Literature DB >> 34263069

Remoteness of residence predicts tumor stage, receipt of treatment, and mortality in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Belaynew W Taye1,2,3, Paul J Clark1,3,4,5, Gunter Hartel2, Elizabeth E Powell5, Patricia C Valery1,2.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Surveillance and early detection and curative treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are the mainstay of improving survival for patients, but there are several barriers to achieving this goal. We reported the impact of remoteness of residence on receipt of treatment, tumor stage, and survival in patients with HCC in Queensland.
METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 1651 HCC patients (147 migrants) from 1 January 2007 to 31 December 2016. We used Wilcoxon rank-sum test to compare the median age at the time of diagnosis and Bayesian Weibull accelerated failure time regression to identify independent predictors of time to death.
RESULTS: The median survival time after HCC diagnosis was 9.0 months (interquartile range 2.0-24.0). Metropolitan residence (P = 0.02), non-English language (P < 0.001), foreign country of origin (P < 0.001), and HBV etiology (P < 0.001) were significantly associated with receiving surgical resection for HCC treatment. The strongest predictors of time to death were undifferentiated tumor at presentation (time ratio [TR] = 0.30, 95% credible interval (CrI) 0.23-0.39), age ≥70 years (TR = 0.42, 95% CrI 0.34-0.53), living in remote areas (TR = 0.67, 95% CrI 0.55-0.80), and presence of ≥1 comorbidity (TR = 0.69 95% CrI 0.54-0.90). All the other covariates adjusted, including country of birth (TR = 0.76, 95% CrI 0.49-1.06), did not predict survival time.
CONCLUSIONS: Patients living in rural and remote areas had late stage clinical presentation and poor survival. Remoteness of residence may limit access to HCC surveillance in at-risk patients such as those with cirrhosis, and timely curative treatment to improve survival in these patients.
© 2021 The Authors. JGH Open published by Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Foundation and John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd.

Entities:  

Keywords:  age at diagnosis; hepatocellular carcinoma; migration; mortality; remoteness of residence

Year:  2021        PMID: 34263069      PMCID: PMC8264246          DOI: 10.1002/jgh3.12580

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  JGH Open        ISSN: 2397-9070


Introduction

Globally, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) ranks as the fifth most prevalent cancer and the second most common cause of cancer‐related mortality. , Asia and Africa had the highest incidence rates for HCC. HCC occurs at a younger age in low‐ and middle‐income countries such as sub‐Saharan Africa, where hepatitis B (HBV) infection is more prevalent, and later in life in high‐income countries. In Australia, the incidence of HCC has risen substantially in the past three decades, making HCC the cancer with the fastest growing incidence. Importantly, more than half of the cases are in overseas born individuals, and a large part of increasing HCC incidence in Australia was attributed to migration from the Asia‐Pacific region where HBV prevalence is high. , Upon immigration, migrants from high HBV burden countries carry that risk to new country and have a higher rate of HCC compared with other Australians (Taye B et al., unpublished data). Data are discrepant in terms of the impact that country of birth and environmental variables acquired in the country of birth add to outcomes and age at the time of diagnosis. , Significant improvement in HCC survival can be achieved by increasing the rate of surveillance of patients at high risk for HCC, early detection, and high rate of uptake of curative therapy. Access to early detection and timely treatment may be limited by several factors including patients' socioeconomic conditions and remoteness of their residence. Many patients, including migrants, live in regional parts of Australia. Patients living in regional or remote areas may have lower rates of screening surveillance and treatment uptake for HCC, and may present with advanced stage of HCC. , In a retrospective cohort study of HCC patients in Southeast Queensland, we investigated the impact of migration, area of residence, preferred language, and tumor stage on receiving treatment and survival time in migrants born in Africa, Middle East, or Asian regions.

Methods

Study design and cohort

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adults with a primary diagnosis of HCC from 1 January 2007 to 31 December 2016. Entry into the cohort was on the date of diagnosis of HCC and patients were followed until the date of death or 31 December 2016—the date of censoring.

