Literature DB >> 34277741

The Association Between Plasma Osmolarity and In-hospital Mortality in Cardiac Intensive Care Unit Patients.

Guangyao Zhai1, Jianlong Wang1, Yuyang Liu1, Yujie Zhou1.   

Abstract

Objectives: Plasma osmolarity is a common marker used for evaluating the balance of fluid and electrolyte in clinical practice, and it has been proven to be related to prognosis of many diseases. The purpose of this study was to identify the association between plasma osmolarity and in-hospital mortality in cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) patients. Method: All of the patients were divided into seven groups stratified by plasma osmolarity, and the group with 290-300 mmol/L osmolarity was used as a reference group. Primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The local weighted regression (Lowess) smoothing curve was drawn to determine the "U"-shaped relationship between plasma osmolarity and in-hospital mortality. Binary logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the effect of plasma osmolarity on the risk of in-hospital mortality. Result: Overall, 7,060 CICU patients were enrolled. A "U"-shaped relationship between plasma osmolarity and in-hospital mortality was observed using the Lowess smoothing curve. The lowest in-hospital mortality (7.2%) was observed in the reference group. whereas hyposmolarity (<280 mmol/L vs. 290-300 mmol/L: 13.0 vs. 7.2%) and hyperosmolarity (≥330 mmol/L vs. 290-300 mmol/L: 31.6 vs. 7.2%) had higher in-hospital mortality. After adjusting for possible confounding variables with binary logistic regression analysis, both hyposmolarity (<280 mmol/L vs. 290-300 mmol/L: OR, 95% CI: 1.76, 1.08-2.85, P = 0.023) and hyperosmolarity (≥330 mmol/L vs. 290-300 mmol/L: OR, 95% CI: 1.65, 1.08-2.52, P = 0.021) were independently associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality. Moreover, lengths of CICU and hospital stays were prolonged in patients with hyposmolarity or hyperosmolarity.
Conclusion: A "U"-shaped relationship between plasma osmolarity and in-hospital mortality was observed. Both hyposmolarity and hyperosmolarity were independently associated with the increased risk of in-hospital mortality.
Copyright © 2021 Zhai, Wang, Liu and Zhou.

Entities:  

Keywords:  cardiac care intensive unit; cardiovascular; in-hospital mortality; plasma osmolarity; “U”-shaped

Year:  2021        PMID: 34277741      PMCID: PMC8282930          DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2021.692764

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Front Cardiovasc Med        ISSN: 2297-055X


Introduction

Although the prognosis of cardiovascular diseases has greatly improved due to technological advances and innovative drug use, cardiovascular diseases still remain the leading cause of death and disability worldwide (1). Much research is still needed in the field of cardiovascular diseases, especially for severe cardiovascular diseases with high mortality (2). Cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) has been established to manage severe cardiovascular diseases, and patients admitted to the CICU are usually at great risk of adverse outcomes (3). For CICU patients, readily available risk factors are always welcomed by clinicians, which will help doctors in assessment of the patients' condition and prognosis. As a common marker used for evaluating the balance of fluid and electrolyte in clinical practice (4–7), plasma osmolarity can be calculated easily from serum sodium, potassium, glucose, and blood nitrogen urea (8). Previous clinical studies have shown that plasma osmolarity is associated with prognosis of many diseases, such as stroke (9), intracerebral hemorrhage (10), and gastrointestinal diseases (11). Plasma osmolarity is also tightly related to a higher rate of mortality and adverse cardiac events in patients with heart failure (12, 13). Likewise, in patients with coronary artery disease undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), higher plasma osmolarity was shown to be associated with higher mortality and acute kidney injury (14, 15). Plasma osmolarity is also closely associated with the severity of disease, in-hospital mortality, and other adverse outcomes in critically ill patients (11). However, no research has been done to explore the influence of plasma osmolarity on the prognosis of CICU patients. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to identify the association between plasma osmolarity and in-hospital mortality in CICU patients.

Method

Population Selection Criteria and Definition of Plasma Osmolarity

As shown in Figure 1, all adult CICU patients at their first admission were eligible. Patients meeting the following criteria were excluded: (1) age under 18 years; (2) hospital admission for non-heart disease; (3) insufficient data to calculate plasma osmolarity; and (4) Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation IV (APACHE IV) data missing. A total of 7,060 CICU patients were included.
Figure 1

Flow chart of study population. CICU, cardiac intensive care unit; APACHE IV, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation IV.

