematic with entry points of HBeAg-negative patients with chronic hepatitis B. CHB, chronic hepatitis B; CC, compensated cirrhosis; DCC, decompensated cirrhosis; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; LTP, liver transplantation; post-LTP, post-liver transplantation; HBeAg, hepatitis B e antigen; HBsAg, hepatitis B surface antigen.
Annual transition rates of disease states used in the Markov model
| Initial state | Transition state | Model input (%) | Range (%) | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| From CHB† | HBsAg loss | 0.30 | – | ( |
| CC | 0.34 | (0.30, 0.40) | ( | |
| DCC | 0.02 | (0, 0.05) | ( | |
| HCC | 0.70 | (0.27, 1.00) | ( | |
| Death | 0.93 | (0.75, 1.50) | ( | |
| Before 96-week | ||||
| From CHB‡§ | HBsAg loss | 67.7 | – | ( |
| NA treatment | 32.3 | |||
| From CHB‡¶ | HBsAg loss | 31.8 | – | ( |
| NA treatment | 68.2 | |||
| From CHB‡# | HBsAg loss | 6.7 | – | ( |
| NA treatment | 93.3 | |||
| After 96-week | ||||
| From CHB†# | HBsAg loss | 1.80 | – | ( |
| CC | 0.34 | (0.30, 0.40) | ( | |
| DCC | 0.02 | (0, 0.05) | ( | |
| HCC | 0.70 | (0.27, 1.00) | ( | |
| Death | 0.93 | (0.75, 1.50) | ( | |
| From CHB†¶ | HBsAg loss | 1.90 | – | ( |
| CC | 0.34 | (0.30, 0.40) | ( | |
| DCC | 0.02 | (0, 0.05) | ( | |
| HCC | 0.40 | (0.27, 1.00) | ( | |
| Death | 0.93 | (0.75, 1.50) | ( | |
| From CHB†§ | HBsAg loss | 7.40 | – | ( |
| CC | 0.34 | (0.30, 0.40) | ( | |
| DCC | 0.02 | (0, 0.05) | ( | |
| HCC | 0.40 | (0.27, 1.00) | ( | |
| Death | 0.93 | (0.75, 1.50) | ( | |
| From HBsAg loss | CC | 0.34 | (0.30, 0.40) | ( |
| DCC | 0.02 | (0, 0.05) | 19) | |
| HCC | 0.10 | – | ( | |
| From CC | DCC | 1.90 | (0.9, 3.8) | ( |
| HCC | 1.60 | (0.8, 3.2) | ( | |
| Death | 2.40 | (1.2, 4.8) | ( | |
| From DCC | HCC | 7.10 | (3.5, 10.0) | ( |
| Liver transplantation | 5.50 | (1.0, 10.0) | ( | |
| death | 15.00 | (9.9, 20.0) | ( | |
| Liver transplantation | Post-liver transplantation | 88.00 | (89.2, 86.8) | ( |
| Death | 12.00 | (10.8, 13.2) | ( | |
| Post-liver transplantation | Death | 4.80 | (4.3, 5.3) | ( |
| HBV relapse | 8.10 | (7.3, 8.9) | ( | |
| From HCC | Liver transplantation | 5.50 | (1.0, 10.0) | ( |
| Death | 54.50 | (20.0, 60.0) | ( |
†, patients receiving NA monotherapy; ‡, patients receiving combination NA and Peg-IFNα therapy; ‡#, population with 100 IU/mL < HBsAg ≤1,000 IU/mL at 48 weeks treated with combination NA and Peg-IFNα before 96 weeks; ‡¶, population with 10 IU/mL < HBsAg ≤100 IU/mL at 48 weeks treated with combination NA and Peg-IFNα before 96 weeks; ‡§, population with HBsAg ≤10 IU/mL at 48 weeks treated with combination NA and Peg-IFNα before 96 weeks; †#, population with 100 IU/mL < HBsAg ≤1,000 IU/mL at 48 weeks treated with NA monotherapy after 96 weeks; †¶, population of 10 IU/mL < HBsAg ≤100 IU/mL at 48 weeks treated with NA monotherapy after 96 weeks; †§, population of HBsAg ≤10 IU/mL at 48 weeks treated with NA monotherapy after 96 weeks. Peg-IFNα, pegylated interferon alpha; NA, nucleoside analogs; CHB, chronic hepatitis B; HBsAg, hepatitis B surface antigen; CC, compensated cirrhosis; DCC, decompensated cirrhosis; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma.
