| Literature DB >> 34257906 |
Ilka Beermann1,2, Alexander Thomas3, Yury Anisimov4, Marc Bastardot5, Nyambayar Batbayar6, Batmunkh Davaasuren6, Yury Gerasimov7, Makoto Hasebe8, Gleb Nakul9, Jugdernamjil Nergui6, Pavel Ktitorov10,11, Olga Kulikova10,12, Wieland Heim1.
Abstract
The population of the Yellow-breasted Bunting Emberiza aureola, a formerly widely distributed and abundant songbird of northern Eurasia, suffered a catastrophic decline and a strong range contraction between 1980 and 2013. There is evidence that the decline was driven by illegal trapping during migration, but potential contributions of other factors to the decline, such as land-use change, have not yet been evaluated. Before the effects of land-use change can be evaluated, a basic understanding of the ecological requirements of the species is needed. We therefore compared habitat use in ten remaining breeding regions across the range, from European Russia to Japan and the Russian Far East. We also assessed large-scale variation in habitat parameters across the breeding range. We found large variation in habitat use, within and between populations. Differences were related to the cover and height of trees and shrubs at Yellow-breasted Bunting territories. In many regions, Yellow-breasted Buntings occupied early successional stages, including anthropogenic habitats characterized by mowing, grazing, or fire regimes. We found that the probability of presence can be best predicted with the cover of shrubs, herbs, and grasses. Highest probabilities were found at shrub cover values of 40%-70%. Differences in habitat use along a longitudinal gradient were small, but we found strong differences across latitudes, possibly related to habitat availability. We conclude that the remaining Yellow-breasted Bunting populations are not limited to specific habitat types. Our results provide important baseline information to model the range-wide distribution of this critically endangered species and to guide targeted conservation measures.Entities:
Keywords: Japan; Mongolia; Russia; distribution; predict; vegetation
Year: 2021 PMID: 34257906 PMCID: PMC8258230 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.7668
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ecol Evol ISSN: 2045-7758 Impact factor: 2.912
Study regions from east to west, with sample sizes (N) for investigated Yellow‐breasted Bunting presence plots (P) and corresponding pseudo‐absences (A)
| Study area | Country | Coordinates |
|
| Habitats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chukotka (Markovo Village) | Russia |
64°41′N 170°25′E | 12 | 0 | Grasslands with willow trees |
| Kamchatka (various sites) | Russia |
54°38′N 158°33′E | 190 | 31 | Wetlands, forests |
| Hokkaido (Sarobetsu Plain) | Japan |
45°7′N 141°41′E | 11 | 0 | Wetlands |
| North Sakhalin (Volchinka River) | Russia |
53°24′N 142°30′E | 12 | 0 | Grasslands |
| Central Sakhalin (Poronaysk Town) | Russia |
49°14′N 143°5′E | 2 | 0 | Grasslands with willow trees |
| Amur (Muraviovka Park) | Russia |
49°55′N 127°40′E | 162 | 250 | Wetlands, fallow land |
| Khurkh Valley | Mongolia |
48°32′N 110°32′E | 14 | 10 | Wetlands |
| Baikal (Kabansky Zakaznik) | Russia |
52°18′N 106°25′E | 43 | 43 | Wetlands, pastures |
| Syktyvkar | Russia |
61°48′N 51°55′E | 35 | 35 | Floodplain meadows |
| Nizhny Novgorod (Vetluga Village) | Russia |
57°46′N 45°27′E | 8 | 8 | Abandoned fields |
Sample sizes in brackets were not used in the analysis.
Factor loadings of the six principal components based on Yellow‐breasted bunting presence plots and six habitat parameters
| Parameter | PC1 | PC2 | PC3 | PC4 | PC5 | PC6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegetation cover | −0.5302 | 0.1739 | −0.0857 | 0.0689 | 0.8071 | 0.1588 |
| Tree cover | −0.5572 | −0.0123 | 0.2736 | 0.0825 | −0.1928 | −0.7554 |
| Tree height | −0.5498 | 0.0372 | 0.2212 | 0.1559 | −0.4820 | 0.6251 |
| Shrub cover | 0.1923 | 0.6632 | −0.0608 | 0.7131 | −0.0683 | −0.0794 |
| Shrub height | 0.1029 | 0.6323 | 0.5179 | −0.5653 | 0.0283 | 0.0324 |
| Bare soil cover | 0.2420 | −0.3586 | 0.7726 | 0.3688 | 0.2714 | 0.0782 |
Effects of environmental parameters on Yellow‐breasted Bunting presence in univariate models
| Parameter |
| AICc | AUC |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegetation cover | *** | 693.86 | 0.69 | 0.14 |
| Vegetation cover2 | *** | 655.58 | 0.71 | 0.20 |
| Tree cover | n.s. | 778.72 | 0.54 | <0.01 |
| Tree cover2 | ** | 770.35 | 0.54 | 0.02 |
| Tree height | n.s. | 777.81 | 0.54 | <0.01 |
| Tree height2 | ** | 773.14 | 0.53 | 0.01 |
| Shrub cover | *** | 634.11 | 0.85 | 0.23 |
