| Literature DB >> 34332082 |
Ha-Linh Quach1, Khanh Cong Nguyen2, Ngoc-Anh Hoang3, Thai Quang Pham4, Duong Nhu Tran5, Mai Thi Quynh Le5, Hung Thai Do6, Chien Chinh Vien7, Lan Trong Phan8, Nghia Duy Ngu9, Tu Anh Tran9, Dinh Cong Phung10, Quang Dai Tran11, Tan Quang Dang11, Duc-Anh Dang5, Florian Vogt12.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Vietnam implemented various public health interventions such as contact tracing and testing, mandatory quarantine, and lockdowns in response to COVID-19. However, the effects of these measures on the epidemic remain unclear.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Vietnam; contact tracing; containment delay; public health intervention; quarantine
Year: 2021 PMID: 34332082 PMCID: PMC8318669 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2021.07.044
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Infect Dis ISSN: 1201-9712 Impact factor: 3.623
Descriptive characteristics of 1474 confirmed COVID-19 cases reported in Vietnam across six periods of the COVID-19 epidemic in Vietnam from January to December 2020a
| Characteristics | Period 1 | Period 2 | Period 3 | Period 4 | Period 5 | Period 6 | Grand total | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | % | % | % | % | % | % | |||||||||
| All cases | 85 | 5.77 | 122 | 8.28 | 63 | 4.27 | 145 | 9.84 | 631 | 42.81 | 428 | 29.04 | 1474 | 100 | |
| Sex | 0.000 | ||||||||||||||
| Male | 43 | 50.59 | 50 | 40.98 | 27 | 42.86 | 110 | 75.86 | 278 | 44.06 | 276 | 64.49 | 784 | 53.19 | |
| Female | 42 | 49.91 | 72 | 59.02 | 36 | 57.14 | 35 | 24.14 | 353 | 55.94 | 152 | 35.51 | 690 | 46.81 | |
| Age group (years) | 0.000 | ||||||||||||||
| 0–25 | 22 | 25.88 | 40 | 32.79 | 15 | 23.81 | 20 | 13.79 | 80 | 12.68 | 93 | 21.73 | 270 | 18.32 | |
| 26–40 | 29 | 34.12 | 39 | 31.97 | 24 | 38.10 | 88 | 60.69 | 191 | 30.27 | 212 | 49.53 | 583 | 39.55 | |
| 41–60 | 20 | 23.53 | 36 | 29.51 | 18 | 28.57 | 35 | 24.14 | 213 | 33.76 | 100 | 23.36 | 422 | 28.63 | |
| >60 | 14 | 16.47 | 7 | 5.74 | 6 | 9.52 | 2 | 1.38 | 147 | 23.30 | 23 | 5.37 | 199 | 13.50 | |
| Age (years), mean (SD) | 38.19 (18.09) | 35.59 (14.72) | 37.35 (15.02) | 34.49 (11.40) | 45.46 (18.61) | 35.14 (13.85) | 39.80 (16.94) | 0.000 | |||||||
| Source of case infection | 0.000 | ||||||||||||||
| Imported cases | 62 | 72.94 | 72 | 59.02 | 33 | 52.38 | 145 | 100 | 80 | 12.68 | 425 | 99.3 | 817 | 55.43 | |
| Domestic cases | 23 | 27.06 | 50 | 40.98 | 30 | 47.62 | 0 | 0 | 551 | 87.32 | 3 | 0.7 | 657 | 44.57 | |
| Being symptomatic at testing | 0.000 | ||||||||||||||
| No | 55 | 64.71 | 101 | 82.79 | 55 | 87.30 | 145 | 100 | 489 | 77.50 | 428 | 100 | 1273 | 86.36 | |
| Yes | 30 | 35.29 | 21 | 17.21 | 8 | 12.70 | 0 | 0 | 142 | 22.50 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 13.64 | |
| Mode of case detection | 0.000 | ||||||||||||||
| Self-presentation at health facilities | 15 | 17.65 | 12 | 9.84 | 5 | 7.94 | 1 | 0.69 | 130 | 20.6 | 2 | 0.47 | 165 | 11.19 | |
| Immigration points testing and quarantine | 22 | 25.88 | 63 | 51.64 | 32 | 50.79 | 144 | 99.31 | 79 | 12.52 | 421 | 98.36 | 761 | 51.36 | |
