| Literature DB >> 34483685 |
Guichan Liao1,2, Xia Ding1,2, Muye Xia1,2, Yin Wu1,2,3, Hongjie Chen1,2, Rong Fan1,2, Xiaoyong Zhang1,2, Shaohang Cai1,2, Jie Peng1,2.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: It remains unknown how to stratify the risk of clinical relapse of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients after stopping nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) antiviral therapy.Entities:
Keywords: chronic hepatitis B; discontinuation; hepatitis B core-related antigen; hepatitis B surface antigen
Year: 2021 PMID: 34483685 PMCID: PMC8409517 DOI: 10.2147/IJGM.S321253
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Gen Med ISSN: 1178-7074
Clinical Characteristics of the Study Cohort
| Characteristics of EOT | Total (n=122) | Sustained Response (n=78, 63.9%) | Clinical Relapse (n=44, 36.1%) | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 34 (29–40) | 33 (22–39) | 36.5 (31–41) | 0.109 |
| Male (%) | 95 (77.9%) | 60 (76.9%) | 35 (79.5%) | 0.738 |
| Antiviral regiment | 0.168 | |||
| ETV/TDF (%) | 71 (58.2%) | 49 (62.8%) | 22 (50%) | |
| Others (%) | 51 (41.8%) | 29 (37.2%) | 22 (50%) | |
| Treatment duration, (years) | 4.7 (3.2–6.2) | 4.3 (2.9–6.4) | 5.0 (3.7–6.0) | 0.398 |
| Consolidation treatment duration (years) | 2.5 (1.3–3.6) | 3.0 (1.5–3.9) | 2.0 (1.2–3.4) | 0.125 |
| ALT level (ULN) | 0.42 (0.34–0.54) | 0.50 (0.38–0.68) | 0.48 (0.43–0.59) | 0.324 |
| HBV DNA (log10 IU/mL) | UD | UD | UD | - |
| HBsAg (log10 IU/mL) | 2.52±1.11 | 2.35±1.20 | 2.82±0.85 | 0.025 |
| <100 IU/mL (%) | 31 (25.4%) | 27 (34.6%) | 4 (9.15%) | <0.001 |
| ≥100 IU/mL (%) | 91 (74.6%) | 51 (65.4%) | 40 (90.9%) | |
| HBcrAg (log10 U/mL) | 3.80±0.83 | 3.59±0.82 | 4.15±0.72 | <0.001 |
| Liver siffness value (kPa) | 5.3 (4.5–6.2) | 5.3 (4.6–6.0) | 5.8 (4.8–6.6) | 0.149 |
Notes: Variables are expressed as means ± SD, median (interquartile range), or n (%).
Abbreviations: ALT, alanine aminotransferase; EOT, end of treatment; ETV, entecavir; TDF, tenofovir; ULN, upper limit of normal; HBeAg, hepatitis B envelope antigen; HBsAg, hepatitis B surface antigen; HBcrAg, hepatitis B core-relative antigen; UD, undetectable (<20 IU/mL).
Figure 1Cumulative rates of virologic relapse, clinical relapse, HBeAg reversion, and HBsAg loss after discontinuation of NA therapy. (A) Clinical relapse, virological relapse, and HBeAg reversion were respectively observed in 44, 75, and 15 patients within 5 years of follow-up, with the cumulative incidence of 43.2%, 79.3%, and 13.2%. (B) Twelve patients cleared HBsAg, resulting in a cumulative incidence of 13.9% at year 5.
Cox Proportional Hazard Model for Virological Relapse HBeAg-Positive Patients (n=122)
| Variable | Univariate Analysis | Multivariable Analysis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | |||
| Age (years) | 1.032 | 0.994–1.032 | 0.098 | 1.051 | 1.010–1.093 | 0.013 |
| Male vs Female | 1.127 | 0.541–2.346 | 0.750 | |||
| First-line vs Second-line drugs† | 0.702 | 0.388–1.271 | 0.242 | |||
| Treatment duration, (years) | 1.077 | 0.961–1.207 | 0.201 | |||
| Consolidation treatment duration (years) | 0.886 | 0.744–1.056 | 0.176 | 0.961 | 0.796–1.159 | 0.676 |
| ALT (U/L) | 0.982 | 0.952–1.013 | 0.255 | |||
| HBsAg (log10 IU/mL) | 1.328 | 0.970–1.818 | 0.077 | |||
| ≥100 IU/mL | 3.842 | 1.374–100.743 | 0.010 | 4.406 | 1.567–12.389 | 0.005 |
| <100 IU/mL | Ref | |||||
| HBcrAg (log10 U/mL) | 2.116 | 1.451–3.086 | <0.001 | 2.105 | 1.440–3.077 | <0.001 |
| ≥4.0 log10 U/mL | 4.042 | 2.301–7.099 | <0.001 | |||
| <4.0 log10 U/mL | Ref | |||||
Notes: †First-line, entecavir, tenofovir; second-line, lamivudine, adefovir, telbivudine, and combination treatment.