Data sources

Data for 1651 HCC patients (147 migrants born in Africa, Middle East, or Asian regions) from the Queensland Cancer Registry, Queensland Hospitals Admitted Patient Data Collection (QHAPDC), and Queensland Death Registry were linked using deterministic data linkage by patient identifier and analyzed. We compared patients from Africa, Middle East, or Asian regions as one group (referred to here as migrants) to other Australians including those born in Europe and America (referred to here collectively as other Australians). This is because of the epidemiological similarities in viral hepatitis epidemiology between the Australian‐born individuals and migrants from Western countries, where presumed cultural and linguistic barriers to engagement in healthcare may not be as limiting. Analysis for significant differences between European and American migrants compared with Australian‐born migrants showed no significant differences, and justified the incorporation of these two groups from an epidemiological perspective (Table S1). The data acquisition and participant selection processes are described in Figure 1.
Figure 1

Study participant selection flowchart. Three data sources—Queensland cancer registry (QCR), Queensland hospitals admitted patient data collection, and Queensland death registry were used to obtain 2233 liver cancer patients and 1615 hepatocellular carcinoma cases were analyzed.

Study participant selection flowchart. Three data sources—Queensland cancer registry (QCR), Queensland hospitals admitted patient data collection, and Queensland death registry were used to obtain 2233 liver cancer patients and 1615 hepatocellular carcinoma cases were analyzed.

Measurements and variables

We calculated Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) using validated coding algorithms. Briefly, diseases were classified according to International Classification of Diseases 10th version and given weights following the methods by Charlson et al. We excluded mild or severe liver disease in the CCI calculation because it is difficult to differentiate an isolated liver disease from HCC. HCC differentiation and recurrence were defined according to the standards. , , Remoteness of residence was categorized using the Australian Standard Geographical Classification of areas based on Accessibility, Remoteness, Index of Australia indicators and the relative socioeconomic advantage and disadvantage for participants was classified based on the socioeconomic index for areas classification system (SEIFA). The primary outcome of interest was time‐to‐death in months. For patients who died on the same day as their date of diagnosis, we replaced the days between diagnosis and death by 0.5. Some variables had multiple responses and the numbers did not add up to 100%. This was indicated in the respective tables. In some cases, the totals were less than the overall total due to missing values in measurement of clinical variables—we highlighted the actual numbers in front of the variable.

Statistical analyses

We used Stata 15.1 software (Stata Corp, 4905 Lakeway Drive, College Station, TX, USA). Two‐sample Wilcoxon rank‐sum test was used to compare the age at the time of diagnosis of HCC between migrants and other Australian patients. We calculated attributable fraction to estimate the contribution of HBV, hepatitis C virus (HCV), and alcohol misuse on an indication for listing for liver transplantation and surgical resection. We calculated attributable risk (AR) as the difference between those with the risk factor (I ) and those without (I ) as AR = I  – I and population attributable risk (PAR) as AR × P or PAR = P (RR − 1)/[1 + P (RR − 1)]; where P is the prevalence of the risk factors in the population. We used Weibull survival curve to compare the cumulative probability of survival in HCC patients based on country of origin and HCC treatment status. We fitted Bayesian–Weibull accelerated failure time model to identify independent predictors of time to death for patients with HCC because the hazard rates of mortality from HCC increase monotonously over time, and we measured the multiplicative effect of the covariates on the timescale. , We reported the effect sizes in time ratios—a clinically meaningful estimate that describes the magnitude of increase or decrease in survival time among patients with the covariate of interest compared with those without. , Time ratio tells the relative survival time in an exposed group compared with nonexposed group, and can be used to directly compare the impact of intervention in terms of increasing the time survived. Default normal priors with mean of zero and standard deviation 100 were used. Using the Bayesian inference of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, we used 10 000 MCMC samples and a burn‐in state at 2500. The model diagnosis was made using a trace diagram. Time ratios (TR) and 95% credible intervals (CrI) were reported. Human Research Ethics Committee of QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute (P2209) and Queensland Health (HREC/17/QPAH/23; HREC/2018/QMS/43571) approved the conduct of this study.