| Contact tracing following exposure to COVID-19 | 42 | 49.41 | 24 | 19.67 | 10 | 15.87 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 31.06 | 5 | 1.17 | 277 | 18.79 | |
| Enhanced testing in lockdown areas | 6 | 7.06 | 23 | 18.85 | 16 | 25.4 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 35.82 | 0 | 0 | 271 | 18.39 | |
| Clinical condition | 0.000 | ||||||||||||||
| Stable | 81 | 95.29 | 120 | 98.36 | 62 | 98.41 | 145 | 100 | 581 | 92.08 | 426 | 99.53 | 1415 | 96.00 | |
| Critical | 4 | 4.71 | 2 | 1.64 | 1 | 1.59 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 7.92 | 2 | 0.47 | 59 | 4.00 | |
| Discharge from isolation | 85 | 100 | 122 | 100 | 63 | 100 | 145 | 100 | 593 | 93.38 | 318 | 74.3 | 1326 | 89.96 | 0.000 |
| Number of fatalities due to COVID-19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 5.55 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0.07 | 0.000 |
| Length of hospital stay (days), mean (SD) | 21.8 (12.74) | 23.09 (14.69) | 22.89 (9.57) | 21.30 (9.29) | 23.97 (11.36) | 23.31 (10.13) | 23.24 (11.25) | 0.141 | |||||||
SD, standard deviation.
The six periods were defined by key dates of events and public health interventions implemented from January 1 to December 31, 2020. See Methods for clarification.
Excluded 35 deaths due to COVID-19, three deaths not due to COVID-19, and 110 COVID-19 patients not discharged at the time of the analysis.
P-value calculated by Chi-square test.
P-value calculated by Fisher's exact test.
Figure 1(A) Cumulative proportion of confirmed cases by mode of case detection of COVID-19 cases in Vietnam from January to December 2020. (B) Cumulative number of confirmed cases, recoveries, and active cases of COVID-19 in Vietnam from January to December 2020.
Relationship between mode of case detection and characteristics of confirmed COVID-19 cases and epidemic periods of 1474 confirmed COVID-19 cases reported in Vietnam from January to December 2020
| Characteristics | Model 1 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Self-presentation at health facilities | Contact tracing following potential exposure | Enhanced testing in lockdown areas | ||||
| RR | 95% CI | RR | 95% CI | RR | 95% CI | |
| Sex | ||||||
| Male | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||
| Female | 2.42 | 1.66–3.52 | 2.28 | 1.70–3.06 | 3.09 | 2.26–4.23 |
| Age group (years) | ||||||
| 0–25 | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||
| 26–40 | 1.76 | 0.98–3.15 | 1.12 | 0.74–1.69 | 1.75 | 1.03–2.98 |
| 41–60 | 3.80 | 2.09–6.90 | 2.39 | 1.55–3.68 | 5.75 | 3.40–9.73 |
| >60 | 13.40 | 6.57–27.31 | 7.29 | 4.13–12.86 | 24.25 | 12.94–45.43 |
| Being symptomatic at testing | ||||||
| No | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||
| Yes | 13.09 | 8.69–19.72 | 4.49 | 3.12–6.45 | 4.63 | 3.15–6.79 |
| Period | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 | ||||||
| 6 | ||||||
| Characteristics | Model 2 | |||||
| Self-presentation at health facilities | Contact tracing following potential exposure | Enhanced testing in lockdown areas | ||||
| RR | 95% CI | RR | 95% CI | RR | 95% CI | |
