| Literature DB >> 34348972 |
Vennela Boyalla1,2, Julian W E Jarman1,2, Vias Markides3,2, Wajid Hussain1,2, Tom Wong1,2, R Hardwin Mead4, Gregory Engel4, Melissa H Kong4, Rob A Patrawala4, Roger A Winkle4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The clinical effectiveness of ablating non-paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (non-PAF) relies on proper patient selection. We developed and validated a scoring system to predict non-PAF ablation outcomes.Entities:
Keywords: atrial fibrillation; electrophysiology; health care; outcome assessment
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34348972 PMCID: PMC8340273 DOI: 10.1136/openhrt-2021-001653
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Open Heart ISSN: 2053-3624
Population characteristics in London and California
| Variable | London | California | P value |
| Per patient | Per patient | ||
| (n=361) | (n=619) | ||
| Age (years, mean±SD) | 60±11 | 63±10 | 0.001* |
| Female sex | 98 (27) | 153 (25) | 0.401 |
| Body mass index (kg/m2, mean±SD) | 29±6 | 30±5 | 0.133 |
| Long-standing persistent AF (>1 year) | 105 (29) | 157 (25) | 0.204 |
| Left atrial diameter (mm, mean±SD)† | 47±8 | 45±7 | <0.0001* |
| Left ventricular function | <0.0001* | ||
| Normal | 232 (64) | 448 (72) | |
| Mildly impaired | 50 (14) | 122 (20) | |
| Moderately impaired | 38 (11) | 33 (5) | |
| Severely impaired | 41 (11) | 16 (3) | |
| Valvular heart disease‡ | 38 (11) | 49 (8) | 0.166 |
| Extreme comorbidity§ | 39 (11) | 27 (4) | 0.0001* |
| Hypertension | 105 (29) | 318 (51) | <0.0001* |
| Diabetes mellitus | 29 (8) | 67 (11) | 0.156 |
| Coronary artery disease | 53 (15) | 90 (15) | 1.000 |
| Thyrotoxicosis within the last year¶ | 11 (3) | 13 (2) | 0.355 |
| Pulmonary disease | 10 (3) | 38 (6) | 0.002* |
| Stroke or TIA | 21 (6) | 48 (6) | 0.253 |
| Renal dysfunction | 5 (1) | N/A | N/A |
| Previous antiarrhythmic drugs (median(IQR))** | 1 (0–1) | 1 (1–2) | <0.0001* |
| Previous use of amiodarone | 115 (32) | 209 (34) | 0.540 |
| FLAME score (mean±SD) | 2.9±1.7 | 2.5±1.6 | <0.0001* |
Values shown are number (%) unless otherwise indicated. Per patient values are calculated at the time of a patient’s first procedure.
*Statistically significant p<0.05.
†Transthoracic echocardiographic left parasternal long axis anteroposterior diameter at end-systole.
‡Moderate or greater stenosis or regurgitation, replacement or repair of any left-sided valve.
§See figure 1 for definition
¶Thyrotoxic within the last year.
**Class I or III agents.
AF, atrial fibrillation; FLAME, Female, Long-lasting, Atrial diameter, Mitral, Extreme; N/A, not available; TIA, transient ischaemic attack.
Figure 1The FLAME score. Risk factors and their weightings comprising the FLAME Score. AF, atrial fibrillation.
Relationship between clinical variables and procedural success in London by univariate and multivariate analysis
| Variable | Univariate analyses | Multivariate analyses | |
| P value | RR (95% CI)* | P value | |
| Long-standing persistent AF (>1 year) | <0.0001 | 0.40 (0.23 to 0.70) | 0.001 |
| Follow-up (months) | <0.0001 | 0.87 (0.79 to 0.95)† | 0.003 |
| Female sex | 0.051 | 0.44 (0.25 to 0.78) | 0.005 |
| Age (years) | 0.002 | 0.006 | |
| <50 | 0.26 (0.11 to 0.58) | 0.001 | |
| 50–59 | 0.65 (0.32 to 1.32) | 0.234 | |
| 60–69 | 0.81 (0.43 to 1.54) | 0.517 | |
| ≥70 | 1.000 | 1.000 | |
| Thyrotoxicosis within the last year | 0.006 | 0.21 (0.06 to 0.83) | 0.025 |
| AT rather than AF (at redo procedure) | 0.122 | 2.04 (1.10 to 3.82) | 0.025 |
| Left atrial diameter (mm) | 0.001 | 0.96 (0.93 to 0.996)‡ | 0.028 |
| Extreme comorbidity | 0.001 | 0.46 (0.21 to 1.03) | 0.059‡ |
| Previous use of amiodarone | 0.008 | ||
| Previous antiarrhythmic drugs§ | 0.013 | ||
| Valvular heart disease | 0.062 | ||
| Left ventricular function | 0.106 | ||
| Diabetes mellitus | 0.177 | ||
| Renal dysfunction | 0.178 | ||
| Hypertension | 0.191 | ||
| Stroke or TIA | 0.198 | ||
| Any previous AF ablation | 0.327 | ||
| Coronary artery disease | 0.374 | ||
| Pulmonary disease | 0.429 | ||
| Number previous AF ablations | 0.783 | ||
| Body mass index | 0.987 | ||
*Relative Risk (95% CI) of success, derived from binary logistic regression.
†Continuous variable; negative correlation with success.
‡Borderline statistical significance
§Class I or III agents
AF, indicates atrial fibrillation; AT, atrial tachycardia; TIA, transient ischaemic attack.
Success rates and other variables by FLAME score in California
| FLAME score | Patientsn (%) | Initial procedure | Final procedure | |||||
| Follow-up months mean±SD | Initial procedure: successful | Success rate | Procedures per patient mean±SD | Follow-up months mean±SD | Final procedure: successful | Success rate | ||
| 0 | 57 (9) | 26±20 | 38 | 67% | 1.3±0.7 | 24±19 | 49 | 86% |
| 1 | 123 (20) | 32±23 | 74 | 60% | 1.3±0.6 | 28±20 | 96 | 78% |
| 2 | 149 (24) | 32±23 | 73 | 49% | 1.4±0.6 | 28±20 | 107 | 72% |
| 3 | 133 (22) | 31±23 | 53 | 40% | 1.5±0.6 | 26±20 | 81 | 61% |
| 4 | 85 (14) | 32±22 | 34 | 40% | 1.4±0.6 | 26±20 | 51 | 60% |
| 5 | 51 (8) | 34±20 | 16 | 31% | 1.5±0.7 | 28±18 | 25 | 49% |
| 6 or more | 21 (3) | 32±19 | 5 | 24% | 1.5±0.5 | 29±16 | 7 | 33% |
| P value | 0.696 | <0.0001 | 0.001 | 0.958 | <0.0001 | |||
FLAME, Female, Long-lasting, Atrial diameter, Mitral, Extreme.