Flow chart of study population. CICU, cardiac intensive care unit; APACHE IV, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation IV. Plasma osmolarity was calculated as follows: 2 × [serum sodium concentration (mmol/L)] + 2 × [serum potassium concentration (mmol/L)] + [blood glucose (mmol/L)] + [blood nitrogen urea (mmol/L)] (8). Initial plasma osmolarity referred to the plasma osmolarity obtained from the first blood test after admission, while maximum osmolarity referred to the maximum plasma osmolarity during hospitalization. Plasma osmolarity was calculated from the serum sodium, potassium, glucose, and blood nitrogen urea levels measured at the same time.

Data Extraction

The data used in this study were taken from eICU Collaborative Research Database (16), which collected information on 200,859 admissions from 208 hospitals in the United States between 2014 and 2015. This database is available at: https://doi.org/10.13026/C2WM1R, and the author was granted access to the database through Protecting Human Research Participants exam (certificate number: 9,728,458). The following data were collected: demographics (age, gender, and race), vital signs (blood pressure, heart rate, respiration rate, oxygen saturation), body mass index, diagnoses and comorbidities [coronary artery disease, acute coronary syndrome, ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI), congestive heart failure, arrhythmias, cardiac arrest, atrial fibrillation, ventricular arrhythmias, atrioventricular block, cardiomyopathy, valve disease, shock, pulmonary embolism, pulmonary hypertension, hypertension, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), respiratory failure, chronic kidney disease, acute kidney injury, malignancy, stroke, sepsis], laboratory parameters (white blood cells, red blood cells, platelets, hemoglobin, hematocrit, glucose, creatinine, blood nitrogen urea, sodium, potassium), medication use [antiplatelet, oral anticoagulants, beta-blockers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker (ACEI/ARB), statins], acute physiology score (APS), and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation IV (APACHE IV) (17).

Grouping and Outcomes

In clinical practice, we usually consider 285–307 mmol/L as a normal range of plasma osmolarity (8); however, according to the Lowess smoothing curve (Figure 2), we found that in-hospital mortality was the lowest when plasma osmolarity ranged from 290 to 300 mmol/L. Therefore, we decided to use osmolarity of 290–300 mmol/L as the reference group in binary logistic regression analysis. In order to better explore the association between plasma osmolarity and in-hospital mortality of CICU patients, all of the enrolled patients were divided into seven groups according to their initial plasma osmolarity: group 1 (<280 mmol/L), group 2 (280–290 mmol/L), group 3 (290–300 mmol/L), group 4 (300–310 mmol/L), group 5 (310–320 mmol/L), group 6 (320–330 mmol/L), and group 7 (≥ 330 mmol/L).
Figure 2

Association between plasma osmolarity and in-hospital mortality presented through Lowess smoothing. Lowess, local weighted regression.

Association between plasma osmolarity and in-hospital mortality presented through Lowess smoothing. Lowess, local weighted regression. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes were length of CICU stay and length of hospital stay.

Statistical Analysis

Normally distributed continuous variables were expressed as mean ± standard deviation (SD) and compared between the groups using Student's t-test. Skewed data were expressed as median and interquartile range (IQR) and were compared using the Kruskal–Wallis test or the Mann–Whitney U-test. Categorical variables were expressed as a number (percentage) and compared between the groups using the chi-square test. The relationship between plasma osmolarity and in-hospital mortality was identified by binary logistic regression analysis, and the results were expressed as odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Covariates were selected on basis of statistical analysis and clinical suspicion that the factors may modulate the result. The curve in line with overall trend was drawn by local weighted regression (Lowess). All the tests were two-sided, and P <0.05 was considered statistically significant. All of the data analyses were performed in Stata V.15.1.

