Xue Bai1, Qiaoyan Guo1, Yan Lou1, Ping Nie1, Yuexin Zhu1, Bing Li2, Ping Luo3. 1. Department of Nephrology, The Second Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, 130041, China. 2. Department of Nephrology, The Second Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, 130041, China. 115674160@qq.com. 3. Department of Nephrology, The Second Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, 130041, China. luopingjen@163.com.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: In 2018, a renal risk score of antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated glomerulonephritis (AAGN) based on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), normal glomeruli, and tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis (TA/IF) was proposed to predict renal outcomes. We aimed to evaluate this renal risk score in a myeloperoxidase (MPO)-ANCA predominant population in Northeast China. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the clinicopathologic data of 65 patients biopsy-proven from a Chinese medical center. Each patient was assessed by eGFR, normal glomeruli, and TA/IF, and the renal outcome was evaluated using the renal risk score. RESULTS: In our study, 95.4% of patients were ANCA positive (78.5% MPO-ANCA positive and 16.9% proteinase 3-ANCA positive). The average follow-up period was 14.3 months. Thirty-four patients (52.3%) reached end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Based on the renal risk score, 8 (12.3%), 31 (47.7%), and 26 (40%) patients were divided into the low-risk, medium-risk, and high-risk groups, respectively. Kaplan-Meier survival curves revealed the high-risk group had worse renal outcomes than the low-risk group (p<0.01) and the medium-risk group (p<0.01), but the renal outcome did not differ between the low-risk and medium-risk groups (p>0.017). Similar results were obtained by the competitive survival analysis. The AUC for 3-year overall ESRD predictions was 0.845. In the regression analysis, the renal risk score was a favorable predictor for the development of ESRD (HR 3.13, 95%CI 1.58-6.19, p=0.001). CONCLUSION: The renal risk score is a preferred index that can predict ESRD in Chinese AAGN patients, especially in the high-risk group with worse renal outcomes. Key Points • The eGFR and percentage of normal glomeruli were valuable predictors of renal outcome, whereas TA/IF was not. • We confirmed the renal risk score is a preferred index that can predict ESRD in Chinese AAGN patients. • Based on the renal risk score, the high-risk group had worse renal outcomes than the low-risk group and the medium-risk group.
INTRODUCTION: In 2018, a renal risk score of antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated glomerulonephritis (AAGN) based on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), normal glomeruli, and tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis (TA/IF) was proposed to predict renal outcomes. We aimed to evaluate this renal risk score in a myeloperoxidase (MPO)-ANCA predominant population in Northeast China. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the clinicopathologic data of 65 patients biopsy-proven from a Chinese medical center. Each patient was assessed by eGFR, normal glomeruli, and TA/IF, and the renal outcome was evaluated using the renal risk score. RESULTS: In our study, 95.4% of patients were ANCA positive (78.5% MPO-ANCA positive and 16.9% proteinase 3-ANCA positive). The average follow-up period was 14.3 months. Thirty-four patients (52.3%) reached end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Based on the renal risk score, 8 (12.3%), 31 (47.7%), and 26 (40%) patients were divided into the low-risk, medium-risk, and high-risk groups, respectively. Kaplan-Meier survival curves revealed the high-risk group had worse renal outcomes than the low-risk group (p<0.01) and the medium-risk group (p<0.01), but the renal outcome did not differ between the low-risk and medium-risk groups (p>0.017). Similar results were obtained by the competitive survival analysis. The AUC for 3-year overall ESRD predictions was 0.845. In the regression analysis, the renal risk score was a favorable predictor for the development of ESRD (HR 3.13, 95%CI 1.58-6.19, p=0.001). CONCLUSION: The renal risk score is a preferred index that can predict ESRD in Chinese AAGN patients, especially in the high-risk group with worse renal outcomes. Key Points • The eGFR and percentage of normal glomeruli were valuable predictors of renal outcome, whereas TA/IF was not. • We confirmed the renal risk score is a preferred index that can predict ESRD in Chinese AAGN patients. • Based on the renal risk score, the high-risk group had worse renal outcomes than the low-risk group and the medium-risk group.