Results

Cohort characteristics

We retrospectively followed 1651 HCC patients (147 were migrants born in Africa, Middle East, or Asian regions) from 1 January 2007, to 31 December 2016, with a total person‐months of observation of 28 018. Most migrants (84.9%) lived in major cities compared with just above half of other Australian (55.5%) patients (P < 0.001). A higher proportion of migrants than other Australian patients were in the most affluent SEIFA category (P < 0.001) (Table 1).
Table 1

Characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma patients by country of birth, 2007–2016

CharacteristicMigrants, n = 147 (%)Australian/EU/AM‐born, n = 1504 (%)Total, n = 1651 (%) P value
Sex
Female28 (19.2)292 (19.7)320 (19.6)0.88
Male118 (80.8)1192 (80.3)1310 (80.4)
Marital status
Married/defacto114 (80.3)837 (58.5)951 (60.5)<0.001
Not married28 (19.7)593 (41.5)621 (39.5)
Remoteness of residence
Major city124 (84.9)823 (55.5)947 (58.1)
Outside major city22 (15.1)661 (44.5)683 (41.9)<0.001
SEIFA
Q1 (most affluent)32 (21.9)141 (9.5)173 (10.6)<0.001
Q241 (28.1)222 (15.0)263 (16.1)
Q318 (12.3)259 (17.5)277 (17.0)
Q415 (10.3)344 (23.2)359 (22.0)
Q5 (most disadvantaged)40 (27.4)517 (34.9)557 (34.2)
Preferred language
English36 (24.7)971 (65.4)1007 (61.8)<0.001
Other languages63 (43.2)41 (2.8)104 (6.4)
Not stated47 (32.2)472 (31.8)519 (31.8)

Numbers may not add up to column total due to missing values.

AM, America; EU, Europe; SEIFA; socioeconomic index for areas.

Characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma patients by country of birth, 2007–2016 Numbers may not add up to column total due to missing values. AM, America; EU, Europe; SEIFA; socioeconomic index for areas.

Etiology and clinical presentation

Table 2 presents the epidemiology of underlying etiologies of HCC. Chronic HBV (54.8%) was the leading underlying etiology for HCC in migrants while alcohol misuse (43.7%) was the most prevalent etiology in other Australians. Hepatitis C infection was the second most prevalent underlying etiology for HCC in both migrants (34.2%) and other Australian (34.8%) patients.
Table 2

Clinical presentation and treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma in migrants and Australian‐born patients, 2007–2016

Migrants, n = 147 (%)Australian/EU/AM‐born, n = 1504 (%)Total, n = 1651 (%) P value
Etiology
Chronic hepatitis B80 (54.8)130 (8.8)210 (12.9)<0.001
Chronic hepatitis C50 (34.2)517 (34.8)567 (34.8)0.89
Alcohol misuse12 (8.2)648 (43.7)660 (40.5)<0.001
Non‐alcoholic fatty liver disease6 (4.1)82 (5.5)88 (5.4)0.47
Non‐alcoholic steatohepatitis6 (4.1)86 (5.8)92 (5.6)0.40
Drug use2 (1.4)78 (5.3)80 (4.9)0.038
Obesity1 (0.7)97 (6.5)98 (6.0)0.005
Other causes6 (4.1)82 (5.6)88 (5.5)<0.49
Age at diagnosis of HCC
Median (IQR) 66.7 (54.9–74.5)65.5 (57.3–75.2)65.6 (57.0–75.0)0.36
HCC differentiation
Well differentiated2 (1.4)76 (5.1)78 (4.7)<0.001
Moderately differentiated30 (20.4)163 (10.8)193 (11.7)
Poorly differentiated14 (9.5)69 (4.6)83 (5.0)
Undifferentiated0 (0.0)8 (0.5)8 (0.5)
Not stated/unknown101 (68.7)1188 (79.0)1289 (78.1)
HCC recurrence§ 34 (23.1)328 (21.8)362 (21.9)0.71
Cancer metastasis§ 142 (97.3)1426 (96.1)1568 (96.2)0.48
Treatment for liver disease§
Band11 (7.5)177 (11.9)188 (11.5)0.11
Tap36 (24.7)470 (31.7)506 (31.0)0.081
TIPS0 (0.0)4 (0.3)4 (0.2)0.53
Treatment for HCC§
RFA15 (10.3)102 (6.9)117 (7.2)0.13
Surgical resection41 (28.1)143 (9.6)184 (11.3)<0.001
TACE41 (28.1)426 (28.7)467 (28.7)0.87
Liver transplant5 (3.4)31 (2.1)36 (2.2)0.37

Multiple responses. Percentage totals may be above 100% due to overlap between etiologies.

