| Literature DB >> 34585781 |
Jonas Banefelt1, Jen Timoshanko2, Emma Söreskog1,3, Gustaf Ortsäter1, Alireza Moayyeri4, Kristina E Åkesson5,6, Anna Spångéus7,8, Cesar Libanati4.
Abstract
Bone mineral density (BMD) is an established measure used to diagnose patients with osteoporosis. In clinical trials, change in BMD has been shown to provide a reliable estimate of fracture risk reduction, and achieved BMD T-score has been shown to reflect the near-term risk of fracture. We aimed to test the association between BMD T-score and fracture risk in patients treated for osteoporosis in a real-world setting. This retrospective, observational cohort study included Swedish females aged ≥55 years who had a total hip BMD measurement at one of three participating clinics. Patients were separated into two cohorts: bisphosphonate-treated and bisphosphonate-naïve prior to BMD measurement, stratified by age and prior nonvertebral fracture status. The primary outcome was cumulative incidence of clinical fractures within 24 months of BMD measurement, with other fracture types included as secondary outcomes. Associations between T-score and fracture risk were estimated using proportional hazards regression and restricted cubic splines. A total of 15,395 patients were analyzed: 11,973 bisphosphonate-naïve and 3422 bisphosphonate-treated. In the 24 months following BMD measurement, 6.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.9-6.7) of bisphosphonate-naïve and 8.4% (95% CI, 7.5-9.4) of bisphosphonate-treated patients experienced a clinical fracture. Strong inverse relationships between BMD T-score and fracture incidence were observed in both cohorts. Among bisphosphonate-naïve patients, this relationship appeared to plateau around T-score -1.5, indicating smaller marginal reductions in fracture risk above this value; bisphosphonate-treated patients showed a more consistent marginal change in fracture risk across the evaluated T-scores (-3.0 to -0.5). Trends remained robust regardless of age and prior fracture status. This real-world demonstration of a BMD-fracture risk association in both bisphosphonate-naïve and bisphosphonate-treated patients extends evidence from clinical trials and recent meta-regressions supporting the suitability of total hip BMD as a meaningful outcome for the clinical management of patients with osteoporosis.Entities:
Keywords: DXA; FRACTURE PREVENTION; FRACTURE RISK ASSESSMENT; GENERAL POPULATION STUDIES; OSTEOPOROSIS
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34585781 PMCID: PMC9298264 DOI: 10.1002/jbmr.4448
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Bone Miner Res ISSN: 0884-0431 Impact factor: 6.390
Fig. 1Study design.
Patient Characteristics at Index Date
| Characteristic | Cohort 1: BP‐naïve patients | Cohort 2: BP‐treated patients |
|---|---|---|
| ( | ( | |
| Age (years), mean (SD), IQR | 68.2 (8.5), 13.0 | 71.5 (8.6), 13.0 |
| Age groups, | – | – |
| <75 years | 9009 (75.2) | 2066 (60.4) |
| ≥75 years | 2964 (24.8) | 1356 (39.6) |
| BMD | – | – |
| Total hip | −1.4 (1.2), 1.5 | −1.7 (1.1), 1.4 |
| Lumbar spine | −1.4 (1.6), 1.9 | −1.7 (1.5), 1.8 |
| Total hip BMD | 1874 (15.7) | 772 (22.6) |
| Total hip BMD | – | – |
| < −4.0 | 122 (1.0) | 61 (1.8) |
| ≥ −4.0 to < −3.5 | 214 (1.8) | 87 (2.5) |
| ≥ −3.5 to < −3.0 | 510 (4.3) | 215 (6.3) |
| ≥ −3.0 to < −2.5 | 1028 (8.6) | 409 (12.0) |
| ≥ −2.5 to < −2.0 | 1660 (13.9) | 588 (17.2) |