Results

Subjects and Baseline Characteristics

As shown in Figure 1, a total of 7,060 CICU patients were enrolled after screening step by step; most of them were White and male. Baseline characteristics of survivors and non-survivors are shown in Table 1. Initial plasma osmolarity and maximum plasma osmolarity of all the patients were 302.2 ± 14.4 and 308.4 ± 15.6 mmol/L, respectively. Non-survivors had higher initial plasma osmolarity (308.1 ± 18.1 vs. 301.4 ± 13.7, P < 0.001) and maximum plasma osmolarity (321.0 ± 19.9 vs. 306.7 ± 14.1, P < 0.001) than survivors. Non-survivors were more likely to have lower blood pressure, oxygen saturation, and body mass index, but higher heart rate and respiration rate. Moreover, non-survivors more often presented congestive heart failure, cardiac arrest, atrial fibrillation, ventricular arrhythmias, shock, COPD, respiratory failure, chronic kidney disease, acute kidney injury, malignancy, stroke, and sepsis, but less commonly coronary artery disease, acute coronary syndrome, STEMI, and hypertension. Non-survivors also had higher white blood cell count, glucose, creatinine, blood nitrogen urea, sodium, and potassium levels, but lower red blood cell and platelet counts, hemoglobin, and hematocrit. Non-survivors less often received oral anticoagulant, antiplatelet, beta-blocker, ACEI/ARB, and statin therapy. APS and APACHE IV of non-survivors were significantly higher than those of survivors.
Table 1

Baseline characteristics between survivors and non-survivors.

CharacteristicsTotal (n = 7,060)Survivors (n = 6,207)Non-survivors (n = 853)P-value
Age (years)65.6 ± 15.265.1 ± 15.369.4 ± 13.7<0.001
Gender, n (%)0.701
 Male3,958 (56.1)3,485 (56.2)473 (55.5)
 Female3,102 (43.9)2,722 (43.9)380 (44.6)
Ethnicity, n (%)<0.001
 Caucasian4,989 (70.7)4,366 (70.3)623 (73.0)
 African American1,185 (16.8)1,022 (16.5)163 (19.1)
 Other886 (12.6)819 (13.2)67 (7.9)
Vital signs
 Systolic blood pressure (mmHg)122.3 ± 19.7123.7 ± 19.3111.7 ± 19.4<0.001
 Diastolic blood pressure (mmHg)66.1 ± 11.366.7 ± 11.261.3 ± 10.8<0.001
 Mean blood pressure (mmHg)82.3 ± 13.083.1 ± 12.976.0 ± 12.3<0.001
 Heart rate (beats/min)87.4 ± 22.486.4 ± 21.995.0 ± 24.1<0.001
 Respiration rate (beats/min)21.0 ± 6.720.7 ± 6.522.9 ± 7.7<0.001
 Oxygen saturation (%)96.3 ± 5.396.5 ± 4.494.4 ± 9.5<0.001
Body mass index (kg/m2)29.1 ± 7.529.2 ± 7.428.4 ± 8.10.006
Diagnoses and comorbidities, n (%)
 Congestive heart failure1,396 (19.8)1,200 (19.3)196 (23.0)0.012
 Coronary artery disease2,619 (37.1)2,417 (38.9)202 (23.7)<0.001
 Acute coronary syndrome1,646 (23.3)1,518 (24.5)128 (15.0)<0.001
 STEMI688 (9.8)641 (10.3)47 (5.5)<0.001
 NSTEMI499 (7.1)441 (7.1)58 (6.8)0.774
 Arrhythmias2,205 (31.2)1,935 (31.2)270(32.7)0.777
 Cardiac arrest577 (8.2)270 (4.4)307 (36.0)<0.001
 Atrial fibrillation1,260 (17.9)1,077 (17.4)183 (21.5)0.003
 Ventricular arrhythmias114 (1.6)83 (1.3)31 (3.6)<0.001
 Atrioventricular block176 (2.5)161 (2.6)15 (1.8)0.142
 Cardiomyopathy419 (5.9)370 (6.0)49 (5.7)0.802
 Valve disease182 (2.6)157 (2.5)25 (2.9)0.488
 Shock1,951 (27.6)1,534 (24.7)417 (48.9)<0.001
 Pulmonary embolism143 (2.0)122 (2.0)21 (2.5)0.335
 Pulmonary hypertension76 (1.1)65 (1.1)11 (1.3)0.520
 Hypertension2,019 (28.6)1,868 (30.1)151 (17.7)<0.001
 Diabetes1,306 (18.5)1,146 (18.5)160 (18.8)0.836
 COPD717 (10.2)610 (9.8)107 (12.5)0.014
 Respiratory failure1,894 (26.8)1,416 (22.8)478 (56.0)<0.001
 Chronic kidney disease982 (13.9)821 (13.2)161 (18.9)<0.001
 Acute kidney injury1,178 (16.7)895 (14.4)283 (33.2)<0.001
 Malignancy371 (5.3)294 (4.7)77 (9.0)<0.001
 Stroke262 (3.7)212 (3.4)50 (5.9)<0.001
 Sepsis1,396 (19.8)1,113 (17.9)283 (33.2)<0.001
Laboratory parameters
 White blood cell (109/L)11.7 ± 8.411.3 ± 7.914.6 ± 11.1<0.001
 Red blood cell (109/L)4.1 ± 0.84.1 ± 0.83.9 ± 0.8<0.001
 Platelet (109/L)226.6227.8 ± 96.4217.4 ± 108.30.004
 Hemoglobin (g/dL)12.1 ± 2.512.2 ± 2.511.5 ± 2.5<0.001
 Hematocrit (%)36.7 ± 7.036.9 ± 7.035.4 ± 7.4<0.001
 Glucose (mmol/L)8.9 ± 5.18.7 ± 5.010.2 ± 6.0<0.001
 Creatinine (mg/dL)1.69 ± 1.481.64 ± 1.482.02 ± 1.47<0.001
 Blood nitrogen urea (mmol/L)28.7 ± 21.727.4 ± 20.638.1 ± 26.3<0.001
 Sodium (mmol/L)137.2 ± 5.3137.2 ± 5.2137.6 ± 6.40.043
 Potassium (mmol/L)4.2 ± 0.84.2 ± 0.74.4 ± 0.9<0.001
Medication use, n (%)
 Antiplatelet3,396 (48.1)3,078 (49.6)318 (37.3)<0.001
 Oral anticoagulants767 (10.9)710 (11.4)57 (6.7)<0.001
 Beta-blockers3,034 (43.0)2,795 (45.0)239 (28.0)<0.001
 ACEI/ARB1,914 (27.1)1,805 (29.1)109 (12.8)<0.001
 Statin2,150 (30.5)1,999 (32.2)151(17.7)<0.001
APS38 (27–55)36 (25–49)76 (52–106)<0.001
APACHE IV52 (38–70)49 (36–64)92 (67–121)<0.001
Initial osmolarity (mmol/L)302.2 ± 14.4301.4 ± 13.7308.1 ± 18.1<0.001
Maximum osmolarity (mmol/L)308.4 ± 15.6306.7 ± 14.1321.0 ± 19.9<0.001

