| Literature DB >> 34274939 |
Raphael Mwangi1, Stephen M Ansell2, Thomas M Habermann2, James R Cerhan1, Christopher Strouse3, Brian K Link3, Yucai Wang2, Rebecca L King4, William R Macon4, J C Villasboas2, Thomas E Witzig2, Matthew J Maurer1, Grzegorz S Nowakowski5.
Abstract
Immediate treatment for asymptomatic, low-tumor burden follicular lymphoma (FL) has not shown an overall survival benefit over "watch and wait" (W/W) strategy. We estimated incidence of treatment initiation at specific time points and assessed its association with the presence of any criteria such as GELF, BNLI, GITMO at diagnosis. FL patients managed by W/W strategy were identified from the Molecular Epidemiology Resource (MER) of the University of Iowa/Mayo Clinic Lymphoma SPORE between 2002 and 2015. Cumulative incidence estimates of treatment initiation were calculated using transformation (as the first event) and death as competing risks. 401 FL patients were identified on W/W strategy. At a median follow-up of 8 years, 256 (64%) initiated treatment. For patients on the W/W strategy for 5 years, the likelihood of treatment initiation in the next 5 years was 12% compared to 43% at diagnosis unlike transformation rates which remained steady. Patients with any of popular treatment criteria at diagnosis did not have increased therapy initiation rates (44% vs. 42%) during the first 5 years or lymphoma-related death rates at 10 years (6% vs. 7%). Identifying biological differences in patients with early vs. late or no progression is a critical next step in understanding outcomes in W/W patients.Entities:
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Year: 2021 PMID: 34274939 PMCID: PMC8286048 DOI: 10.1038/s41408-021-00525-0
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Blood Cancer J ISSN: 2044-5385 Impact factor: 11.037
Baseline characteristics of the follicular lymphoma patient cohort initiated on W/W strategy.
| Characteristics | Total ( |
|---|---|
| Median age | 61 (IQR 52.0–70.0) |
| Age >60 | 202 (50.4%) |
| Male | 202 (50.4%) |
| Ann arbor stage III/IV | 247 (62.4%) |
| ECOG performance status <2 | 386 (97.2%) |
| Absence of B symptoms | 388 (97%) |
| LDH ≤ ULN | 317 (88.8%) |
| FLIPI | |
Low (0–1) Intermediate (2) High (≥3) | 194 (48.4%) 139 (34.7%) 68 (16.9%) |
| Number of nodal groups >4 | 109 (27.6%) |
| Bone marrow involvement | 139 (35.5%) |
| Met treatment initiation criteria | 218 (54%) |
Fig. 1Estimates of treatment initiation from the time of diagnosis.
Cumulative incidence estimates of treatment initiation with transformation and death as competing risks.
Cumulative incidence estimates of treatment initiation, transformation to DLBCL before treatment, and death without therapy based on the duration of W/W strategy.
| Time from start of W/W | FL status | Likelihood (point estimates) in the next 1 year (95% CI) | Likelihood (point estimates) in the next 2 years (95% CI) | Likelihood (point estimates) in the next 5 years (95% CI) | Likelihood (point estimates) in the next 10 years (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diagnosis | Transformation prior to therapy | 0.01 (0.00, 0.03) | 0.03 (0.01, 0.05) | 0.06 (0.04, 0.09) | 0.09 (0.06, 0.13) |
| Initiation of therapy | 0.16 (0.13, 0.20) | 0.26 (0.22, 0.31) | 0.43 (0.38, 0.48) | 0.48 (0.43, 0.54) | |
| Death without therapy | 0.01 (0.00, 0.03) | 0.02 (0.01, 0.04) | 0.04 (0.03, 0.07) | 0.06 (0.04, 0.10) | |
| 2 years | Transformation | 0.02 (0.01, 0.04) | 0.04 (0.02, 0.07) | 0.06 (0.04, 0.10) | 0.09 (0.06, 0.14) |
| Therapy | 0.10 (0.07, 0.14) | 0.18 (0.14, 0.23) | 0.30 (0.25, 0.37) | 0.39 (0.32, 0.48) | |
| Death | 0.01 (0.00, 0.03) | 0.02 (0.01, 0.05) | 0.04 (0.02, 0.07) | 0.10 (0.06, 0.19) | |
| 4 years | Transformation | 0.02 (0.01, 0.05) | 0.03 (0.01, 0.07) | 0.05 (0.03, 0.11) | 0.09 (0.04, 0.19) |
| Therapy | 0.08 (0.05, 0.14) | 0.13 (0.09, 0.19) | 0.19 (0.14, 0.26) | 0.36 (0.26, 0.50) | |
| Death | 0.01 (0.00, 0.04) | 0.02 (0.01, 0.05) | 0.02 (0.02, 0.06) | 0.17 (0.09, 0.33) | |
| 5 years | Transformation | 0.01 (0.00, 0.05) | 0.02 (0.01, 0.06) | 0.06 (0.02, 0.13) | 0.08 (0.04, 0.20) |
| Therapy | 0.05 (0.03, 0.10) | 0.09 (0.05, 0.16) | 0.12 (0.07, 0.19) | 0.31 (0.20, 0.47) | |
| Death | 0.01 (0.00, 0.05) | 0.01 (0.00, 0.06) | 0.04 (0.02, 0.11) | 0.18 (0.09, 0.37) | |
| 6 years | Transformation | 0.01 (0.00, 0.06) | 0.02 (0.00, 0.07) | 0.05 (0.02, 0.12) | 0.08 (0.03, 0.21) |
| Therapy | 0.04 (0.02, 0.10) | 0.07 (0.04, 0.14) | 0.13 (0.07, 0.23) | 0.28 (0.17, 0.45) | |
| Death | 0.02 (0.00, 0.06) | 0.02 (0.00, 0.05) | 0.06 (0.02, 0.16) | 0.19 (0.09, 0.39) |
Derivation of treatment initiation criteria and components of GELF, BNLI, and GITMO criteria available in MER database.
