Yina Xu1, Xiaoyun Shan1, Huabin Wang2. 1. Department of Clinical Laboratory, Affiliated Jinhua Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Jinhua city, Zhejiang Province, China. 2. Department of Clinical Laboratory, Affiliated Jinhua Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Jinhua city, Zhejiang Province, China; Central Laboratory, Affiliated Jinhua Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Jinhua city, Zhejiang Province, China. Electronic address: whb798183844@126.com.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Numerous biomarkers have been shown to be associated with albuminuria. However, few of them are valuable separate predictors of albuminuria development. This study aimed to develop a model for predicting the short-term risk of new-onset albuminuria in normoalbuminuric patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). METHODS: 213 patients with T2D who were normoalbuminuric at the baseline were enrolled in this study. Basal levels of clinical characteristics and renal biomarkers including urinary orosomucoid (alpha-1-acid-glycoprotein, UORM), neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, retinol-binding protein, alpha-1-microglobulin, transferrin, and albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) were utilized to analyze the association with the short-term risk of new-onset albuminuria. RESULTS: 19.72% of normoalbuminuric subjects at baseline progressed to albuminuria over the 2-year follow-up period. Except for NGAL, the basal levels of the other five renal biomarkers were significantly associated with new-onset albuminuria risk in the univariate analysis. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis using Forward: LR method, a model incorporating UORM/Cr, ACR, and HbA1c was established. Comparatively, this model had a higher potential to predict new-onset albuminuria risk compared with the single use of renal markers. In the validation of this model performed by 5-fold cross-validation method, the accuracy of this model was 0.818 ± 0.008 in the training sets, 0.827 ± 0.062 in the test sets, indicating a good capability for assessing albuminuria risk. Finally, a nomogram based on this model was constructed to facilitate its use in clinical practice. CONCLUSION: The combined analysis of UORM/Cr, ACR and HbA1c may be of potential value for predicting the short-term risk of new-onset albuminuria in such patients.
OBJECTIVES: Numerous biomarkers have been shown to be associated with albuminuria. However, few of them are valuable separate predictors of albuminuria development. This study aimed to develop a model for predicting the short-term risk of new-onset albuminuria in normoalbuminuric patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). METHODS: 213 patients with T2D who were normoalbuminuric at the baseline were enrolled in this study. Basal levels of clinical characteristics and renal biomarkers including urinary orosomucoid (alpha-1-acid-glycoprotein, UORM), neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, retinol-binding protein, alpha-1-microglobulin, transferrin, and albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) were utilized to analyze the association with the short-term risk of new-onset albuminuria. RESULTS: 19.72% of normoalbuminuric subjects at baseline progressed to albuminuria over the 2-year follow-up period. Except for NGAL, the basal levels of the other five renal biomarkers were significantly associated with new-onset albuminuria risk in the univariate analysis. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis using Forward: LR method, a model incorporating UORM/Cr, ACR, and HbA1c was established. Comparatively, this model had a higher potential to predict new-onset albuminuria risk compared with the single use of renal markers. In the validation of this model performed by 5-fold cross-validation method, the accuracy of this model was 0.818 ± 0.008 in the training sets, 0.827 ± 0.062 in the test sets, indicating a good capability for assessing albuminuria risk. Finally, a nomogram based on this model was constructed to facilitate its use in clinical practice. CONCLUSION: The combined analysis of UORM/Cr, ACR and HbA1c may be of potential value for predicting the short-term risk of new-onset albuminuria in such patients.