Normally distributed continuous variables were presented as mean ± SD or median (IQR). Categorical variables were presented as number (percentage). STEMI, ST-elevation myocardial infarction; NSTEMI, non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; ACEI, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor; ARB, angiotensin receptor blocker; APS, acute physiology score; APACHE IV, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation IV.

Baseline characteristics between survivors and non-survivors. Normally distributed continuous variables were presented as mean ± SD or median (IQR). Categorical variables were presented as number (percentage). STEMI, ST-elevation myocardial infarction; NSTEMI, non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; ACEI, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor; ARB, angiotensin receptor blocker; APS, acute physiology score; APACHE IV, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation IV.

Association Between Osmolarity and Outcomes

The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Through the Lowess smoothing curve shown in Figure 2, a “U”-shaped relationship between in-hospital mortality and plasma osmolarity was found. When plasma osmolarity ranged from 290 to 300 mmol/L, in-hospital mortality of CICU patients was the lowest. Therefore, we decided to use osmolarity of 290–300 mmol/L as the reference group in binary logistic regression analysis. Table 2 shows crude outcomes by plasma osmolarity categories. The lowest in-hospital mortality (7.2%) was observed in the group with 290–300 mmol/L osmolarity. When plasma osmolarity was >290 mmol/L, as plasma osmolarity increased, in-hospital mortality increased significantly (≥330 vs. 290–300 mmol/L: 31.6 vs. 7.2%, respectively). When plasma osmolarity was below 300 mmol/L, as plasma osmolarity decreased, in-hospital mortality increased significantly (<280 vs. 290–300 mmol/L: 13.0 vs. 7.2%, respectively). Higher in-hospital mortality was confirmed in both lower and higher plasma osmolarity group, which was similar with the conclusion drawn by Lowess smoothing shown in Figure 2. Moreover, the lengths of CICU and hospital stays were the lowest in the 290–300 mmol/L group; in contrast, the lengths of CICU and hospital stays were prolonged in both hyposmolarity and hyperosmolarity groups (Table 2).
Table 2

Outcomes by osmolarity categories in CICU patients.

