| Literature DB >> 34266510 |
Naaheed Mukadam1, Andrew Sommerlad1, Jessica Wright2, Abigail Smith2, Aleksandra Szczap2, Solomis Solomou2, Rohan Bhome2, Roshan Thayalan2, Esha Abrol2, Golnar Aref-Adib1, Lucy Maconick1, Dominic Aubrey-Jones2, Senem Tugrul2, Melanie Knowles2, Helen Menys2, Shivanthi Sathanandan2, Sarah Moslehi2, Jonathan Huntley1, Kathy Liu1, Juan Carlos Bazo-Alvarez3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: A number of community based surveys have identified an increase in psychological symptoms and distress but there has been no examination of symptoms at the more severe end of the mental health spectrum. AIMS: We aimed to analyse numbers and types of psychiatric presentations to inform planning for future demand on mental health services in light of the COVID-19 pandemic.Entities:
Keywords: Suicide; community mental health teams; depressive disorders; self-harm
Year: 2021 PMID: 34266510 PMCID: PMC8314272 DOI: 10.1192/bjo.2021.970
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BJPsych Open ISSN: 2056-4724
Fig. 1Psychiatric presentations per month, from January 2019 to December 2020.
Fig. 2Accident and emergency department (A&E) presentations per month, from January 2019 to December 2020.
Change in the number of presentations before and after lockdown, estimated by interrupted time-series models
| Relative change | Psychiatric presentations (change on a weekly basis) | A&E department presentations (change on a monthly basis) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unadjusted | Adjusted | Unadjusted | Adjusted | |||||||||
| Relative change | 95% CI | Relative change | 95% CI | Relative change | 95% CI | Relative change | 95% CI | |||||
| Immediate change in number of presentations at lockdown | 0.8077 | (0.7156–0.9116) | 0.001 | 0.7844 | (0.6746–0.9121) | 0.002 | 0.4863 | (0.3953–0.5980) | <0.001 | 0.5213 | (0.4049–0.6712) | <0.001 |
| Change in number of presentations after lockdown | 1.0060 | (1.0019–1.0102) | 0.004 | 1.0057 | (1.0004–1.0110) | 0.033 | 1.0538 | (1.0215–1.0870) | 0.001 | 1.0415 | (1.0025–1.0820) | 0.037 |
| Change in number of presentations before lockdown | 0.9986 | (0.9967–1.0005) | 0.157 | 0.9984 | (0.9964–1.0004) | 0.123 | 1.0044 | (0.9928–1.0160) | 0.461 | 1.0025 | (0.9904–1.0147) | 0.686 |
The total number of time points for the interrupted time-series of psychiatric representations is 104 weeks. The total number of time points for the interrupted time-series of A&E department presentations is 24 months. A&E, accident and emergency.
Relative change refers to the number of presentations in a given week/month divided by the number of presentations in the previous week/month. For example, a relative change of 0.78 represents that the number of presentations in the week when the lockdown started was, on average, 78% of the number of presentations in the previous week. In other words, there were an average reduction of 22% in the number of psychiatric presentations that occurred in the immediate week after lockdown.
Adjusted for overdispersion only.
Adjusted for overdispersion, autocorrelation and seasonality.
Fig. 3Interrupted time-series analysis showing weekly number of psychiatric presentations between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2020, and abrupt and long-term change in weekly presentations (solid line) after 23 March 2020 (‘lockdown’; dashed line).
Fig. 4Interrupted time-series analysis showing monthly number of accident and emergency department presentations between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2020, and abrupt and long-term change in monthly presentations (solid line) after 23 March 2020 (‘lockdown’; dashed line).
Demographics of people presenting to acute mental health services before and after lockdown (from January to April 2020)
| Characteristic | Before lockdown ( | After lockdown ( | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age, years | 41.1 (17.0) | 43.8 (18.0) | ||
| d.f. = 2532 | ||||
| Gender | ||||
| Female | 52.8% | 47.8% | ||
| Male | 47.2% | 52.2% | ||
| Ethnicity | ||||
| White British | 44.1% | 49.2% | ||
| White Other | 21.2% | 19.1% | ||
| Black/Black British | 13.4% | 14.9% | ||
| South Asian | 6.9% | 5.6% | ||
| East Asian | 2.7% | 1.7% | ||
| Local/out of area | ||||
| Local | 45.3% | 54.7% | ||
| Out of area | 54.8% | 45.2% |
Numbers are mean (s.d.) for numerical variables and percentages for categorical variables.
Characteristics of psychiatric presentations before and after lockdown
| Characteristic | Before lockdown ( | After lockdown ( | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Known to mental health services previously | ||||
| Yes | 66.5% | 65.8% | ||
| No | 30.9% | 33.2% | ||
| Unclear | 2.7% | 1.1% | ||
| Primary pre-existing mental health diagnosis | ||||
| None | 22.8% | 23.4% | ||
| Personality disorder | 21.1% | 24.9% | ||
| Affective disorder | 18.1% | 7.7% | ||
| Psychotic disorder | 17.2% | 24.2% | ||
| Substance misuse | 9.0% | 7.9% | ||
| BPAD | 5.0% | 5.7% | ||
| Anxiety disorder | 3.6% | 1.7% | ||
| Dementia | 1.8% | 2.0% | ||
| Intellectual disability | 1.6% | 2.6% | ||
| Legal status | ||||
| Informal | 82.9% | 75.6% | ||
| MHA | 16.1% | 22.2% | ||
| DOLS | 1.1% | 2.2% | ||
| Presenting complaint | ||||
| Suicide/self-harm | 52.0% | 43.8% | ||
| Psychotic symptoms | 17.0% | 23.3% | ||
| Depressive symptoms | 6.7% | 6.0% | ||
| Violence to others | 4.0% | 5.0% | ||
| Anxiety | 4.3% | 4.0% | ||
| Intoxication | 3.3% | 3.3% | ||
| Delirium | 3.6% | 7.0% | ||
| Other | 9.1% | 7.7% | ||
| Duration of presenting symptoms before help-seeking | ||||
| <1 day | 51.2% | 42.1% | ||
| 1–3 days | 14.0% | 19.6% | ||
| 4–7 days | 5.6% | 7.4% | ||
| >1 week | 29.1% | 30.9% | ||
| Duration of referral episode (days) | 1.9 (0.1) | 2.2 (0.2) | ||
| d.f. = 2532 | ||||
| Outcome of assessment | ||||
| Discharge (no follow-up) | 28.8% | 28.0% | ||
| In-patient admission | 18.3% | 22.2% | ||
| CMHT | 13.2% | 14.1% | ||
| HTT | 17.4% | 15.0% | ||
| MHLT follow-up | 9.0% | 15.0% | ||
| Memory service | 0.6% | 0.6% | ||
| Other service | 12.7% | 5.1% |
Numbers are mean (s.d.) for numerical variables and percentages for categorical variables. BPAD, bipolar affective disorder; MHA, Mental Health Act; DOLS, Deprivation of Liberty Safeguards: CMHT, community mental health team; HTT, home treatment team; MHLT, mental health liaison team.
Thoughts or actions.