| Literature DB >> 34255216 |
Carina Intke1, Sini Korpelainen2, Marika Lappalainen3, Matti Vänskä4,5, Sari Hämäläinen3, Kari Pulkki6,7, Esa Jantunen3,2,8, Auni Juutilainen8, Anna-Kaisa Purhonen9.
Abstract
The study aim was to determine the benefit of the measurement of serum caspase-cleaved cytokeratin-18 (CK-18) fragment as a prognostic marker of febrile neutropenia (FN) in hematological patients. The study population consisted of 86 consecutive patients with FN who received intensive chemotherapy for hematological malignancy at the adult hematology ward of Kuopio University Hospital. Twenty-three patients (27%) had acute myeloid leukemia, and 63 patients (73%) were autologous stem cell transplant recipients. Serum caspase-cleaved CK-18 fragment M30, C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) were measured at the onset of FN (d0), on day 1 (d1), and on day 2 (d2). Eight patients (9%) developed severe sepsis, including three patients with septic shock. Eighteen patients (21%) had a blood culture-positive infection. Serum CK-18 fragment peaked on the first day after fever onset in patients with severe sepsis. Higher CK-18 level was associated with severe sepsis, intensive care unit treatment, and fatal outcome, but not with blood culture positivity. In ROC curve analysis, d1 serum CK-18 fragment predicted severe sepsis with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.767, CRP with an AUC of 0.764, and PCT with an AUC of 0.731. On d2, the best predictive capacity was observed for CRP with an AUC of 0.832. The optimal cutoff of caspase-cleaved CK-18 fragment M30 for predicting severe sepsis was 205 U/L on d1. In hematological patients, serum CK-18 fragment was found to be a potential prognostic marker of severe sepsis at early stages of FN.Entities:
Keywords: Acute myeloid leukemia; Caspase-cleaved cytokeratin-18; Febrile neutropenia; Non-Hodgkin lymphoma; Procalcitonin; Severe sepsis
Mesh:
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Year: 2021 PMID: 34255216 PMCID: PMC8863728 DOI: 10.1007/s10238-021-00734-8
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Clin Exp Med ISSN: 1591-8890 Impact factor: 3.984
Baseline characteristics during febrile neutropenia in 86 hematological patients after intensive chemotherapy
| Sex | |
| Male | 55 (64%) |
| Female | 31 (36%) |
| Age | |
| Median (min, max), years | 61 (18–70) |
| > 60 years | 46 (53%) |
| Acute myeloid leukemia | 23 (27%) |
| Autologous stem cell transplantation | 63 (73%) |
| Non-Hodgkin lymphoma | 43 (50%) |
| Multiple myeloma | 17 (20%) |
| Hodgkin lymphoma | 3 (3.5%) |
| Chemotherapy regimen | |
| BEAM | 42 (49%) |
| HD-MEL | 18 (20%) |
| IdAraC-Ida | 9 (10%) |
| IAT | 7 (8.1%) |
| MEA | 4 (4.7%) |
| Carmustine-Thiotepa | 3 (3.5%) |
| Mito-HDAraC | 2 (2.3%) |
| HDAraC-Ida | 1 (1.2%) |
| Positive blood culture | 18 (21%) |
| Gram-positive | 14 (16.3%) |
| Gram-negative | 3 (3.5%) |
| Fungal sepsis | 1 (1.2%) |
| Severe sepsis | 8 (9.3%) |
| Septic shock | 3 (3.5%) |
| Intensive care unit admission | 6 (7.0%) |
| Death | 3 (3.5%) |
BEAM, carmustine, etoposide, cytarabine, and melphalan; HD-MEL, high-dose melphalan; IAT, idarubicin, cytarabine, and thioguanine; IdAraC-Ida, intermediate-dose cytarabine and idarubicin; HDAraC-Ida, high-dose cytarabine and idarubicin; Mito-HDAraC, mitoxantrone and high-dose cytarabin; MEA, mitoxantrone, etoposide, and cytarabine
