| Literature DB >> 34403202 |
Leanne Saxon1, Timothy N Fazio2,3,4, Kellie Gumm5, Steven Y C Tong6,7, David J Read3,5.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the presentation and management of trauma at the Royal Melbourne Hospital, a level 1 adult major trauma service and a designated COVID-19 hospital. This study compares the changes in epidemiology and trauma patient access to emergency imaging and surgery during the pandemic response.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; emergency medicine; epidemiology; health services; public health
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34403202 PMCID: PMC8420582 DOI: 10.1111/ans.17154
Source DB: PubMed Journal: ANZ J Surg ISSN: 1445-1433 Impact factor: 2.025
Fig. 1Weekly number of positive COVID‐19 cases in Victoria (blue line) and the corresponding weekly trauma presentations (major and minor) (orange bars and orange trend line) at the Royal Melbourne Hospital from 4 February to 14 September 2020. , Weekly trauma cases; , weekly COVID‐19 cases.
Fig. 2Total number of trauma (minor and major) cases presenting to the Royal Melbourne Hospital during our three periods of interest: March to May (wave 1), May to July (transition) and July to September (wave 2), from 2016 to 2020. The blue vertical line indicates the time in between our periods of interest, and the black vertical line indicates the beginning of the first wave of COVID‐19 in Victoria and the onset of lockdown (16 March 2020). , Total trauma; , minor cases; , major cases.
Fig. 3Minor (blue, ) and major (orange, ) trauma cases presenting to the Royal Melbourne Hospital during our three periods of interest: March to May (wave 1), May to July (transition) and July to September (wave 2). The number of expected (modelled from case numbers in 2016–2019) and observed cases in 2020 are shown, with the percent deviation from what was expected indicated in text in the observed columns.
Characteristics of people presenting with trauma‐related injuries at the emergency department of the Royal Melbourne Hospital from 16 March to 10 September 2020
| 16 March to 11 May, first wave (57 days) | 12 May to 7 July, transition period (57 days) | 8 July to 10 September, second wave (61 days) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Difference between predicted and observed | 2020 | Difference between predicted and observed | 2020 | Difference between predicted and observed | |
| Mechanism of injury, | ||||||
| Animal‐related | 27 | 9 (−2 to 20) | 21 | 4 (−6 to 14) | 23 | −6 (−16 to 4) |
| Fall | 228 | −87 (−118 to −56) | 296 | 2 (−36 to 40) | 288 | −55 (−88 to −22) |
| Firearm | 4 | 3 (−1 to 7) | 2 | −3 (−6 to −0.1) | 4 | 3 (−1 to 7) |
| Burn, electricity, machinery | 59 | −11 (−27 to 5) | 71 | −26 (−44 to −8) | 66 | 10 (−5 to 25) |
| Motor vehicle | 111 | −106 (−128 to −84) | 171 | −28 (−52 to −4) | 128 | −85 (−110 to −60) |
| Cyclist/pedestrian | 63 | −8 (−28 to 12) | 68 | −15 (−30 to 0) | 37 | −25 (−37 to −14) |
| Struck | 54 | −23 (−40 to 6) | 76 | 3 (−14 to 20) | 56 | −19 (−36 to −2) |
| Other | 4 | −10 (−14 to 6) | 5 | −11 (−15 to −7) | 12 | 2 (−5 to 9) |
| Intent, | ||||||
| Accident | 480 | −223 (−266 to −180) | 608 | −93 (−154 to −41) | 525 | −186 (−230 to −142) |
| Maltreatment/neglect/assault (family, ex/partner) | 3 | −2 (−5 to 2) | 4 | −2 (−6 to 2) | 6 | 0 (−5 to 5) |
| Sexual/assault by other/unknown | 39 | −51 (−65 to −38) | 63 | −17 (−31 to −3) | 38 | −57 (−68 to 47) |
| Intentional self‐harm | 17 | 3 (−5 to 11) | 25 | −5 (−15 to 5) | 34 | 18 (7 to 29) |
| Other | 4 | −4 (−7 to 0) | 6 | −7 (−12 to −3) | 8 | −1 (−6 to 4) |
| Place, | ||||||
| Leisure/sport | 2 | −29 (−32 to −26) | 6 | −21 (−26 to −16) | 6 | −31 (−36 to −27) |
| Farm/school | 10 | 4 (−2 to 10) | 16 | 6 (−2 to 14) | 10 | 6 (−1 to 13) |
| Home | 168 | 8 (−17 to 33) | 236 | 86 (49 to 123) | 208 | 34 (3 to 65) |
| Work | 31 | 1 (−9 to 11) | 32 | −14 (−25 to −3) | 27 | −9 (−18 to 0) |
| Road | 180 | −95 (−124 to −66) | 226 | −47 (−72 to −22) | 162 | −112 (−138 to −86) |
| Other | 159 | −122 (−148 to −96) | 194 | −79 (−108 to −50) | 202 | −62 (−91 to −33) |
| Hip fracture | 22 | −8 (−1 to 17) | 25 | −8 (−19 to 3) | 22 | −6 (−15 to 3) |
| ICU admission, | 68 | −60 (−76 to −42) | 81 | 13 (−7 to 33) | 77 | 6 (−9 to 21) |
Mean differences and 95% confidence interval between observed versus predicted numbers are provided for 16 March to 11 May 2020 (first wave), 12 May to 7 July 2020 (transition period), and 8 July to 10 September 2020 (second wave).
