| Literature DB >> 34412377 |
M L Bergmann1, Z J Andersen2, H Amini2, T Ellermann3, O Hertel4, Y H Lim2, S Loft2, A Mehta5, R G Westendorp6, T Cole-Hunter2.
Abstract
Ultrafine particles (UFP; particulate matter <0.1 μm diameter) emitted from motorized traffic may be highly detrimental to health. Active mobility (walking, bicycling) is increasingly encouraged as a way to reduce traffic congestion and increase physical activity levels. However, it has raised concerns of increased exposure to UFP, due to increased breathing rates in traffic microenvironments, immediately close to their source. The recent Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) societal closures reduced commuting needs, allowing a natural experiment to estimate contributions from motorized traffic to UFP exposure while walking or bicycling. From late-March to mid-July 2020, UFP was repeatedly measured while walking or bicycling, capturing local COVID-19 closure ('Phase 0') and subsequent phased re-opening ('Phase 1', '2', '2.1' & '3'). A DiSCmini continuously measured particle number concentration (PNC) in the walker/bicyclist's breathing zone. PNC while walking or bicycling was compared across phased re-openings, and the effect of ambient temperature, wind speed and direction was determined using regression models. Approximately 40 repeated 20-minute walking and bicycling laps were made over 4 months during societal re-opening phases related to the COVID-19 pandemic (late-March to mid-July 2020) in Copenhagen. Highest median PNC exposure of both walking (13,170 pt/cm3, standard deviation (SD): 3560 pt/cm3) and bicycling (21,477 pt/cm3, SD: 8964) was seen during societal closures (Phase 0) and decreased to 5367 pt/cm3 (SD: 2949) and 8714 pt/cm3 (SD: 4309) in Phase 3 of re-opening. These reductions in PNC were mainly explained by meteorological conditions, with most of the deviation explained by wind speed (14-22%) and temperature (10-13%). Highest PNC was observed along major roads and intersections. In conclusion, we observed decreases in UFP exposure while walking and bicycling during societal re-opening phases related to the COVID-19 pandemic, due largely to meteorological factors (e.g., wind speed and temperature) and seasonal variations in UFP levels.Entities:
Keywords: Air pollution; Bicycling; COVID-19; Environmental exposure; Ultrafine particles; Walking
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Year: 2021 PMID: 34412377 PMCID: PMC8178061 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.148301
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Total Environ ISSN: 0048-9697 Impact factor: 7.963
COVID-19 phased closure and re-opening of Copenhagen, Denmark.
| Phase | Date range of implementation | Details of implementation | Change in total traffic counts | Number of monitoring days walking/cycling |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13/03/2020–14/04/2020 | Societal closures (closure of all non-essential services and workplaces) | −41% (week 12–15) | 2/4 |
| 1 | 15/04/2020–10/05/2020 | “First phase” of re-opening (essential services, including nurseries, kindergartens) | −25.8% (week 16–19) | 10/9 |
| 2 | 11/05/2020–26/05/2020 | “Second phase” of re-opening (non-essential services, including restaurants, cafes, etc.) | −13.6% (week 20–22) | 8/9 |
| 2.1 | 27/05/2020–07/06/2020 | “Second iteration of second phase” of re-opening (additional cultural and recreational activities, institutions of higher education, etc.) | −11.5% (week 22–23) | 5/4 |
| 3 | 08/06/2020–21/07/2020 + | “Third phase” (wider re-opening of non-essential workplaces, including universities) | −4% (week 24–26) | 16/17 |
Adapted from the Danish authorities' joint website on the COVID-19 outbreak in Denmark (Danish National Police, 2020).
Changes in traffic counts are given as national, weekly values, compared to week 9, 2020, and are here averaged across phase periods (Vejdirektoratet, 2021). Only national data was available, which can be seen as indicative of trends in Copenhagen.
Fig. 1Spatially aggregated median PNC while (a) walking and (b) bicycling. PNC data was spatially aggregated from all trips to show ‘hot’ and ‘cold’ spots along walking and bicycling routes of inner-city Copenhagen, Denmark.
