Literature DB >> 34295529

June: open-source individual-based epidemiology simulation.

Joseph Aylett-Bullock1,2, Carolina Cuesta-Lazaro1,3, Arnau Quera-Bofarull1,3, Miguel Icaza-Lizaola1,3, Aidan Sedgewick1,4, Henry Truong1,2, Aoife Curran1,3, Edward Elliott1,3, Tristan Caulfield5, Kevin Fong6,7, Ian Vernon1,8, Julian Williams9, Richard Bower1,3, Frank Krauss1,2.   

Abstract

We introduce June, an open-source framework for the detailed simulation of epidemics on the basis of social interactions in a virtual population constructed from geographically granular census data, reflecting age, sex, ethnicity and socio-economic indicators. Interactions between individuals are modelled in groups of various sizes and properties, such as households, schools and workplaces, and other social activities using social mixing matrices. June provides a suite of flexible parametrizations that describe infectious diseases, how they are transmitted and affect contaminated individuals. In this paper, we apply June to the specific case of modelling the spread of COVID-19 in England. We discuss the quality of initial model outputs which reproduce reported hospital admission and mortality statistics at national and regional levels as well as by age strata.
© 2021 The Authors.

Entities:  

Keywords:  individual-based model; infectious disease; simulation

Year:  2021        PMID: 34295529      PMCID: PMC8261230          DOI: 10.1098/rsos.210506

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  R Soc Open Sci        ISSN: 2054-5703            Impact factor:   2.963


  30 in total

1.  Revealing COVID-19 transmission in Australia by SARS-CoV-2 genome sequencing and agent-based modeling.

Authors:  Rebecca J Rockett; Alicia Arnott; Connie Lam; Rosemarie Sadsad; Verlaine Timms; Karen-Ann Gray; John-Sebastian Eden; Sheryl Chang; Mailie Gall; Jenny Draper; Eby M Sim; Nathan L Bachmann; Ian Carter; Kerri Basile; Roy Byun; Matthew V O'Sullivan; Sharon C-A Chen; Susan Maddocks; Tania C Sorrell; Dominic E Dwyer; Edward C Holmes; Jen Kok; Mikhail Prokopenko; Vitali Sintchenko
Journal:  Nat Med       Date:  2020-07-09       Impact factor: 53.440

2.  Contagion! The BBC Four Pandemic - The model behind the documentary.

Authors:  Petra Klepac; Stephen Kissler; Julia Gog
Journal:  Epidemics       Date:  2018-03-22       Impact factor: 4.396

3.  FluTE, a publicly available stochastic influenza epidemic simulation model.

Authors:  Dennis L Chao; M Elizabeth Halloran; Valerie J Obenchain; Ira M Longini
Journal:  PLoS Comput Biol       Date:  2010-01-29       Impact factor: 4.475

Review 4.  An evidence review of face masks against COVID-19.

Authors:  Jeremy Howard; Austin Huang; Zhiyuan Li; Zeynep Tufekci; Vladimir Zdimal; Helene-Mari van der Westhuizen; Arne von Delft; Amy Price; Lex Fridman; Lei-Han Tang; Viola Tang; Gregory L Watson; Christina E Bax; Reshama Shaikh; Frederik Questier; Danny Hernandez; Larry F Chu; Christina M Ramirez; Anne W Rimoin
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2021-01-26       Impact factor: 12.779

5.  Bayesian history matching of complex infectious disease models using emulation: a tutorial and a case study on HIV in Uganda.

Authors:  Ioannis Andrianakis; Ian R Vernon; Nicky McCreesh; Trevelyan J McKinley; Jeremy E Oakley; Rebecca N Nsubuga; Michael Goldstein; Richard G White
Journal:  PLoS Comput Biol       Date:  2015-01-08       Impact factor: 4.475

6.  Universal test, treat, and keep: improving ART retention is key in cost-effective HIV control in Uganda.

Authors:  Nicky McCreesh; Ioannis Andrianakis; Rebecca N Nsubuga; Mark Strong; Ian Vernon; Trevelyan J McKinley; Jeremy E Oakley; Michael Goldstein; Richard Hayes; Richard G White
Journal:  BMC Infect Dis       Date:  2017-05-03       Impact factor: 3.090

7.  EnABLe: An agent-based model to understand Listeria dynamics in food processing facilities.

Authors:  Claire Zoellner; Rachel Jennings; Martin Wiedmann; Renata Ivanek
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2019-01-24       Impact factor: 4.379

Review 8.  SciPy 1.0: fundamental algorithms for scientific computing in Python.

