| Literature DB >> 34488891 |
Melissa C MacKinnon1, Scott A McEwen2, David L Pearl2, Outi Lyytikäinen3, Gunnar Jacobsson4,5, Peter Collignon6,7, Daniel B Gregson8,9, Louis Valiquette10, Kevin B Laupland11,12,13.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Escherichia coli is an important pathogen in humans and is the most common cause of bacterial bloodstream infections (BSIs). The objectives of our study were to determine factors associated with E. coli BSI incidence rate and third-generation cephalosporin resistance in a multinational population-based cohort.Entities:
Keywords: Antimicrobial resistance; Bacteremia; Bloodstream infection; Escherichia coli; Incidence rate; Population-based; Third-generation cephalosporins
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34488891 PMCID: PMC8422618 DOI: 10.1186/s13756-021-00999-4
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Antimicrob Resist Infect Control ISSN: 2047-2994 Impact factor: 4.887
Fig. 1Number of E. coli bloodstream infections by age category and sex
Fig. 2Directly age and sex standardized E. coli bloodstream infection incidence rates by areaa,b. a Overall, and third-generation cephalosporin-resistant and -susceptible standardized incidence rates by areaa,b. b Third-generation cephalosporin-resistant standardized incidence rates by areaa,b. 3GC-R Third-generation cephalosporin-resistant; 3GC-S Third-generation cephalosporin-susceptible. aStandard population—European Union 28-country 2018 population. bStandardized E. coli bloodstream infection rates by area are available in Additional file 4
Fig. 3Directly age and sex standardized E. coli bloodstream infection incidence rates by yeara,b. a Overall, and third-generation cephalosporin-resistant and -susceptible standardized incidence rates by yeara,b. b Third-generation cephalosporin-resistant standardized incidence rates by yeara,b. 3GC-R Third-generation cephalosporin-resistant; 3GC-S Third-generation cephalosporin-susceptible. aStandard population—European Union 28-country 2018 population. bStandardized E. coli bloodstream infection rates by year are available in Additional file 4
Multivariable negative binomial regression model results estimating associations between explanatory variables and E. coli BSI ratesa,b
| Variable | aIRR | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Region | < 0.001 | ||
| Finland | 1.00 | Referent | |
| Calgary | 0.71 | 0.65–0.77 | < 0.001 |
| Canberra | 0.71 | 0.65–0.79 | < 0.001 |
| Sherbrooke | 0.86 | 0.77–0.96 | < 0.001 |
| Skaraborg | 1.05 | 0.96–1.15 | 0.312 |
| Western interior | 0.73 | 0.65–0.82 | < 0.001 |
| Sex | |||
| Female | 1.00 | Referent | |
| Male | 0.74c | 0.67–0.80 | < 0.001 |
| Age category | |||
| < 70-years-old | 1.00 | Referent | |
| ≥ 70-years-old | 9.37c | 8.63–10.19 | < 0.001 |
| Interaction—sex and age | |||
| Male and ≥ 70 | 1.39c | 1.23–1.57 | < 0.001 |
BSI Bloodstream infection; aIRR Adjusted incidence rate ratio; CI Confidence interval
aOverdispersion parameter 0.014, 95% CI:0.008–0.025, p < 0.001
bModel fit the data based on normally distributed Anscombe residuals and non-significant deviance goodness-of-fit test (p = 0.24)
cExponentiated coefficients are not true aOR due to interaction term—see contrasts in Table 2
Results for contrasts examining interactions between sex and age based on multivariable negative binomial regression modela
| Contrast statement | IRR | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Females ≥ 70 compared to females < 70 | 9.37 | 8.63–10.19 | < 0.001 |
| Males ≥ 70 compared to females < 70 | 9.61 | 8.83–10.45 | < 0.001 |
| Females ≥ 70 compared to males < 70 | 12.72 | 11.68–13.86 | < 0.001 |
| Males ≥ 70 compared to males < 70 | 13.04 | 11.96–14.22 | < 0.001 |