Mean utility estimates for chronic hepatitis B-related health states
| Health state utilities | Utility | Range |
|---|---|---|
| HBsAg loss | 0.95 | (0.90, 0.99) |
| Chronic hepatitis B | 0.95 | (0.90, 0.99) |
| Compensated cirrhosis | 0.69 | (0.66, 0.71) |
| Decompensated cirrhosis | 0.35 | (0.32, 0.37) |
| Liver transplantation | 0.41 | (0.37, 0.45) |
| Post liver transplantation | 0.55 | (0.49, 0.61) |
| Hepatocellular carcinoma | 0.38 | (0.36, 0.41) |
HBsAg, hepatitis B surface antigen.
Average annual total drug cost and chronic hepatitis B-related patient management cost
| Treatment strategy & cost | Annual base-case estimation (Yuan, RMB) | Annual base-case estimation (Dollar, USD) |
|---|---|---|
| Treatment strategy | ||
| NA monotherapy | 6,700 | 1,012 |
| NA + Peg-IFNα | 48,000 | 7,254 |
| Disease-state cost† | ||
| HBsAg loss | 1,978 | 299 |
| Chronic hepatitis B | 1,978 | 299 |
| Cirrhosis | 6,050 | 914 |
| Decompensation cirrhosis | 42,519 | 6,425 |
| Hepatocellular carcinoma | 86,384 | 13,054 |
| Liver transplantation ( | 448,878 | 67,833 |
| Post-liver transplantation ( | 67,989 | 10,274 |
†, including the cost of annual medical management, laboratory testing and examinations. NA, nucleoside analogs; Peg-IFNα, pegylated interferon alpha; HBsAg, hepatitis B surface antigen.
Cost-effectiveness ranking in different treatment groups and cumulative HBsAg clearance rateww
| Strategy | Different quantitation of HBsAg (IU/mL) | Accumulative disease incidence rate | Cost-effectiveness | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHB | HBsAg clearance | HCC | CC | Cost (RMB) | Cost (USD) | Incr cost (RMB) | Incr cost (USD) | Eff (QALY) | Incr eff (QALY) | ICER (USD) | |||
| NA monotherapy | ≤1,000 | 0.32 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 344,526 | 52,064 | 46,528 | 7,032 | 13.9 | −1.9 | −3,755 | |
| NA + Peg-IFNα | ≤1,000 | na | na | na | na | 297,998 | 45,032 | – | – | 15.8 | – | – | |
| Sub-group analysis in NA + Peg-IFNα | |||||||||||||
| Sub-group 1 | ≤10 | 0.01 | 0.77 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 233,714 | 35,318 | na | na | 16.7 | na | na | |
| Sub-group 2 | 10–100 | 0.12 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 312,597 | 47,239 | na | na | 15.7 | na | na | |
| Sub-group 3 | 100–1,000 | 0.15 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 353,549 | 53,427 | na | na | 14.9 | na | na | |
CC, compensated cirrhosis; CHB, chronic hepatitis B; HBsAg, hepatitis B surface antigen; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; Incr eff, incremental effectiveness; NA, nucleoside analogs; na, not available; Peg-IFNα, pegylated interferon alpha.
Figure 2Results of one-way sensitivity analysis (Tornado analysis) at the threshold of willingness to pay (WTP) in China, which was USD 29,250 (RMB 193,562, three times the GDP per capita in 2018) per QALY. The dark blue portion of each bar represents the low range of the parameter on the y-axis, and the light blue portion the high range of the parameter. When dark blue is on the left and light blue on the right, the ICER increases as the parameter value increases; when light blue is on the left of the baseline, ICER decreases as parameter value increases. c, cost; CC, compensated cirrhosis; CHB, chronic hepatitis B; CIRR, cirrhosis; DCC, decompensated cirrhosis; EV, expected value; GDP, gross domestic product; HBsAg, hepatitis B surface antigen; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; LP, liver transplantation; NA, nucleoside analogs; POSTLP, post-liver transplantation; QALY, quality-adjusted life-year; u, utility.
Figure 3Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves of combination therapy for the base-case scenario. The y-axis shows the probability of cost-effectiveness. The x-axis shows willingness to pay. NA, nucleoside analogs; Peg-IFNα, pegylated interferon alpha.