Tufan Çınar1, Faysal Şaylık2, Murat Selçuk3, Tayyar Akbulut2, Ahmet Lütfullah Orhan3. 1. Department of Cardiology, Health Sciences University, Sultan II. Abdulhamid Han Training and Research Hospital, Tibbiye Street, Uskudar, 34678, Istanbul, Turkey. drtufancinar@gmail.com. 2. Department of Cardiology, Van Training and Research Hospital, Van, Turkey. 3. Department of Cardiology, Health Sciences University, Sultan II. Abdulhamid Han Training and Research Hospital, Tibbiye Street, Uskudar, 34678, Istanbul, Turkey.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In this study, we investigated the utility of the Model for End-stage Liver Disease excluding INR (MELD-XI) score in predicting short- and long-term mortality in elderly patients with non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) who underwent coronary angiography (CAG). METHODS: In total, we analyzed 228 elderly NSTEMI patients above the age of 75. We used the modified 5-item frailty index and the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) to assess the comorbidities. The MELD-XI score was calculated using the logarithmic relationship between the serum creatinine and total bilirubin. RESULTS: The median long-term follow-up was 530 [interquartile range (IQR) = 303-817] days and the short- and long-term mortality rates were 11.8% (n = 27) and 16.4% (n = 33), respectively. Patients who did not survive had a substantially higher MELD-XI score than those who did [10.1 (IQR = 7.8-15.1) vs. 4.5 (IQR = 1.9-6.9), p < 0.001, respectively]. Multivariable Cox regression analyses indicated that the MELD-XI score predicted both short- and long-term mortality independently. When the MELD-XI score, serum creatinine, and total bilirubin area under the curve (AUC) values were compared to predict long-term mortality, the MELD-XI score had the highest value (AUC: 0.833), followed by the serum creatinine (AUC: 0.741), and the total bilirubin (AUC: 0.723). The accuracy of the MELD-XI score was further tested with the GRACE risk score, which demonstrated noninferiority. CONCLUSION: This was the first investigation which indicated that elderly NSTEMI patients with a high MELD-XI score had poor prognosis in the short- and long-term period.
BACKGROUND: In this study, we investigated the utility of the Model for End-stage Liver Disease excluding INR (MELD-XI) score in predicting short- and long-term mortality in elderly patients with non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) who underwent coronary angiography (CAG). METHODS: In total, we analyzed 228 elderly NSTEMI patients above the age of 75. We used the modified 5-item frailty index and the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) to assess the comorbidities. The MELD-XI score was calculated using the logarithmic relationship between the serum creatinine and total bilirubin. RESULTS: The median long-term follow-up was 530 [interquartile range (IQR) = 303-817] days and the short- and long-term mortality rates were 11.8% (n = 27) and 16.4% (n = 33), respectively. Patients who did not survive had a substantially higher MELD-XI score than those who did [10.1 (IQR = 7.8-15.1) vs. 4.5 (IQR = 1.9-6.9), p < 0.001, respectively]. Multivariable Cox regression analyses indicated that the MELD-XI score predicted both short- and long-term mortality independently. When the MELD-XI score, serum creatinine, and total bilirubin area under the curve (AUC) values were compared to predict long-term mortality, the MELD-XI score had the highest value (AUC: 0.833), followed by the serum creatinine (AUC: 0.741), and the total bilirubin (AUC: 0.723). The accuracy of the MELD-XI score was further tested with the GRACE risk score, which demonstrated noninferiority. CONCLUSION: This was the first investigation which indicated that elderly NSTEMI patients with a high MELD-XI score had poor prognosis in the short- and long-term period.
Authors: K Szummer; P Lundman; S H Jacobson; S Schön; J Lindbäck; U Stenestrand; L Wallentin; T Jernberg Journal: J Intern Med Date: 2009-12-03 Impact factor: 8.989