Wilcoxon rank‐sum test (z = −1.17, P = 0.36).

Numbers represent patients who had outcome of interest.

AM, America; EU, Europe; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; IQR, interquartile range; RFA, radiofrequency ablation; TACE, transarterial chemoembolization; TIPS, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt.

Clinical presentation and treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma in migrants and Australian‐born patients, 2007–2016 Multiple responses. Percentage totals may be above 100% due to overlap between etiologies. Wilcoxon rank‐sum test (z = −1.17, P = 0.36). Numbers represent patients who had outcome of interest. AM, America; EU, Europe; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; IQR, interquartile range; RFA, radiofrequency ablation; TACE, transarterial chemoembolization; TIPS, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt. The median age at the time of diagnosis of HCC in migrants (66.7 years, interquartile range [IQR] 54.9–74.5) and Australian‐born patients (65.5, IQR 57.3–75.2) was similar (P = 0.36). A higher proportion of migrants presented with more differentiated HCC than other Australians (well‐differentiated and moderately differentiated HCC, 21.8 vs 15.9%). The most prevalent HCC treatments received by migrants and other Australians were liver resection and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), respectively (Table 2). Epidemiologic description of liver disease complications and comorbidities for HCC patients is presented in detail in Table S2.

Attributable fractions of etiologies for listing for liver transplantation

Chronic HCV (77.8%) was the leading underlying etiology for an indication for liver transplantation; then, alcohol‐related liver disease (24.5%) followed by chronic HBV (22.8%) were the leading underlying etiologies for liver resection. The liver transplantation attributed to chronic HCV was 850 liver transplants per 1000 chronic HCV positive HCC patients (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.67–0.93). Liver resection attributable to alcoholic liver disease was 520 resections per 1000 HCC patients with alcoholic liver disease (95% CI 0.34–0.65) (Table 3).
Table 3

Attributable risk and population attributable risk of underlying causes for an indication for liver transplant and resection for hepatocellular carcinoma, 2007–2016

Received liver transplantLiver resection
n = 36 (%) P valueARPAR n = (%) P valueARPAR
Chronic hepatitis C28 (77.8)<0.0010.85 (0.67–0.93)0.6660 (32.6)0.510.09 (−0.21–0.32)0.03
Alcoholic liver disease18 (50.0)0.240.32 (−0.30–0.64)0.1645 (24.5)<0.0010.52 (0.34–0.65)0.21
NAFLD4 (11.1)0.130.54 (−0.26–0.83)0.0618 (9.8)0.0050.47 (0.19–0.66)0.05
Chronic hepatitis B7 (19.4)0.230.39 (−0.39–0.73)0.0842 (22.8)<0.0010.50 (0.32–0.63)0.11
NASH5 (13.9)0.030.63 (0.07–0.85)0.0912 (6.5)0.580.14 (−0.48–0.50)0.01

AR, attributable risk; NAFLD, non‐alcoholic fatty liver disease; NASH, non‐alcoholic steatohepatitis; PAR, population attributable risk.

Attributable risk and population attributable risk of underlying causes for an indication for liver transplant and resection for hepatocellular carcinoma, 2007–2016 AR, attributable risk; NAFLD, non‐alcoholic fatty liver disease; NASH, non‐alcoholic steatohepatitis; PAR, population attributable risk.

