| Literature DB >> 34408431 |
Fatema S Shaikh1, Nahier Aldhafferi1, Areej Buker1, Abdullah Alqahtani1, Subhodeep Dey2, Saema Abdulhamid1, Dalal Ali Mahaii AlBuhairi1, Raha Saud Abdulaziz Alkabour1, Waad Sami O Atiyah1, Sara Bachar Chrouf1, Abdussalam Alshehri3, Sunday Olusanya Olatunji1, Abdullah M Almuhaideb1, Mohammed S Alshahrani4, Yousof AlMunsour1, Vahitha B Abdul-Salam5.
Abstract
PURPOSE: The first novel coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) case in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) was reported in Qatif in March 2020 with continual increase in infection and mortality rates since then. In this study, we aim to determine risk factors which effect severity and mortality rates in a cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in KSA.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; KSA; SARS-CoV-2; comorbidities; mortality rate; risk factors
Year: 2021 PMID: 34408431 PMCID: PMC8367214 DOI: 10.2147/JMDH.S317884
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Multidiscip Healthc ISSN: 1178-2390
Patients’ Characteristics
| Variable | Total Patients | Percent of Total | Non-ICU | ICU | Percent of ICU | p-value (ICU vs Non-ICU) | Died | Mortality Rate | p-value (Died vs Alive) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total patients | 565 | 100.0% | 464 | 101 | 17.9% | <0.001 | 63 | 11.2% | <0.001 |
| AgeGroup 20–29 | 30 | 5.3% | 25 | 5 | 16.7% | 0.946 | 3 | 10.0% | 0.926 |
| AgeGroup 30–39 | 82 | 14.5% | 72 | 10 | 12.2% | 0.195 | 4 | 4.9% | 0.078 |
| AgeGroup 40–49 | 131 | 23.2% | 110 | 21 | 16.0% | 0.618 | 9 | 6.9% | 0.106 |
| AgeGroup 50–59 | 152 | 26.9% | 122 | 30 | 19.7% | 0.564 | 14 | 9.2% | 0.461 |
| AgeGroup 60–69 | 106 | 18.8% | 87 | 19 | 17.9% | 0.900 | 19 | 17.9% | 0.022 |
| AgeGroup 70–79 | 48 | 8.5% | 37 | 11 | 22.9% | 0.450 | 10 | 20.8% | 0.047 |
| AgeGroup >79 | 15 | 2.7% | 10 | 5 | 33.3% | 0.214 | 4 | 26.7% | 0.129 |
| Gender Female | 137 | 24.3% | 114 | 23 | 16.8% | 0.800 | 17 | 12.4% | 0.703 |
| Gender Male | 428 | 75.8% | 350 | 78 | 18.2% | 0.800 | 46 | 10.8% | 0.703 |
| BMI ≥ 30 | 172 | 30.4% | 146 | 26 | 15.1% | 0.311 | 12 | 7.0% | 0.052 |
| BMI ≥ 35 | 79 | 14.0% | 68 | 11 | 13.9% | 0.406 | 5 | 6.3% | 0.202 |
| BMI ≥ 40 | 39 | 6.9% | 36 | 3 | 7.7% | 0.133 | 1 | 2.6% | 0.133 |
| Non Saudi National | 434 | 76.8% | 353 | 81 | 18.7% | 0.448 | 46 | 10.6% | 0.549 |
| Saudi National | 131 | 23.2% | 111 | 20 | 15.3% | 0.448 | 17 | 13.0% | 0.549 |
| Hypertension | 191 | 33.8% | 154 | 37 | 19.4% | 0.584 | 28 | 14.7% | 0.080 |
| Diabetes | 235 | 41.6% | 180 | 55 | 23.4% | 0.005 | 33 | 14.0% | 0.088 |
| Cardiovascular Diseases | 96 | 17.0% | 57 | 39 | 40.6% | <0.001 | 36 | 37.5% | <0.001 |
| Respiratory Diseases | 265 | 46.9% | 192 | 73 | 27.6% | <0.001 | 54 | 20.4% | <0.001 |
| Renal Diseases | 84 | 14.9% | 40 | 44 | 52.4% | <0.001 | 32 | 38.1% | <0.001 |
| Cancer | 10 | 1.8% | 9 | 1 | 10.0% | 0.811 | 4 | 40.0% | 0.016 |
| Neurological Diseases | 41 | 7.3% | 28 | 13 | 31.7% | 0.029 | 12 | 29.3% | <0.001 |
| Liver Diseases | 2 | 0.4% | 1 | 1 | 50.0% | 0.792 | 1 | 50.0% | 0.533 |
| Others Diseases | 55 | 9.7% | 40 | 15 | 27.3% | 0.084 | 13 | 23.6% | 0.004 |
Figure 1Kaplan Meier survival function analyses of the patients’ characteristics investigated for (A) Age groups, (B) Gender, (C) ICU/non-ICU, (D) BMI, and (E) Nationality.
