| Literature DB >> 34511564 |
Nozomu Muraishi1,2, Yusuke Kawamura1,2, Masahiro Kobayashi1,2, Junichi Shindoh2,3, Yuta Kobayashi2,3, Satoshi Okubo2,3, Soichi Iritani1,2, Shunichiro Fujiyama1,2, Tetsuya Hosaka1,2, Satoshi Saitoh1,2, Hitomi Sezaki1,2, Norio Akuta1,2, Fumitaka Suzuki1,2, Yoshiyuki Suzuki1,2, Kenji Ikeda1,2, Yasuji Arase1,2, Masaji Hashimoto2,3, Ichiro Yasuda4, Hiromitsu Kumada1,2.
Abstract
Objective The relationship between the prognosis and magnitude of a decrease in tumor blood flow according to estimated tumor differentiation remains unclear. This study investigated the relationship between reductions in the rate of mean computed tomography (CT) attenuation values and the clinical prognosis. Methods We evaluated 63 consecutive patients who received lenvatinib treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The oncological aggressiveness of the tumors was estimated using classification by dynamic CT enhancement patterns. The utility of changes in mean CT attenuation values of intra-hepatic targets during treatment to estimate the prognosis was investigated by calculating the progression-free survival (PFS) and post-progression survival (PPS). A multivariate analysis was used to identify potential confounders for the survival after progression during lenvatinib therapy. Results The rate of decrease in the mean CT attenuation value gradually increased according to the degree of deterioration in estimated tumor differentiation, and the rate of a decrease in attenuation ≥40% showed a tendency to increase (p=0.064). This trend was reflected by a better objective response in oncological aggressiveness heterogeneous enhancement patterns (Type-3 and Type-4) than a homogeneous enhancement pattern (Type-2) (83% vs. 56% of modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors). This resulted in a similar PFS between the groups (p=0.773), whereas the PPS was significantly worse when the rate of decrease in the attenuation value was ≥40% (p=0.012). A multivariate analysis confirmed that a rate of decease in attenuation value ≥40% was a poor prognostic factor for the PPS (hazard ratio, 2.993; 95% confidence interval, 1.196-7.490; p=0.019). Conclusion A rate of decrease in attenuation ≥40% may reflect a good response of a highly malignant tumor to lenvatinib. Therefore, this value may have utility as a surrogate marker for estimating the oncological aggressiveness of tumors and their associated prognosis.Entities:
Keywords: computed tomography; hepatocellular carcinoma; lenvatinib; malignant potential; poorly differentiated; post-progression survival
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34511564 PMCID: PMC9038468 DOI: 10.2169/internalmedicine.7589-21
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Intern Med ISSN: 0918-2918 Impact factor: 1.282
Clinical Profiles and Laboratory Data of Patients with HCC Treated with Lenvatinib.*
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| Number of patients | 63 | |
| Gender, males: females, n | 46:17 | |
| Age, yr (range)† | 72 (45-91) | |
| Body weight <60 kg:≥60 kg | 33:30 | |
| HCV:HBV:NonB,NonC | 35:5:23 | |
| Platelet count, ×103/µL (range)† | 130 (48-292) | |
| Albumin, g/dL (range)† | 3.7 (2.9-4.5) | |
| Total bilirubin, mg/dL (range)† | 1.0 (0.3-2.8) | |
| Prothrombin activity, % (range)† | 86.3 (64.9-124.8) | |
| AST, IU/L (range)† | 37 (15-351) | |
| AFP, µg/L (range)† | 87.8 (0.8-61,040.7) | |
| DCP, AU/L (range)† | 164.0 (13.0-63,347.0) | |
| Child-Pugh score 5:6, n (%) | 42 (67%):21 (33%) | |
| mALBI score (1:2a:2b:3), n (%) | 17 (27%):24 (38%):22 (35%):0 (0%) | |
| Initial dose of lenvatinib, 4 mg:8 mg:12 mg [n (%)] | 2 (3%):30 (48%):31 (49%) | |
| Reduced starting dose of lenvatinib [n (%)] | 5 (8%) | |
| History of TKI treatment, n (%) | 6 (10%) | |
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| Largest tumor diameter, mm (range)† | 31.0 (11.0-175.0) | |
| Number of tumors, n (range) | 4 (1->200) | |
| Macrovascular invasion, n (%) | 13 (21%) | |
| Extrahepatic metastasis, n (%) | 21 (33%) | |
| BCLC stage A:B:C, n (%) | 11 (17%):23 (37%):29 (46%) | |
| TACE failure/refractoriness, n (%) | 43 (71%) | |
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| Type -2: -3: -4, n (%) | 16 (25%): 33 (52%): 14 (22%) | |
*AFP: alpha-fetoprotein, BCLC: Barcelona clinic liver cancer, AST: aspartate aminotransferase, DCP: des-γ-carboxyprothrombin, HBV: hepatitis B virus, HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma, HCV: hepatitis C virus, IU: international units, mALBI: modified albumin-bilirubin, NonB, NonC: neither HBV nor HCV infection present, TACE: transarterial chemoembolization, and TKI: tyrosine kinase inhibitor
†Data expressed as median (range).