Means and medians of cytokeratin-18, C-reactive protein and procalcitonin on day 0–2 from the onset of febrile neutropenia in 86 hematological patients according to the presence of severe sepsis after intensive chemotherapy
| No severe sepsis ( | Severe sepsis ( | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean ± SEM | Median (min, max) | Mean (SEM) | Median (min, max) | ||
| Day 0 | 186 ± 11 | 168 (46, 669) | 210 ± 37 | 180 (113, 456) | 0.326 |
| Day 1 | 208 ± 12 | 179 (75, 566) | 367 ± 77 | 309 (109, 697) | 0.014* |
| Day 2 | 205 ± 11 | 188 (56, 722) | 315 ± 55 | 337 (128, 461) | 0.067 |
| Day 0 | 52 ± 6 | 36 (5, 286) | 71 ± 22 | 64 (5, 212) | 0.246 |
| Day 1 | 88 ± 9 | 70 (9, 357) | 162 ± 33 | 143 (48, 327) | 0.015* |
| Day 2 | 114 ± 10 | 87 (7, 342) | 245 ± 39 | 231 (129, 367) | 0.004** |
| Day 0 | 0.197 ± 0.026 | 0.128 (0.037, 1.74) | 3.793 ± 3.547 | 0.214 (0.058, 28.62) | 0.104 |
| Day 1 | 0.856 ± 0.406 | 0.180 (0.029, 28.87) | 6.041 ± 4.997 | 0.981 (0.075, 40.92) | 0.032* |
| Day 2 | 0.776 ± 0.296 | 0.190 (0.036, 21.11) | 5.655 ± 3.657 | 1.440 (0.073, 26.90) | 0.057 |
*P < 0.05; **P < 0.01; ***P < 0.001; aNonparametric Mann–Whitney U-test
Fig. 1Levels of cytokeratin-18 (M30) (mean with standard error of mean) from day 0 to day 2 according to septic complications in 86 patients with febrile neutropenia
Means and medians of cytokeratin-18, C-reactive protein and procalcitonin on day 0–2 from the onset of febrile neutropenia in 66 patients according to the diagnosis acute myeloid leukemia (AML) vs. non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL)
| Patients with AML ( | Patients with NHL ( | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean ± SEM | Median (min, max) | Mean (SEM) | Median (min, max) | ||
| Day 0 | 179 ± 29 | 132 (46, 669) | 203 ± 13 | 181 (98, 456) | 0.015* |
| Day 1 | 212 ± 35 | 141 (75, 677) | 245 ± 19 | 203 (112, 697) | 0.008** |
| Day 2 | 187 ± 29 | 187 (56, 722) | 243 ± 16 | 210 (129, 492) | 0.003** |
| Day 0 | 78 ± 17 | 52 (6 286) | 50 ± 6 | 39 (5, 151) | 0.562 |
| Day 1 | 118 ± 20 | 89 (14, 347) | 109 ± 12 | 90 (25, 357) | 0.908 |
| Day 2 | 129 ± 16 | 121 (7, 273) | 157 ± 16 | 151 (20, 367) | 0.398 |
| Day 0 | 1.511 ± 1.235 | 0.137 (0.054, 28.62) | 0.201 ± 0.022 | 0.157 (0.038, 0.678) | 0.800 |
| Day 1 | 4.000 ± 2.129 | 0.254 (0.075, 40.92) | 0.444 ± 0.094 | 0.212 (0.039, 3.270) | 0.607 |
| Day 2 | 1.693 ± 0.986 | 0.234 (0.063, 21.11) | 1.396 ± 0.660 | 0.277 (0.036, 26.90) | 0.927 |
*P < 0.05; **P < 0.01; ***P < 0.001
ROC curve analysis of cytokeratin-18, C-reactive protein and procalcitonin on day 0–2 from the start of febrile neutropenia in predicting severe sepsis in 86 hematological patients after intensive chemotherapy
| Area under the curve | 95% confidence interval | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Day 0 | 0.606 | 0.428 – 0.783 | 0.243 |
| Day 1 | 0.767 | 0.562 – 0.972 | 0.011* |
| Day 2 | 0.710 | 0.471 – 0.950 | 0.086 |
| Max Day 0–2 | 0.766 | 0.562 – 0.970 | 0.011* |
| Day 0 | 0.626 | 0.427 – 0.825 | 0.215 |
| Day 1 | 0.764 | 0.604 – 0.924 | 0.001** |
| Day 2 | 0.832 | 0.701 – 0.963 | < 0.001*** |
| Max Day 0 – 2 | 0.841 | 0.723 – 0.958 | < 0.001*** |
| Day 0 | 0.675 | 0.466 – 0.885 | 0.101 |
| Day 1 | 0.731 | 0.516 – 0.946 | 0.035* |
| Day 2 | 0.718 | 0.477 – 0.959 | 0.077 |