Description of trip means (all phases) of UFP exposure and meteorological parameters either walking or bicycling.
| Parameter | Mode | Mean | SD | Median | Min | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Particle number (pt/cm3) | Walking | 8810 | 6827 | 6625 | 2368 | 41,329 |
| Bicycling | 11,963 | 7297 | 9521 | 1239 | 33,661 | |
| Particle size (mean; nm) | Walking | 39 | 1.7 | 42 | 12 | 81 |
| Bicycling | 38 | 15 | 38 | 15 | 74 | |
| Temperature (°C) | Walking | 16.2 | 5.7 | 16.5 | 6.8 | 27.0 |
| Bicycling | 16.5 | 5.4 | 16.6 | 6.9 | 26.9 | |
| Wind speed (m/s) | Walking | 5.0 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 8.3 |
| Bicycling | 4.6 | 1.7 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 9.1 |
Abbreviations: N, sample size; nm, nanometer; m/s, meters per second; pt/cm3, particles per cubic centimeter of air; SD, standard deviation; min, minimum value; max, maximum value.
Fig. 2Individual (a) walking and (b) bicycling trip means of PNC Trip (20-minute) means from measurements taken while walking or cycling, across individual dates from March to July.
Fig. 3Median and interquartile range of PNC across phases while (a) walking and (b) bicycling – adjusted and unadjusted for time trend, day of week and meteorological parameters. Abbreviations: PNC, particle number concentration. *Statistically significant (<0.05) change in PNC between phases. A GAM was used to adjust PNC across phases separately for walking or bicycling. The GAM equation used is as follows: PNC ~ s(time trend) + factor(phase) + factor(day of week) + factor(wind direction) + s(wind speed) + s(ambient temperature). The adjusted graph shows a boxplot of the median PNC across phases plus residuals from the GAM. The result is an explanation of the deviation in median PNC across phases without the effect of the time trend, day of week and meteorological parameters. Note different y-axis scales.
Exposure levels of PNC while walking and bicycling across societal re-opening phases.
| Phase | Mode | Mean | SD | Median | Min | Max | N of trips |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Walking | 13,170 | 3560 | 13,170 | 10,653 | 15,688 | 2 |
| Bicycling | 22,672 | 8964 | 21,477 | 14,074 | 33,661 | 4 | |
| 1 | Walking | 12,981 | 11,272 | 9153 | 3715 | 41,329 | 10 |
| Bicycling | 14,519 | 7836 | 12,457 | 5781 | 29,246 | 9 | |
| 2 | Walking | 9449 | 5169 | 8303 | 3090 | 17,572 | 8 |
| Bicycling | 12,040 | 7407 | 9943 | 2140 | 26,806 | 9 | |
| 2.1 | Walking | 6539 | 2705 | 6854 | 3429 | 10,296 | 5 |
| Bicycling | 7241 | 3053 | 6297 | 4865 | 11,504 | 4 | |
| 3 | Walking | 6068 | 2949 | 5367 | 2368 | 13,051 | 16 |
| Bicycling | 9162 | 4309 | 8714 | 1239 | 19,614 | 17 |
Abbreviations: IQR, interquartile range; pt/cm3, particles per cubic centimeter of air; Min, minimum value; Max, maximum value; N, sample size.
Deviance of PNC exposure levels explained by different covariates while either walking or bicycling.
| Covariate | Walking | Bicycling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumulative deviance explained (%) | Added percent points | Cumulative deviance explained | Added percent points | |
| Time trend + day of week | 62.5 | Ref. | 59.6 | Ref. |
| +Re-opening phase | 68.4 | 5.9 | 63.1 | 3.5 |
| +Wind speed | 82.8 | 14.4 | 85 | 21.9 |
| +Temperature | 95.4 | 12.6 | 95.4 | 10.4 |
| +Wind direction | 96 | 0.6 | 97.5 | 2.1 |
A GAM was used to determine the added deviance explained by adding individual covariates to the basic model of ‘PNC ~ s(time trend) + factor(day of week).