Authors:  Pauli Virtanen; Ralf Gommers; Travis E Oliphant; Matt Haberland; Tyler Reddy; David Cournapeau; Evgeni Burovski; Pearu Peterson; Warren Weckesser; Jonathan Bright; Stéfan J van der Walt; Matthew Brett; Joshua Wilson; K Jarrod Millman; Nikolay Mayorov; Andrew R J Nelson; Eric Jones; Robert Kern; Eric Larson; C J Carey; İlhan Polat; Yu Feng; Eric W Moore; Jake VanderPlas; Denis Laxalde; Josef Perktold; Robert Cimrman; Ian Henriksen; E A Quintero; Charles R Harris; Anne M Archibald; Antônio H Ribeiro; Fabian Pedregosa; Paul van Mulbregt
Journal:  Nat Methods       Date:  2020-02-03       Impact factor: 28.547

9.  Extended use or reuse of single-use surgical masks and filtering face-piece respirators during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic: A rapid systematic review.

Authors:  Elaine C Toomey; Yvonne Conway; Chris Burton; Simon Smith; Michael Smalle; Xin-Hui S Chan; Anil Adisesh; Sarah Tanveer; Lawrence Ross; Iain Thomson; Declan Devane; Trish Greenhalgh
Journal:  Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol       Date:  2020-10-08       Impact factor: 3.254

10.  Epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 cases and estimates of the reproductive numbers 1 month into the epidemic, Italy, 28 January to 31 March 2020.

Authors:  Flavia Riccardo; Marco Ajelli; Xanthi D Andrianou; Antonino Bella; Martina Del Manso; Massimo Fabiani; Stefania Bellino; Stefano Boros; Alberto Mateo Urdiales; Valentina Marziano; Maria Cristina Rota; Antonietta Filia; Fortunato D'Ancona; Andrea Siddu; Ornella Punzo; Filippo Trentini; Giorgio Guzzetta; Piero Poletti; Paola Stefanelli; Maria Rita Castrucci; Alessandra Ciervo; Corrado Di Benedetto; Marco Tallon; Andrea Piccioli; Silvio Brusaferro; Giovanni Rezza; Stefano Merler; Patrizio Pezzotti
Journal:  Euro Surveill       Date:  2020-12
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  3 in total

1.  Epidemiological modelling in refugee and internally displaced people settlements: challenges and ways forward.

Authors:  Joseph Aylett-Bullock; Robert Tucker Gilman; Ian Hall; David Kennedy; Egmond Samir Evers; Anjali Katta; Hussien Ahmed; Kevin Fong; Keyrellous Adib; Lubna Al Ariqi; Ali Ardalan; Pierre Nabeth; Kai von Harbou; Katherine Hoffmann Pham; Carolina Cuesta-Lazaro; Arnau Quera-Bofarull; Allen Gidraf Kahindo Maina; Tinka Valentijn; Sandra Harlass; Frank Krauss; Chao Huang; Rebeca Moreno Jimenez; Tina Comes; Mariken Gaanderse; Leonardo Milano; Miguel Luengo-Oroz
Journal:  BMJ Glob Health       Date:  2022-03

2.  Bayesian emulation and history matching of JUNE.

Authors:  I Vernon; J Owen; J Aylett-Bullock; C Cuesta-Lazaro; J Frawley; A Quera-Bofarull; A Sedgewick; D Shi; H Truong; M Turner; J Walker; T Caulfield; K Fong; F Krauss
Journal:  Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci       Date:  2022-08-15       Impact factor: 4.019

3.  Estimating SARS-CoV-2 variant fitness and the impact of interventions in England using statistical and geo-spatial agent-based models.

Authors:  Robert Hinch; Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths; William J M Probert; Luca Ferretti; Chris Wymant; Francesco Di Lauro; Nikolas Baya; Mahan Ghafari; Lucie Abeler-Dörner; Christophe Fraser
Journal:  Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci       Date:  2022-08-15       Impact factor: 4.019

  3 in total

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