| Literature DB >> 34493348 |
Benido Impouma1,2, George Sie Williams1, Fleury Moussana1, Franck Mboussou1, Bridget Farham1, Caitlin M Wolfe1,3, Charles Okot1, Katrina Downing1, Claudia Codeço Tores4, Antoine Flahault2, Cyril Pervilhac1, Georges Ki-Zerbo5, Peter Clement6, Steven Shongwe7, Olivia Keiser2, Ibrahima Socé Fall8.
Abstract
Experience gained from responding to major outbreaks may have influenced the early coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic response in several countries across Africa. We retrospectively assessed whether Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone, the three West African countries at the epicentre of the 2014-2016 Ebola virus disease outbreak, leveraged the lessons learned in responding to COVID-19 following the World Health Organization's (WHO) declaration of a public health emergency of international concern (PHEIC). We found relatively lower incidence rates across the three countries compared to many parts of the globe. Time to case reporting and laboratory confirmation also varied, with Guinea and Liberia reporting significant delays compared to Sierra Leone. Most of the selected readiness measures were instituted before confirmation of the first case and response measures were initiated rapidly after the outbreak confirmation. We conclude that the rapid readiness and response measures instituted by the three countries can be attributed to their lessons learned from the devastating Ebola outbreak, although persistent health systems weaknesses and the unique nature of COVID-19 continue to challenge control efforts.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Ebola virus disease; SARS-CoV-2; World Health Organization; infectious diseases; outbreak; pandemic; response
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34493348 PMCID: PMC8712942 DOI: 10.1017/S0950268821002053
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Epidemiol Infect ISSN: 0950-2688 Impact factor: 2.451
Selected COVID-19 readiness capacities and response measures, their rational and definition of key milestone date on which capacities were attained on response measures first implemented
| Category | Capacities/measures | Relevance/rationale | Definition of milestone date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Readiness | National strategic preparedness and response plan | A strategic preparedness and response plan (SPRP) outlines the public health measures that a country stands ready to implement to prepare for and respond to outbreaks. For a novel disease outbreak, an SPRP is crucial to guide policymakers and public health responders in critical decision-making processes. | Earliest date on which SPRP was finalised and adopted |
| Surveillance capacity at health facility level | The ability of health workers to use case definitions to diagnose and report suspected cases of COVID-19 for early case detection. | Earliest date on which 90% of health facilities were covered with staff trained to detect and report suspected cases of COVID-19 | |
| Diagnostic capacity at national level | The ability of the country to test and confirm a case of COVID-19 which is essential to trigger early response actions | Earliest date on which country gained capacity for conducting RT-PCR test for COVID-19 | |
| Capacity for screening at points-of-entry | Useful for early detection of cases given the threat posed by importation of confirmed cases from other parts of the world. The international airports were considered as the place of greatest risk of importation during the early phase of the pandemic. | Earliest date on which screening of travellers began at the international airports | |
| Capacity for rapid response | A multi-disciplinary team is needed in the early phase of an epidemic for rapid investigation of alerts, quarantine or isolation of cases in order to find cases timely and implement quick public health measures to prevent mortality or interrupt transmission. | Earliest date on which trained national rapid response team was operationalised | |
| Capacity for case management | Prompt and optimal care necessary for preventing or reducing mortality. | Earliest date on which a functional treatment unit was made operational for the management of COVID-19 cases | |
| Capacity for risk communication and community engagements | Communicating the risk of the disease early, promoting preventive measures, engaging with the population through influencers to enhance preventive measures and respond early to rumours and misbeliefs | Earliest date on which the country initiated mass communication of COVID-19 messaging | |
| Response | Activation of incidence management system | Critical to improve communication and information flow as well as to coordinate the public health response | Earliest date on which incidence management system was activated |
| Suspension of commercial flights | Implemented to reduce the risk of international importation of cases while the countries study the situation and prepared better to manage international travellers | Earliest date on which international airport was closed | |
| Closure of schools | Implemented to reduce the risk of COVID-19 transmission among students | Earliest date on which all schools were closed | |
| Restriction on internal movements | Implemented to reduce the risk of spread of COVID-19 between different parts of the country | Earliest date on which restriction on internal movement started | |
| Restriction on mass gatherings | Implemented to reduce the risk of transmission of COVID-19 among people in mass gatherings such as concerts, sporting events, religious places, funerals etc. | Earliest date on which restrictions were implemented | |
| Mandatory wearing of face mask in public | Implemented to reduce the risk of human-to-human transmission of COVID-19 | Earliest date on which wearing of face mask in public became mandatory | |
| Mandatory testing of travellers | Implemented after the resumption of commercial flights to prevent the importation of COVID-19 while also preventing international spread from these countries | Earliest date on which mandatory testing of travellers commenced |
Fig. 1.Timeline of selected COVID-19 readiness and response measures in Sierra Leone, Guinea and Liberia, 1 February to 30 September 2020.