The composition ratio is rounded off to the first decimal place and therefore the total will not necessarily be 100.
Figure 1.Rate of change in mean Hounsfield units (HU) before and after lenvatinib administration, evaluated according to dynamic CT enhancement patterns and early treatment responses.
Figure 2.Survival outcomes according to the change in mean Hounsfield units (HU) during lenvatinib treatment. (a) Progression-free survival rate, (b) Post-progression survival rate, and (c) overall survival rate.
Figure 3.The overall survival rate of PD and non-PD subgroups stratified by the change in the mean Hounsfield units (HU) during lenvatinib treatment.
Predictive Factors for Post-progression Survival.
| p* | Coefficients† | SE | Wald χ2 | HR | 95% CI | |||||||
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| Mean rate of decrease ≥40% in HU | 0.019 | 1.096 | 0.468 | 5.488 | 2.993 | 1.196-7.490 | ||||||
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| No subsequent treatment | ||||||||||||
| Other subsequent treatment | 0.001 | -1.867 | 0.584 | 10.219 | 0.155 | 0.049-0.486 | ||||||
| Lenvatinib-TACE sequential therapy | <0.001 | -2.470 | 0.627 | 15.523 | 0.085 | 0.025-0.289 | ||||||
| DCP +100 AU/L | 0.053 | 0.004 | 0.002 | 3.758 | 1.005 | 1.000-1.009 | ||||||
| Tumor number +1 nodule | 0.060 | 0.007 | 0.004 | 3.543 | 1.007 | 1.000-1.015 |
*Based on the likelihood test adjusted for the other factors in the final model.
†Estimated coefficient for the variable and the associated standard error.
AFP: alpha-fetoprotein, 95% CI: 95% confidence interval, CT: computed tomography, HR: hazard ratio, HU: Hounsfield units, DCP: des-γ-carboxyprothrombin, PD: progressive disease, SE: standard error, TACE: transarterial chemoembolization
Multivariate Cox regression was applied using stepwise backward selection. Of the potential predictors, factors showing a marginal association (p<0.15) with post-progression survival after the introduction of lenvatinib in the univariate analysis were included in the initial model. Factors that showed no or limited statistically significant association (p>0.1) adjusted for the remaining factors in the model were then deleted from the model in a stepwise fashion.
The 18 variables tested were as follows (p values in univariate analysis): age (0.209), gender (0.527), etiology (HCV vs. others) (0.995), serum albumin (0.424), serum total bilirubin (0.715), prothrombin activity (0.839), platelet count (0.477), serum aspartate aminotransferase (0.731), serum alfa-fetoprotein (0.017), plasma des-γ-carboxyprothrombin (0.019), tumor diameter (0.002), tumor number (<0.001), macrovascular invasion (0.016), extrahepatic metastasis (0.003), ROI decreasing rate ≥40% (0.015), TACE failure/refractoriness (0.277), reduced starting dose of lenvatinib (0.456), and subsequent treatment after diagnosis of PD state (other subsequent treatment <0.001 and lenvatinib-TACE sequential therapy <0.001).