| Sex | ||||||
| Male | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||
| Female | 2.40 | 1.53–3.76 | 2.16 | 1.45–3.21 | 2.80 | 1.84–4.27 |
| Age group (years) | ||||||
| 0–25 | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||
| 26–40 | 2.02 | 1.07–3.81 | 1.51 | 0.91–2.52 | 2.20 | 1.19–4.05 |
| 41–60 | 3.85 | 1.98–7.51 | 2.96 | 1.71–5.12 | 6.37 | 3.39–11.95 |
| >60 | 9.99 | 4.07–24.51 | 6.53 | 2.91–14.66 | 20.08 | 8.49–47.52 |
| Being symptomatic at testing | ||||||
| No | ||||||
| Yes | ||||||
| Period | ||||||
| 1 | Ref. | Ref. | ||||
| 2 | 0.28 | 0.11–0.70 | 0.20 | 0.09–0.40 | 1.34 | 0.46–3.90 |
| 3 | 0.21 | 0.06–0.67 | 0.15 | 0.06–0.37 | 1.65 | 0.53–5.16 |
| 4 | 0.01 | 0.00–0.09 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 5 | 2.12 | 1.01–4.44 | 1.18 | 0.64–2.14 | 8.70 | 3.30–22.92 |
| 6 | 0.01 | 0.00–0.03 | 0.01 | 0.00–0.02 | NA | NA |
| Characteristics | Model 3 | |||||
| Self-presentation at health facilities | Contact tracing following potential exposure | Enhanced testing in lockdown areas | ||||
| RR | 95% CI | RR | 95% CI | RR | 95% CI | |
| Sex | ||||||
| Male | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||
| Female | 2.30 | 1.45–3.66 | 2.17 | 1.46–3.24 | 2.79 | 1.82–4.26 |
| Age group (years) | ||||||
| 0–25 | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||
| 26–40 | 2.09 | 1.09–4.04 | 1.51 | 0.91–2.52 | 2.22 | 1.20–4.11 |
| 41–60 | 4.08 | 2.05–8.13 | 2.93 | 1.69–5.09 | 6.41 | 3.40–12.09 |
| >60 | 10.44 | 4.17–26.16 | 6.58 | 2.93–14.78 | 20.52 | 8.63–48.76 |
| Being symptomatic at testing | ||||||
| No | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||
| Yes | 6.35 | 3.74–10.79 | 1.49 | 0.92–2.42 | 2.21 | 1.35–3.62 |
| Period | ||||||
| 1 | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||
| 2 | 0.48 | 0.18–1.26 | 0.23 | 0.11–0.48 | 1.80 | 0.61–5.33 |
| 3 | 0.39 | 0.11–1.30 | 0.18 | 0.07–0.45 | 2.26 | 0.71–7.22 |
| 4 | 0.04 | 0.01–0.37 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 5 | 6.04 | 2.67–13.65 | 1.50 | 0.76–2.94 | 14.13 | 5.09–39.28 |
| 6 | 0.03 | 0.01–0.14 | 0.01 | 0.00–0.02 | NA | NA |
RR, risk ratio; CI, confidence interval.
P < 0.001
P < 0.01
P < 0.05.
NA, not applicable; there were no cases detected by contact tracing following potential exposure or enhanced testing in lockdown areas in periods 4 and 6.
Model 1 presents the results of multinomial regression analyses examining case symptomatic status at testing detected by different modes of case detection with ‘immigration point testing and quarantine’ as the reference, adjusted for sex and age.
Model 2 presents the results of multinomial regression analyses examining cases in different epidemic periods detected by different modes of case detection with ‘immigration point testing and quarantine’ as the reference, adjusted for sex and age
Model 3 presents the result of multinomial regression analyses examining case symptomatic status at testing and at different epidemic periods detected by different modes of case detection with ‘immigration point testing and quarantine’ as the reference, adjusted for sex and age.