Duration to attainment or implementation of selected COVID-19 readiness capacities and response measures in Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone, 1 February–30 September 2020
| Categories | Measures/capacities |
Number of days to measures | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea | Liberia | Sierra Leone | Mean | ||
| Readiness measures reference date: 30 January 2020 | National preparedness and response plan finalised and adopted | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 90% of health facilities with staff trained in COVID-19 surveillance | N/A | 21 | 27 | – | |
| Testing capacity available (RT-PCR) | 27 | 35 | 25 | 29 | |
| Screening of travellers commenced at international airports | 37 | 22 | 51 | 37 | |
| National rapid response team activated | N/A | 6 | 39 | – | |
| Functional treatment unit ready for case management | 14 | 25 | 53 | 31 | |
| Mass public communication campaign commenced | 31 | 31 | 50 | 37 | |
| Response measures reference dates Liberia: 16 March 2020; Guinea: 13 March 2020; Sierra Leone: 31 March 2020 | National incidence management system activated | 2 | 1 | −47 | −15 |
| Suspension of all commercial flights | 8 | 32 | −9 | 10 | |
| School closure | 14 | 5 | 0 | 6 | |
| Restrictions on internal movements commenced | 8 | 23 | 5 | 12 | |
| Mandatory wearing of face mask commenced | 36 | 42 | 22 | 33 | |
| Mandatory testing of all travellers commenced | 22 | 129 | 174 | 88 | |
| Restrictions on mass gatherings commenced | 14 | 25 | −15 | 8 | |
N/A means the date on which the milestone was first achieved was not available or could not be determined to compute the number of days to achievement after the declaration of PHEIC by WHO.
Key epidemiological features of COVID-19 in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone, 1 February–30 September 2020
| Category | Variable | Guinea | Liberia | Sierra Leone | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population | Estimated population | 13 133 000 | 5 058 000 | 7 977 000 | 26 168 000 |
| Cases | Cases | 10 652 | 1344 | 2231 | 14 227 |
| Cumulative incidence per 100 000 pop | 82 | 27 | 28 | 54 | |
| Health worker cases | 513 | 214 | 230 | 957 | |
| Cases among total health workers (%) | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | |
| Deaths | Deaths | 66 | 82 | 72 | 220 |
| CFR (%) | 0.6 | 6.1 | 3.2 | 1.5 | |
| Deaths per million population | 5 | 16 | 9 | 0.8 | |
| Tests | Number of RT-PCR tests | 121 487 | 22 499 | 41 128 | 185 114 |
| Test per 10 000 population | 93 | 45 | 52 | 71 | |
| Positivity rate (%) | 8.8 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 7.7 |
Population estimates for 2020 sourced from World Bank data.
Number of tests based on number of persons tested.
Positivity rate is the proportion of all COVID-19 RT-PCR that tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Results of negative binomial regression model for reporting and confirmation timeliness of symptomatic COVID-19 cases in Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone, 1 February to 30 September 2020
| Variables | Modalities | Symptomatic cases ( | Time to report | Time to laboratory confirmation | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median (IQR) | Median (IQR) | IRR (95% CI) | ||||||
| Total | 2406 | 3 (1–6) | 5 (2–8) | |||||
| Country | Sierra Leone | 451 | 1 (0–4) | Reference | 3 (2–6) | Reference | ||
| Liberia | 309 | 5 (2–8) | 1.81 (1.56–2.09) | <0.001 | 5 (3–8) | 1.42 (1.28–1.58) | <0.001 | |
| Guinea | 1646 | 3 (1–5) | 1.16 (1.03–1.30) | 0.003 | 5 (3–8) | 1.43 (1.31–1.55) | <0.001 | |
| Age group | <50 years | 1720 | 2 (1–5) | Reference | 5 (2–8) | Reference | ||
| ≥50 years | 686 | 3 (1–6) | 1.16 (1.06–1.27) | <0.001 | 5 (3–9) | 1.11 (1.05–1.19) | <0.0001 | |
| Sex | Females | 838 | 2 (1–5) | Reference | 5 (2–7) | Reference | ||
| Males | 1568 | 3 (1–6) | 1.09 (1.00–1.18) | 0.05 | 5 (2–8) | 1.05 (0.98–1.12) | 0.23 | |
| Place of detection | Capital city | 1771 | 3 (1–6) | Reference | 5 (3–8) | Reference | ||
| Outside capital city | 635 | 1 (0–4) | 0.68 (0.62–0.76) | <0.001 | 4 (2–7) | 0.96 (0.89–1.03) | 0.53 | |
IRR, incidence rate ratio.