Abbreviations: ALT, alanine aminotransferase; ULN, upper limit of normal; HBeAg, hepatitis B envelope antigen; HBsAg, hepatitis B surface antigen; HBcrAg, hepatitis B core-relative antigen; ns, no significance; HR, hazard ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval.
Figure 2ROC curves of HBcrAg and SCALE-B scores to predict clinical relapse after discontinuation of NA therapy. (A) Respective AUCs of HBcrAg for predicting of clinical relapse after NA discontinuation at 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.78 (p < 0.001), 0.71 (p < 0.001) and 0.71 (p<0.001). (B) In stratification analysis EOT HBcrAg level ≥ 4.0 log10 U/mL was associated with a higher risk of clinical relapse (65.8% vs 23.2%, p < 0.001). (C) EOT HBcrAg level ≥ 4.0 log10 U/mL was associated with a higher risk of HBeAg reversion (27.5% vs 1.6%, p < 0.001). (D) Respective AUCs of SCALE-scores for predicting of clinical relapse after NA discontinuation at 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.81 (p < 0.001), 0.74 (p < 0.001) and 0.75 (p<0.001). (E) SCALE-B score < 260 points (22.2%) was associated with a lower risk of clinical relapse, compared to 260–320 points (50%, p < 0.001) and ≥ 320 points (82.2%, p < 0.001). (F) SCALE-B score < 260 points (3.8%) was associated with a lower risk of HBeAg reversion, compared to 260–320 points (18.8%, p < 0.001) and ≥ 320 points (30.4%, p < 0.001).
Figure 3Cumulative rates of clinical relapse in patients with HBsAg levels <100 IU/mL and HBsAg levels ≥100 IU/mL. (A) An EOT HBsAg level < 100 IU/mL was associated with a lower risk of relapse after NA discontinuation. (B) Of patients with an EOT HBsAg level ≥100 IU/mL, those with an HBcrAg level ≥4.0 log10 U/mL had significantly higher cumulative incidence rates of clinical relapse (78.1% vs 29.4%, p < 0.001). (C) Of patients with an EOT HBsAg level ≥100 IU/mL, those with an HBcrAg level ≥4.0 log10 U/mL had significantly higher cumulative incidence rates of HBeAg reversion (29.4% vs 0%, p < 0.001).
Cox Proportional Hazard Model for Clinical Relapse in Patients with HBsAg Level ≥100 IU/mL (n=91)
| Variable | Univariate Analysis | Multivariable Analysis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | |||
| Age (years) | 1.039 | 0.997–1.098 | 0.07 | 1.029 | 0.985–1.074 | 0.103 |
| Male vs Female | 1.107 | 0.527–2.326 | 0.789 | |||
| First-line vs Second-line drugs† | 0.911 | 0.487–1.704 | 0.711 | |||
| Treatment duration (years) | 1.108 | 0.975–1.259 | 0.117 | 1.134 | 0.986–1.258 | 0.102 |
| Consolidation treatment duration (years) | 1.092 | 0.981–1.215 | 0.106 | 0.754 | 0.586–0.971 | 0.029 |
| ALT (U/L) | 0.974 | 0.940–1.010 | 0.158 | 0.968 | 0.929–1.008 | 0.118 |
| HBsAg (log10 IU/mL) | 0.723 | 0.379–1.379 | 0.324 | |||
| HBcrAg (log10 U/mL) | 2.060 | 1.383–3.068 | <0.001 | 2.102 | 1.422–3.107 | <0.001 |
| ≥4.0 log10 U/mL | 4.202 | 2.082–8.482 | <0.001 | |||
| <4.0 log10 U/mL | Ref | |||||
Notes: †First-line, entecavir, tenofovir; second-line, lamivudine, adefovir, telbivudine, and combination treatment.
Abbreviations: ALT, alanine aminotransferase; ULN, upper limit of normal; HBeAg, hepatitis B envelope antigen; HBsAg, hepatitis B surface antigen; HBcrAg, hepatitis B core-relative antigen; ns, no significance; HR, hazard ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval.
Figure 4Cumulative rates of HBsAg loss among patients with HBsAg levels <100 IU/mL and HBsAg levels ≥100 IU/mL. (A) Patients with HBsAg levels <100 IU/mL were significantly more likely to exhibit HBsAg loss (45.9% vs 4.4%, p < 0.001). (B) Patients with HBcrAg levels ≥4.0 log10 U/mL had higher cumulative incidence rates of HBsAg loss but not significantly.