| Females ≥ 70 compared to males ≥ 70 | 0.98 | 0.90–1.06 | 0.558 |
| Females < 70 compared to males < 70 | 1.36 | 1.24–1.48 | < 0.001 |
IRR Incidence rate ratio; CI Confidence interval
aMultivariable negative binomial regression model estimating the associations between the explanatory variables (region, sex, and age) and E. coli bloodstream infection incidence rate (Table 1)
Multivariable logistic regression model results estimating associations between explanatory variables and having 3GC-R E. coli BSIa
| Variable | aOR | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Region | < 0.001 | ||
| Finland | 1.00 | Referent | |
| Calgary | 3.25 | 2.94–3.59 | < 0.001 |
| Canberra | 1.87 | 1.52–2.31 | < 0.001 |
| Sherbrooke | 1.04 | 0.75–1.45 | 0.796 |
| Skaraborg | 1.02 | 0.81–1.27 | 0.875 |
| Western interior | 2.08 | 1.61–2.70 | < 0.001 |
| Year | < 0.001 | ||
| 2014 | 1.00 | Referent | |
| 2015 | 1.07 | 0.92–1.23 | 0.388 |
| 2016 | 1.15 | 1.00–1.33 | 0.048 |
| 2017 | 1.23 | 1.07–1.41 | 0.003 |
| 2018 | 1.31 | 1.15–1.50 | < 0.001 |
| Sex | |||
| Female | 1.00 | Referent | |
| Male | 1.83b | 1.61–2.09 | < 0.001 |
| Age category | |||
| < 70-years-old | 1.00 | Referent | |
| ≥ 70-years-old | 1.05b | 0.93–1.19 | 0.420 |
| Interaction—sex and age | |||
| Male and ≥ 70 | 0.84b | 0.71–0.999 | 0.048 |
3GC-R Third-generation cephalosporin-resistant; BSI Bloodstream infection; aOR Adjusted odds ratio; CI Confidence interval
aModel fit the data based on non-significant Pearson goodness-of-fit test (p = 0.072)
bExponentiated coefficients are not true aOR due to interaction term—see contrasts in Table 4
Results for contrasts examining interactions between sex and age based on multivariable logistic regression modela
| Contrast statement | OR | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Males < 70 compared to females < 70 | 1.83 | 1.61–2.09 | < 0.001 |
| Males ≥ 70 compared to females < 70 | 1.62 | 1.44–1.84 | < 0.001 |
| Females ≥ 70 compared to females < 70 | 1.05 | 0.93–1.19 | 0.420 |
| Males < 70 compared to females ≥ 70 | 1.74 | 1.55–1.96 | < 0.001 |
| Males ≥ 70 compared to females ≥ 70 | 1.54 | 1.39–1.72 | < 0.001 |
| Males < 70 compared to males ≥ 70 | 1.13 | 1.00–1.27 | 0.045 |
OR Odds ratio; CI Confidence interval
aMultivariable logistic regression model estimating the associations between the explanatory variables (region, year, sex, and age) and having a third-generation cephalosporin-resistant E. coli bloodstream infection (Table 3)
Study details and E. coli bloodstream infection incidence rates from previously published population-based studies
| Study location | Study dates | Number of | Incidence rate (cases/100,000 person-years) | Type of incidence rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olmsted County, USA (21) | 1998–2007 | 461 | 41.4 | Standardizeda |
| Canberra, Australia (4) | 2000–2004 | 515 | 28 | Crude |
| Funen County, Denmark (2) | 2000–2002 | 811 | 70.2 | Crude |
| 2003–2005 | 718 | 61.8 | Crude | |
| 2006–2008 | 671 | 56.7 | Crude | |
| mid-Norway (9) | 2002–2013 | 686 | 80 | Crude |
| 2002–2013 | 686 | 74 | Standardizedb | |
| Calgary, Canada (5) | 2000–2006 | 2,368 | 30.3 | Crude |
| Finland (national) (1) | 2004–2007 | 9,190 | 44 | Crude |
| Auckland, New Zealand (6) | 2006–2011 | 1,507 | 52 | Crude |
| Skaraborg County, Sweden (7) | 2011–2012 | 104c | 67.0 | Crude |
| Two rural Thai provinces (10) | 2008 | 373 | 32.9 | Crude |
| 2014 | 593 | 51.6 | Crude | |
| England (national) (8) | 04/2012–03/2013 | 32,309 | 60.4 | Crude |
| 04/2013–03/2014 | 34,203 | 63.5 | Crude |
BSI Bloodstream infection
aUSA 2000 white population standard
bNorway 2010 population
cOnly community-onset E. coli BSI with severe sepsis