Relationship between clinical conditions and characteristics of confirmed COVID-19 cases and epidemic periods of 1474 confirmed COVID-19 cases reported in Vietnam from January to December 2020
| Characteristics | Univariate association | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | ||
| Sex | |||||||||||
| Male | 33 (55.93) | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||||
| Female | 26 (44.07) | 0.89 | 0.53–1.51 | 0.43** | 0.24–0.77 | 0.49*** | 0.28–0.87 | 0.55*** | 0.31–0.97 | 0.40** | 0.22–0.73 |
| Age group (years) | |||||||||||
| 26–40 | 17 (28.81) | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||||
| 41–60 | 4 (6.78) | 6.08** | 2.03–18.19 | 4.45** | 1.47–13.53 | 4.78** | 1.58–14.46 | 6.15** | 2.04–18.52 | 4.65** | 1.52–14.22 |
| >60 | 38 (64.41) | 34.16* | 12.02–97.14 | 19.72* | 6.77–57.47 | 20.66* | 7.14–59.78 | 33.89* | 11.78–97.49 | 19.74* | 6.72–57.92 |
| Source of case infection | |||||||||||
| Imported cases | 5 (8.47) | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||||||
| Domestic cases | 54 (91.53) | 14.54* | 5.78–36.58 | 8.07* | 3.07–21.19 | 4.99*** | 1.06–23.49 | ||||
| Period | |||||||||||
| 1 | 4 (6.78) | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||||||
| 2 | 2 (3.39) | 0.34 | 0.06–1.88 | 0.64 | 0.11–3.85 | 0.4 | 0.06–2.70 | ||||
| 3 | 1 (1.69) | 0.33 | 0.04–3.00 | 0.42 | 0.04–4.18 | 0.26 | 0.02–3.05 | ||||
| 5 | 50 (84.75) | 1.74 | 9.61–4.95 | 1.46 | 0.48–4.44 | 0.85 | 0.20–3.56 | ||||
| 6 | 2 (3.39) | 0.10** | 0.02–0.53 | 0.15*** | 0.03–0.86 | 0.53 | 0.08–3.73 | ||||
| Symptomatic at testing | |||||||||||
| No | 38 (64.41) | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||||||
| Yes | 21 (35.59) | 3.67* | 2.17–6.21 | 3.34* | 1.89–5.90 | 2.73** | 1.48–5.05 | ||||
OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval. *P < 0.001; **P < 0.01; ***P < 0.05.
No critical cases younger than 26 years old were recorded.
No critical cases in period 4 were recorded.
Model 1 presents the results of logistic regression analyses examining associations between case sources of infection and case clinical conditions, adjusted for sex and age.
Model 2 presents the results of logistic regression analyses examining associations between epidemic periods and case clinical conditions, adjusted for sex and age.
Model 3 presents the results of logistic regression analyses examining associations between case symptomatic status at testing and case clinical conditions, adjusted for sex and age.
Model 4 presents the results of logistic regression analyses examining associations between case sources of infection, epidemic periods, and case symptomatic status at testing and case clinical conditions, adjusted for sex and age.
Descriptions of public health interventions implemented during the six periods of COVID-19 epidemics in Vietnam from January to December 2020.
| Epidemic period | Public health interventions | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Travel-related measures | Active case finding | Other NPIs | |
| Period 0 (January 1–22) | Jan 1: Thermal screening and medical checkpoints at all immigration ports (land, air, sea). Travel advisory for limited travel to and from Wuhan, China. All inbound passengers with a travel history to Wuhan, China and displaying COVID-19 compatible symptoms at immigration points were mandatory quarantined and tested for SARS-CoV-2 ( | All suspected cases of COVID-19 with COVID-19 compatible symptoms and travel history to Wuhan, China were tested for SARS-CoV-2 and mandatory quarantined for 14 days at designated facilities ( | A COVID-19 health advisory was broadcasted across the mass media and official government outlet. No specific mask-wearing requirement. |
| Period 1 (January 23–March 20) | Jan 25: All flights from and to Wuhan, China were halted indefinitely. Feb 28: Temporary ban visa exemption and travel restriction for travelers from South Korea . Mandatory health declaration, SARS-CoV-2 testing, 14-day centralized quarantine required for travelers from South Korea at immigration points. March 1: Similar measures for travelers from Iran. March 2: Similar measures for travelers from Northern Italy. March 7: Mandatory health declaration for all travelers on international flights at immigration points. All passengers must wear masks on airplanes and at the airport. March 12: Temporary ban visa exemption and travel restriction for travelers from eight European countries. March 14: SARS-CoV-2 testing and 14-day centralized quarantine required for travelers from European countries at immigration points. Temporary ban visa exemption and travel restriction for travelers from Schengen countries, United Kingdom, and Northern Ireland. March 15: All passengers on international flights who had arrived in Vietnam from March 8 onwards were required to contact the local health authorities