Variables for the Outcomes of Interest Using Univariate and Multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards Regression Model
| Variable | Coef (Uni-Variate) | HR (Uni-Variate, exp (Coef)) | 95% CI Lower (Uni-Variate) | 95% CI Upper (Uni-Variate) | p-value (Univariate) | Coef (Multi-Variate) | HR (Multi-Variate, Exp (Coef)) | 95% CI Lower (Multi-Variate) | 95% CI Upper (Multi-Variate) | p-value (Multi-Variate) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICU | 1.44 | 4.23 | 2.49 | 7.18 | <0.001 | 0.98 | 2.67 | 1.49 | 4.78 | 0.001 |
| Age | 0.25 | 1.29 | 1.08 | 1.54 | 0.006 | 0.19 | 1.21 | 0.98 | 1.49 | 0.074 |
| BMI > 40 | −1.58 | 0.21 | 0.03 | 1.48 | 0.117 | −0.44 | 0.65 | 0.08 | 5.17 | 0.681 |
| Hypertension | 0.14 | 1.15 | 0.70 | 1.89 | 0.593 | −0.03 | 0.97 | 0.55 | 1.71 | 0.926 |
| Diabetes | 0.12 | 1.12 | 0.68 | 1.86 | 0.647 | −0.35 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 1.22 | 0.211 |
| Cardiovascular Diseases | 1.40 | 4.07 | 2.46 | 6.72 | <0.001 | 1.06 | 2.88 | 1.66 | 4.98 | <0.001 |
| Respiratory Diseases | 1.38 | 3.99 | 1.96 | 8.11 | <0.001 | 1.11 | 3.05 | 1.43 | 6.47 | 0.004 |
| Renal Diseases | 0.86 | 2.36 | 1.42 | 3.93 | 0.001 | 0.45 | 1.56 | 0.88 | 2.78 | 0.129 |
| Cancer | 0.86 | 2.37 | 0.86 | 6.55 | 0.097 | 0.53 | 1.70 | 0.53 | 5.50 | 0.374 |
| Neurological Diseases | 0.26 | 1.29 | 0.68 | 2.44 | 0.429 | 0.11 | 1.12 | 0.56 | 2.22 | 0.755 |
| Other Diseases | 0.30 | 1.35 | 0.73 | 2.49 | 0.338 | 0.16 | 1.17 | 0.60 | 2.28 | 0.643 |
| Male | −0.33 | 0.72 | 0.41 | 1.26 | 0.253 | 0.02 | 1.02 | 0.51 | 2.01 | 0.966 |
| Saudi National | 0.23 | 1.26 | 0.72 | 2.20 | 0.417 | 0.39 | 1.48 | 0.76 | 2.87 | 0.247 |
Figure 3Univariate analyses with forest plots presenting the HR and 95% CI for mortality of COVID-19 based on the patient’s characteristics and comorbidities present. (A) Hypertension and COVID-19 mortality, (B) Age and COVID-19 mortality, (C) ICU and COVID-19 mortality (p=0.0010), (D) BMI>40 and COVID-19 mortality, (E) diabetes and COVID-19 mortality, (F) respiratory disease and COVID-19 mortality (p=0.004), (G) cardiovascular disease and COVID-19 severity (p<0.001) (H), renal disease and COVID-19 mortality, (I) cancer and COVID-19 mortality.
Figure 4Univariate analyses with forest plots presenting the HR and 95% CI for mortality of COVID-19 based on the patient’s characteristics and comorbidities present. (A) Neurological diseases and COVID-19 mortality, (B) Other diseases and COVID-19 mortality, (C) Gender and COVID-19 mortality, (D) Nationality and COVID-19 mortality.
Figure 5Forest plot from multivariate Cox hazards regression model presenting significant variables, (A) HR and 95% CI for COVID-19 mortality. (B) Kaplan Meier Survival function analyses for the top three significant variables compared to other factors.