OutcomeOsmolarity (mmol/L)
<280280–290290–300300–310310–320320–330≥330P-value
(n = 231)(n = 732)(n = 2,283)(n = 2290)(n = 917)(n = 363)(n = 244)
In-hospital mortality, n (%)30 (13.0)71 (9.7)165 (7.2)243 (10.6)173 (18.9)94 (25.9)77 (31.6)<0.001
Length of CICU stay (days)2.2 (1.4–4.6)2.0 (1.1–3.9)1.8 (1.0–3.1)1.9 (1.1–3.4)2.2 (1.2–4.1)2.7 (1.5–5.0)3.3 (1.6–6.0)<0.001
Length of hospital stay (days)5.7 (3.0–10.7)5.2 (2.9–9.9)4.6 (2.5–8.9)5.0 (2.8–9.2)5.9 (3.1–10.3)7.4 (3.6–12.2)7.9 (4.3–14.9)<0.001

Lengths of CICU and hospital stays were skewed. Therefore, they were presented as median (IQR). Categorical variables were presented as number (percentage). CICU, cardiac intensive care unit.

Outcomes by osmolarity categories in CICU patients. Lengths of CICU and hospital stays were skewed. Therefore, they were presented as median (IQR). Categorical variables were presented as number (percentage). CICU, cardiac intensive care unit. As shown in Table 3, in unadjusted logistic regression model, with the 290–300 mmol/L group serving as the reference group, both hyposmolarity (<280 vs. 290–300 mmol/L: OR, 95% CI: 1.92, 1.27–2.90, P = 0.002) and hyperosmolarity (≥330 mmol/L vs. 290–300 mmol/L: OR, 95% CI: 5.92, 4.33–8.09, P < 0.001) were related to the increased risk of in-hospital mortality. When plasma osmolarity was >290 mmol/L, the risk of in-hospital mortality increased gradually as plasma osmolarity increased. When plasma osmolarity was below 300 mmol/L, the risk of in-hospital mortality increased gradually as plasma osmolarity decreased. After adjusting for age, gender, and ethnicity in the model 1, the conclusion was basically consistent with that of the unadjusted model. After adjusting for more possible confounding variables in the model 2, the association between osmolarity and in-hospital mortality was attenuated but still remained statistically significant. Both hyposmolarity (<280 vs. 290–300 mmol/L: OR, 95% CI: 1.76, 1.08–2.85, P = 0.023) and hyperosmolarity (≥330 mmol/L vs. 290–300 mmol/L: OR, 95% CI: 1.65, 1.08–2.52, P = 0.021) were independently associated with the increased risk of in-hospital mortality. OR values increased gradually as plasma osmolarity increased when plasma osmolarity was >290 mmol/L; when plasma osmolarity was below 300 mmol/L, OR values increased gradually as plasma osmolarity decreased. Figure 3 vividly presents the change of OR with the change of osmolarity groups in the unadjusted model, model 1, and model 2.
Table 3

The association between in-hospital mortality and osmolarity (mmol/L).

UnadjustedModel 1Model 2
OR(95% CIs)P-valueOR(95% CIs)P-valueOR(95% CIs)P-value
Osmolarity (<280)1.92 (1.27–2.90)0.0021.85 (1.22–2.80)0.0041.76 (1.08–2.85)0.023
Osmolarity (280–290)1.38 (1.03–1.85)0.0311.39 (1.04–1.87)0.0271.20 (0.85–1.69)0.289
Osmolarity (290–300)1.0 (reference)1.0 (reference)1.0 (reference)
Osmolarity (300–310)1.52 (1.24–1.87)<0.0011.45 (1.18–1.78)<0.0011.13(0.88–1.45)0.351
Osmolarity (310–320)2.98 (2.37–3.75)<0.0012.80 (2.22–3.53)<0.0011.46 (1.09–1.96)0.012
Osmolarity (320–330)4.49 (3.38–5.95)<0.0014.16 (3.13–5.53)<0.0011.46 (1.00–2.13)0.052
Osmolarity (≥330)5.92 (4.33–8.09)<0.0015.58 (4.07–7.65)<0.0011.65 (1.08–2.52)0.021

Models were derived from binary logistic regression analysis. Unadjusted model: unadjusted. Model 1: adjusted for age, gender, ethnicity. Model 2: adjusted for age, gender, ethnicity, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, mean blood pressure, heart rate, respiration rate, congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, acute coronary syndrome, STEMI, NSTEMI, cardiac arrest, ventricular arrhythmias, shock, hypertension, diabetes, respiratory failure, acute kidney injury, sepsis, stroke, malignancy, white blood cell, red blood cell, hemoglobin, creatinine, ACEI/ARB, beta-blockers, statin, and oral anticoagulants, APS, APACHE IV. OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.