| Max Day 0 – 2 | 0.743 | 0.521 – 0.964 | 0.032* |
*P < 0.05; **P < 0.01; ***P < 0.001
Fig. 2ROC curve analysis of cytokeratin-18 (M30). C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) measured on day 0 (top), day 1 (middle), or day 2 (bottom) from the start of febrile neutropenia as a predictor of severe sepsis in 86 hematological patients after intensive chemotherapy
Diagnostic performance of serum cytokeratin-18 (CK-18), C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) in predicting the development of severe sepsis after intensive chemotherapy on day 0, day 1, and day 2 after the onset of febrile neutropenia in 86 hematological patients. The alternative cut-offs are based on weighted Youden’s indices (Jw) (more sensitive: λ = 2/3; less sensitive: λ = 1/3)
| CK-18 | CRP | PCT | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| λ = 2/3 | λ = 1/3 | λ = 2/3 | λ = 1/3 | λ = 2/3 | λ = 1/3 | |
| Sensitivity | 0.88 | 0.13 | 0.75 | 0.13 | 0.88 | 0.50 |
| Specificity | 0.51 | 0.97 | 0.65 | 0.97 | 0.53 | 0.86 |
| LR + | 1.80 | 4.88 | 2.16 | 4.31 | 1.84 | 3.55 |
| LR- | 0.24 | 0.90 | 0.38 | 0.90 | 0.24 | 0.58 |
| DOR | 7.37 | 5.43 | 5.63 | 4.79 | 7.76 | 6.09 |
| Youden | 0.39 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| Jw | 0.51 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.38 | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| Sensitivity | 0.88 | 0.50 | 0.88 | 0.63 | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Specificity | 0.66 | 0.92 | 0.61 | 0.83 | 0.43 | 0.89 |
| LR + | 2.59 | 6.17 | 2.25 | 3.75 | 1.55 | 5.94 |
| LR- | 0.19 | 0.54 | 0.20 | 0.45 | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| DOR | 13.7 | 11.3 | 11.0 | 8.33 | 5.37 | 14.2 |
| Youden | 0.54 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 0.46 | 0.31 | 0.52 |
| Jw | 0.61 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.46 | 0.61 |
| Sensitivity | 0.86 | 0.57 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.86 | 0.57 |
| Specificity | 0.42 | 0.93 | 0.61 | 0.99 | 0.52 | 0.94 |
| LR + | 1.49 | 8.34 | 2.53 | 32.6 | 1.78 | 8.80 |
| LR- | 0.34 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.58 | 0.28 | 0.46 |
| DOR | 4.43 | 18.1 | 2.53/0a | 56.2 | 6.49 | 19.20 |
| Youden | 0.28 | 0.50 | 0.61 | 0.42 | 0.38 | 0.51 |
| Jw | 0.43 | 0.62 | 0.74 | 0.60 | 0.49 | 0.63 |
PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; LR + , positive likelihood ratio; LR-, negative likelihood ratio; DOR, diagnostic odds ratio; *Same as the cutoff determined by the unweighted Youden’s index; aValue cannot be calculated because the denominator is zero
Fig. 3Relationship of cytokeratin-18 fragment M30 neoepitope with C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), soluble CD14, matrix metalloproteinase-10 (MMP10), and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP-1) in 86 hematological patients with severe sepsis (blue circles) or without severe sepsis (red squares). The coefficients of determination (R2) and regression lines for each variable are given
Fig. 4Relationship between maximum cytokeratin-18 d0-d2 and maximum procalcitonin d0-d2 in 86 hematological patients. Coefficient of determination (R2) was higher in patients developing severe sepsis (0.519) than in patients not developing severe sepsis (0.033). The linear-quadratic fit (R2 = 0.180) is given for all patients