| Any treatment initiation criteria (applied for the analysis) | GELF criteria | GITMO criteria | BNLI criteria |
|---|---|---|---|
| High tumor burden defined by —A tumor >10 cm (1.5%, | High tumor burden defined by —A tumor >7 cm,b or >2 nodes in 3 distinct areas each > 3 cma | Extra nodal diseasea | Rapid generalized disease progression in the last 3 months |
| Symptomatic splenic enlargement (4.5%, | Symptomatic splenic enlargementa | Spleen enlargementa | Life-threatening organ involvement |
| Presence of systemic symptoms (ECOG PS > 1) (2.8%, | Organ compression | Leukemia phasea | Renal or macroscopic liver infiltrationa (4.9%, |
| Serum LDH > ULN (10%, | Ascites or pleural effusion | Serous effusions | Bone lesionsa (2.0%, |
| Β2-microglobulin > ULN (21%, | Presence of systemic symptoms (ECOG PS > 1)a | Nodal or extranodal mass >7 cmb | Presence of systemic symptomsa |
| Extra nodal disease (27%, | Serum LDH > ULNa | >2 nodal masses, each >3 cma | Hemoglobin <10 g/dLa |
| Leukemia phase (4.7%, | Β2-microglobulin > ULNa | B symptomsa | WBC < 3.0 × 109 related to marrow infiltrationa |
| B symptoms (3.0%, | Presence of systemic symptoms (ECOG PS > 1)a | ||
| Cytopenia due to marrow infiltration; Hemoglobin < 10 g/dL; WBC < 3.0 × 109 related to marrow infiltration (1.0%, | Serum LDH or Β2-microglobulin > ULNa | ||
| ESR > ULN | |||
| Cytopenia due to marrow infiltrationa | |||
| Bone lesions (2.0%, |
PS performance status, LDH lactate dehydrogenase, ULN upper limit of normal, ESR erythrocyte sedimentation rate, WBC white blood cell count.
aCaptured in MER as described in the criteria
bCaptured in MER with different cut off value, nodal mass >10 cm instead of 7 cm.
Cumulative incidence estimates of treatment initiation, transformation to DLBCL before treatment, and death without therapy based on presence or absence of any treatment initiation criteria at diagnosis.
| Time from start of W/W | FL status | Likelihood (point estimates) in the next 1 year (95% CI) | Likelihood (point estimates) in the next 2 year (95% CI) | Likelihood (point estimates) in the next 5 year (95% CI) | Likelihood (point estimates) in the next 10 year (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total cohort | Transformation | 0.01 (0.00, 0.03) | 0.03 (0.01, 0.05) | 0.06 (0.04, 0.09) | 0.09 (0.06, 0.13) |
| Therapy | 0.16 (0.13, 0.20) | 0.26 (0.22, 0.31) | 0.43 (0.38, 0.48) | 0.48 (0.43, 0.54) | |
| Death | 0.01 (0.00, 0.03) | 0.02 (0.01, 0.04) | 0.04 (0.03, 0.07) | 0.06 (0.04, 0.10) | |
| Any treatment initiation criteria: positive | Transformation | 0.01 (0.00, 0.04) | 0.02 (0.01, 0.06) | 0.06 (0.04, 0.11) | 0.12 (0.07, 0.19) |
| Therapy | 0.15 (0.11, 0.21) | 0.27 (0.22, 0.34) | 0.44 (0.37, 0.51) | 0.48 (0.42, 0.56) | |
| Death | 0.01 (0.00, 0.04) | 0.02 (0.01, 0.05) | 0.03 (0.02, 0.07) | 0.06 (0.03, 0.12) | |
| Any treatment initiation criteria: negative | Transformation | 0.01 (0.00, 0.04) | 0.03 (0.01, 0.07) | 0.06 (0.03, 0.11) | 0.06 (0.03, 0.11) |
| Therapy | 0.15 (0.11, 0.21) | 0.24 (0.18, 0.31) | 0.42 (0.35, 0.50) | 0.49 (0.42, 0.57) | |
| Death | 0.01 (0.00, 0.04) | 0.03 (0.01, 0.07) | 0.05 (0.03, 0.10) | 0.06 (0.03, 0.12) |
Fig. 2Estimates of treatment initiation, transformation and death based on treatment initiation criteria.
Cumulative incidence estimates of treatment initiation, transformation and death based on presence or absence of any treatment initiation criteria.
Fig. 3Cause of death estimates.
Cumulative incidence estimates of cause of death based on presence of any treatment initiation criteria.