| Shrub cover2 | *** | 521.40 | 0.87 | 0.37 |
| Shrub height | *** | 653.79 | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Shrub height2 | *** | 591.34 | 0.80 | 0.28 |
| Dwarf shrub cover | *** | 740.93 | 0.70 | 0.06 |
| Dwarf shrub cover2 | *** | 714.47 | 0.71 | 0.11 |
| Dwarf shrub height | *** | 728.22 | 0.70 | 0.09 |
| Dwarf shrub height2 | *** | 697.51 | 0.73 | 0.14 |
| Grass cover | ** | 769.39 | 0.56 | 0.02 |
| Grass cover2 | *** | 755.36 | 0.61 | 0.04 |
| Grass height | *** | 764.38 | 0.54 | 0.03 |
| Grass height2 | *** | 727.68 | 0.64 | 0.09 |
| Herb cover | *** | 748.26 | 0.68 | 0.05 |
| Herb cover2 | *** | 719.60 | 0.68 | 0.10 |
| Herb height | n.s. | 779.06 | 0.58 | <0.01 |
| Herb height2 | *** | 752.92 | 0.62 | 0.05 |
| Litter cover | *** | 760.29 | 0.60 | 0.03 |
| Litter cover2 | n.s. | 760.11 | 0.62 | 0.04 |
| Litter height | n.s. | 778.99 | 0.54 | <0.01 |
| Litter height2 | . | 777.16 | 0.55 | 0.01 |
| Bare soil cover | ** | 768.99 | 0.46 | 0.02 |
| Bare soil cover2 | n.s. | 770.99 | 0.48 | 0.02 |
| Moisture | *** | 706.63 | 0.69 | 0.13 |
| Fire | n.s. | 779.01 | 0.55 | <0.01 |
| Grazing | . | 775.85 | 0.53 | 0.01 |
| Mowing | n.s. | 778.27 | 0.54 | <0.01 |
Given are respective p‐values (***p < 0.001, **p < 0.01, n.s. = not significant, p > 0.05), AICc, AUC, and Nagelkerke's pseudo‐R 2. A superscript 2 indicates quadratic variables (linear terms always included).
FIGURE 1Global breeding and nonbreeding distribution of the Yellow‐breasted Bunting (BirdLife International, 2020) and the location of the study regions. Background map downloaded from https://www.naturalearthdata.com/
FIGURE 2Principal component analysis (PCA) of 486 plots from ten study regions where Yellow‐breasted Buntings were present during the breeding season and correlated habitat parameters (cov.veg = total vegetation cover, cov.tree = tree cover, vegH.tree = mean height of trees, cov.shrub = shrub cover, vegH.shrub = mean height of shrubs, cov.soil = soil cover). Only the first two principal components are shown. Plots that are closer to each other are more similar
FIGURE 4Breeding habitats of Yellow‐breasted Buntings in (a) Kamchatka with loose stands of trees and surrounded by mountains (photo by Y. Gerasimov), (b) burned wetlands in the Amur region with dead willow branches used as perches, (c) wet meadows with few willow shrubs with grazing horses at Lake Baikal, and (d) mowed floodplain meadows in Syktyvkar with small islands of birch trees, which were used as perches (all photos by I. Beermann)
Summary of the selected multivariate models predicting the presence of the Yellow‐breasted Bunting
| Parameter | AICc | ΔAICc | AUC |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | Shrub cover + shrub cover2 + dwarf shrub cover + dwarf shrub cover2 + grass cover + grass cover2 + herb cover + herb cover2 + herb height + herb height2 | 478.47 | 0.00 | 0.893 | 0.430 |
| Model 2 | Shrub cover + shrub cover2 + dwarf shrub cover + dwarf shrub cover2 + grass cover + grass cover2 + herb cover + herb cover2 + grass height + grass height2 | 479.14 | 0.67 | 0.892 | 0.429 |
| Model 3 | Shrub cover + shrub cover2 + grass cover + grass cover2 + grass height + grass height2 + herb cover + herb cover2 + herb height + herb height2 | 480.42 | 1.59 | 0.894 | 0.428 |
| Null model | 777.10 | 298.63 | 0.544 |
The Akaike information criterion for small size (AICC), ΔAICc, area under curve (AUC), and Nagelkerke's pseudo‐R 2 are given. A superscript 2 indicates squared terms.
FIGURE 3Probabilities of Yellow‐breasted Bunting presence for the most significant habitat parameters (a—shrub cover, b—grass cover, c—herb cover) modeled with data from each of the three study regions separately. The confidence interval (95%) is given in transparent shades
Effects of latitude and longitude on habitat parameters collected in Yellow‐breasted Bunting territories
| Parameter | Latitude | Longitude |
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegetation cover |
|
| 0.001 | 0.387 |
| Tree cover |
|
| 0.021 | 0.541 |
| Tree height |
|
| 0.319 | 0.589 |
| Shrub cover |
|
| 0.157 | 0.556 |
| Shrub height |
|
| 0.182 | 0.323 |
| Dwarf shrub cover |
|
| 0.043 | 0.395 |
| Dwarf shrub height |
|
| 0.648 | 0.651 |
| Grass cover |
|
| 0.057 | 0.515 |
| Grass height |
|
| 0.305 | 0.858 |
| Herb cover |
|
| 0.276 | 0.668 |
| Herb height |
|
| 0.143 | 0.490 |
| Litter cover |
|
| 0.054 | 0.795 |
| Bare soil cover |
|
| 0.133 | 0.671 |
Study region was fitted as random factor. Shown are Χ 2, p‐value (highlighted with gray background if p < 0.05), coefficient estimates (β), and marginal and conditional R 2 of negative binomial GLMMs.