| Literature DB >> 34417977 |
Andreas Engvig1,2, Torgeir Bruun Wyller3,4, Eva Skovlund5, Marc Vali Ahmed3, Trygve Sundby Hall6, Kenneth Rockwood7, Anne Mette Njaastad6, Bjørn Erik Neerland3.
Abstract
PURPOSE: Study associations between frailty, illness severity and post-discharge survival in older adults admitted to medical wards with acute clinical conditions.Entities:
Keywords: Acute care; Clinical Frailty Scale; Frailty index; Hospital complications; New Early Warning Score; Survival analysis
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34417977 PMCID: PMC8379589 DOI: 10.1007/s41999-021-00555-8
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Eur Geriatr Med ISSN: 1878-7649 Impact factor: 3.269
Fig. 1Flowchart of patient recruitment
Baseline characteristics of total study sample (N = 195)
| Mean (SD) | Median | IQR | Min | Max | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean age, years | 86.3 (5.7) | 8 | 8 | 75 | 100 | |
| Female, | 122 (63) | |||||
| Charlson Comorbidity Index | 1.9 (1.7) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | |
| Length of hospital stay, days | 8.5 (8.6) | 7 | 5 | 0 | 88 | |
| Frailty status | ||||||
| CFS score | 5.2 (1.5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| CFS 1–3 (fit and well) | 23 (12) | |||||
| CFS 4 (very mild frailty) | 42 (22) | |||||
| CFS 5 (mild frailty) | 46 (24) | |||||
| CFS 6 (moderate frailty) | 44 (23) | |||||
| CFS 7–8 (Severe/very severe frailty) | 40 (21) | |||||
| Illness severity | ||||||
| NEWS2 score | 4.9 (2.7) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 | |
| High clinical illness severity* | 95 (49) | |||||
| FI-lab score | 0.37 (0.15) | 0.36 | 0.21 | 0.0 | 0.71 | |
| High laboratory illness severity** | 53 (27) | |||||
| Both high clinical and laboratory illness severity | 26 (13) | |||||
CFS Clinical Frailty Scale; CI confidence interval; FI-lab Frailty index of 14 routine blood tests; IQR interquartile range; N number of participants; NEWS2 New Early Warning Score 2, maximum value during hospital stay; SD Standard deviation
*High clinical illness severity = NEWS2-score ≥ 5
**High laboratory illness severity = FI-lab value ≥ 0.45
Associations estimated by Cox proportional hazards models with death within follow-up for the full sample (N = 195)
| Variable | Mortality | |
|---|---|---|
| Hazard ratio (95% CI) | ||
| Unadjusted model | Adjusted model | |
| Age | 1.08 (1.03–1.12) | 1.06 (1.02–1.11) |
| Ward | 1.09 (0.67–1.79) | 1.70 (0.97–3.00) |
| CCI | 1.47 (1.31–1.64) | 1.33 (1.17–1.52) |
| CFS | 1.70 (1.39–2.08) | 1.54 (1.24–1.91) |
| NEWS2 | 1.14 (1.04–1.24) | 1.12 (1.03–1.23) |
| FI-lab*100 | 1.04 (1.02–1.05) | 1.03 (1.00–1.05) |
The adjusted model included all six variables listed in the first column as covariates. Ward placement (acute geriatric medicine or internal medicine) was coded as a categorical variable with acute geriatric medicine as reference
CCI Charlson Comorbidity Index; CFS Clinical Frailty Scale; CI confidence interval; FI-lab*100 Frailty index comprised of 14 routine blood tests multiplied by a factor of 100; NEWS2 New Early Warning Score 2, maximum value during hospital stay
Fig. 2Kaplan–Meier curves illustrating estimated survival probabilities within follow-up according to different degrees of frailty. The survival curves according to CFS categories indicating no (1–3), very mild to mild (4–5), moderate (6) or severe to very severe (7–8) frailty were statistically different (Log-rank test, p < 0.001)
Fig. 3a Kaplan–Meier curves display estimated survival probabilities within follow-up according to four categories of NEWS2 and FI-lab scores (high or low). Visual inspection suggests more favourable survival for patients with less severe illness. A log-rank test confirmed a significant difference between the survival curves. To visualize the interaction between NEWS2 and FI-lab categories and frailty, subjects were divided based a combined illness severity pattern emphasized by color: we considered low NEWS2 and FI-lab scores (green curve) as low; high NEWS2 (straight line) or FI-lab (dotted line) as intermediate (yellow curves); and high NEWS2 and FI-lab as high combined illness severity (red curve), respectively. b–d shows Kaplan–Meier plots of estimated survival probabilities for subjects living with no to mild (CFS 1–5; grey curves) or moderate to severe (CFS 6–8; black curves) frailty––stratified according to low, intermediate or high combined illness severity. Visual inspection of the curves indicates negligible differences in survival across categories of illness severity among patients living with no or mild frailty. The curves further suggests that the impact of living with moderate to severe frailty on survival probability is most pronounced in the face of more severe illness