Factors associated with receiving curative treatment

Patients living in rural and remote areas were significantly less likely to receive surgical resection for the treatment of HCC compared with patients living in metropolitan areas (9 vs 13%, P = 0.021). A higher proportion of patients with HBV positive test result received surgical resection (20 vs 10%, P < 0.001), while a proportionally more patients diagnosed with HCV received radiofrequency ablation (RFA) treatment compared with those tested negative (11 vs 5%) (Table 4).
Table 4

Factors associated with receiving surgical section and radiofrequency ablation for treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma

Surgical resectionRadiofrequency Ablation
No resection, n = 1417 (%)Had surgical resection, n = 177 (%) P valueNo RFA, n = 1481 (%)Had RFA, n = 113 (%) P value
Rurality of residence
Major city808 (87.4)117 (12.6)0.021850 (91.9)75 (8.1)0.062
Rural/remote609 (91.0)60 (9.0)631 (94.3)38 (5.7)
Preferred language
English908 (92.7)71 (7.3)<0.001918 (93.8)61 (6.2)0.24
Other languages75 (73.5)27 (26.5)93 (91.2)9 (8.8)
Country of origin
Africa/Middle East/Asia102 (72.3)39 (27.7)<0.001126 (89.4)15 (10.6)0.085
Australia/America/Europe‐born1315 (90.5)138 (9.5)1355 (93.3)98 (6.7)
SEIFA
Q1 (most affluent)146 (85.4)25 (14.6)0.33161 (94.2)10 (5.8)0.050
Q2221 (86.7)34 (13.3)231 (90.6)24 (9.4)
Q3244 (90.0)27 (10.0)244 (90.0)27 (10.0)
Q4316 (90.0)35 (10.0)335 (95.4)16 (4.6)
Q5 (most disadvantaged)489 (89.7)56 (10.3)509 (93.4)36 (6.6)
Hepatitis B infection
Negative1254 (90.2)137 (9.8)<0.0011301 (93.5)90 (6.5)0.012
Positive163 (80.3)40 (19.7)180 (88.7)23 (11.3)
Hepatitis C virus infection
Negative933 (88.4)122 (11.6)0.411003 (95.1)52 (4.9)<0.001
Positive484 (89.8)55 (10.2)478 (88.7)61 (11.3)

RFA, radiofrequency ablation; SEIFA, socioeconomic index for areas.

Factors associated with receiving surgical section and radiofrequency ablation for treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma RFA, radiofrequency ablation; SEIFA, socioeconomic index for areas.

Survival

The median survival time after HCC diagnosis for the entire cohort was 9.0 months (IQR 2.0–24.0 months). There was no statistically significant difference in the months survived after HCC diagnosis between migrants and other Australians. At 10 years, the survival probability was 1.2% for migrants and 0.7% in other Australians. Patients with HCC who presented with well‐differentiated tumor had a significantly better probability of 12‐month (55.9 vs 45.4%) and 120‐month (2.4 vs 0.6%) survival compared with patients presented with poorly differentiated HCC (Fig. 2).
Figure 2

Weibull survival curves for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by age at the time of HCC diagnosis (a), remoteness of residence (b), tumor stage at presentation (c), and medical comorbidities (d). The cumulative survival probability indicates survival time after diagnosis of HCC in months. The acronym HCC stands for hepatocellular carcinoma. (a): (), <60 years; (), 60–69 years; (), ≥70 years. (b): (), Major city; (), remote areas. (c): (), Well differentiated; (), poorly differentiated; (), undifferentiated. (d): (), No comorbidity; (), ≥1 comorbidity.

Weibull survival curves for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by age at the time of HCC diagnosis (a), remoteness of residence (b), tumor stage at presentation (c), and medical comorbidities (d). The cumulative survival probability indicates survival time after diagnosis of HCC in months. The acronym HCC stands for hepatocellular carcinoma. (a): (), <60 years; (), 60–69 years; (), ≥70 years. (b): (), Major city; (), remote areas. (c): (), Well differentiated; (), poorly differentiated; (), undifferentiated. (d): (), No comorbidity; (), ≥1 comorbidity.