for health monitoring. March 18: SARS-CoV-2 testing and 14-day centralized quarantine required for travelers from the United States, Southeast Asian countries, and Russia at immigration points. | The suspected case definition was expanded to close contacts of confirmed cases or travellers with a travel history to countries with high-risk of COVID-19, regardless of symtom onset . All suspected cases of COVID-19 were tested for SARS-CoV-2 and mandatory quarantined for 14 days at designated facilities as soon as being identified, regardless of symptom onset. During quarantine, suspected cases were tested at least three times, on the first day of quarantine, day 3, and day 13 of quarantine, and whenever displaying COVID-19 compatible symptoms. Contact tracing was required for close contacts of confirmed cases (including those sharing the same vehicle, i.e., flights, or residing in the same lockdown areas), close contacts of close contacts of confirmed cases, and all international passengers arriving from March 8 onwards (from March 15) ( | Regional lockdown was enforced for highly affected regions including personal houses, residential buildings, workplaces, and residential streets where confirmed cases had visited or been accommodated during 14 days before symptom onset or confirmation of SARS-CoV-2. Lockdown was enforced for 14 days from the date of index case confirmation. During lockdown, a door-to-door community surveillance system was set up by the local health staff, which included daily symptom monitoring and SARS-CoV-2 specimen collection for residents inside lockdown areas. Environmental disinfection was performed regularly, and basic amenities and healthcare services were provided for residents free of charge by the government. A daily broadcast of new cases of COVID-19 was made across the mass media and official government sites. Anonymous details of characteristics of cases, along with past travel history were also made available to alert the population of potential exposure, and also help aid the contact tracing process. Face mask-wearing and personal hygiene practices were encouraged. Public events, mass gatherings, social and religious events were cancelled. Schools and universities across the country were closed until further notice. Remote working and studying arrangements were encouraged. Shops, restaurants, and businesses remained open but were obliged to implement thermal screening and hand sanitization. March 16: Mask-wearing and social distancing in public areas were required ( |
| Period 2 (March 21–31) | March 21: SARS-CoV-2 testing and 14-day centralized quarantine required for all travelers from international flights at immigration points. March 22: Temporary ban visa exemption for all travelers from international flights. March 28: All international flights from and to Vietnam were halted. | Contact tracing and the suspected case definition were extended to all identified persons epi-linked to COVID-19 clusters (i.e., contact with COVID-19 confirmed cases and/or visit to COVID-19 infected areas during the 14 days before the first cases in the cluster were identified). Traced persons were tested and quarantined as a suspected case. SARS-CoV-2 testing was required for any patients admitted into hospitals across the country with symptoms of respiratory infection. | Regional lockdown was extended to 21 days after the last confirmed cases were confirmed in the cluster. No persons inside lockdown areas were allowed to leave until the lockdown period had ended.March 27: Entertainment activities, non-essential businesses and services in cities/provinces with confirmed cases were closed.March 31: 15-day national social distancing was implemented from April 1 across the country ( |
| Period 3 (April 1–30) | Limited charter flights and cargo flights were allowed. All travelers who crossed land borders were required to provide a special travel license and were tested for SARS-CoV-2 every 2 weeks. | Serology and SARS-CoV-2 testing was implemented for vulnerable groups with high-risk exposure to SARS-CoV-2. This included street vendors and deliveryman in two large wet markets in Hanoi and frequent club-goers in a popular clubbing district in Ho Chi Minh City. | April 10: The regional lockdown was extended to a larger scale, to cover all residents living in the surrounding areas (i.e., villages, districts) near where confirmed cases had visited/been accommodated during 14 days before symptom onset or confirmation of SARS-CoV-2. April 15: National social distancing was extended until April 30. Limited inter-city transportation was allowed, based on risk assessment ranking (high, medium, and low risk). |