Significant difference as indicated by the 95% confidence intervals.
Hip fractures include neck of femur and intertrochanteric region and were included in major trauma numbers.
ICU, intensive care unit.
Length of stay and quality of care indicators for all admitted trauma patients who were and were not suspected of a positive COVID‐19 diagnosis.
| March 16 to May 11First wave (57 days) | May 12 to July 7 Transition period (57 days) | July 8 to September 6Second wave (61 days) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Difference between predicted and observed (95% CI) | 2020 | Difference between predicted and observed (95% CI) | 2020 | Difference between predicted and observed (95% CI) | |
|
| ||||||
| Risk of COVID patients, mean (SD) | 6.3 (7.8) | 0.4 (‐2.1 to 2.8) | 8.4 (12.4)* | 3.2 (0.2 to 6.2)‡ | 7.2 (7.4)** | 1.5 (0.1 to 2.8)‡ |
| Median (IQR) | 4.0 (4.2) | 5.4 (7.9)* | 5.0 (6.7)** | |||
| No risk of COVID patients, mean (SD) | 4.9 (6.0) | –1.0 (–1.6 to –0.5)‡ | 5.2 (4.9) | 0.2 (–0.4 to 0.8) | 6.6 (5.0) | –0.8 (–1.4 to –0.2)‡ |
| Median (IQR) | 2.8 (1.9) | 3.0 (1.2) | 2.7 (1.5) | |||
|
| ||||||
| Risk of COVID patients, mean (SD) | 619 (1651) | 122 (–417 to 661) | 240 (497)* | –78 (–202 to 46) | 279 (739) | –108 (–246 to 31) |
| Median (IQR) | 70 (91) | 84 (114)* | 104 (127) | |||
| No risk of COVID patients, mean (SD) | 305 (1014) | –181 (–282 to –80)‡ | 337 (1204) | 19 (–86 to 124) | 295 (992) | –91 (–190 to 9) |
| Median (IQR) | 90 (49) | 102 (37) | 102 (54) | |||
|
| ||||||
| Risk of COVID patients, mean (SD) | 1695 (1772) | –465 (–1394 to 463) | 2209 (2558) | 169 (–1011 to 1349) | 2162 (2897) | –4.2 (–744 to 735) |
| Median (IQR) | 857 (2290) | 1452 (1642) | 1141 (1310) | |||
| No risk of COVID patients, mean (SD) | 1808 (2215) | –379 (–644 to –155)‡ | 1907 (2787) | –135 (–454 to 185) | 1480 (1472) | –685 (–878 to –492)‡ |
| Median (IQR) | 1193 (641) | 1278 (836) | 1120 (503) | |||
|
| ||||||
| All patients, mean (SD) | 31 (20) | –37 (–14 to 88) | 61 (26) | –1 (–54 to 52) | 64 (13) | –16 (–67 to 33) |
| Median (IQR) | 32 (40) | 57 (51) | 64 (19) | |||
|
| 11.0 | 3.2 (–3.8 to 10.1) | 8.7 | 2.9 (–0.5 to 6.3) | 10.7 | 0.8 (–4.0 to 4.6) |
Note: ‡Significant difference as indicated by the 95% confidence intervals. Any difference noted between what the overall expected number should be for at risk of COVID and not at risk of COVID‐19 patients is the result of separate regression models creating predictions for a different sample size, all other parameters are the same. Mann‐Whitney U test between 2020 patients at risk of COVID vs. not at risk: *p < 0.05, **p < 0.01. Supplementary tables present numbers from all years