Predictors of time‐to‐death

After adjusting for age at diagnosis, remoteness of residence, and treatment for HCC, there was no statistically significant difference in the survival time between migrants and Australian‐born patients (TR = 0.76, 95% CrI 0.49–1.06). Older age at diagnosis was associated with shorter survival time, patients in the age range of 60–69 years had 28% fewer months of survival compared with those <60 years (95% CrI 0.56–0.95), and being ≥70 years of age was associated with 58% fewer months of survival (95% CrI 0.34–0.53). HCC patients who lived outside of a major city had 33% fewer months of survival compared with those living in major cities (95% CrI 0.55–0.80). Patients who presented with undifferentiated HCC had significantly fewer months of survival (TR = 0.30, 95% CrI 0.23–0.39) compared with patients presented with well‐differentiated tumor (Table 5).
Table 5

Predictors of time‐to‐death for migrants and other Australian patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, 2007–2016

PredictorMedian survival months (IQR)Time ratio95% credible interval
Sex
Male (vs female)9.9 (2.0–25.0)1.030.82–1.26
Age at diagnosis of HCC (vs <60 years)
60–69 years9.9 (2.9–25.0)0.720.56–0.95
≥70 years6.1 (1.9–18.4)0.420.34–0.53
Country of birth
Australian/America/Europe born (vs migrants)8.1 (2.0–23.0)0.760.49–1.06
Remoteness of residence
Outside major city (vs major city)7.0 (2.0–24.0)0.670.55–0.80
Preferred language (vs English)
Other language8.1 (2.0–23.0)1.561.26–2.00
SEIFA (vs most affluent)
Q29.7 (2.0–26.0)0.910.60–1.34
Q311.0 (2.9–24.9)1.130.77–1.62
Q48.0 (2.0–24.5)0.930.63–1.39
Q5 (most disadvantaged)8.1 (2.0–23.0)0.960.75–1.24
Charlson Comorbidity Index
≥1 comorbidity (vs none)8.0 (2.0–23.0)0.690.54–0.90
Type of HCC
Recurrent HCC (vs no recurrence)6.0 (2.0–19.1)0.600.46–0.77
Tumor stage at presentation (vs differentiated)
Poorly differentiated10.5 (2.0–25.0)0.420.27–0.60
Undifferentiated7.0 (2.0–21.0)0.300.23–0.39

HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; IQR, interquartile range; SEIFA, socioeconomic index for areas.

Predictors of time‐to‐death for migrants and other Australian patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, 2007–2016 HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; IQR, interquartile range; SEIFA, socioeconomic index for areas.