| Period 4 (May 1–July 24) | May 29: All domestic flights resumed to normal operation. June 30: Limited international flights from selected countries were allowed for diplomats, experts, and Vietnamese repatriates with official approval from the Vietnam government ( | No new updates since previous period. | May 1: National social distancing measures were lifted except for domestic flights. May 4: Universities and schools were re-opened nationwide. |
| Period 5 (July 25–September 15) | August 15: All international flights were halted.Extensive measures to detect, manage, test, and quarantine all border crossers were enforced by the provincial police departments and local authorities across the country.Detected border crossers were tested and quarantined as suspected cases of COVID-19. Legal punishment for illegal trespassing and infectious disease spreading act charge was issued to all detected border crossers and accomplices who were involved in transportation, accommodation, and guidance for unauthorized entry through international borders ( | Contact tracing was extended to all persons residing in cities/provinces with confirmed cases of COVID-19 during 14 days before the first case was symptomatic and/or confirmed positive with SARS-CoV-2 who then traveled to other provinces and cities in Vietnam. Traced persons were required to test for SARS-CoV-2 and self-quarantine at home facilities for 14 days while undergoing a basic daily check-up by local health staff. August 1: Serology and SARS-CoV-2 testing were required for all foreigners residing in cities/provinces with infections. August 4: Community testing was extended for all people residing in cities/provinces with confirmed cases of COVID-19 (not only in lockdown areas); family representative sampling and pooled testing were performed. | For cities/provinces with confirmed cases of COVID-19, mass gatherings, religious events, school and universities were closed as soon as the first case was confirmed. Health declaration was mandatory for all residents, and inbound and outbound travelling were limited and monitored by checkup points at cities/provinces' bound. Outpatient healthcare services were discontinued, with the exception for SARS-CoV-2 testing for walk-ins . A COVID-19 community surveillance team was established in all districts to manage and detect any suspected cases in the community with compatible COVID-19 symptoms and to implement prevention measures. Enhanced surveillance was set up in all local pharmacies to document purchases of flu or fever medicine. SARS-CoV-2 testing was conducted for all examiners and students participating in the national high school examination in cities/provinces with confirmed cases of COVID-19, and separated examination was required for students who were suspected or confirmed cases of COVID-19. Eventually, a 28-day city-wide lockdown, restriction of inter-city transportation, and closure of all non-essential services were imposed for these cites/provinces. In cities/provinces without COVID-19 infections, non-essential services including outdoor dining, bars, clubs, and entertainment venues were required to close from August 19–31. All healthcare facilities were required to limit the intake of caretakers to one per patient per day, and no caretakers visited the emergency wards. |
| Period 6 (September 16–December 31) | September 23: International flights resumed, allowing limited commercial international flights. December 1: All international flights were halted until the end of December ( | From December 1: All public hospitals were required to conduct periodical SARS-CoV-2 testing for all patients, caretakers, and staff whenever a community outbreak occurred in the region. | No new update from previous period. |
| Extensive measures to detect, manage, test, and quarantine all unauthorized entry through the open path trail border were enforced by border patrols. Stricter legal punishment was given to border crossers who were confirmed positive with SARS-CoV-2 and/or infected other members in the community. | |||
NPIs, non-pharmaceutical interventions.
Figure 2(A) Epidemic curve by date of confirmation and public health interventions across the six periods from January to December 2020. Confirmed cases of COVID-19 are represented by (i) imported cases (infection most likely acquired outside of Vietnam) (blue) and (ii) domestic cases (infection most likely acquired inside of Vietnam) (orange). Public health interventions are represented by three groups: (1) travel-related measures (teal); (2) active case-finding measures (yellow); and (3) other non-pharmaceutical interventions (green). (B) Distribution of the daily estimated reproduction number of COVID-19 transmission in Vietnam from January to December 2020. The solid black line marks the median of effective reproduction number, the dashed horizontal line represents the value ‘1’ of the effective reproduction number, and the grey areas represent the 95% confidence interval.