| ≥ −2.0 to < −1.5 | 2113 (17.7) | 687 (20.1) |
| ≥ −1.5 to < −1.0 | 2080 (17.4) | 588 (17.2) |
| ≥ −1.0 to < −0.5 | 1750 (14.6) | 382 (11.2) |
| ≥ −0.5 | 2496 (20.9) | 405 (11.8) |
| History of prior fracture, | – | – |
| Any | 4407 (36.8) | 1176 (34.4) |
| Nonvertebral | 4138 (34.6) | 1012 (29.6) |
| Time since most recent fracture (days), mean (SD), IQR | – | – |
| Any | 586 (867), 619 | 1238 (1046), 1659 |
| Nonvertebral | 611 (886), 681 | 1315 (1057), 1645 |
| Osteoporosis treatment within 12 months before index date, | 790 (6.6) | 2810 (82.1) |
| Assisted drug dispensing within 12 months before index date, | 313 (2.6) | 98 (2.9) |
| Exposure to drugs that increase the risk of falls within 12 months before index date, | 8137 (68.0) | 2446 (71.5) |
| Glucocorticoid use per FRAX definition within 12 months before index date, | 1374 (11.5) | 864 (25.3) |
| Initiation of BP‐treatment during follow‐up, | 4188 (35.0) | – |
| Initiation of BP‐treatment during follow‐up before occurrence of first fracture, | 4090 (34.2) | – |
| Charlson‐Quan comorbidity index score, | – | – |
| 0 | 8100 (67.7) | 2028 (59.3) |
| 1 | 3523 (29.4) | 1316 (38.5) |
| ≥2 | 350 (2.9) | 78 (2.3) |
Percentages may not sum due to rounding.
BMD = bone mineral density; BP = bisphosphonate; FRAX = Fracture Risk Assessment Tool; IQR = interquartile range; SD = standard deviation.
Patients had not received BP treatment for at least 12 months prior to index date.
n = 11,891 for Cohort 1 and n = 3393 for Cohort 2.
Includes all prior osteoporosis treatments (not exclusively BPs) within the specified timeframe.
Used as a proxy for dependency.
Exposure to ≥450 mg prednisone (or equivalent dose of other glucocorticoids).
Cumulative Fracture Incidence and Correlations With Hip BMD T‐Score at 24 Months
| Cohort 1: BPnaïve patients ( | Cohort 2: BP‐treated patients ( | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fracture type | Cumulative fracture incidence | Correlation between cumulative fracture incidence and hip BMD | Hazard ratio (95% CI) for hip | Cumulative fracture incidence | Correlation between cumulative fracture incidence and hip BMD | Hazard ratio (95% CI) for hip |
| % (95% CI) | (Pearson's correlation coefficient) | % (95% CI) | (Pearson's correlation coefficient) | |||
| Any | 6.29 (5.86–6.73) | −0.92 | 0.63 (0.59–0.67) | 8.39 (7.49–9.35) | −0.94 | 0.69 (0.62–0.77) |
| Nonvertebral | 5.41 (5.02–5.83) | −0.93 | 0.65 (0.61–0.70) | 7.31 (6.47–8.21) | −0.94 | 0.69 (0.61–0.77) |
| Vertebral | 1.02 (0.85–1.21) | −0.79 | 0.50 (0.43–0.58) | 1.34 (1.00–1.77) | −0.92 | 0.68 (0.53–0.88) |
| Hip | 1.20 (1.02–1.41) | −0.72 | 0.45 (0.39–0.52) | 1.40 (1.05–1.84) | −0.61 | 0.45 (0.37–0.55) |
| Nonhip nonvertebral | 4.32 (3.96–4.69) | −0.96 | 0.73 (0.68–0.78) | 6.02 (5.26–6.85) | −0.98 | 0.79 (0.70–0.90) |
| Major osteoporotic | 4.53 (4.16–4.91) | −0.89 | 0.58 (0.54–0.62) | 6.08 (5.31–6.91) | −0.94 | 0.70 (0.62–0.79) |
BMD = bone mineral density; BP = bisphosphonate; CI = confidence interval.
Patients had not received BP treatment for at least 12 months prior to index date.
Fig. 2Relationship between total hip T‐score and risk of any clinical fracture at 24 months (%) in (A) Cohort 1 (BP‐naïve patients)a and (B) Cohort 2 (BP‐treated patients). aPatients had not received BP treatment for at least 12 months prior to index date. Pale blue lines show the 95% confidence interval. BMD = bone mineral density; BP = bisphosphonate; SD = standard deviation.