| Literature DB >> 34273092 |
Fergal Howley1,2, Amanda Lavan1,2,3, Eimear Connolly1,3, Geraldine McMahon2,3, Mustafa Mehmood2,3, Robert Briggs4,5,6.
Abstract
PURPOSE: Reports suggest that many older people deferred seeking healthcare during the COVID-19 pandemic due to fear of contracting COVID-19. The aim of this study was to examine trends of emergency department (ED) use by older people during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic compared to previous years.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Delirium; Emergency Department; Falls
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34273092 PMCID: PMC8285692 DOI: 10.1007/s41999-021-00536-x
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Eur Geriatr Med ISSN: 1878-7649 Impact factor: 1.710
Baseline characteristics of study sample by year of presentation
| March–Aug 2020 | March–Aug 2018/2019 | |
|---|---|---|
| Number of presentations (n) | 4,146 | 4,922 (average) |
Age (years), mean (95% CI) Age breakdown 70–79 years 80–89 years ≥ 90 years | 79.8 (79.6 – 80.0) 0.56 (0.54 – 0.57) 0.37 (0.36 – 0.39) 0.07 (0.06 – 0.08) | 80.1 (80.0 – 80.2) 0.55 (0.54 – 0.56) 0.37 (0.36 – 0.38) 0.08 (0.08 – 0.09) |
| Female sex (prop. with 95% CI) | 0.54 (0.52 – 0.55) | 0.54 (0.53 – 0.55) |
MTS, mean (95% CI) MTS categories (prop. with 95% CI) Cat 1 Cat 2 Cat 3 Cat 4 Cat 5 | 2.75 (2.73 – 2.77) 0.02 (0.01 – 0.02) 0.34 (0.33 – 0.36) 0.52 (0.51 – 0.54) 0.11 (0.10 – 0.12) 0.00 (0.00 – 0.01) | 2.70 (2.69 – 2.72) 0.02 (0.02 – 0.02) 0.39 (0.38 – 0.40) 0.47 (0.46 – 0.48) 0.12 (0.11 – 0.12) 0.01 (0.01 – 0.01) |
| Admitted to hospital (prop. with 95% CI) | 0.57 (0.56 – 0.59) | 0.55 (0.54 – 0.56) |
n = number; CI = confidence interval; Prop. = proportion; MTS = Manchester Triage Score; Cat = Category
Fig. 1Number of presentations of patients aged ≥ 70 years to the emergency department during Wave 1 of the COVID-19 pandemic compared to 2018/2019. Data presented are absolute numbers of patients aged ≥ 70 years presenting to the emergency department during Wave 1 of the COVID-19 pandemic from March to August 2020, compared to the average number of presentations across the same months in 2018 and 2019
Trends in presentation of older people to the emergency department during the COVID-19 pandemic by presentation type
| Total | Resp. | Cardiac | Stroke | Delirium | Falls | Ortho | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
March–August 2020 ( Average 2019/2018 ( % Change in 2020 Rel. prop. 2020 Rel. prop. 2019/2018 | 4,146 4,922 − 16% – – | 701 769 − 8% 16.9 (15.8–18.1) 15.6 (14.9–16.3) | 391 491 − 20% 9.4 (8.6–10.4) 10.0 (9.4–10.6) | 116 148 − 22% 2.8 (2.3–3.3) 3.0 (2.7–3.4) | 140 164 − 14% 3.4 (2.9–4.0) 3.3 (3.0–3.7) | 744 651 + 14% 17.9 (16.8–19.1) 13.2 (12.6–13.9) | 281 335 − 16% 6.5 (5.8–7.3) 6.8 (6.3–7.3) |
March 2020 ( Average 2019/2018 ( % Change Rel. prop. 2020 Rel. prop. 2019/2018 | 531 797 − 33% – – | 104 180 − 42% 19.6 (16.4–23.2) 18.2 (16.4–20.2) | 51 79 − 35% 9.6 (7.4 – 12.4) 9.9 (8.5–11.5) | 18 22 − 14% 3.4 (2.1–5.3) 2.8 (2.1–3.7) | 15 31 − 52% 2.8 (1.7–4.6) 3.8 (3.0–4.9) | 116 98 + 18% 21.8 (18.5–25.6) 12.2 (10.7–13.9) | 36 71 − 50% 6.8 (4.9–9.3) 8.9 (7.6–10.4) |
April 2020 ( Average 2019/2018 ( % Change Rel. prop. 2020 Rel. prop. 2019/2018 | 609 877 − 31% – – | 140 151 − 7% 23.0 (19.8–26.5) 17.2 (15.5–19.0) | 57 103 − 45% 9.4 (7.3–12.0) 11.7 (10.3–13.3) | 17 28 − 39% 2.8 (1.7–4.4) 3.2 (2.5–4.1) | 19 33 − 42% 3.1 (2.0–4.8) 3.7 (2.9–4.7) | 94 101 − 7% 15.4 (12.8–18.5) 11.5 (10.1–13.1) | 48 56 − 14% 7.9 (6.0–10.3) 6.4 (5.3–7.6) |