Relationship between containment delay and characteristics of confirmed COVID-19 cases and epidemic periods for 713 confirmed cases of COVID-19 reported in Vietnam from January to December 2020a
| Characteristics | Univariate association | Model 1 | Model 2 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC | 95% CI | RC | 95% CI | RC | 95% CI | |
| Sex | ||||||
| Male | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||
| Female | 0.26 days | −0.22 to 0.77 | 0.24 days | −0.26 to 0.74 | 0.14 days | −0.24 to 0.53 |
| Age group (years) | ||||||
| 0–25 | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||
| 26–40 | 0.08 days | −0.75 to 0.91 | 0.08 days | −0.75 to 0.91 | 0.10 days | −0.53 to 0.73 |
| 41–60 | −0.23 days | −1.03 to 0.58 | −0.28 days | −1.09 to 0.53 | 0.00 days | −0.61 to 0.62 |
| >60 | 0.03 days | −0.83 to 0.89 | 0.00 days | −0.86 to 0.86 | 0.15 days | −0.51 to 0.80 |
| Source of case infection | ||||||
| Imported cases | Ref. | Ref. | ||||
| Domestic cases | 0.71 days | −0.19 to 1.62 | 0.69 days | −0.23 to 1.61 | ||
| Being symptomatic at testing | ||||||
| No | Ref. | Ref. | ||||
| Yes | 4.77 days* | 4.35 to 5.18 | 4.76 days* | 4.34 to 5.17 | ||
| Mode of case detection | ||||||
| Self-presentation at health facilities | Ref. | |||||
| Contact tracing following potential exposure to COVID-19 | −2.11 days* | −2.73 to −1.50 | ||||
| Enhanced testing in lockdown areas | −2.02 days* | −2.64 to −1.40 | ||||
| Period | ||||||
| 1 | Ref. | |||||
| 2 | 0.05 days | −1.12 to 1.23 | ||||
| 3 | 0.21 days | −1.21 to 1.64 | ||||
| 4 | −1.05 days | −7.60 to 5.50 | ||||
| 5 | 0.74 days | −0.12 to 1.60 | ||||
| 6 | −1.05 days | −3.64 to 1.54 | ||||
| Characteristics | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | |||
| RC | 95% CI | RC | 95% CI | RC | 95% CI | |
| Sex | ||||||
| Male | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||
| Female | 0.31 days | −0.17 to 0.79 | 0.25 days | −0.25 to 0.75 | 0.07 days | −0.31 to 0.44 |
| Age group (years) | ||||||
| 0–25 | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||
| 26–40 | 0.01 days | −0.80 to 0.81 | 0.10 days | −0.73 to 0.93 | 0.16 days | −0.46 to 0.78 |
| 41–60 | −0.25 days | −1.04 to 0.53 | −0.30 days | −1.11 to 0.51 | 0.03 days | −0.58 to 0.64 |
| >60 | 0.02 days | −0.81 to 0.86 | −0.09 days | −0.95 to 0.77 | 0.12 days | −0.53 to 0.77 |
| Source of case infection | ||||||
| Imported cases | Ref. | |||||
| Domestic cases | 0.52 days | −0.45 to 1.50 | ||||
| Being symptomatic at testing | ||||||
| No | Ref. | |||||
| Yes | 4.79 days* | 4.36 to 5.22 | ||||
| Mode of case detection | ||||||
| Self-presentation at health facilities | Ref. | Ref. | ||||
| Contact tracing following potential exposure to COVID-19 | −2.11 days* | −2.73 to −1.49 | −0.45 days | −0.96 to 0.06 | ||
| Enhanced testing in lockdown areas | −2.03 days* | −2.65 to −1.40 | −0.77 days ** | −1.28 to −0.26 | ||
| Period | ||||||
| 1 | Ref. | Ref. | ||||
| 2 | 0.07 days | −1.11 to 1.26 | 0.49 days | −0.51 to 1.49 | ||
| 3 | 0.22 days | −1.21 to 1.65 | 1.11 days | −0.11 to 2.33 | ||
| 4 | −1.09 days | −7.65 to 5.48 | 1.02 days | −3.90 to 5.93 | ||
| 5 | 0.75 days | −0.12 to 1.62 | 1.56 days* | 0.66 to 2.46 | ||
| 6 | −1.11 days | −3.72 to 1.49 | 1.16 days | −0.79 to 3.11 | ||
RC, regression coefficient; CI, confidence interval. *P < 0.001; **P < 0.01.
A total of 761 cases who were quarantined at immigration points were excluded because they did not contribute to the transmission in Vietnam.
Mode of case detection by immigration point testing and quarantine obsoletes any observed containment delay.
Model 1 represents linear regression analyses on the association between containment delay and case sources of infection, adjusted for sex and age.
Model 2 represents linear regression analyses on the association between containment delay and case symptom onset at testing, adjusted for sex and age.
Model 3 represents linear regression analyses on the association between containment delay and the modes of case detection, adjusted for sex and age.
Model 4 represents linear regression analyses on the association between containment delay and epidemic periods, adjusted for sex and age.
Model 5 represents linear regression analyses on the association between containment delay and case sources of infection, case symptom onset at testing, the modes of case detection, and epidemic periods, adjusted for sex and age.