Discussion

In the present study, we examined the impact of country of birth, rurality of residence, tumor stage at presentation, age at the time of diagnosis, and comorbidities on the survival of HCC in migrants in a cohort of 1651 patients. We found patients with HCC living outside of the major cities and in remote areas had poorer survival time compared with patients living in major cities. Living in rural, remote areas could be associated with lesser opportunities to engage in surveillance for patients at risk of developing HCC such as those with cirrhosis. These patients may not be as likely as those residing in major cities to regularly attend hepatology specialty clinics, which are mainly based in major cities because of the need to travel a long distance. This contributes to lack of access to good quality screening such as blood tests and ultrasound, loss to follow‐up, and late diagnosis of HCC, when treatment at advanced stages may not be available or possible. Patients in remote and rural areas are more likely to be exposed to environmental risk factors including aflatoxin known to accelerate the progression of HCC and cause earlier onset and higher mortality. We found no statistically significant difference in the median age at diagnosis of HCC between migrants and other Australian patients, similar to findings by Ashhab et al. This could be due to selection bias of migrant populations compared with nonmigrant populations in countries endemic for HBV or differential exposures to environmental factors such as aflatoxin, which accelerate HCC progression. Chronic exposure to aflatoxin causes mutation of the TP53 tumor suppressor gene in hepatocytes, and increases HCC risk in persons with chronic HBV infection. , Most migrants lived in major cities and a significant proportion lived in higher socioeconomic locales, thus these individuals may differ from refugee and low‐income migrants, and might be less likely to be exposed to factors that accelerate the progression of HCC. This may explain why HCC may occur at a younger age more commonly in developing countries, but it is not seen in our study's migrant participants. Although migrants may be likely to acquire HBV infection in early life, the opportunities for a better access to HBV screening, surveillance in Australia may also have impacted risk by treatment of underlying risks and engagement in screening for HCC, and have contributed to HCC diagnosis at an early stage of the tumor. A greater proportion of migrants presented with early‐stage HCC compared with other Australians, and the higher proportion of HBV infection in migrants with HCC compared with other Australians may explain this. Hepatitis B‐related HCC can occur without cirrhosis, and is known to be associated with the occurrence of early‐stage HCC. , While the data were unable to control for MELD score or Child–Pugh stage, migrant patients were less likely to have had treatment for portal hypertension complications of decompensation such as ascetic tap or variceal banding, which may suggest a lower rate of decompensation. HCC, occurring in the absence of cirrhosis, opens more curative treatment opportunities and may explain the observed difference in higher proportion of curative treatments in migrants, particularly higher rates of surgical resection (Table 2). Migrant patients with HCC had markedly lower rates of alcohol misuse (8% compared with 44% in other Australians with HCC). Therefore, the differences in the clinical presentation of HCC between migrants and other Australians is likely related to the epidemiological differences in viral hepatitis, alcohol misuse, rather than environmental determinants related to the country of birth. Concomitant alcohol and drug use in the presence of HCC accelerates the progression of liver disease, causing presentation at later stages of HCC in other Australian patients than migrants. Lastly, early‐stage of HCC at the presentation in migrants could be explained by the fact that most migrants lived in major cities and provides them with better opportunities to be screened and diagnosed at an earlier stage of HCC. , The poor survival for HCC (9.0 months) in our study could be related to increasing age at diagnosis, a strong predictor of poor HCC survival, , , , and the late‐stage presentation of HCC. Well‐differentiated, early‐stage tumors have a protracted course and may be treated by surgical resection. However, patients presenting with late‐stage HCC may be ineligible to curative treatments when survival is often poor. , , , , A high rate of liver disease complications (hepatorenal syndrome, hepatic encephalopathy, and gastrointestinal bleeding) and comorbidities in our patients may partly explain the poor survival in this cohort. , , , , , Wong et al. found a lower frequency of liver disease complications was related to better survival in patients with HCC, particularly for migrants. Maximizing early diagnosis and regular screening of patients with an underlying disease such as cirrhosis may offer most benefit, opening a variety of treatment options for HCC patients that may improve survival. Another interesting finding in this study is that despite HBV being the leading underlying etiology for HCC in migrants, chronic HCV infection is still the leading indication for listing for liver transplantation. Although direct‐acting antiviral treatment for HCV has resulted in a significant decline in the incidence of HCV infection, the risk of developing HCC remains after a sustained virologic response. Hepatitis C virus remains the second most prevalent underlying etiology for HCC. In Australia, the most common cause of HCV is injecting drug use (IDU), though in migrants from the developing world, HCV transmission may occur more frequently iatrogenically through contaminated infusions, products, and medical equipment where sterilizing facilities or protocols may not be adequate. Continued screening, HCV prevention using injection safety and treatment is needed to reduce the incidence of HCC and the number of patients requiring a transplant. , , A key strength of this study was the use of a validated coding algorithm for comorbidities from linked hospital data. Nevertheless, the potential for misclassification bias of presumed underlying causes, comorbidities, complications of cirrhosis, and treatment for HCC is a potential limitation. A recognized limitation was that, the available data did not permit an assessment of the severity of cirrhosis (e.g. using the Child–Pugh or MELD scores) and exact staging of HCC with both factors limiting curative treatment options and tumor stage is a strong predictor of a patient's survival after the diagnosis of HCC. In conclusion, our data showed that patients who lived in rural and remote areas, presented with advanced tumor stage, and older age had poorer survival. Migrants proportionally presented with earlier‐stage HCC, probably related to the non‐cirrhotic HBV infection, and lower etiological contribution from alcohol. Older age at diagnosis, comorbidities, and poor survival suggest the significance of screening for viral hepatitis, conducting HCC surveillance in at‐risk patients such as those with cirrhosis, and timely curative treatment to improving survival in these patients. Table S1. Similarities in demographic, underlying etiology, liver disease complication and comorbidity between patients with hepatocellular carcinoma born in Australia, Europe, and America. Table S2. Liver diseases and comorbid conditions during the follow‐up period in hepatocellular carcinoma patients, 2007–2016. Click here for additional data file.
  36 in total