Figure 3

Line graphs reflecting the trend of change in OR of in-hospital mortality in unadjusted model, model 1, and model 2. OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.

The association between in-hospital mortality and osmolarity (mmol/L). Models were derived from binary logistic regression analysis. Unadjusted model: unadjusted. Model 1: adjusted for age, gender, ethnicity. Model 2: adjusted for age, gender, ethnicity, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, mean blood pressure, heart rate, respiration rate, congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, acute coronary syndrome, STEMI, NSTEMI, cardiac arrest, ventricular arrhythmias, shock, hypertension, diabetes, respiratory failure, acute kidney injury, sepsis, stroke, malignancy, white blood cell, red blood cell, hemoglobin, creatinine, ACEI/ARB, beta-blockers, statin, and oral anticoagulants, APS, APACHE IV. OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval. Line graphs reflecting the trend of change in OR of in-hospital mortality in unadjusted model, model 1, and model 2. OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.

Discussion

This study identified the association between plasma osmolarity and in-hospital mortality in CICU patients. A “U”-shaped relationship between plasma osmolarity and in-hospital mortality was observed. With the group of 290–300 mmol/L serving as the reference group, both hyposmolarity and hyperosmolarity were associated with the increased risk of in-hospital mortality, even after adjusting for possible confounding variables. The lengths of CICU and hospital stays were prolonged in both hyposmolarity and hyperosmolarity groups. As a common clinical marker to evaluate the balance of fluid and electrolytes (4–7), plasma osmolarity can be easily calculated from the concentrations of serum sodium, potassium, glucose, and blood nitrogen urea (8). Plasma osmolarity is the most commonly used indicator of hydration (18), which can influence cell size and function (19). Therefore, changes in plasma osmolarity can reflect changes in cell function. A great number of studies have been done on plasma osmolarity, and there is sufficient evidence that plasma osmolarity is associated with the prognosis of many diseases, such as stroke (9), intracerebral hemorrhage (10), and acute pulmonary embolism (20). Moreover, recent studies have shown a correlation between plasma osmolarity and cardiovascular diseases. A single-center retrospective study with 1,927 patients after PCI showed that the rate of acute kidney injury and 1-year mortality increased significantly as plasma osmolarity increased (14). Another study, which enrolled 985 patients with acute coronary syndrome undergoing PCI, confirmed higher mortality in the higher osmolarity group (15). In patients with STEMI, higher rates of all-cause mortality, recurrent myocardial infarction, and revascularization were found in those with higher plasma osmolarity (21). Previous studies also showed that both low and high plasma osmolarity were related to more cardiovascular deaths, deterioration of cardiac function, and rehospitalization in patients with heart failure (12, 13). In this study exploring the relationship between plasma osmolarity and in-hospital mortality in CICU patients, we came to a similar conclusion that plasma osmolarity was closely associated with in-hospital mortality. Moreover, through Lowess smoothing, we found a “U”-relationship between in-hospital mortality and osmolarity, which provided a more graphic description of the overall trend. Plasma osmolarity is mainly determined by serum sodium, chloride, potassium, blood glucose, and blood nitrogen urea. Hypernatremia, hyperchloremia, hyperkalemia, hyperglycemia, and high urea contribute to high plasma osmolarity. Hypernatremia was shown to be associated with higher mortality and more cardiovascular diseases in older men (22). Another study confirmed that increased hypernatremia was associated with higher perioperative 30-day mortality (23). For patients with intracranial hemorrhage, hypernatremia was associated with more adverse cardiac events (24). Patel et al. found that hyperchloremia was independently associated with acute kidney injury in patients with STEMI undergoing PCI (25). Hyperkalemia can lead to malignant arrhythmia and increase mortality (26). Hyperglycemia is very common in clinical practice and it is related to higher mortality and more adverse cardiac events in patients with or without diabetes (27). A prospective study with 1,667 patients diagnosed with acute coronary syndrome showed that high blood nitrogen was associated with more adverse cardiac events and higher mortality (28). These studies can explain why high plasma osmolarity leads to high mortality, which can also explain the results of our study. The lengths of CICU and hospital stays were prolonged in both the hyposmolarity and the hyperosmolarity groups, indicating that patients with hyposmolarity or hyperosmolarity had a more complex condition and therefore required a longer treatment. The increased lengths of CICU and hospital stays imposed not only the financial but also mental burden on patients. In exceptional cases, some patients may abandon treatment because of financial problems. Therefore, more attention to plasma osmolarity of CICU patients is needed. Changes in plasma osmolarity can provide guidance for clinical practice. Usually, the clinicians tend to pay more attention to the outliers, but when all the variables are within the normal range but close to the upper limit of the normal value, plasma osmolarity will increase significantly. At this time, plasma osmolarity can better reflect the patient's condition and give the clinician a hit. The independent association between in-hospital mortality and plasma osmolarity was confirmed in this study. As a readily accessible and inexpensive prognostic marker, plasma osmolarity is clinically valuable for critically ill patients admitted to CICU, especially in some cases that more complex prognostic score can't be calculated, for example, the patient is unable to undergo complex examination or the patient is in a remote area without the means to do so, plasma osmolarity may alert the clinicians. We confirmed the association between plasma osmolarity and in-hospital mortality in CICU patients in this study, which is convenient for clinical use. The multicenter and large sample size makes the conclusion more reliable. However, some limitations in this study should be noted. First, bias was inevitable due to the retrospective nature of the study. Second, some important information, such as left ventricular ejection fraction and information about smoking and alcohol, could not be collected. In general, the variables included in the model determine the accuracy of the model; thus, the accuracy of the model was likely affected by the missing variables. Third, we were not able to dynamically observe plasma osmolarity. Fourth, although the optimal equation was used, the calculated plasma osmolarity cannot be the exactly the same as the real plasma osmolarity.