May 2020 ( Average 2019/2018 ( % Change Rel. prop. 2020 Rel. prop. 2019/2018 | 706 829 − 15% – – | 125 127 − 2% 17.7 (15.1–20.7) 15.3 (13.7–17.1) | 78 91 − 14% 11.0 (8.9–13.6) 11.0 (9.6–12.6) | 20 32 − 38% 2.8 (1.8–4.4) 3.9 (3.0–4.9) | 18 38 − 53% 2.5 (1.6–4.0) 4.5 (3.6–5.6) | 126 128 − 2% 17.8 (15.2–20.9) 15.4 (13.8–17.3) | 44 76 − 42% 6.2 (4.7–8.3) 4.6 (3.7–5.7) |
June 2020 ( Average 2019/2018 ( % Change Rel. prop. 2020 Rel. prop. 2019/2018 | 775 757 + 2% – – | 110 101 + 9% 14.2 (11.9–16.8) 13.3 (11.7–15.1) | 82 60 + 37% 10.6 (8.6–13.0) 7.9 (6.6–9.3) | 22 19 + 15% 2.8 (1.9–4.3) 2.5 (1.8–3.4) | 22 20 + 10% 2.8 (1.9–4.3) 2.6 (1.9–3.5) | 125 112 + 12% 16.1 (13.7–18.9) 14.8 (13.1–16.7) | 55 52 + 6% 7.1 (5.5–9.1) 6.9 (5.7–8.3) |
July 2020 ( Average 2019/2018 ( % Change Rel. prop. 2020 Rel. prop. 2019/2018 | 785 785 0% – – | 103 123 − 16% 13.1 (10.9–15.7) 15.6 (13.9–17.5) | 71 79 − 10% 9.0 (7.2–11.3) 10.0 (8.6–11.6) | 22 22 0% 2.8 (1.9–4.2) 2.7 (2.0–3.7) | 35 23 + 52% 4.5 (3.2–6.2) 2.9 (2.1–3.8) | 152 113 + 35% 19.4 (16.7–22.3) 14.4 (12.8–16.2) | 50 29 + 72% 6.4 (4.9–8.3) 3.6 (2.8–4.7) |
Aug 2020 ( Average 2019/2018 ( % Change Rel. prop. 2020 Rel. prop. 2019/2018 | 740 878 − 16% – – | 119 123 − 3% 16.1 (13.6–18.9) 14.0 (12.5–15.7) | 52 80 − 35% 7.0 (5.4–9.1) 9.1 (7.8–10.5) | 17 26 − 35% 2.3 (1.4–3.7) 2.9 (2.2–3.8) | 31 21 + 48% 4.2 (3.0–5.9) 2.4 (1.8–3.2) | 131 100 + 31% 17.7 (15.1–20.6) 11.3 (9.9–12.9) | 52 48 + 8% 6.5 (4.9–8.5) 5.9 (4.9–7.1) |
Data presented are absolute numbers of patients aged ≥ 70 years presenting to the emergency department by presenting complaint and month during Wave 1 of the COVID-19 pandemic, compared to average numbers in 2018/2019, as well as relative proportions of cases (with 95% confidence interval) related to each presenting complaint
n = number; % = percentage; rel. prop. = relative proportion of cases
Fig. 2Number of presentations of patients aged ≥ 70 years to the emergency department by presenting complaint during Wave 1 of the COVID-19 pandemic compared to 2018/2019. Data presented are absolute numbers of patients aged ≥ 70 years presenting to the emergency department during Wave 1 of the COVID-19 pandemic from March to August 2020, compared to the average number of presentations across the same months in 2018 and 2019
Logistic regression model with admission to hospital as dependent variable
| Odds ratio (95% CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
Age range: (Ref: 70–79 years) Age 80–89 years Age ≥ 90 years | 1.34 (1.24–1.46) 1.69 (1.45–1.96) | 7.08 6.78 | < 0.001 < 0.001 |
| Male sex | 1.09 (1.01–1.17) | 2.10 | 0.036 |
Manchester Triage Score: (Ref: 3) MTS 1 MTS 2 MTS 4 MTS 5 | 3.54 (2.57–4.88) 4.21 (3.85–4.61) 0.21 (0.18–0.25) 0.14 (0.07–0.31) | 7.74 31.18 − 19.58 − 4.89 | < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 |
Presenting complaint; (Ref: other PC) Respiratory Cardiac Falls Stroke Delirium Ortho injury | 2.56 (2.28–2.89) 1.00 (0.87–1.15) 1.10 (0.87–1.15) 4.72 (3.36–6.62) 5.75 (4.28–7.73) 0.80 (0.68–0.94) | 15.59 0.04 1.72 8.97 11.57 − 2.69 | < 0.001 0.969 0.086 < 0.001 < 0.001 0.007 |
| Presenting during COVID-19 Wave 1 (Ref: presenting at same period in 2018/2019) | 1.18 (1.09–1.28) | 3.87 | < 0.001 |
Logistic regression model reporting odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals; dependent variable = admission to hospital
ref reference value, MTS Manchester Triage Score, PC presenting complaint, Ortho orthopaedic