1.  Independent Predictors of Mortality and Resource Utilization in Viral Hepatitis Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Authors:  Pegah Golabi; Thomas Jeffers; Zahra Younoszai; Munkhzul Otgonsuren; Mehmet Sayiner; Alita Mishra; Chapy Venkatesan; Zobair Younossi
Journal:  Ann Hepatol       Date:  2017 Jul-Aug       Impact factor: 2.400

2.  Emerging trends in hepatocellular carcinoma incidence and mortality.

Authors:  Basile Njei; Yaron Rotman; Ivo Ditah; Joseph K Lim
Journal:  Hepatology       Date:  2014-11-24       Impact factor: 17.425

3.  Coding algorithms for defining comorbidities in ICD-9-CM and ICD-10 administrative data.

Authors:  Hude Quan; Vijaya Sundararajan; Patricia Halfon; Andrew Fong; Bernard Burnand; Jean-Christophe Luthi; L Duncan Saunders; Cynthia A Beck; Thomas E Feasby; William A Ghali
Journal:  Med Care       Date:  2005-11       Impact factor: 2.983

4.  Global burden of aflatoxin-induced hepatocellular carcinoma: a risk assessment.

Authors:  Yan Liu; Felicia Wu
Journal:  Environ Health Perspect       Date:  2010-02-19       Impact factor: 9.031

5.  Complications constitute a major risk factor for mortality in hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure patients: a multi-national study from the Asia-Pacific region.

Authors:  Tao Chen; Zhongyuan Yang; Ashok Kumar Choudhury; Mamun Al Mahtab; Jun Li; Yu Chen; Soek-Siam Tan; Tao Han; Jinhua Hu; Saeed S Hamid; Lee Guan Huei; Hasmik Ghazinian; Yuemin Nan; Yogesh K Chawla; Man-Fung Yuen; Harshad Devarbhavi; Akash Shukla; Zaigham Abbas; Manoj Sahu; A K Dokmeci; Laurentias A Lesmana; Cosmas Rinaldi A Lesmana; Shaojie Xin; Zhongping Duan; Wei Guo; Ke Ma; Zhongwei Zhang; Qiuyu Cheng; Jidong Jia; B C Sharma; Shiv Kumar Sarin; Qin Ning
Journal:  Hepatol Int       Date:  2019-10-24       Impact factor: 6.047

6.  Surveillance improves survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a prospective population-based study.

Authors:  Thai P Hong; Paul J Gow; Michael Fink; Anouk Dev; Stuart K Roberts; Amanda Nicoll; John S Lubel; Ian Kronborg; Niranjan Arachchi; Marno Ryan; William W Kemp; Virginia Knight; Vijaya Sundararajan; Paul Desmond; Alexander Jv Thompson; Sally J Bell
Journal:  Med J Aust       Date:  2018-10-15       Impact factor: 7.738

Review 7.  Epidemiology and Management of Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Authors:  Laura Kulik; Hashem B El-Serag
Journal:  Gastroenterology       Date:  2018-10-24       Impact factor: 22.682

Review 8.  A global view of hepatocellular carcinoma: trends, risk, prevention and management.

Authors:  Ju Dong Yang; Pierre Hainaut; Gregory J Gores; Amina Amadou; Amelie Plymoth; Lewis R Roberts
Journal:  Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol       Date:  2019-08-22       Impact factor: 73.082

9.  Long-term trends of liver cancer mortality by gender in urban and rural areas in China: an age-period-cohort analysis.

Authors:  Yuanyuan Sun; Yanhong Wang; Mengmeng Li; Kailiang Cheng; Xinyu Zhao; Yuan Zheng; Yan Liu; Shaoyuan Lei; Li Wang
Journal:  BMJ Open       Date:  2018-02-08       Impact factor: 2.692

10.  Early detection, curative treatment, and survival rates for hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in patients with cirrhosis: a meta-analysis.

Authors:  Amit G Singal; Anjana Pillai; Jasmin Tiro
Journal:  PLoS Med       Date:  2014-04-01       Impact factor: 11.069

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