Conclusion

A “U”-shaped relationship between plasma osmolarity and in-hospital mortality was observed. The lowest in-hospital mortality was shown in the group with 290–300 mmol/L osmolarity; patients with hyposmolarity or hyperosmolarity had higher in-hospital mortality. With the group with 290–300 mmol/L osmolarity serving as the reference group, both hyposmolarity and hyperosmolarity were shown to be independently associated with the increased risk of in-hospital mortality.

Data Availability Statement

The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/Supplementary Materials, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author/s.

Ethics Statement

Ethical review and approval was not required for the study on human participants in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements. The ethics committee waived the requirement of written informed consent for participation.

Author Contributions

GZ and YZ contributed to study design, data analysis, and article writing. JW and YL contributed to data collection. All authors contributed to the article and approved the submitted version.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
  28 in total

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Authors:  Serdar Farhan; Birgit Vogel; Usman Baber; Samantha Sartori; Melissa Aquino; Jaya Chandrasekhar; Sabato Sorrentino; Gennaro Giustino; Madhav Sharma; Paul Guedeney; Miklos Rohla; Reyna Bhandari; Nitin Barman; Joseph Sweeny; George Dangas; Roxana Mehran; Annapoorna Kini; Samin Sharma
Journal:  Cardiorenal Med       Date:  2019-03-07       Impact factor: 2.041

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Authors:  Jeffrey D Dunn; Wade W Benton; Ernesto Orozco-Torrentera; Robert T Adamson
Journal:  Am J Manag Care       Date:  2015-11       Impact factor: 2.229

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Authors:  S E Capes; D Hunt; K Malmberg; H C Gerstein
Journal:  Lancet       Date:  2000-03-04       Impact factor: 79.321

7.  Serum Osmolality and Postdischarge Outcomes After Hospitalization for Heart Failure.

Authors:  Muthiah Vaduganathan; Catherine N Marti; Robert J Mentz; Stephen J Greene; Andrew P Ambrosy; Haris P Subacius; Gregg C Fonarow; Ovidiu Chioncel; Hasan Bazari; Aldo P Maggioni; Faiez Zannad; Marvin A Konstam; Naoki Sato; Mihai Gheorghiade; Javed Butler
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Journal:  Am J Med       Date:  2013-08-01       Impact factor: 4.965

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10.  Association between serum osmolarity and mortality in patients who are critically ill: a retrospective cohort study.

Authors:  Yanfei Shen; Xuping Cheng; Manzhen Ying; Hao-Tang Chang; Weimin Zhang
Journal:  BMJ Open       Date:  2017-05-09       Impact factor: 2.692

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